Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
-$66
Hit rate
89.2%
Resolved
8
Trades
1,097
lifetime
Volume
$12.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$526
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-14
last 06-10 00:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
50% 67% +$1
Other
21% 40% +$1
Crypto
18%
Tech
11%
Sports
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -126 $-119 94¢ $-118 +$1 06-01 15:20
Blue wave in 2026? No +302 $82 25¢ $76 $-6 06-09 12:16
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? Yes -70 $-69 100¢ $-70 $-1 06-06 07:10
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No -111 $-4 61¢ $-67 $-63 06-07 21:10
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -42 $-40 94¢ $-40 $-1 06-05 11:14
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31? No -35 $-29 84¢ $-30 $-1 05-30 06:01
Kash Patel out by December 31? No -62 $-31 43¢ $-27 +$4 06-01 15:21
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes -35 $-27 76¢ $-27 +$1 05-31 19:24
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +33 $20 62¢ $21 +$1 06-09 11:48
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No -21 $-20 99¢ $-20 $-0 05-30 11:02
Kash Patel out by June 30? No -20 $-17 90¢ $-18 $-1 06-01 14:06
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No +10 $9 86¢ $9 $-0 05-30 09:01
RFK Jr. Out by December 31? No +4 $3 74¢ $3 +$0 05-28 05:41
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? Yes -8 $-0 $-0 +$0 05-31 07:18