Immense-Stencil 0x02ae96…11bad5
bot cold 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$2.58K
Unrealized P&L
+$32
Hit rate
57.0%
Resolved
701
Trades
4,686
lifetime
Volume
$48.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$2.52K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-14
last 10-28 14:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 130 days
Categories
Other
37% 56% -$500
Politics
34% 54% +$112
Tech
23% 49% -$1,234
Crypto
6% 66% -$912
Sports
1% 63% -$51
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +1,910 $704 34¢ $640 -$64 10-26 19:51
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +1,300 $284 21¢ $273 -$11 10-27 06:14
Blue wave in 2026? No +1,300 $262 15¢ $189 -$73 10-26 13:24
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +550 $190 32¢ $179 -$11 10-28 06:14
Blue tsunami in 2026? No +423 $188 40¢ $171 -$17 10-28 13:55
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +3,347 $99 5¢ $156 +$57 06-05 02:20
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +1,637 $147 10¢ $155 +$8 10-28 09:56
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +2,367 $115 6¢ $143 +$28 10-19 20:25
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -1,583 -$193 8¢ $-135 +$59 10-26 05:13
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +920 $107 12¢ $115 +$8 09-26 04:39
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -805 -$141 8¢ $-68 +$72 06-27 17:49
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +3,695 $52 2¢ $59 +$7 07-11 23:33
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -60 -$56 97¢ $-58 -$2 05-09 08:45
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +385 $43 12¢ $44 +$1 10-23 09:16
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -102 -$43 38¢ $-39 +$4 06-22 16:00
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes +3,367 $35 1¢ $29 -$6 09-22 04:25
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +6,465 $63 0¢ $23 -$40 10-28 14:46
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +3,725 $39 0¢ $11 -$28 10-28 09:56
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +25 $10 36¢ $9 -$1 05-24 07:43
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? Yes +86 $5 8¢ $7 +$2 10-14 01:36
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +1,548 -$90 0¢ $6 +$96 10-13 22:42
2026 Balance of Power: Other Yes +5,583 $47 0¢ $6 -$42 05-26 15:51
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -10 $10 34¢ $-3 -$13 10-26 02:36