Will Jérôme Guedj be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open
Total volume
$1,048
Trades
93
Unique wallets
27
Liquidity
$11,964
Latest YES mid
7¢
Latest NO mid
93¢
End date
2027-04-17
First seen
2026-05-29
last 07-20 09:13
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $29 | $150 | $121 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $3 | $343 | $340 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 10 | $14 | $38 | $25 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $32 | $32 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $138 | $138 |
| Median | 2 | — | $5 | $5 |
| Below median | 5 | $7 | $281 | $273 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $21 | $68 | $47 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| unranked | 9 | $16 | $8 | +$7 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | +117 | $106 | $106 | 3 | 07-20 09:13 |
| Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | Yes | +50 | $4 | $14 | 3 | 07-04 06:18 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +47 | $4 | $7 | 7 | 07-07 12:29 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +40 | $4 | $9 | 6 | 07-04 06:14 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +40 | $36 | $36 | 2 | 06-17 11:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | +35 | $32 | $32 | 2 | 06-11 16:12 |
| Klutzy-Haste 0x983f…fd5e | No | +35 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 07-07 12:29 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +32 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-16 23:04 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +32 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 06-17 11:43 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-16 23:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-10 02:40 |
| True-Driver 0x461a…1a5a | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-18 22:37 |
| Euphoric-Headline 0x377d…dddd | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-05 13:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x91e2…3c51 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-26 08:05 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 09:13:01 | Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | BUY | 14 | 92¢ | $13 | 0x2439d6… |
| 07-20 09:13:01 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 14 | 92¢ | $13 | 0x2439d6… |
| 07-18 22:37:21 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 14 | 93¢ | $13 | 0xb01827… |
| 07-18 22:37:21 | True-Driver 0x461a…1a5a | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xb01827… |
| 07-15 16:21:10 | Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | SELL | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0xe792e7… |
| 07-15 16:21:10 | Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | BUY | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0xe792e7… |
| 07-07 12:29:40 | Klutzy-Haste 0x983f…fd5e | No | BUY | 35 | 91¢ | $32 | 0x5ce24a… |
| 07-07 12:29:40 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 35 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x5ce24a… |
| 07-04 06:18:50 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x962309… |
| 07-04 06:18:50 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 31 | 91¢ | $29 | 0x962309… |
| 07-04 06:18:50 | Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x962309… |
| 07-04 06:14:07 | Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x5b1859… |
| 07-04 06:14:07 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 26 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x5b1859… |
| 07-04 06:14:07 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 50 | 91¢ | $46 | 0x5b1859… |
| 07-04 06:14:04 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 50 | 92¢ | $46 | 0xa7de9e… |
| 07-04 06:14:04 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 69 | 92¢ | $63 | 0xa7de9e… |
| 07-04 06:14:04 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xa7de9e… |
| 07-02 15:37:14 | Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 9¢ | $9 | 0xc5ee96… |
| 07-02 15:37:14 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 100 | 91¢ | $91 | 0xc5ee96… |
| 06-26 08:05:37 | (anonymous) 0x91e2…3c51 | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xbacb9d… |
| 06-26 08:05:37 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xbacb9d… |
| 06-17 11:43:08 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x76413b… |
| 06-17 11:43:08 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 52 | 92¢ | $48 | 0x76413b… |
| 06-17 11:43:08 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0x76413b… |
| 06-17 11:43:08 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0x76413b… |
| 06-16 23:04:17 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 8 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x146ee1… |
| 06-16 23:04:17 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x146ee1… |
| 06-16 23:04:17 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x146ee1… |
| 06-16 23:04:16 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 9¢ | $4 | 0xfb1c51… |
| 06-16 23:04:16 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xfb1c51… |
| 06-16 23:04:16 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xfb1c51… |
| 06-16 23:02:58 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x5c4c1a… |
| 06-16 23:02:58 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x5c4c1a… |
| 06-16 23:02:58 | Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | BUY | 100 | 91¢ | $91 | 0x5c4c1a… |
| 06-16 23:02:58 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x5c4c1a… |
| 06-16 23:02:58 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x5c4c1a… |
| 06-11 16:12:10 | (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | BUY | 21 | 90¢ | $19 | 0x737c11… |
| 06-11 16:12:10 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 21 | 90¢ | $19 | 0x737c11… |
| 06-11 16:11:46 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 21 | 90¢ | $19 | 0x8896fe… |
| 06-11 16:11:46 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | SELL | 21 | 90¢ | $19 | 0x8896fe… |
| 06-11 16:10:07 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 35 | 90¢ | $32 | 0x8a735b… |
| 06-11 16:10:07 | (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | BUY | 14 | 90¢ | $13 | 0x8a735b… |
| 06-11 16:10:07 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | BUY | 21 | 90¢ | $19 | 0x8a735b… |
| 06-10 23:30:25 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xff03e0… |
| 06-10 23:30:25 | Costly-Quart 0x480f…7c91 | No | SELL | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0xff03e0… |
| 06-10 19:57:30 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x08bcc0… |
| 06-10 19:57:30 | (anonymous) 0x9162…2f2c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x08bcc0… |
| 06-10 06:29:03 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x9caedb… |
| 06-10 06:29:03 | (anonymous) 0x9162…2f2c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x9caedb… |
| 06-10 02:40:21 | (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x118022… |
| 06-10 02:40:21 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 15 | 90¢ | $14 | 0x118022… |
| 06-09 11:35:31 | Costly-Quart 0x480f…7c91 | No | SELL | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x8fb985… |
| 06-09 11:35:31 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x8fb985… |
| 06-08 20:46:16 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 12 | 90¢ | $10 | 0x27c4aa… |
| 06-08 20:46:16 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 12 | 90¢ | $10 | 0x27c4aa… |
| 06-07 10:53:48 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 12 | 90¢ | $10 | 0x259a51… |
| 06-07 10:53:48 | Costly-Quart 0x480f…7c91 | No | SELL | 12 | 90¢ | $10 | 0x259a51… |
| 06-07 09:45:07 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | No | SELL | 3 | 90¢ | $3 | 0x347538… |
| 06-07 09:45:07 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 3 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x347538… |
| 06-07 09:44:00 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 23 | 90¢ | $21 | 0x171ffb… |
| 06-07 09:44:00 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x171ffb… |
| 06-07 09:44:00 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | No | BUY | 3 | 90¢ | $3 | 0x171ffb… |
| 06-06 11:14:45 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x924614… |
| 06-06 11:14:45 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x924614… |
| 06-06 11:13:21 | Costly-Quart 0x480f…7c91 | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xc518f7… |
| 06-06 11:13:21 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xc518f7… |
| 06-06 02:23:25 | Pointed-Pronunciation 0x82cd…d7d8 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x94008a… |
| 06-06 02:23:25 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x94008a… |
| 06-06 02:00:51 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xbad406… |
| 06-06 02:00:51 | Partial-Routine 0xd211…628b | Yes | SELL | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xbad406… |
| 06-05 21:03:19 | Determined-Mug 0xff4b…d019 | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x5014a9… |
| 06-05 21:03:19 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x5014a9… |
| 06-05 21:03:19 | Pointed-Pronunciation 0x82cd…d7d8 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x5014a9… |
| 06-05 18:33:34 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x210f6a… |
| 06-05 18:33:34 | Determined-Mug 0xff4b…d019 | No | SELL | 20 | 91¢ | $19 | 0x210f6a… |
| 06-05 18:33:28 | Determined-Mug 0xff4b…d019 | No | SELL | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x9b1421… |
| 06-05 18:33:28 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x9b1421… |
| 06-05 18:33:28 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x9b1421… |
| 06-05 18:33:28 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x9b1421… |
| 06-05 18:33:28 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x9b1421… |
| 06-05 18:32:52 | Partial-Routine 0xd211…628b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xa6589f… |
| 06-05 18:32:52 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 10¢ | $4 | 0xa6589f… |
| 06-05 18:32:52 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 17 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xa6589f… |
| 06-05 18:32:52 | Rotating-Issue 0xd8ba…2a38 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 10¢ | $10 | 0xa6589f… |
| 06-05 18:32:52 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 18 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xa6589f… |
| 06-05 13:58:46 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 6 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x9ded6d… |
| 06-05 13:58:46 | Euphoric-Headline 0x377d…dddd | No | BUY | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x9ded6d… |
| 06-05 08:18:46 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 16 | 87¢ | $14 | 0x73dceb… |
| 06-05 08:18:46 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | SELL | 23 | 87¢ | $20 | 0x73dceb… |
| 06-05 08:08:33 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 23 | 87¢ | $20 | 0x802268… |
| 06-05 08:08:33 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | BUY | 23 | 87¢ | $20 | 0x802268… |
| 05-29 19:28:07 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 22 | 87¢ | $19 | 0x6cdcf2… |
| 05-29 19:28:07 | Costly-Quart 0x480f…7c91 | No | SELL | 22 | 87¢ | $19 | 0x6cdcf2… |