Realized P&L
+$2.98K
Unrealized P&L
-$2.26K
Hit rate
88.3%
Resolved
77
Trades
1,267
lifetime
Volume
$130.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$103
Open exposure
$44.2K
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 11-03 11:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 46 days
Categories
Politics
88% 63% +$2,093
Other
7% 63% +$49
Crypto
3% 100% +$164
Sports
3% 56% +$670
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 95 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? No +26,444 $23,233 81¢ $21.5K -$1,695 10-14 21:19
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Yes +7,132 $4,712 78¢ $5.6K +$887 10-13 10:05
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +3,722 $3,315 84¢ $3.1K -$176 10-06 18:49
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? No +12,307 $4,668 22¢ $2.6K -$2,022 07-29 22:47
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +2,423 $2,118 88¢ $2.1K +$2 09-02 23:00
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,331 $1,267 98¢ $1.3K +$37 10-03 13:36
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No +1,200 $1,128 98¢ $1.2K +$50 06-16 22:54
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,258 $1,168 93¢ $1.2K +$6 11-03 12:10
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +1,000 $982 99¢ $992 +$10 09-15 23:12
Trump out as President before 2027? No +1,000 $902 96¢ $964 +$62 08-19 11:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No +500 $475 99¢ $497 +$21 06-08 05:26
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No +500 $454 98¢ $492 +$38 05-31 01:00
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +500 $469 97¢ $486 +$17 08-19 22:22
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes +500 $407 88¢ $438 +$30 09-18 06:09
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,000 $90 40¢ $402 +$312 06-30 22:26
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +300 $228 88¢ $264 +$36 08-30 14:53
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No +200 $190 97¢ $195 +$5 05-31 00:59
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? No +200 $182 94¢ $188 +$6 09-10 18:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +200 $122 92¢ $183 +$61 05-03 22:19
Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026? Yes +10,000 $60 1¢ $125 +$65 10-23 15:38
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No +80 $75 96¢ $76 +$2 08-19 11:47
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +61 $56 95¢ $57 +$2 09-13 07:11
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +5,010 $195 1¢ $45 -$150 10-23 16:37
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +39 $27 76¢ $30 +$3 10-04 20:54
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes +500 $40 3¢ $17 -$23 08-30 14:54
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,000 $19 1¢ $14 -$4 07-30 11:42
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -700 -$175 2¢ $-14 +$161 06-30 22:43