Realized P&L
-$22.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$175
Hit rate
63.2%
Resolved
6,412
Trades
125,983
lifetime
Volume
$3.08M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$2.80K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 06:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 285 days
Categories
Other
64% 38% -$25,352
Sports
16% 41% -$1,996
Politics
13% 45% +$4,507
Crypto
5% 36% -$272
Tech
2% 44% +$958
Pop-Culture
0% 25% -$155
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 438 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? Yes -908 -$531 57¢ $-517 +$14 10-27 05:04
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? No -407 -$322 99¢ $-402 -$80 05-04 09:39
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -333 -$535 97¢ $-321 +$213 08-20 19:37
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No -253 -$245 99¢ $-250 -$5 08-03 21:49
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? No +194 $183 95¢ $183 +$1 10-25 02:30
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? No -147 -$146 98¢ $-144 +$2 05-27 07:58
Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No -176 -$166 78¢ $-138 +$28 05-14 19:59
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes -771 -$99 13¢ $-103 -$4 07-19 22:56
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? No -298 -$53 32¢ $-95 -$42 05-05 19:39
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M? Yes +100 $90 91¢ $91 +$1 10-24 18:38
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? Yes +300 $183 26¢ $80 -$104 09-15 23:37
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes -300 -$146 26¢ $-76 +$70 10-20 06:26
Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +67 $64 100¢ $67 +$3 08-23 12:16
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +300 $2 16¢ $46 +$44 10-24 19:35
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +243 $31 14¢ $34 +$3 10-21 15:29
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? No -33 -$14 97¢ $-32 -$18 04-28 20:12
Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? Yes +300 $39 11¢ $32 -$7 10-03 19:29
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes -242 -$78 11¢ $-27 +$51 09-08 10:58
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30? Yes +300 $24 8¢ $25 +$1 10-26 01:34
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? Yes +253 $20 9¢ $23 +$3 10-09 07:25
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes -535 -$21 3¢ $-18 +$3 06-26 06:55
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No -17 -$17 98¢ $-17 $0 08-30 03:18
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? Yes +19 $1 72¢ $14 +$13 10-21 02:31
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +79 $17 16¢ $13 -$4 08-27 19:44
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? No +28 $12 43¢ $12 +$1 10-08 01:56
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +299 -$3 4¢ $12 +$15 10-20 12:45
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes -173 -$77 6¢ $-11 +$66 10-21 07:51
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 Yes +59 $49 12¢ $7 -$42 09-18 21:33
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes +299 $7 2¢ $6 $0 05-19 19:44
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? Yes +288 $54 1¢ $4 -$50 10-20 11:33