Realized P&L
+$36.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.28K
Hit rate
33.2%
Resolved
2,575
Trades
8,946
lifetime
Volume
$267.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$3.11K
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-14 12:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 173 days
Categories
Other
60%
17%
+$13,237
Politics
24%
26%
+$21,992
Crypto
7%
16%
+$4,101
Sports
6%
17%
+$2,477
Tech
3%
10%
-$3,888
Pop-Culture
0%
38%
-$1,023
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-14).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | +1,332 | $200 | 84¢ | $1.1K | +$926 | 06-30 14:55 | |
| will lebanon recognize israel by december 31 | No | +1,052 | $200 | 92¢ | $968 | +$768 | 06-27 23:40 | |
| nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512 | No | +1,000 | $200 | 92¢ | $920 | +$720 | 07-07 13:25 | |
| will ansem flip pump by december 31 2026 20260702152126830 | Yes | +1,499 | $180 | 5¢ | $77 | -$103 | 07-04 19:38 | |
| nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512 | Yes | +273 | $49 | 8¢ | $22 | -$27 | 07-07 13:14 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale? | 3 | $2.5K | 3,872 | 0 | +3,872 | Yes | -$91 | 01-11 16:45 |
| elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 40 64 | 5 | $2.0K | 1,740 | 1,740 | +0 | No | +$1,482 | 03-04 17:08 |
| us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026 | 5 | $1.7K | 2,320 | 1,680 | +639 | No | +$1,152 | 04-21 00:10 |
| lol jdg blg 2026 03 04 | 1 | $1.7K | 2,778 | 0 | +2,778 | Bilibili Gaming | +$1,114 | 03-04 10:16 |
| will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771 | 9 | $1.5K | 3,257 | 3,071 | +187 | No | +$971 | 03-01 17:41 |
| will usdai launch a token by march 31 | 3 | $1.5K | 1,194 | 1,194 | +0 | No | +$891 | 04-01 05:49 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | 4 | $1.5K | 2,660 | 2,660 | +0 | Yes | +$843 | 03-05 04:57 |
| trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026 | 38 | $1.4K | 1,152 | 1,152 | +0 | No | +$772 | 04-13 22:14 |
| will sarah knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election | 3 | $1.4K | 1,316 | 1,128 | +189 | No | +$977 | 03-18 03:19 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | 11 | $1.3K | 2,500 | 2,500 | +0 | No | +$705 | 04-07 09:32 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552 | 3 | $1.2K | 3,522 | 3,522 | +0 | No | +$300 | 03-23 12:06 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | 2 | $1.1K | 1,058 | 1,058 | +0 | No | +$802 | 03-04 05:17 |
| will han duck soo be sentenced to 1520 years in prison | 2 | $1.1K | 930 | 930 | +0 | No | +$769 | 01-21 06:06 |
| will the government shutdown last 1 day or more 842 | 5 | $1.1K | 1,454 | 1,454 | +0 | Yes | +$738 | 01-30 08:34 |
| will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota | 1 | $959 | 0 | 1,230 | -1,230 | No | -$271 | 01-01 15:25 |
| will qatar strike iran by march 31 | 7 | $958 | 2,079 | 2,079 | +0 | No | +$414 | 03-03 16:46 |
| us forces enter iran by march 14 337 | 8 | $918 | 1,008 | 1,008 | +0 | No | +$596 | 03-05 10:32 |
| us strikes iraq by february 28 | 8 | $913 | 992 | 992 | +0 | Yes | +$594 | 03-03 16:52 |
| us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913 | 2 | $902 | 940 | 940 | +0 | No | +$583 | 01-14 23:23 |
| ethereum up or down on april 21 2026 | 12 | $899 | 5,746 | 0 | +5,746 | Up | +$2,973 | 04-21 16:00 |
| will the us strike syria next 492 | 13 | $883 | 2,186 | 2,186 | +0 | No | +$244 | 01-17 20:42 |
| us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612 | 4 | $879 | 1,142 | 1,142 | +0 | No | +$560 | 01-14 23:23 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? | 3 | $849 | 1,466 | 1,429 | +37 | $80k | +$410 | 03-13 19:44 |
| will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314 | 2 | $845 | 940 | 940 | +0 | Yes | +$525 | 01-17 20:58 |
| internet access restored in iran by friday | 2 | $843 | 686 | 686 | +0 | No | +$523 | 01-17 05:00 |
| will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31 | 8 | $826 | 1,046 | 1,046 | +0 | No | +$387 | 03-14 05:11 |
| will andr ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election | 2 | $824 | 1,230 | 1,230 | +0 | No | +$504 | 01-16 18:23 |
| si hit 100 high jan 2026 422 587 453 | 2 | $811 | 784 | 784 | +0 | Yes | +$491 | 01-23 08:25 |
| us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498 | 2 | $805 | 1,142 | 1,142 | +0 | No | +$486 | 01-14 23:23 |
| will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276 | 5 | $805 | 1,365 | 788 | +578 | Yes | +$586 | 03-01 18:08 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||