Will Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
open
Total volume
$187
Trades
39
Unique wallets
13
Liquidity
$362
Latest YES mid
54¢
Latest NO mid
46¢
End date
2027-04-23
First seen
2026-06-25
last 08-09 13:48
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $3 | $17 | $14 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $35 | $36 | $1 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $35 | — | +$35 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $3 | $17 | $15 |
| Median | 1 | $29 | — | +$29 |
| Below median | 3 | — | $36 | $36 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 6 | $41 | — | +$41 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +68 | $17 | $17 | 7 | 08-09 13:48 |
| Key-Jogging 0x0a87…3e26 | Yes | +40 | $29 | $29 | 4 | 07-17 16:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x95b7…c651 | Yes | +28 | $20 | $20 | 3 | 08-09 13:48 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +11 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-13 11:50 |
| Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | +10 | $8 | $45 | 4 | 07-29 17:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-10 21:15 |
| Noisy-Tog 0x3395…8cd2 | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-20 06:06 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | +4 | $-0 | $4 | 2 | 07-18 11:56 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 13:48:30 | (anonymous) 0x95b7…c651 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 70¢ | $4 | 0xc634b2… |
| 08-09 13:48:30 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 6 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xc634b2… |
| 07-29 17:29:51 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | SELL | 20 | 49¢ | $10 | 0x6131a0… |
| 07-29 17:29:51 | Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 51¢ | $10 | 0x6131a0… |
| 07-20 06:06:37 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xb3f399… |
| 07-20 06:06:37 | Noisy-Tog 0x3395…8cd2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0xb3f399… |
| 07-18 11:56:40 | Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 47¢ | $6 | 0xde16ec… |
| 07-18 11:56:40 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 46¢ | $2 | 0xde16ec… |
| 07-18 11:56:40 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | SELL | 7 | 48¢ | $3 | 0xde16ec… |
| 07-18 11:56:21 | Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 46¢ | $2 | 0xbe8bf7… |
| 07-18 11:56:21 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | SELL | 5 | 46¢ | $2 | 0xbe8bf7… |
| 07-17 22:27:16 | (anonymous) 0x95b7…c651 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 63¢ | $1 | 0xba9f1a… |
| 07-17 22:27:16 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | SELL | 2 | 63¢ | $1 | 0xba9f1a… |
| 07-17 16:17:36 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | BUY | 15 | 42¢ | $6 | 0xcc6e87… |
| 07-17 16:17:36 | Key-Jogging 0x0a87…3e26 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xcc6e87… |
| 07-17 16:17:36 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | BUY | 20 | 56¢ | $11 | 0xcc6e87… |
| 07-17 00:36:34 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0xd0bd11… |
| 07-17 00:36:34 | Key-Jogging 0x0a87…3e26 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0xd0bd11… |
| 07-17 00:26:34 | Key-Jogging 0x0a87…3e26 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0xb5c142… |
| 07-17 00:26:34 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xb5c142… |
| 07-16 23:42:47 | Key-Jogging 0x0a87…3e26 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 80¢ | $20 | 0xc35ad6… |
| 07-16 23:42:47 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 25 | 20¢ | $5 | 0xc35ad6… |
| 07-16 16:53:08 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x2f36dc… |
| 07-16 16:53:08 | (anonymous) 0x95b7…c651 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 75¢ | $15 | 0x2f36dc… |
| 07-16 16:51:43 | (anonymous) 0x95b7…c651 | No | SELL | 2 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x8bd6b3… |
| 07-16 16:51:43 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 2 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x8bd6b3… |
| 07-13 11:50:29 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x5013e2… |
| 07-13 11:50:29 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | BUY | 20 | 77¢ | $16 | 0x5013e2… |
| 07-13 11:50:29 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 23¢ | $3 | 0x5013e2… |
| 07-10 21:15:56 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | BUY | 6 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x42d7d9… |
| 07-10 21:15:56 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x42d7d9… |
| 07-03 16:26:40 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 6 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xfef76c… |
| 07-03 16:26:40 | (anonymous) 0x023d…3431 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xfef76c… |
| 07-03 16:26:05 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0x5b0345… |
| 07-03 16:26:05 | (anonymous) 0x023d…3431 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x5b0345… |
| 06-28 18:17:16 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | SELL | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0x438b9f… |
| 06-28 18:17:16 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0x438b9f… |
| 06-25 03:15:20 | Carefree-Path 0x5314…5db9 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 31¢ | $5 | 0xe56cd8… |
| 06-25 03:15:20 | (anonymous) 0x023d…3431 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 31¢ | $5 | 0xe56cd8… |