Realized P&L
+$1.27K
Unrealized P&L
+$58
Hit rate
72.0%
Resolved
13,349
Trades
52,998
lifetime
Volume
$82.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$67
19 positions
First seen
2026-02-06
last 11-02 12:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 258 days
Categories
Other
67% 43% +$600
Politics
24% 46% +$627
Tech
4% 39% +$99
Crypto
4% 48% -$42
Pop-Culture
1% 45% +$18
Sports
0% 41% -$28
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 237 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +245 $3 11¢ $28 +$24 10-29 17:53
Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +184 -$3 5¢ $10 +$13 10-29 22:33
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +22 $0 26¢ $6 +$6 10-29 22:55
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen by November 30? Yes +12 $2 42¢ $5 +$3 11-01 09:36
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? Yes +30 $3 14¢ $4 +$1 11-01 08:35
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? No +27 $3 14¢ $4 +$1 11-01 20:08
Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats? No +12 $3 31¢ $4 +$0 11-02 07:32
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? No +11 $2 19¢ $2 +$0 11-01 14:15
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +13 $3 12¢ $2 -$1 10-28 00:31
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? No +15 $0 8¢ $1 +$1 10-30 01:25
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? No +22 -$2 4¢ $1 +$3 10-30 01:38
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? Yes +21 $3 2¢ $0 -$3 10-23 19:45
Rippling IPO before 2027? Yes -5 -$1 5¢ $-0 +$0 06-16 06:38
Stripe IPO before 2027? Yes -4 $0 5¢ $-0 +$0 06-16 06:38
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? Yes -3 $0 3¢ $-0 +$0 06-16 06:37
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? Yes -2 $0 3¢ $-0 +$0 06-16 06:38
Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes +0 -$7 95¢ $0 +$7 10-29 06:14
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1? No +5 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-30 03:47
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? Yes +0 -$2 22¢ $0 +$2 10-26 19:50