Terrific-Reparation-Till — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$2.30K

Unrealized P&L

-$35

Hit rate

53.0%

Resolved (90d)

1,051

Trades (90d)

4,984

8,476 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$30.9K

$242.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

25 positions

First seen

2026-05-20

last 10-29 00:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 157 days

Categories

Other

89% 49% -$3,232

Sports

6% 30% -$483

Politics

4% 42% -$442

Tech

1% 42% -$94

Crypto

1% 40% -$36

Pop-Culture

0% 75% +$37

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 454 trades/day

Open positions (25) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+50	$3	4¢	$2	-$1	09-26 17:16
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	Yes		+47	$3	3¢	$1	-$1	10-14 16:57
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes		+50	$6	2¢	$1	-$6	10-06 19:40
Epic Games IPO before 2027?	Yes		+41	$3	2¢	$1	-$3	09-22 18:42
Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?	Yes		+50	$2	1¢	$1	-$1	09-29 10:23
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	Yes		+35	$2	1¢	$1	-$1	09-07 12:52
Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No		+50	$20	0¢	$0	-$20	10-02 21:55
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?	Yes		+7	$0	2¢	$0	$0	10-01 19:21
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes		+50	-$3	0¢	$0	+$3	10-19 03:55
Will Oregon Ducks win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes		+50	$6	0¢	$0	-$6	09-12 15:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes		+50	$2	0¢	$0	-$2	09-29 22:46
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	Yes		+50	$2	0¢	$0	-$2	10-01 06:50
will marco rubio attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221263	No	—	+0	$0	91¢	$0	+$0	08-18 22:51
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No		+0	$0	86¢	$0	+$0	08-08 03:29
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?	No		+0	$0	47¢	$0	+$0	10-04 16:03
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No		+0	$0	62¢	$0	+$1	09-22 00:57
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes		+0	$0	34¢	$0	+$1	10-13 04:12
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?	No		+0	$0	16¢	$0	+$0	08-17 02:23
Will Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	Yes		+0	$0	8¢	$0	+$0	09-11 12:50
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	Yes		+0	$0	6¢	$0	+$0	09-20 10:51
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes		+0	$0	4¢	$0	$0	10-06 10:03
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	Yes		+0	-$2	4¢	$0	+$2	09-19 22:44
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?	Yes		+0	$0	2¢	$0	+$0	07-27 20:04
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes		+0	$0	3¢	$0	+$0	07-26 07:10
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?	Yes		+0	$0	1¢	$0	+$0	08-28 15:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Clement Tabur	4	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Jannik Sinner	+$0	05-25 09:27
Roland Garros WTA: Emerson Jones vs Iga Swiatek	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Iga Swiatek	-$4	05-24 21:36
Roland Garros WTA: Veronika Erjavec vs Elena Rybakina	2	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	Elena Rybakina	-$6	05-25 04:03
Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-05-28?	2	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	$0	05-28 03:28
lol t1 fur 2026 07 06	5	$1.5K	995	495	+500	T1	+$10	07-06 03:12
Roland Garros ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Jurij Rodionov	18	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	Arthur Rinderknech	+$0	05-25 03:19
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 corners total 8pt5	9	$1.4K	1,988	1,988	+0	Under	+$20	07-01 06:34
lol koia ucam1 2026 06 04	12	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	UCAM Esports Club	$0	06-04 15:18
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)	3	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	San Diego Padres	$0	05-29 10:02
fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 goals cristiano ronaldo gte1	33	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$12	06-23 09:52
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)	12	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	Miami Marlins	+$10	05-27 11:32
United States to win the second half?	15	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$10	07-01 13:07
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins	2	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	Minnesota Twins	-$20	06-01 23:40
Chisinau: Cezar Cretu vs Stefanos Sakellaridis	15	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	Stefanos Sakellaridis	+$0	05-31 04:14
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)	4	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	Washington Nationals	+$0	05-25 06:47
cs2 sashi 9ine 2026 06 23	3	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	Sashi Esport	+$10	06-22 21:44
cs2 tyloo lgc 2026 06 09 map handicap home 1pt5	12	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	Legacy	+$10	06-09 12:40
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)	15	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	Washington Nationals	+$10	05-27 15:10
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. LG Twins	24	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	LG Twins	+$0	05-31 04:03
Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage	6	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	Alliance Guardians	+$0	06-01 10:38
val yft ega 2026 06 25	12	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	YFT Esports	+$10	06-25 22:02
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles	2	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Baltimore Orioles	+$10	05-30 13:56
fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 corners total 9pt5	15	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Under	+$10	07-01 21:50
cs2 nem bbp 2026 06 19	7	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	cancelled	+$6	06-18 14:26
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels	2	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Los Angeles Angels	+$10	05-24 05:45
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 corners total 8pt5	15	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Under	+$10	07-12 01:31
dota2 l1ga ngx 2026 07 07 game2	3	$1.0K	743	743	+0	Nigma Galaxy	+$7	07-07 08:05
cs2 mnte big5 2026 06 06	2	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Monte	+$10	06-05 22:01
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox	2	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Atlanta Braves	-$20	05-26 15:22
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)	2	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Cagliari Calcio	-$20	05-24 15:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 00:53:47	Will the Democratic Party win the MO-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0xb843ac…
10-29 00:53:41	Will Democrats win exactly 2 House seats in Nevada in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	45	3¢	$1	0xf661ed…
10-29 00:53:29	Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.25T and $1.50T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0x921f36…
10-29 00:53:17	Will the Republican Party win the TX-06 House seat?	No	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x26a96d…
10-29 00:53:07	Vanta IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0xc88e35…
10-29 00:52:20	Will the Republican Party win the PA-14 House seat?	No	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x8e96f1…
10-28 20:20:53	Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?	No	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x04caf8…
10-28 20:20:43	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat?	No	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x511851…
10-28 20:19:11	Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x232b4a…
10-28 20:11:28	Will Ségolène Royal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x9bbc18…
10-28 20:11:16	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $7.00 and $7.50 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0x49e6d0…
10-28 20:10:49	Will the Democratic Party win the CT-03 House seat?	No	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0xe6d499…
10-28 20:10:01	Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0xc71632…
10-28 20:09:49	Will the Republican Party win the WV-01 House seat?	No	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x1e2ca8…
10-28 20:09:37	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0xf3b4dd…
10-28 20:08:58	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-05 House seat?	No	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0xa08fb7…
10-28 20:08:49	Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xc4e939…
10-28 20:08:40	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-06 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xeb42c8…
10-28 20:08:14	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $7B in 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	6¢	$2	0xbf3afb…
10-28 20:07:52	Will Bally Bagayoko be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x50d3fe…
10-28 20:07:41	Will the Democrats win the Alabama governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0x8fde85…
10-28 20:07:25	Will Playboi Carti have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xb2f662…
10-28 20:07:14	Will Mariah Carey have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	No	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0xb1f506…
10-28 20:07:01	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?	No	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x1c5236…
10-28 20:06:29	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0x43d1c5…
10-28 20:06:17	Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	2¢	$0	0x4f8488…
10-28 20:06:07	Will the Democratic Party win the OR-03 House seat?	No	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x5bc6a5…
10-28 20:05:56	Will the Republican Party win the TX-30 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x6887fd…
10-28 20:05:46	Will the Republican Party win the OK-04 House seat?	No	SELL	27	2¢	$1	0xf59655…
10-28 20:04:01	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x3d8611…
10-28 20:03:50	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0xaf8891…
10-28 20:03:40	Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x96680f…
10-28 20:03:29	Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x4ae4b8…
10-28 20:03:19	Will the Republican Party win the VT-AL House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x13cd36…
10-28 20:02:37	StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x077a38…
10-28 20:02:10	Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0xb4ac38…
10-28 20:02:01	Will the Republican Party win the TX-07 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0xe0273d…
10-28 20:01:50	Will the Democratic Party win the VA-07 House seat?	No	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0xd81818…
10-28 20:01:29	Will the Democratic Party win the WA-01 House seat?	No	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x314cd4…
10-28 20:01:17	Will the Republican Party win the TX-29 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x49f605…
10-28 20:00:50	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-18 House seat?	No	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x91f4ec…
10-28 20:00:40	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	No	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0x0890b5…
10-28 20:00:26	Felix Protocol FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x824c82…
10-28 20:00:17	Will JetBlue Airways announce bankruptcy before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0xe5de42…
10-28 20:00:04	GTA VI released by November 30?	No	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x5d1d16…
10-28 19:59:55	Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	39	2¢	$1	0x567453…
10-28 19:59:46	Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x45bf55…
10-25 23:04:05	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.4% and 2.6%?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x1e19ac…
10-25 23:03:54	Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xdd5572…
10-25 23:03:38	Will De'Von Achane have 1,399.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x34215d…
10-25 23:03:24	Will Islam Makhachev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	26	3¢	$1	0x686b63…
10-25 23:03:06	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-09 House seat?	Yes	SELL	44	3¢	$1	0xb91118…
10-25 19:30:23	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	44	3¢	$1	0xdd5d7b…
10-25 11:55:09	Will Islam Makhachev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xbc66c6…
10-25 11:55:08	Will Islam Makhachev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xf821dd…
10-24 20:48:51	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x463961…
10-24 20:11:27	Will the Republican Party win the MA-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xc79037…
10-24 19:35:41	Will Manel Kape fight Alexandre Pantoja next?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xb6ac9e…
10-24 05:38:26	Will the Republican Party win the UT-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	19	3¢	$1	0x8bb076…
10-24 03:00:47	Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8915b0…
10-24 02:26:33	Will the Republican Party win the MA-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	45	3¢	$1	0xc76e1d…
10-24 01:52:38	Ostium FDV above $4B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x8a6687…
10-23 20:16:20	Will the Republican Party win the UT-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xf2c476…
10-23 14:01:29	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $7.00 and $7.50 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0x5fc10d…
10-23 07:40:45	Will the Democratic Party win the OR-03 House seat?	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x2fa66b…
10-23 07:13:42	Will the Democratic Party win the OR-03 House seat?	No	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x84fccc…
10-23 07:12:30	Will the Democratic Party win the OR-03 House seat?	No	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x213029…
10-23 05:48:15	Will De'Von Achane have 1,399.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x35c2e2…
10-22 19:58:35	Will the Republican Party win the UT-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0xb77dba…
10-22 11:53:42	Will the Republican Party win the NC-08 House seat?	No	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xda7132…
10-22 11:53:30	Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0x560499…
10-22 11:53:23	Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x07a022…
10-22 11:53:12	Will the Democratic Party win the IN-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x2b8209…
10-22 11:53:03	Will Élisabeth Borne advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x76b1f7…
10-22 11:52:47	Will Bernard Cazeneuve advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x811275…
10-22 11:52:36	Will the Republican Party win the GA-14 House seat?	No	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0xaa6121…
10-22 11:52:27	Will the Democratic Party win the KY-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x745c8f…
10-22 11:52:12	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-09 House seat?	No	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xf1eaeb…
10-22 11:52:03	Will the Democratic Party win the PA-17 House seat?	No	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x4cbbef…
10-22 11:51:53	Will Jérôme Guedj be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x7a3f80…
10-22 11:51:36	Will the Democratic Party win the IL-16 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0x844728…
10-22 11:50:57	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xdbc6cd…
10-22 11:50:45	US announces military base in Israel in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x2dddcc…
10-22 11:50:35	Will AC Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x7e9c88…
10-22 11:50:26	Will the Democratic Party win the WI-07 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xd50a06…
10-22 11:50:17	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-36 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x2fbf95…
10-22 11:50:05	Will Discord’s market cap be $20B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xa8ea0a…
10-22 11:49:48	Will the Democratic Party win the OH-01 House seat?	No	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x8bdfdd…
10-22 11:49:38	Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xaa2e4f…
10-22 11:49:29	Will the Democratic Party win the PA-16 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x66f27e…
10-22 11:49:12	Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x8ae8e6…
10-22 11:48:17	Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$3	0xc8c0d2…
10-22 11:48:02	Will the Republican Party win the FL-19 House seat?	No	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0xcbf1de…
10-22 11:47:54	Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0xa40234…
10-22 11:47:44	Will the Republican Party win the TX-12 House seat?	No	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x4195a7…
10-22 11:47:33	Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xc18378…
10-22 11:47:21	Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?	No	SELL	28	1¢	$0	0x5dbd67…
10-22 11:47:03	Another Canada election called by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x10758b…
10-22 11:46:51	Will Texas Longhorns Win the 2026 SEC Championship?	Yes	SELL	41	4¢	$2	0x46f1c5…
10-22 11:46:38	Amazon 2026 capex above $180B?	No	SELL	41	5¢	$2	0x4dde92…