Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
-$22
Hit rate
89.2%
Resolved
8
Trades
1,732
lifetime
Volume
$23.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$535
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-14
last 07-01 01:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Tech
37%
Politics
36% 67% +$1
Other
16% 40% +$1
Crypto
10%
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 106 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kash Patel out by December 31? No -158 $-79 58¢ $-92 $-13 06-23 11:27
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -122 $-87 74¢ $-91 $-4 06-20 06:40
Blue wave in 2026? No +342 $92 26¢ $89 $-3 06-30 11:15
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? No -82 $-78 99¢ $-81 $-3 06-22 15:55
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -69 $-63 92¢ $-63 $-0 06-28 08:46
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -42 $-40 96¢ $-41 $-1 06-05 11:14
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31? No -35 $-29 88¢ $-31 $-2 05-30 06:01
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +33 $20 70¢ $23 +$3 06-09 11:48
RFK Jr. Out by December 31? No +24 $14 62¢ $15 +$1 06-16 15:12
Trump out as President before 2027? No -10 $-9 92¢ $-9 $-0 06-28 21:58
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? Yes -8 $-0 $-0 +$0 05-31 07:18