Pertinent-Vengeance 0x0275ac…22b936
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Realized P&L
+$4
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
78.5%
Resolved
52
Trades
32,169
lifetime
Volume
$43.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$38
27 positions
First seen
2026-02-06
last 07-20 18:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
57% 43% $-2
Politics
31% 68% +$6
Crypto
7% — —
Tech
3% — —
Sports
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 219 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +16 $4 26¢ $4 $-0 07-20 09:52
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No +59 $3 7¢ $4 +$1 07-19 22:55
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +30 $3 12¢ $3 +$0 07-19 09:57
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes -11 $-2 32¢ $-3 $-1 06-15 20:07
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +22 $3 16¢ $3 +$0 07-13 13:24
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +44 $4 7¢ $3 $-1 07-07 18:19
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +6 $1 44¢ $3 +$1 07-13 17:00
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +6 $2 36¢ $2 +$1 07-20 14:04
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +144 $3 1¢ $2 $-1 07-13 15:35
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? Yes +27 $3 6¢ $2 $-2 07-14 12:34
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? Yes +6 $1 26¢ $2 +$1 07-15 00:16
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? Yes +6 $1 22¢ $1 +$0 07-20 18:31
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +61 $3 2¢ $1 $-2 07-13 13:20
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? Yes +16 $0 5¢ $1 +$0 07-18 22:32
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +51 $3 1¢ $1 $-2 07-11 16:16
Rippling IPO before 2027? Yes -5 $-1 14¢ $-1 $-0 06-16 06:38
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +20 $3 2¢ $0 $-3 07-13 10:39
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? No -3 $0 12¢ $-0 $-0 06-16 06:34
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? Yes -2 $-0 14¢ $-0 +$0 06-16 06:38
Stripe IPO before 2027? Yes -4 $-0 5¢ $-0 +$0 06-16 06:38
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? Yes -3 $-0 6¢ $-0 +$0 06-16 06:37
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? Yes +6 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 07-16 04:48
Amazon 2026 capex above $190B? No +6 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 07-10 11:24
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +6 $0 2¢ $0 $-0 07-13 15:45
Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes -2 $-0 6¢ $-0 $-0 06-16 06:37
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? Yes -2 $-0 5¢ $-0 +$0 06-16 06:37
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +2 $-1 0¢ $0 +$1 06-20 14:13