Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
-$40
Hit rate
89.2%
Resolved
8
Trades
1,790
lifetime
Volume
$23.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$464
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-14
last 07-21 02:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Tech
38%
Politics
36% 67% +$1
Other
16% 40% +$1
Crypto
10%
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 106 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kash Patel out by December 31? No -158 $-79 63¢ $-100 $-21 06-23 11:27
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -122 $-87 78¢ $-96 $-9 06-20 06:40
Blue wave in 2026? No +382 $102 24¢ $94 $-8 07-02 15:07
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -69 $-63 94¢ $-65 $-2 06-28 08:46
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -42 $-40 98¢ $-41 $-2 06-05 11:14
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31? No -35 $-29 90¢ $-31 $-2 05-30 06:01
RFK Jr. Out by December 31? No -35 $-27 62¢ $-22 +$5 07-07 08:08
Trump out as President before 2027? No -10 $-9 92¢ $-9 $-0 06-28 21:58
Blue tsunami in 2026? No -7 $-4 60¢ $-4 +$0 07-02 23:10
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? Yes -8 $-0 $-0 +$0 05-31 07:18