RFK Jr. Out by December 31?
open
Total volume
$4,895
$34 in 24h
Trades
420
Unique wallets
83
Liquidity
$4,407
Latest YES mid
34¢
Latest NO mid
66¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-24 18:04
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+33.8¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $34
vs crowd: 66% YES on $2.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $422 | $334 | +$87 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 16 | $518 | $319 | +$199 |
| 🐟 Fish | 22 | $99 | $174 | $75 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 36 | $819 | $123 | +$696 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $34 | — | +$34 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $296 | $256 | +$40 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $46 | $195 | $149 |
| Median | 9 | $340 | $33 | +$307 |
| Below median | 15 | $220 | $22 | +$198 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $39 | $211 | $172 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $94 | $66 | +$28 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $454 | $4 | +$450 |
| unranked | 31 | $336 | $163 | +$173 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sane-Sprout 0xd2b8…8cf5 | Yes | +482 | $300 | $300 | 4 | 06-28 01:09 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +281 | $132 | $184 | 17 | 07-20 23:20 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +278 | $159 | $344 | 14 | 07-02 18:17 |
| Chubby-Prior 0x8797…bbbe | No | +215 | $111 | $111 | 2 | 07-24 18:04 |
| Poor-Tavern 0x8304…f086 | No | +178 | $80 | $80 | 5 | 07-04 00:28 |
| Euphoric-Spider 0xcf6a…f9d0 | Yes | +100 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 06-12 18:27 |
| Hasty-Chain 0x8633…a08d | Yes | +100 | $40 | $40 | 3 | 07-19 16:22 |
| Grotesque-Genie 0x410d…4c78 | Yes | +97 | $21 | $343 | 10 | 07-19 23:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xe624…e63b | Yes | +79 | $51 | $51 | 2 | 06-17 14:13 |
| Solid-Leprosy 0xfd9c…be4d | Yes | +70 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-30 07:27 |
| Smoggy-Antique 0xaab9…a08d | No | +67 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 06-28 02:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x111f…af00 | Yes | +62 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 06-18 11:00 |
| Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | Yes | +59 | $26 | $26 | 2 | 06-16 10:41 |
| Daring-President 0x2c41…133e | No | +52 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 07-19 16:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | +30 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 07-19 16:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x1fce…272a | Yes | +29 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-16 20:33 |
| Female-Fourths 0xe308…309c | No | +23 | $-6 | $33 | 5 | 07-16 22:23 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +23 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-22 01:56 |
| Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | +18 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 06-25 13:46 |
| Gummy-Yang 0x53f8…5ce0 | No | +15 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-16 04:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | +13 | $6 | $17 | 4 | 06-29 19:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | No | +13 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 07-04 14:10 |
| Squeaky-Electrocardiogram 0xc901…0c1d | Yes | +12 | $8 | $27 | 5 | 06-30 22:35 |
| Squeaky-Electrocardiogram 0xc901…0c1d | No | +12 | $5 | $10 | 2 | 06-28 02:05 |
| Frigid-Lottery 0x066a…96a0 | Yes | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-16 10:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | +9 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-09 13:22 |
| Likely-Measles 0x76b0…417d | Yes | +9 | $4 | $5 | 2 | 07-02 18:34 |
| Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | +8 | $5 | $12 | 3 | 07-01 06:05 |
| Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-30 23:03 |
| Bare-Patch-Airbag 0xc9af…91e5 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $15 | 5 | 06-22 05:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-17 01:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xf961…3c22 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 05:41 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-18 13:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-19 18:16 |
| Impassioned-Petition 0x84ec…04eb | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-22 06:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x86a0…2f95 | No | +2 | $-11 | $137 | 37 | 07-16 20:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | +2 | $-7 | $72 | 28 | 07-16 22:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xe05d…3807 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-13 17:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | +1 | $-25 | $134 | 4 | 07-24 18:04 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 18:04:58 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | No | SELL | 12 | 65¢ | $8 | 0xe0e395… |
| 07-24 18:04:58 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | SELL | 81 | 66¢ | $53 | 0xe0e395… |
| 07-24 18:04:58 | Chubby-Prior 0x8797…bbbe | No | BUY | 93 | 66¢ | $61 | 0xe0e395… |
| 07-24 16:51:40 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | No | BUY | 5 | 64¢ | $3 | 0x01fba7… |
| 07-24 16:51:40 | Golden-Antechamber 0xbae5…45e3 | No | SELL | 20 | 64¢ | $13 | 0x01fba7… |
| 07-24 16:51:40 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 10 | 36¢ | $4 | 0x01fba7… |
| 07-22 06:46:57 | Impassioned-Petition 0x84ec…04eb | Yes | BUY | 2 | 40¢ | $1 | 0x84f11f… |
| 07-22 06:46:57 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | No | BUY | 2 | 60¢ | $2 | 0x84f11f… |
| 07-21 15:29:03 | Thrifty-Crystallography 0x527c…5a2b | Yes | SELL | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x7a0b3d… |
| 07-21 15:29:03 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x7a0b3d… |
| 07-20 23:20:37 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 37¢ | $4 | 0x886a62… |
| 07-20 23:20:37 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 37¢ | $4 | 0x886a62… |
| 07-19 23:12:36 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 35¢ | $12 | 0x6409cd… |
| 07-19 23:12:36 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | SELL | 34 | 66¢ | $23 | 0x6409cd… |
| 07-19 23:12:36 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 15 | 35¢ | $5 | 0x6409cd… |
| 07-19 23:12:36 | Grotesque-Genie 0x410d…4c78 | Yes | SELL | 97 | 35¢ | $34 | 0x6409cd… |
| 07-19 16:22:37 | Hasty-Chain 0x8633…a08d | Yes | BUY | 22 | 40¢ | $9 | 0xd15082… |
| 07-19 16:22:37 | Daring-President 0x2c41…133e | No | BUY | 52 | 61¢ | $32 | 0xd15082… |
| 07-19 16:22:37 | (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 39¢ | $12 | 0xd15082… |
| 07-19 00:36:48 | Hasty-Chain 0x8633…a08d | Yes | BUY | 48 | 40¢ | $19 | 0xdf8938… |
| 07-19 00:36:48 | (anonymous) 0x236f…1b31 | Yes | SELL | 48 | 40¢ | $19 | 0xdf8938… |
| 07-18 22:04:12 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 15 | 40¢ | $6 | 0xc8f798… |
| 07-18 22:04:12 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 39¢ | $6 | 0xc8f798… |
| 07-18 22:04:12 | Hasty-Chain 0x8633…a08d | Yes | BUY | 30 | 40¢ | $12 | 0xc8f798… |
| 07-17 02:52:51 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0xfdca5e… |
| 07-17 02:52:51 | (anonymous) 0xf195…07fc | No | SELL | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0xfdca5e… |
| 07-17 02:51:15 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xcf2b18… |
| 07-17 02:51:15 | (anonymous) 0xf195…07fc | No | BUY | 5 | 66¢ | $3 | 0xcf2b18… |
| 07-17 02:24:22 | (anonymous) 0xf195…07fc | No | SELL | 6 | 65¢ | $4 | 0x3be2a7… |
| 07-17 02:24:22 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 6 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x3be2a7… |
| 07-17 02:23:27 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x9384fc… |
| 07-17 02:23:27 | (anonymous) 0xf195…07fc | No | BUY | 6 | 66¢ | $4 | 0x9384fc… |
| 07-17 01:43:49 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 3 | 41¢ | $1 | 0xdd5d09… |
| 07-17 01:43:49 | (anonymous) 0xf195…07fc | No | SELL | 3 | 59¢ | $2 | 0xdd5d09… |
| 07-17 01:43:39 | (anonymous) 0xf195…07fc | No | SELL | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0x8112b0… |
| 07-17 01:43:39 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0x8112b0… |
| 07-17 01:39:54 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 34¢ | $3 | 0xf140a1… |
| 07-17 01:39:54 | (anonymous) 0xf195…07fc | No | BUY | 8 | 66¢ | $5 | 0xf140a1… |
| 07-16 22:23:37 | Female-Fourths 0xe308…309c | No | SELL | 6 | 69¢ | $4 | 0x245855… |
| 07-16 22:23:37 | (anonymous) 0xf195…07fc | Yes | SELL | 6 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x245855… |
| 07-16 22:22:56 | (anonymous) 0xf195…07fc | Yes | BUY | 6 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xa27713… |
| 07-16 22:22:56 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xa27713… |
| 07-16 21:02:05 | Female-Fourths 0xe308…309c | No | SELL | 8 | 69¢ | $5 | 0xef71e0… |
| 07-16 21:02:05 | (anonymous) 0xf195…07fc | Yes | SELL | 8 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xef71e0… |
| 07-16 21:00:02 | (anonymous) 0xf195…07fc | Yes | BUY | 8 | 34¢ | $3 | 0xe7f246… |
| 07-16 21:00:02 | (anonymous) 0x4d57…8620 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 34¢ | $3 | 0xe7f246… |
| 07-16 21:00:02 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 33¢ | $0 | 0xe7f246… |
| 07-16 20:43:25 | (anonymous) 0x86a0…2f95 | No | SELL | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0x5f46fb… |
| 07-16 20:43:25 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x5f46fb… |
| 07-16 20:35:40 | (anonymous) 0xf195…07fc | No | SELL | 7 | 64¢ | $5 | 0x33b412… |
| 07-16 20:35:40 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 32¢ | $3 | 0xbb746e… |
| 07-16 20:35:40 | (anonymous) 0x86a0…2f95 | No | BUY | 7 | 64¢ | $5 | 0x33b412… |
| 07-16 20:35:40 | (anonymous) 0xf195…07fc | Yes | SELL | 10 | 32¢ | $3 | 0xbb746e… |
| 07-16 20:34:52 | (anonymous) 0x4d57…8620 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 33¢ | $6 | 0xfc8fc1… |
| 07-16 20:34:52 | (anonymous) 0x86a0…2f95 | No | SELL | 7 | 66¢ | $4 | 0xfc8fc1… |
| 07-16 20:34:52 | (anonymous) 0xf195…07fc | No | SELL | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0xfc8fc1… |
| 07-16 20:34:52 | (anonymous) 0xf195…07fc | Yes | BUY | 10 | 33¢ | $3 | 0xfc8fc1… |
| 07-16 20:33:31 | (anonymous) 0x1fce…272a | Yes | BUY | 29 | 35¢ | $10 | 0x0f5ada… |
| 07-16 20:33:31 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 20 | 35¢ | $7 | 0x0f5ada… |
| 07-16 20:33:31 | (anonymous) 0xf195…07fc | No | BUY | 9 | 65¢ | $6 | 0x0f5ada… |
| 07-16 04:16:01 | Female-Fourths 0xe308…309c | No | SELL | 15 | 69¢ | $10 | 0x9bc905… |
| 07-16 04:16:01 | Gummy-Yang 0x53f8…5ce0 | No | BUY | 15 | 69¢ | $10 | 0x9bc905… |
| 07-13 20:08:55 | Bossy-Grandma 0x163b…08de | No | SELL | 7 | 64¢ | $4 | 0xad58ae… |
| 07-13 20:08:55 | (anonymous) 0x86a0…2f95 | No | BUY | 7 | 64¢ | $4 | 0xad58ae… |
| 07-13 20:08:53 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | SELL | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0x81f568… |
| 07-13 20:08:53 | Bossy-Grandma 0x163b…08de | No | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0x81f568… |
| 07-10 01:15:44 | (anonymous) 0xe9e8…7b51 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xd4b598… |
| 07-10 01:15:44 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 6 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xd4b598… |
| 07-10 01:15:44 | (anonymous) 0x86a0…2f95 | No | SELL | 1 | 70¢ | $1 | 0xd4b598… |
| 07-09 13:22:53 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | BUY | 9 | 40¢ | $4 | 0xa51d70… |
| 07-09 13:22:53 | (anonymous) 0x4d57…8620 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 40¢ | $4 | 0xa51d70… |
| 07-09 04:44:37 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x3f3a64… |
| 07-09 04:44:37 | (anonymous) 0xe9e8…7b51 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x3f3a64… |
| 07-07 15:30:25 | Gleeful-Box 0xabfb…12e5 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 42¢ | $5 | 0x0896df… |
| 07-07 15:30:25 | (anonymous) 0x4d57…8620 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 42¢ | $8 | 0x0896df… |
| 07-07 15:30:25 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 7 | 42¢ | $3 | 0x0896df… |
| 07-07 08:34:01 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 35¢ | $3 | 0xdb1bc6… |
| 07-07 08:34:01 | (anonymous) 0x4d57…8620 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 35¢ | $6 | 0xea6111… |
| 07-07 08:34:01 | (anonymous) 0x4d57…8620 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 35¢ | $3 | 0xdb1bc6… |
| 07-07 08:34:01 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 35¢ | $6 | 0xea6111… |
| 07-07 08:29:34 | (anonymous) 0x4d57…8620 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 35¢ | $7 | 0xb455c7… |
| 07-07 08:29:34 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 35¢ | $7 | 0xb455c7… |
| 07-07 08:16:43 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 34¢ | $0 | 0x0c7068… |
| 07-07 08:16:43 | Gleeful-Box 0xabfb…12e5 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x0c7068… |
| 07-07 08:16:43 | (anonymous) 0x4d57…8620 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x0c7068… |
| 07-07 08:16:35 | (anonymous) 0x4d57…8620 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xa416e8… |
| 07-07 08:16:35 | Gleeful-Box 0xabfb…12e5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xa416e8… |
| 07-07 08:08:56 | Immense-Stencil 0x02ae…bad5 | No | SELL | 59 | 69¢ | $41 | 0xe347a8… |
| 07-07 08:08:56 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 42 | 31¢ | $13 | 0xe347a8… |
| 07-07 08:08:56 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 17 | 31¢ | $5 | 0xe347a8… |
| 07-06 11:52:44 | (anonymous) 0x86a0…2f95 | No | SELL | 7 | 70¢ | $5 | 0x27e3bc… |
| 07-06 11:52:44 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0x27e3bc… |
| 07-06 11:52:44 | (anonymous) 0xe9e8…7b51 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 30¢ | $4 | 0x27e3bc… |
| 07-05 11:33:19 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x995d92… |
| 07-05 11:33:19 | (anonymous) 0x86a0…2f95 | No | SELL | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0x995d92… |
| 07-04 18:13:02 | (anonymous) 0x4d57…8620 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x652d9e… |
| 07-04 18:13:02 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x652d9e… |
| 07-04 16:02:40 | (anonymous) 0x4d57…8620 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 29¢ | $6 | 0xc58c55… |
| 07-04 16:02:40 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 29¢ | $6 | 0xc58c55… |
| 07-04 16:02:38 | (anonymous) 0x4d57…8620 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 28¢ | $5 | 0xc0f97a… |