Will Marine Le Pen announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
open
Total volume
$75
$6 in 24h
Trades
24
Unique wallets
6
Liquidity
$459
Latest YES mid
25¢
Latest NO mid
76¢
End date
2027-04-23
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-20 13:58
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $8 | $28 | $20 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| Median | 1 | — | $16 | $16 |
| unranked | 4 | $8 | $12 | $4 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roasted-Dare 0xe41e…5aa1 | No | +25 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-08 14:24 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-27 21:36 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-20 13:58:40 | (anonymous) 0xe5be…54f1 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x6e1f45… |
| 06-20 13:58:40 | (anonymous) 0x95b7…c651 | No | SELL | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x6e1f45… |
| 06-20 13:56:50 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x2a9e9a… |
| 06-20 13:56:50 | (anonymous) 0xe5be…54f1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x2a9e9a… |
| 06-19 10:03:01 | (anonymous) 0x95b7…c651 | No | SELL | 2 | 83¢ | $2 | 0x9115af… |
| 06-19 10:03:01 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 17¢ | $0 | 0x9115af… |
| 06-19 09:42:01 | (anonymous) 0xe5be…54f1 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xebe6b8… |
| 06-19 09:42:01 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xebe6b8… |
| 06-19 09:41:20 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xabf0b2… |
| 06-19 09:41:20 | (anonymous) 0xe5be…54f1 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xabf0b2… |
| 06-19 09:29:04 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xd6ae71… |
| 06-19 09:29:04 | (anonymous) 0xe5be…54f1 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xd6ae71… |
| 06-19 09:14:17 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xaf767e… |
| 06-19 09:14:17 | (anonymous) 0xe5be…54f1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xaf767e… |
| 06-19 09:10:47 | (anonymous) 0xe5be…54f1 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xbcf67c… |
| 06-19 09:10:47 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xbcf67c… |
| 06-19 08:59:14 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | No | SELL | 7 | 68¢ | $5 | 0xf5d0ff… |
| 06-19 08:59:14 | Whispered-Diary 0xb260…9d59 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xf5d0ff… |
| 06-19 08:43:28 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | No | BUY | 7 | 71¢ | $5 | 0x8fc32d… |
| 06-19 08:43:28 | (anonymous) 0xe5be…54f1 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 29¢ | $2 | 0x8fc32d… |
| 06-08 14:24:43 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | No | SELL | 25 | 65¢ | $16 | 0x6313e6… |
| 06-08 14:24:43 | Roasted-Dare 0xe41e…5aa1 | No | BUY | 25 | 65¢ | $16 | 0x6313e6… |
| 05-27 21:36:06 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 30¢ | $3 | 0xbd1ac8… |
| 05-27 21:36:06 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | No | BUY | 10 | 70¢ | $7 | 0xbd1ac8… |