Pertinent-Vengeance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.5%

Resolved

Trades

33,034

lifetime

Volume

$45.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 08-10 06:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

58% 43% $-2

Politics

31% 68% +$6

Crypto

7% — —

Tech

3% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 219 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran strike israel on march 10	81	$145	414	414	+0	open	—	03-13 05:37
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	53	$120	163	169	-6	open	—	03-07 09:01
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	62	$116	270	268	+2	open	—	03-29 15:37
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	55	$115	285	285	+0	open	—	03-30 20:09
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	29	$111	165	165	+0	open	—	06-20 00:02
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	63	$105	388	295	+93	open	—	04-09 01:37
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	59	$104	217	211	+6	open	—	03-31 11:54
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	55	$96	316	309	+7	open	—	03-25 23:58
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	57	$94	218	217	+1	open	—	03-27 18:59
will abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremonywill abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204723	27	$88	136	136	+0	open	—	06-25 09:15
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	44	$85	275	261	+14	open	—	04-16 17:52
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	41	$84	182	178	+4	open	—	03-24 00:55
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	44	$83	184	163	+21	open	—	06-14 20:45
will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	43	$83	161	143	+18	open	—	06-17 17:03
will iran strike israel on march 6	50	$83	154	146	+9	open	—	03-08 22:45
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	42	$82	178	178	+0	open	—	05-29 21:06
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	44	$82	114	108	+6	open	—	03-05 15:02
will iran strike israel on march 4	59	$81	194	192	+2	open	—	03-06 18:33
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	45	$80	199	199	-0	open	—	05-30 15:36
will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	26	$78	137	137	+0	open	—	06-25 13:52
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	43	$76	179	179	-0	open	—	05-11 23:33
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	21	$75	115	115	+0	open	—	06-29 14:37
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	38	$74	117	117	+0	open	—	03-07 09:00
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	23	$71	110	98	+12	open	—	06-20 14:41
will uae strike iran by march 31	40	$71	148	148	+0	open	—	03-20 05:43
will israel strike greater beirut on march 7 2026	47	$70	213	201	+12	open	—	03-07 21:42
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	40	$69	175	174	+1	open	—	04-23 17:46
will iran strike israel on march 3	44	$65	115	109	+6	open	—	03-06 16:38
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	19	$63	98	98	+0	open	—	06-30 22:23
russia strike impacts kyiv municipality during week of march 2 2026	46	$62	166	155	+12	open	—	03-12 17:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 08:49:45	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 31 20260808192512607	No	BUY	34	9¢	$3	0x89de03…
08-10 08:45:39	hims quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 10 2026 neg0pt05	Yes	BUY	2	27¢	$0	0xceffb6…
08-10 08:42:45	hims quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 10 2026 neg0pt05	Yes	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x243d64…
08-10 08:40:45	hims quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 10 2026 neg0pt05	Yes	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xdc2fbd…
08-10 08:33:18	will russia capture mala tokmachka by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	18	19¢	$3	0x60a794…
08-10 07:47:21	will iran target a arab country on august 9 2026 20260801004719126	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xe4a54d…
08-10 07:47:12	will iran target a arab country on august 7 2026 20260801004719124	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x083ce0…
08-10 07:47:09	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	16	23¢	$4	0x23ce38…
08-10 07:29:01	will hims say amazon during earnings call 20260807205625287	Yes	BUY	16	22¢	$3	0x1dacd1…
08-10 07:21:15	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x94a9c3…
08-10 06:36:52	will trump speak to xi jinping in august 20260731154203516	Yes	SELL	13	16¢	$2	0xed3fa3…
08-10 05:29:15	will jptdpt vance attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260622201044256	Yes	BUY	52	6¢	$3	0xbbf94f…
08-10 05:12:52	will jared kushner visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126052	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd5e3e9…
08-10 04:47:34	will super typhoon dolphin make landfall at category 4 strength or higher 20260730204039278	Yes	SELL	54	0¢	$0	0xe01511…
08-10 03:41:21	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	SELL	14	12¢	$2	0xc8a478…
08-10 03:30:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	No	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0xe89397…
08-10 03:12:45	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	102	1¢	$1	0x47b81b…
08-10 02:20:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	No	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0xed8b25…
08-10 02:18:39	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0x90a49a…
08-10 02:15:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x84b4e5…
08-10 02:08:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x93e402…
08-10 00:53:49	will kamu kirk be evicted in big brother season 28 week 5 20260806195432953	Yes	BUY	66	2¢	$1	0x4510ca…
08-10 00:52:13	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x8805f0…
08-10 00:47:06	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	Yes	BUY	16	21¢	$3	0x0480d8…
08-10 00:35:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	No	SELL	27	16¢	$4	0xd323b6…
08-10 00:05:36	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 12 1786098036076	No	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0xdd771d…
08-09 23:21:40	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	Yes	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0xf35944…
08-09 23:16:00	will shakiras monthly listeners figure hit 107m by august 31 20260723155943132	No	BUY	32	10¢	$3	0x1a53d2…
08-09 23:03:54	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 26 20260808192512606	No	BUY	14	25¢	$3	0x74a712…
08-09 22:14:54	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0xb13338…
08-09 22:01:21	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0xd65dfb…
08-09 21:47:33	will kai or speed die to a ghast 20260806175301189	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xba1a02…
08-09 21:47:33	will kai or speed die to a ghast 20260806175301189	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x762433…
08-09 20:52:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	14	25¢	$3	0x7f84da…
08-09 20:20:58	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by december 31	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x4a04e5…
08-09 20:19:46	will kai or speed die to a blaze 20260806175301188	No	BUY	13	26¢	$3	0xfaf4e0…
08-09 18:43:13	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by august 31 20260729184249668	Yes	SELL	18	0¢	$0	0xde4254…
08-09 18:31:15	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	17	20¢	$3	0x39b6e5…
08-09 18:18:25	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742051	Yes	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0xadf3e6…
08-09 17:01:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0x19f861…
08-09 16:45:27	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	Yes	BUY	14	25¢	$3	0x3632d0…
08-09 15:30:15	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 18 20260808192512602	Yes	BUY	17	20¢	$3	0x3bf708…
08-09 15:27:42	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0xb7039f…
08-09 15:16:49	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x5f6fd1…
08-09 14:28:01	plby quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 10 2026 0	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x543427…
08-09 14:19:45	moscow air traffic suspended by august 31 20260720155944305	No	SELL	99	31¢	$31	0x227732…
08-09 14:02:45	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x12ba87…
08-09 13:07:12	moscow air traffic suspended by august 31 20260720155944305	No	BUY	99	3¢	$3	0xdd3100…
08-09 10:02:03	will antonio guterres visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126058	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x8a51f2…
08-09 08:53:37	will iran target a arab country on august 13 2026 20260801004719130	Yes	BUY	31	10¢	$3	0xeae373…
08-09 08:49:28	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x666c3b…
08-09 08:45:12	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x3369b7…
08-09 06:55:34	israeli forces enter tyre by august 31	Yes	BUY	63	5¢	$3	0xafefae…
08-09 06:11:55	will iran target a arab country on august 10 2026 20260801004719127	Yes	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0xff2165…
08-09 05:04:46	will helaena targaryen die in the house of the dragon season 3 finale 20260807034401070	No	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0xb24844…
08-09 05:00:30	will super troopers 3 score at least 40 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260805173728417	No	BUY	154	2¢	$3	0x0ddf82…
08-09 04:48:57	russia strikes another vessel in the black sea by august 15 2026 20260805160021492	No	BUY	161	2¢	$3	0xe8c12a…
08-09 04:26:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x1daa11…
08-09 03:50:27	iran successfully targets shipping by september 30 2026	No	BUY	101	3¢	$3	0x9bdac2…
08-09 03:40:13	will peace be in the headlines this week 20260731155626122	Yes	BUY	24	2¢	$0	0x569c59…
08-09 03:36:48	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x9ca52a…
08-09 02:28:10	will kai or speed be eliminated by lava 20260807142948639	No	BUY	109	3¢	$3	0x44317d…
08-08 23:55:46	will russia capture mala tokmachka by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0xa10f7e…
08-08 22:45:01	will ariana grandes monthly listeners figure hit 110m by august 31 20260804004427306	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0x70f2f6…
08-08 22:45:01	will ariana grandes monthly listeners figure hit 110m by august 31 20260804004427306	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x12897e…
08-08 22:38:24	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by september 30 20260806194218452	Yes	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x80f2fe…
08-08 22:35:28	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x24902a…
08-08 20:54:33	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by september 30 20260728195821515	Yes	SELL	13	16¢	$2	0x855c83…
08-08 20:52:06	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	Yes	BUY	33	10¢	$3	0x76689d…
08-08 20:31:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	13	26¢	$3	0xcd5a97…
08-08 20:24:52	will russia capture svitle by august 31 20260805161409630	Yes	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0x7946fe…
08-08 19:32:57	will tony score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260806170107432	No	BUY	13	27¢	$3	0xa7b924…
08-08 16:56:37	will rio ferdinand attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806201203759	Yes	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0x7f19d6…
08-08 16:50:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	14	25¢	$4	0x49cc95…
08-08 16:39:09	will rio ferdinand attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806201203759	Yes	SELL	11	54¢	$6	0x59eded…
08-08 16:00:24	will mrbeast say sponsor or sponsored or sponsoring during his next youtube video 20260729175711693	Yes	BUY	53	3¢	$2	0x550182…
08-08 16:00:21	will mrbeast say sponsor or sponsored or sponsoring during his next youtube video 20260729175711693	Yes	BUY	45	3¢	$1	0x37bdf0…
08-08 15:57:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	13	26¢	$3	0x8dca42…
08-08 15:51:48	will mrbeast say chandler during his next youtube video 20260729175811873	Yes	BUY	37	8¢	$3	0x900b16…
08-08 15:36:37	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0xa3408a…
08-08 15:10:19	will kai or speed die to a creeper 20260806175301183	No	BUY	31	11¢	$3	0x0761ba…
08-08 14:54:52	foreign intervention in gaza by september 30	Yes	SELL	18	14¢	$3	0x2b592b…
08-08 14:44:43	will mrbeast say feastables during his next youtube video 20260729175811872	No	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xc1366c…
08-08 13:43:21	situational awareness anthropic sale confirmed by august 31 20260730182057663	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xaf38cb…
08-08 13:18:36	iran successfully targets shipping by august 16 2026	No	BUY	17	20¢	$3	0xbb3a11…
08-08 13:16:04	iran successfully targets shipping by august 31 2026	No	BUY	17	20¢	$3	0xa33af2…
08-08 13:10:45	iran successfully targets shipping by august 9 2026	Yes	SELL	13	54¢	$7	0xa94e9d…
08-08 13:05:34	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	Yes	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x886cda…
08-08 12:57:04	will ariana grandes monthly listeners figure hit 100m by august 31 20260804004427308	No	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0xbd64cb…
08-08 12:57:04	will ariana grandes monthly listeners figure hit 100m by august 31 20260804004427308	No	BUY	19	11¢	$2	0x222fa1…
08-08 12:57:03	will ariana grandes monthly listeners figure hit 100m by august 31 20260804004427308	No	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0xd5bccd…
08-08 12:32:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0xd56598…
08-08 12:23:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	15	24¢	$3	0x735a72…
08-08 11:52:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xbc0d0e…
08-08 11:42:03	will oregon reach d4 exceptional drought by august 31 2026 20260721193813646	No	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0x5b2361…
08-08 11:19:55	will rio ferdinand attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806201203759	Yes	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0x5b4562…
08-08 11:10:12	will oregon reach d4 exceptional drought by august 31 2026 20260721193813646	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x92d3b5…
08-08 10:56:03	will rio ferdinand attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806201203759	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x3a757d…
08-08 10:48:00	will joao felix attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803204947260	Yes	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0x996e05…
08-08 10:25:48	will joao felix attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803204947260	Yes	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x85232d…