RFK Jr. Out by December 31?
open
Total volume
$4,220
$34 in 24h
Trades
319
Unique wallets
71
Liquidity
$4,407
Latest YES mid
26¢
Latest NO mid
74¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-04 14:10
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+32.0¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $34
vs crowd: 68% YES on $2.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $327 | $334 | $7 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 13 | $61 | $223 | $161 |
| 🐟 Fish | 19 | $508 | $170 | +$338 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 30 | $797 | $74 | +$722 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $34 | — | +$34 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $261 | $358 | $97 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $41 | $88 | $47 |
| Median | 8 | $328 | $31 | +$297 |
| Below median | 13 | $215 | $22 | +$193 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $39 | $150 | $111 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $488 | $34 | +$454 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $1 | $4 | $3 |
| unranked | 24 | $287 | $114 | +$173 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sane-Sprout 0xd2b8…8cf5 | Yes | +482 | $300 | $300 | 4 | 06-28 01:09 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +278 | $159 | $344 | 14 | 07-02 18:17 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +217 | $109 | $161 | 9 | 07-03 06:41 |
| Grotesque-Genie 0x410d…4c78 | Yes | +195 | $55 | $309 | 9 | 06-30 22:36 |
| Poor-Tavern 0x8304…f086 | No | +178 | $80 | $80 | 5 | 07-04 00:28 |
| Chubby-Prior 0x8797…bbbe | No | +122 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-26 14:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | +121 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 06-22 00:49 |
| Euphoric-Spider 0xcf6a…f9d0 | Yes | +100 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 06-12 18:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xe624…e63b | Yes | +79 | $51 | $51 | 2 | 06-17 14:13 |
| Solid-Leprosy 0xfd9c…be4d | Yes | +70 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-30 07:27 |
| Smoggy-Antique 0xaab9…a08d | No | +67 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 06-28 02:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x111f…af00 | Yes | +62 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 06-18 11:00 |
| Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | Yes | +59 | $26 | $26 | 2 | 06-16 10:41 |
| Female-Fourths 0xe308…309c | No | +52 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 06-22 07:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x236f…1b31 | Yes | +48 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-12 19:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x4d57…8620 | Yes | +34 | $8 | $8 | 4 | 07-04 14:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xe9e8…7b51 | Yes | +25 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-30 07:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +24 | $-13 | $249 | 41 | 07-01 06:05 |
| Immense-Stencil 0x02ae…bad5 | No | +24 | $14 | $14 | 3 | 06-16 15:12 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +23 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-22 01:56 |
| Golden-Antechamber 0xbae5…45e3 | No | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-22 02:29 |
| Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | +18 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 06-25 13:46 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +17 | $-3 | $27 | 2 | 07-03 06:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x86a0…2f95 | No | +13 | $-3 | $111 | 30 | 07-04 14:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | +13 | $6 | $17 | 4 | 06-29 19:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | No | +13 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 07-04 14:10 |
| Squeaky-Electrocardiogram 0xc901…0c1d | Yes | +12 | $8 | $27 | 5 | 06-30 22:35 |
| Squeaky-Electrocardiogram 0xc901…0c1d | No | +12 | $5 | $10 | 2 | 06-28 02:05 |
| Frigid-Lottery 0x066a…96a0 | Yes | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-16 10:40 |
| Likely-Measles 0x76b0…417d | Yes | +9 | $4 | $5 | 2 | 07-02 18:34 |
| Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | +8 | $5 | $12 | 3 | 07-01 06:05 |
| Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-30 23:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +7 | $-6 | $24 | 3 | 07-03 06:41 |
| Bare-Patch-Airbag 0xc9af…91e5 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $15 | 5 | 06-22 05:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xf961…3c22 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 05:41 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-18 13:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-19 18:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | +2 | $-7 | $65 | 24 | 06-25 02:30 |
| Bossy-Grandma 0x163b…08de | No | +2 | $0 | $4 | 3 | 06-22 14:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xe05d…3807 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-13 17:22 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-04 14:10:40 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | No | BUY | 7 | 75¢ | $5 | 0xb9edaa… |
| 07-04 14:10:40 | (anonymous) 0x4d57…8620 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 25¢ | $2 | 0xb9edaa… |
| 07-04 14:10:22 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | No | BUY | 6 | 75¢ | $4 | 0xfa02f8… |
| 07-04 14:10:22 | (anonymous) 0x4d57…8620 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 25¢ | $2 | 0xfa02f8… |
| 07-04 14:10:22 | (anonymous) 0x86a0…2f95 | No | BUY | 3 | 75¢ | $2 | 0xfa02f8… |
| 07-04 14:10:14 | (anonymous) 0x86a0…2f95 | No | BUY | 6 | 75¢ | $5 | 0x4ecbef… |
| 07-04 14:10:14 | (anonymous) 0x4d57…8620 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x4ecbef… |
| 07-04 14:10:14 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 3 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x4ecbef… |
| 07-04 14:10:04 | (anonymous) 0x4d57…8620 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x725411… |
| 07-04 14:10:04 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 9 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x725411… |
| 07-04 00:28:05 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x34795d… |
| 07-04 00:28:05 | Poor-Tavern 0x8304…f086 | No | BUY | 10 | 80¢ | $8 | 0x34795d… |
| 07-03 06:41:11 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 28¢ | $7 | 0xf1211d… |
| 07-03 06:41:11 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 28¢ | $12 | 0xf1211d… |
| 07-03 06:41:11 | Several-Love 0x93c0…b2e0 | Yes | SELL | 125 | 28¢ | $34 | 0xf1211d… |
| 07-03 06:41:11 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 58 | 27¢ | $16 | 0xf1211d… |
| 07-02 18:34:17 | (anonymous) 0x3fd0…7474 | No | SELL | 1 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x9de4e1… |
| 07-02 18:34:17 | Likely-Measles 0x76b0…417d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 48¢ | $1 | 0x9de4e1… |
| 07-02 18:17:19 | (anonymous) 0x3fd0…7474 | No | BUY | 1 | 74¢ | $1 | 0xdcb369… |
| 07-02 18:17:19 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 1 | 74¢ | $1 | 0xdcb369… |
| 07-01 16:21:47 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 19 | 76¢ | $14 | 0xb7fc7d… |
| 07-01 16:21:47 | (anonymous) 0xd193…dc06 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 24¢ | $5 | 0xb7fc7d… |
| 07-01 06:05:07 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | SELL | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0xa8caaf… |
| 07-01 06:05:07 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0xa8caaf… |
| 07-01 05:41:10 | (anonymous) 0x86a0…2f95 | No | SELL | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0x44dc73… |
| 07-01 05:41:10 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0x44dc73… |
| 06-30 23:03:29 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 34¢ | $3 | 0x0fe2ac… |
| 06-30 23:03:29 | (anonymous) 0x66d9…bef3 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 34¢ | $3 | 0x0fe2ac… |
| 06-30 23:03:29 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 29 | 66¢ | $19 | 0x5a245a… |
| 06-30 23:03:29 | (anonymous) 0x66d9…bef3 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 34¢ | $10 | 0x5a245a… |
| 06-30 23:00:52 | Quixotic-Story 0x7dc9…525e | No | SELL | 8 | 65¢ | $5 | 0x4800f8… |
| 06-30 23:00:52 | (anonymous) 0x66d9…bef3 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 35¢ | $5 | 0x4800f8… |
| 06-30 23:00:52 | (anonymous) 0x86a0…2f95 | No | SELL | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0x4800f8… |
| 06-30 22:36:47 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 0 | 47¢ | $0 | 0xc4c521… |
| 06-30 22:36:47 | Grotesque-Genie 0x410d…4c78 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 48¢ | $19 | 0xc4c521… |
| 06-30 22:36:47 | Several-Love 0x93c0…b2e0 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 48¢ | $19 | 0xc4c521… |
| 06-30 22:36:19 | Several-Love 0x93c0…b2e0 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 47¢ | $18 | 0xc87ede… |
| 06-30 22:36:19 | Quixotic-Story 0x7dc9…525e | No | BUY | 0 | 57¢ | $0 | 0xc87ede… |
| 06-30 22:36:19 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 39 | 47¢ | $18 | 0xc87ede… |
| 06-30 22:35:55 | Several-Love 0x93c0…b2e0 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 43¢ | $6 | 0xb85540… |
| 06-30 22:35:55 | (anonymous) 0x86a0…2f95 | No | BUY | 6 | 57¢ | $4 | 0xb85540… |
| 06-30 22:35:55 | Quixotic-Story 0x7dc9…525e | No | BUY | 8 | 57¢ | $4 | 0xb85540… |
| 06-30 22:35:35 | Several-Love 0x93c0…b2e0 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 38¢ | $6 | 0x0b20b2… |
| 06-30 22:35:35 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 38¢ | $6 | 0x0b20b2… |
| 06-30 22:35:17 | Squeaky-Electrocardiogram 0xc901…0c1d | Yes | SELL | 9 | 37¢ | $3 | 0x9f70c6… |
| 06-30 22:35:17 | Several-Love 0x93c0…b2e0 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 37¢ | $3 | 0x9f70c6… |
| 06-30 22:35:02 | Several-Love 0x93c0…b2e0 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 35¢ | $3 | 0x69c583… |
| 06-30 22:35:02 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | BUY | 8 | 65¢ | $5 | 0x69c583… |
| 06-30 20:03:16 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | BUY | 5 | 63¢ | $3 | 0xfae6b3… |
| 06-30 20:03:16 | Grotesque-Genie 0x410d…4c78 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0xfae6b3… |
| 06-30 17:59:20 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 93 | 28¢ | $26 | 0x7884e4… |
| 06-30 17:59:20 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 113 | 72¢ | $81 | 0x3d5ba7… |
| 06-30 17:59:20 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | SELL | 93 | 72¢ | $67 | 0x7884e4… |
| 06-30 17:59:20 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | SELL | 113 | 72¢ | $81 | 0x3d5ba7… |
| 06-30 17:58:07 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | SELL | 18 | 73¢ | $13 | 0x86ff11… |
| 06-30 17:58:07 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 18 | 27¢ | $5 | 0x86ff11… |
| 06-30 17:57:28 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | SELL | 27 | 74¢ | $20 | 0x1b0ea0… |
| 06-30 17:57:28 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0x1b0ea0… |
| 06-30 17:57:28 | (anonymous) 0x86a0…2f95 | No | BUY | 7 | 74¢ | $5 | 0x1b0ea0… |
| 06-30 17:37:11 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | SELL | 77 | 74¢ | $57 | 0x68ac22… |
| 06-30 17:37:11 | (anonymous) 0x7447…4657 | Yes | SELL | 57 | 26¢ | $15 | 0x68ac22… |
| 06-30 17:37:11 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x68ac22… |
| 06-30 07:27:19 | (anonymous) 0x7447…4657 | Yes | BUY | 57 | 23¢ | $13 | 0x201e5f… |
| 06-30 07:27:19 | Solid-Leprosy 0xfd9c…be4d | Yes | BUY | 70 | 24¢ | $17 | 0x201e5f… |
| 06-30 07:27:19 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | SELL | 127 | 77¢ | $98 | 0x201e5f… |
| 06-30 07:27:19 | Grotesque-Genie 0x410d…4c78 | Yes | BUY | 220 | 41¢ | $90 | 0x201e5f… |
| 06-30 07:27:19 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x201e5f… |
| 06-30 07:27:19 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 93 | 48¢ | $45 | 0x201e5f… |
| 06-30 07:27:19 | (anonymous) 0x86a0…2f95 | No | SELL | 10 | 54¢ | $5 | 0x201e5f… |
| 06-30 07:27:19 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 40 | 25¢ | $10 | 0x201e5f… |
| 06-30 07:27:19 | (anonymous) 0xe9e8…7b51 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 24¢ | $6 | 0x201e5f… |
| 06-30 07:27:19 | Cloudy-Geology 0xe391…eea1 | Yes | SELL | 782 | 33¢ | $260 | 0x201e5f… |
| 06-30 07:27:19 | Likely-Measles 0x76b0…417d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 45¢ | $4 | 0x201e5f… |
| 06-29 19:27:46 | (anonymous) 0xd193…dc06 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 53¢ | $10 | 0xd0aa2a… |
| 06-29 19:27:46 | (anonymous) 0x86a0…2f95 | No | BUY | 17 | 47¢ | $8 | 0xd0aa2a… |
| 06-29 19:27:46 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | SELL | 2 | 53¢ | $1 | 0xd0aa2a… |
| 06-28 02:05:02 | Smoggy-Antique 0xaab9…a08d | No | BUY | 67 | 51¢ | $34 | 0xb7a4c3… |
| 06-28 02:05:02 | (anonymous) 0x86a0…2f95 | No | SELL | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0xb7a4c3… |
| 06-28 02:05:02 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0xb7a4c3… |
| 06-28 02:05:02 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | BUY | 8 | 49¢ | $4 | 0xb7a4c3… |
| 06-28 02:05:02 | Squeaky-Electrocardiogram 0xc901…0c1d | No | SELL | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0xb7a4c3… |
| 06-28 02:05:02 | Squeaky-Electrocardiogram 0xc901…0c1d | Yes | BUY | 21 | 48¢ | $10 | 0xb7a4c3… |
| 06-28 01:22:41 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x1a0c21… |
| 06-28 01:22:41 | Enormous-Degree 0x7a84…7455 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x1a0c21… |
| 06-28 01:09:10 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | SELL | 7 | 56¢ | $4 | 0x4f7496… |
| 06-28 01:09:10 | Sane-Sprout 0xd2b8…8cf5 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 56¢ | $20 | 0x4f7496… |
| 06-28 01:09:10 | Squeaky-Electrocardiogram 0xc901…0c1d | No | BUY | 17 | 43¢ | $7 | 0x4f7496… |
| 06-28 01:09:10 | (anonymous) 0x86a0…2f95 | No | BUY | 11 | 44¢ | $5 | 0x4f7496… |
| 06-27 17:46:25 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | BUY | 15 | 53¢ | $8 | 0x314e91… |
| 06-27 17:46:25 | (anonymous) 0x86a0…2f95 | No | SELL | 10 | 47¢ | $5 | 0x314e91… |
| 06-27 17:46:25 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 25 | 47¢ | $12 | 0x314e91… |
| 06-26 14:12:21 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 122 | 41¢ | $50 | 0x54d06c… |
| 06-26 14:12:21 | Chubby-Prior 0x8797…bbbe | No | BUY | 122 | 41¢ | $50 | 0x54d06c… |
| 06-25 22:01:55 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 20 | 40¢ | $8 | 0xe8417a… |
| 06-25 22:01:55 | Good-Natured-Permit 0x530f…424e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 60¢ | $12 | 0xe8417a… |
| 06-25 13:46:35 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | BUY | 11 | 40¢ | $5 | 0xd54c90… |
| 06-25 13:46:35 | Sane-Sprout 0xd2b8…8cf5 | Yes | BUY | 163 | 61¢ | $100 | 0xd54c90… |
| 06-25 13:46:35 | Poor-Tavern 0x8304…f086 | No | BUY | 60 | 37¢ | $22 | 0xd54c90… |
| 06-25 13:46:35 | Grotesque-Genie 0x410d…4c78 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 65¢ | $5 | 0xd54c90… |
| 06-25 13:46:35 | (anonymous) 0x86a0…2f95 | No | BUY | 11 | 40¢ | $4 | 0xd54c90… |