Roasted-Dare 0xe41e13…9b5aa1
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$14
Unrealized P&L
+$98
Hit rate
62.3%
Resolved
63
Trades
188
lifetime
Volume
$2.52K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$676
15 positions
First seen
2026-03-06
last 10-26 17:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 38 days
Categories
Other
52% 59% +$67
Politics
45% 42% -$28
Tech
2% 50% -$24
Crypto
1% 38% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +347 $300 84¢ $291 -$9 10-12 23:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? No +70 $54 100¢ $70 +$16 10-13 01:02
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +70 $26 92¢ $64 +$38 05-21 16:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? No +65 $50 88¢ $57 +$7 10-14 00:42
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +320 $58 16¢ $50 -$8 10-16 11:44
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +50 $25 94¢ $47 +$22 05-24 00:58
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +50 $22 72¢ $36 +$14 06-05 01:14
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +30 $20 70¢ $21 +$2 09-24 11:38
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +20 $15 80¢ $16 +$1 10-16 03:43
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -12 -$10 97¢ $-12 -$2 05-08 17:18
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -50 -$12 16¢ $-8 +$4 05-24 04:05
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +90 $1 3¢ $3 +$1 10-15 14:39
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -62 -$16 2¢ $-1 +$14 05-03 15:03
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -700 -$3 0¢ $-1 +$2 09-18 08:37
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $5 6¢ $1 -$4 05-23 22:13