Pertinent-Vengeance 0x0275ac…22b936
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Realized P&L
+$4
Unrealized P&L
+$12
Hit rate
78.5%
Resolved
52
Trades
31,462
lifetime
Volume
$42.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$11
28 positions
First seen
2026-02-06
last 06-30 12:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
58% 43% $-2
Politics
31% 68% +$6
Crypto
8% — —
Tech
2% — —
Sports
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 763 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes -11 $-2 34¢ $-4 $-1 06-15 20:07
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +11 $2 21¢ $2 +$0 06-30 10:03
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? No +36 $3 5¢ $2 $-2 06-25 23:32
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes +61 $3 1¢ $1 $-2 06-27 21:31
Rippling IPO before 2027? Yes -5 $-1 12¢ $-1 +$0 06-16 06:38
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? Yes -3 $-0 15¢ $-0 $-0 06-16 06:37
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? No -3 $0 11¢ $-0 $-0 06-16 06:34
Stripe IPO before 2027? Yes -4 $-0 6¢ $-0 +$0 06-16 06:38
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? Yes -2 $-0 10¢ $-0 +$0 06-16 06:38
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes -19 $-9 1¢ $-0 +$9 06-18 22:13
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No -3 $-0 6¢ $-0 +$0 06-16 06:37
Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes -2 $-0 6¢ $-0 $-0 06-16 06:37
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? Yes -2 $-0 6¢ $-0 +$0 06-16 06:37
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026? Yes +4 $0 3¢ $0 $-0 06-23 16:53
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? Yes -4 $-2 2¢ $-0 +$2 06-19 18:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -7 $-4 0¢ $-0 +$4 06-15 04:16
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO? No +35 $3 0¢ $0 $-3 06-30 14:19
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -17 $-6 0¢ $-0 +$6 06-17 07:22
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? No +17 $-4 0¢ $0 +$4 06-27 20:02
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June? Yes +16 $4 0¢ $0 $-4 06-18 12:15
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes -15 $-1 0¢ $-0 +$1 06-18 22:04
Epstein client list released by June 30? Yes -3 $-0 1¢ $-0 +$0 06-16 06:37
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +14 $2 0¢ $0 $-2 06-11 12:24
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes -6 $-2 0¢ $-0 +$2 06-23 21:01
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? Yes +8 $2 0¢ $0 $-2 06-11 11:53
Iran leadership change by June 30? Yes -3 $-0 0¢ $-0 +$0 06-16 06:37
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +2 $-1 0¢ $0 +$1 06-20 14:13
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? Yes -0 $1 0¢ $-0 $-1 06-15 17:46