Realized P&L
-$130
Unrealized P&L
+$310
Hit rate
63.8%
Resolved
191
Trades
85,365
lifetime
Volume
$2.10M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$1.13K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 06:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Other
58% 38% +$90
Sports
17% 38% $-214
Politics
17% 0% $-1
Crypto
7% 0% $-4
Tech
2%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1270 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes -644 $-481 75¢ $-483 $-2 06-07 11:21
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? Yes +161 $158 98¢ $159 +$1 06-06 10:58
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +624 $173 25¢ $156 $-17 06-10 02:50
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +143 $67 94¢ $134 +$67 06-09 05:48
Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch? Yes -130 $-82 56¢ $-73 +$9 06-07 23:57
Will Mathilde Panot announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? No +81 $-144 80¢ $65 +$208 06-10 06:30
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +299 $25 $19 $-6 06-08 00:59
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes -299 $-24 $-16 +$7 06-04 14:53
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30? Yes +233 $19 $11 $-9 06-09 15:43
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? Yes -41 $-19 24¢ $-10 +$8 06-02 05:17
Over $1B crypto hack value in 2026? Yes +4 $3 94¢ $4 +$0 06-03 12:59
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? Yes -9 $-5 39¢ $-4 +$2 05-28 05:59
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30? Yes -42 $-3 $-1 +$3 05-28 07:52
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +1 $-14 78¢ $0 +$14 06-04 15:26
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? No -9 $-16 $-0 +$16 06-10 07:01
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? Yes +0 $-4 $0 +$4 06-07 21:35
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes +0 $-3 22¢ $0 +$3 05-31 20:00