Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
+$43
Hit rate
24.5%
Resolved
7
Trades
4,459
lifetime
Volume
$2.06K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$108
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-21
last 10-31 06:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
54% 0% -$6
Politics
27% — —
Sports
9% 50% +$1
Crypto
8% 100% +$0
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 402 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +556 -$3 1¢ $8 +$10 10-31 07:51
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027? Yes +1,268 $2 0¢ $6 +$3 10-30 22:01
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? No +6 $5 96¢ $6 +$1 10-23 22:52
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +7 $5 82¢ $6 +$1 10-29 04:37
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? No +6 $5 87¢ $5 +$0 10-29 17:54
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +6 $5 88¢ $5 +$0 10-26 09:32
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +328 $3 2¢ $5 +$2 10-30 19:12
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? Yes +142 $3 4¢ $5 +$2 10-31 03:33
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027? Yes +596 -$5 1¢ $4 +$10 10-29 09:00
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes +11 $5 40¢ $4 $0 10-31 00:26
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? No +9 $3 49¢ $4 +$1 10-29 17:41
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? No +7 $4 58¢ $4 $0 10-27 14:58
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? Yes +159 $1 2¢ $4 +$2 10-30 21:56
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? Yes +270 -$1 1¢ $4 +$5 10-29 17:44
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes +34 $3 10¢ $3 +$0 10-30 19:28
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? Yes +21 $3 15¢ $3 +$0 10-24 10:14
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +574 $1 1¢ $3 +$2 10-31 07:51
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +676 $3 0¢ $3 +$0 10-30 19:16
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +81 $2 4¢ $3 +$1 10-31 05:05
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +844 $2 0¢ $3 +$1 10-30 07:19
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +164 $3 2¢ $3 +$0 10-30 22:17
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? Yes +1,021 $3 0¢ $3 -$1 10-29 14:00
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes +52 $2 4¢ $2 +$0 10-30 17:01
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +923 $3 0¢ $2 -$1 10-31 06:57
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +85 $1 2¢ $2 +$1 10-31 03:49
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? Yes +44 $1 4¢ $2 +$0 10-31 00:58
China coup attempt before 2027? Yes +64 $2 3¢ $2 -$1 10-27 09:45
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? Yes +24 $1 7¢ $2 +$0 10-31 01:48
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? No +42 $0 4¢ $2 +$1 10-31 01:14
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? Yes +47 $1 3¢ $1 +$0 10-28 00:12