Will Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
open
Total volume
$2,896
$125 in 24h
Trades
256
Unique wallets
60
Liquidity
$143
End date
2027-04-18
First seen
2026-05-22
last 10-25 11:34
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-10.8¢
(top1%: 36% YES on $105
vs crowd: 47% YES on $2.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $248 | $380 | $133 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $182 | $17 | +$164 |
| 🐟 Fish | 25 | $394 | $344 | +$50 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 15 | $142 | $355 | $213 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $38 | $67 | $29 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $316 | $199 | +$117 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $11 | $246 | $235 |
| Median | 8 | $94 | $80 | +$13 |
| Below median | 9 | $85 | $64 | +$21 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $42 | $22 | +$21 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 10 | $116 | $66 | +$51 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 9 | $263 | $318 | $55 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $35 | $35 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +713 | $181 | $181 | 24 | 10-25 09:45 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +431 | $197 | $197 | 20 | 10-14 17:00 |
| Roasted-Dare 0xe41e…5aa1 | Yes | +205 | $89 | $89 | 7 | 10-21 21:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x78bc…2585 | Yes | +155 | $78 | $78 | 1 | 10-02 21:10 |
| Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | No | +152 | $120 | $200 | 5 | 10-21 17:16 |
| 0x992582b6e2b75b1cb17fcb150e912b9a402bbaa3 0x9925…baa3 | No | +145 | $118 | $118 | 4 | 10-25 11:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xdc4b…b8af | No | +132 | $114 | $114 | 3 | 10-23 23:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x01ee…b9df | No | +100 | $41 | $41 | 4 | 08-24 11:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x1df1…1751 | No | +50 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 10-24 04:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x3ad0…2bb5 | No | +45 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 10-20 07:28 |
| Tense-Precedent 0xfb51…742d | No | +40 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 08-26 00:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x95b7…c651 | Yes | +28 | $20 | $20 | 3 | 08-09 13:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | +25 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 10-24 04:31 |
| Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | +20 | $16 | $53 | 6 | 07-29 17:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xa68b…c4b4 | Yes | +20 | $12 | $28 | 2 | 08-30 18:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | +20 | $9 | $72 | 6 | 10-04 21:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e6a…a294 | No | +17 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 09-20 19:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | +13 | $0 | $31 | 13 | 10-25 11:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x28a6…d399 | Yes | +13 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-25 11:34 |
| Orderly-Dentist 0xe4ca…1383 | Yes | +7 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 08-18 16:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-10 21:15 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-27 13:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xc946…e48e | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-16 15:33 |
| Fuzzy-Draft 0xfe93…8d0e | Yes | +4 | $1 | $12 | 2 | 09-13 22:14 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | +4 | -$3 | $23 | 8 | 09-02 05:22 |
| Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | No | +3 | -$5 | $15 | 2 | 09-22 05:24 |
| Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | Yes | +3 | $0 | $20 | 4 | 07-29 17:29 |
| Sunny-Hype 0x4247…455f | No | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-12 22:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x635f…65ae | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 09-08 13:59 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | +2 | $2 | $67 | 6 | 10-02 21:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xced9…4e81 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-18 08:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xf151…2d0c | Yes | +1 | -$1 | $11 | 7 | 10-25 09:45 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 11:34:53 | (anonymous) 0x28a6…d399 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 30¢ | $4 | 0x251b3d… |
| 10-25 11:34:53 | 0x992582b6e2b75b1cb17fcb150e912b9a402bbaa3 0x9925…baa3 | No | BUY | 47 | 75¢ | $35 | 0x251b3d… |
| 10-25 11:34:53 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x251b3d… |
| 10-25 11:34:53 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 21 | 71¢ | $15 | 0x251b3d… |
| 10-25 09:45:39 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 77 | 15¢ | $12 | 0x4a9543… |
| 10-25 09:45:39 | (anonymous) 0xf151…2d0c | Yes | SELL | 12 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x4a9543… |
| 10-25 09:45:39 | (anonymous) 0x1df1…1751 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 15¢ | $8 | 0x4a9543… |
| 10-24 04:31:54 | (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xbe9e97… |
| 10-24 04:31:54 | (anonymous) 0xf151…2d0c | Yes | BUY | 28 | 12¢ | $3 | 0xbe9e97… |
| 10-24 04:31:54 | (anonymous) 0x1df1…1751 | No | BUY | 50 | 88¢ | $44 | 0xbe9e97… |
| 10-24 04:31:54 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 18 | 88¢ | $15 | 0xbe9e97… |
| 10-23 23:36:00 | (anonymous) 0x9feb…bbc3 | No | SELL | 42 | 84¢ | $36 | 0xb4fcf1… |
| 10-23 23:36:00 | (anonymous) 0xdc4b…b8af | No | BUY | 42 | 84¢ | $36 | 0xb4fcf1… |
| 10-23 23:35:41 | (anonymous) 0xf151…2d0c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x78bf2e… |
| 10-23 23:35:41 | (anonymous) 0x9feb…bbc3 | No | SELL | 13 | 85¢ | $11 | 0x78bf2e… |
| 10-23 13:35:38 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 42 | 88¢ | $37 | 0x963aec… |
| 10-23 13:35:38 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 42 | 12¢ | $5 | 0x963aec… |
| 10-23 06:48:06 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x13a224… |
| 10-23 06:48:06 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x13a224… |
| 10-23 06:48:06 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x13a224… |
| 10-22 19:35:26 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 12¢ | $7 | 0x8dccfa… |
| 10-22 19:35:26 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 60 | 88¢ | $53 | 0x8dccfa… |
| 10-22 06:10:43 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x6a70ed… |
| 10-22 06:10:43 | (anonymous) 0xdc4b…b8af | No | BUY | 77 | 88¢ | $67 | 0x6a70ed… |
| 10-22 06:10:43 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 12¢ | $7 | 0x6a70ed… |
| 10-22 06:10:28 | (anonymous) 0xdc4b…b8af | No | BUY | 13 | 87¢ | $11 | 0x8cba0b… |
| 10-22 06:10:28 | (anonymous) 0xf151…2d0c | Yes | BUY | 13 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x8cba0b… |
| 10-22 05:11:17 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xefadd2… |
| 10-22 05:11:17 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xefadd2… |
| 10-22 04:08:33 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 16¢ | $5 | 0x43214d… |
| 10-22 04:08:33 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 16¢ | $5 | 0x43214d… |
| 10-21 21:10:02 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x6115cc… |
| 10-21 21:10:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x6115cc… |
| 10-21 21:10:02 | 0x992582b6e2b75b1cb17fcb150e912b9a402bbaa3 0x9925…baa3 | No | BUY | 71 | 88¢ | $63 | 0x6115cc… |
| 10-21 21:10:02 | Roasted-Dare 0xe41e…5aa1 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x6115cc… |
| 10-21 17:16:11 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 21¢ | $6 | 0xd18552… |
| 10-21 17:16:11 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 21 | 78¢ | $16 | 0xd18552… |
| 10-21 17:16:11 | Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | No | SELL | 51 | 79¢ | $40 | 0xd18552… |
| 10-20 07:28:26 | (anonymous) 0x3ad0…2bb5 | No | BUY | 45 | 78¢ | $35 | 0x67fa65… |
| 10-20 07:28:26 | (anonymous) 0x1df1…1751 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 22¢ | $10 | 0x67fa65… |
| 10-19 08:34:02 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xbab640… |
| 10-19 08:34:02 | (anonymous) 0x1df1…1751 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xbab640… |
| 10-19 04:44:06 | (anonymous) 0x1df1…1751 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xda46a4… |
| 10-19 04:44:06 | Scrawny-Reporter 0xa33d…3ef2 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xda46a4… |
| 10-18 08:22:26 | (anonymous) 0x1df1…1751 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 22¢ | $0 | 0x69ace6… |
| 10-18 08:22:26 | (anonymous) 0xced9…4e81 | No | BUY | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0x69ace6… |
| 10-16 15:33:57 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xcbb636… |
| 10-16 15:33:57 | (anonymous) 0xc946…e48e | No | BUY | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0xcbb636… |
| 10-15 19:56:23 | Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | No | BUY | 27 | 75¢ | $20 | 0xafa4b5… |
| 10-15 19:56:23 | Roasted-Dare 0xe41e…5aa1 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 25¢ | $7 | 0xafa4b5… |
| 10-15 19:56:14 | Roasted-Dare 0xe41e…5aa1 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 25¢ | $7 | 0xae083e… |
| 10-15 19:56:14 | Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | No | BUY | 27 | 75¢ | $20 | 0xae083e… |
| 10-15 19:56:10 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x977c84… |
| 10-15 19:56:10 | (anonymous) 0x460b…9894 | No | SELL | 8 | 73¢ | $6 | 0x977c84… |
| 10-15 19:56:10 | Roasted-Dare 0xe41e…5aa1 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 25¢ | $3 | 0x977c84… |
| 10-15 19:56:10 | Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | No | BUY | 27 | 74¢ | $20 | 0x977c84… |
| 10-14 17:01:03 | (anonymous) 0x460b…9894 | No | SELL | 7 | 74¢ | $5 | 0x7ed9c1… |
| 10-14 17:01:03 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 13 | 74¢ | $10 | 0x7ed9c1… |
| 10-14 17:01:03 | 0x992582b6e2b75b1cb17fcb150e912b9a402bbaa3 0x9925…baa3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0x7ed9c1… |
| 10-14 17:00:40 | 0x992582b6e2b75b1cb17fcb150e912b9a402bbaa3 0x9925…baa3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0xdf77dc… |
| 10-14 17:00:40 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0xdf77dc… |
| 10-13 00:39:23 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 67 | 40¢ | $27 | 0xf4e141… |
| 10-13 00:39:23 | Roasted-Dare 0xe41e…5aa1 | Yes | BUY | 67 | 60¢ | $40 | 0xf4e141… |
| 10-12 22:55:20 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 13 | 25¢ | $3 | 0x3b969f… |
| 10-12 22:55:20 | Roasted-Dare 0xe41e…5aa1 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 75¢ | $10 | 0x3b969f… |
| 10-12 22:53:35 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 69¢ | $5 | 0x6e0c26… |
| 10-12 22:53:35 | Sunny-Hype 0x4247…455f | No | BUY | 3 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x6e0c26… |
| 10-12 22:53:35 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 47¢ | $5 | 0x6e0c26… |
| 10-12 22:53:35 | Roasted-Dare 0xe41e…5aa1 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 56¢ | $20 | 0x6e0c26… |
| 10-12 22:53:35 | (anonymous) 0x460b…9894 | No | BUY | 15 | 48¢ | $7 | 0x6e0c26… |
| 10-12 22:53:35 | Key-Jogging 0x0a87…3e26 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 55¢ | $0 | 0x6e0c26… |
| 10-12 10:10:08 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 24¢ | $7 | 0x299950… |
| 10-12 10:10:08 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 75 | 24¢ | $18 | 0x299950… |
| 10-12 10:10:08 | (anonymous) 0x2ccf…5f6a | Yes | SELL | 47 | 24¢ | $11 | 0x299950… |
| 10-12 08:37:55 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 22¢ | $7 | 0x81023d… |
| 10-12 08:37:55 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x81023d… |
| 10-12 08:37:55 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x81023d… |
| 10-12 08:37:55 | Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | No | BUY | 123 | 81¢ | $100 | 0x81023d… |
| 10-12 08:37:55 | (anonymous) 0x2ccf…5f6a | Yes | BUY | 47 | 15¢ | $7 | 0x81023d… |
| 10-12 08:37:55 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 22¢ | $6 | 0x81023d… |
| 10-11 13:35:30 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x35a0d4… |
| 10-11 13:35:30 | 0x992582b6e2b75b1cb17fcb150e912b9a402bbaa3 0x9925…baa3 | No | BUY | 20 | 75¢ | $15 | 0x35a0d4… |
| 10-11 10:55:00 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x73a7eb… |
| 10-11 10:55:00 | 0x992582b6e2b75b1cb17fcb150e912b9a402bbaa3 0x9925…baa3 | No | BUY | 7 | 75¢ | $5 | 0x73a7eb… |
| 10-10 01:08:55 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 29¢ | $12 | 0x7dad7f… |
| 10-10 01:08:55 | (anonymous) 0x41e6…66b7 | Yes | SELL | 41 | 29¢ | $12 | 0x7dad7f… |
| 10-09 06:38:27 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 55 | 66¢ | $36 | 0xd8be5f… |
| 10-09 06:38:27 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 55 | 66¢ | $36 | 0xd8be5f… |
| 10-08 00:10:38 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 6 | 60¢ | $4 | 0x6a13c5… |
| 10-08 00:10:38 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 6 | 60¢ | $4 | 0x6a13c5… |
| 10-07 08:22:12 | (anonymous) 0x7290…1ecd | No | SELL | 50 | 58¢ | $29 | 0x75e199… |
| 10-07 08:22:12 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 50 | 58¢ | $29 | 0x75e199… |
| 10-07 08:09:08 | (anonymous) 0x7290…1ecd | No | BUY | 50 | 78¢ | $39 | 0x54c12c… |
| 10-07 08:09:08 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 22¢ | $11 | 0x54c12c… |
| 10-07 05:13:20 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x2ba12f… |
| 10-07 05:13:20 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 6 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x2ba12f… |
| 10-07 04:42:54 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 55 | 77¢ | $42 | 0xd6c6c9… |
| 10-07 04:42:54 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 23¢ | $12 | 0xd6c6c9… |
| 10-07 04:42:54 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xd6c6c9… |
| 10-07 04:42:54 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 113 | 23¢ | $26 | 0xd6c6c9… |