Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
No won
Total volume
$131,001
Trades
2,217
Unique wallets
241
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
1970-01-01
First seen
2026-04-29
last 11-04 01:02
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-2.5¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $92.0K
vs crowd: 3% YES on $110.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 81 | $900 | $103.2K | $102.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 50 | $1.6K | $964 | +$600 |
| 🐟 Fish | 59 | $353 | $2.5K | $2.1K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 51 | $194 | $690 | $496 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 80 | $192 | $91.8K | $91.7K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 27 | $71 | $1.7K | $1.6K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 10 | $6 | $127 | $121 |
| Median | 33 | $18 | $815 | $797 |
| Below median | 29 | $186 | $795 | $609 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 15 | $19 | $60 | $41 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 14 | $48 | $210 | $162 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 33 | $2.5K | $11.8K | $9.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xe091…9549 | Yes | +61,671 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 10-28 22:09 |
| Homely-Gosling 0xf031…c80c | No | +42,168 | $41,409 | $41,409 | 1 | 10-28 22:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x4cd9…35b9 | Yes | +26,212 | $113 | $113 | 20 | 11-04 01:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | +14,754 | -$53 | $199 | 192 | 11-03 23:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xfd59…0231 | Yes | +9,543 | $55 | $55 | 24 | 10-28 14:56 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +7,848 | $7,596 | $7,596 | 119 | 05-14 13:13 |
| Homely-Gosling 0xf031…c80c | Yes | +7,098 | -$2 | $18 | 44 | 11-03 20:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xc301…66aa | No | +5,637 | $5,627 | $6,777 | 9 | 11-02 13:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed7…16b2 | Yes | +5,467 | $72 | $85 | 6 | 08-24 06:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xfaf6…cc47 | No | +5,332 | $5,278 | $9,979 | 28 | 10-11 22:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | +4,841 | $20 | $20 | 3 | 11-03 13:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x6daa…954a | Yes | +4,607 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 11-02 07:30 |
| Ordinary-Dress 0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | +4,455 | $0 | $27 | 21 | 11-02 22:27 |
| Mortified-Roast 0xd6b6…342b | No | +4,006 | $4,000 | $4,000 | 2 | 11-02 18:36 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +3,946 | $17 | $17 | 3 | 11-03 20:59 |
| Immense-Stencil 0x02ae…bad5 | Yes | +3,619 | -$88 | $476 | 77 | 11-03 23:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x843c…7e28 | Yes | +3,414 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 11-02 22:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +3,323 | $3,316 | $3,316 | 42 | 11-03 23:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +3,251 | $3,239 | $3,239 | 25 | 11-03 23:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x3209…85a9 | Yes | +3,239 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 11-02 07:36 |
| Velvety-Burn 0x0380…073d | No | +2,587 | $2,580 | $2,580 | 27 | 10-29 04:08 |
| Trustworthy-Crayon 0x6b44…be1e | Yes | +2,441 | $41 | $41 | 10 | 07-07 16:37 |
| Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | No | +2,366 | $2,358 | $2,358 | 5 | 11-03 20:59 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +2,074 | $2,051 | $2,051 | 9 | 11-01 18:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | Yes | +1,471 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 11-03 14:22 |
| Bold-Health 0x8728…0882 | Yes | +1,453 | $12 | $12 | 6 | 10-15 22:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x13b2…5486 | Yes | +1,453 | $12 | $12 | 3 | 11-03 04:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x1a95…acaf | Yes | +1,325 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 11-03 20:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xa24c…7fe2 | No | +1,014 | $1,012 | $1,012 | 6 | 11-02 23:12 |
| Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | +1,009 | $1,007 | $1,007 | 10 | 11-03 23:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x4dd5…41dc | Yes | +1,001 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 09-25 20:46 |
| Spotted-Concept 0x090a…0fa6 | No | +873 | $871 | $871 | 15 | 11-03 23:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x2dde…ec26 | Yes | +766 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 11-03 20:43 |
| Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | +752 | $726 | $726 | 2 | 05-10 16:55 |
| Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35 | No | +739 | $732 | $2,923 | 10 | 10-25 23:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xb2fd…c231 | Yes | +599 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 11-03 11:57 |
| Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | +564 | $545 | $545 | 11 | 05-15 13:50 |
| Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | No | +549 | $541 | $1,422 | 10 | 07-29 01:19 |
| Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | +508 | $0 | $3 | 6 | 07-04 10:24 |
| Near-Familiar 0x6139…6b7a | No | +500 | $482 | $482 | 4 | 05-09 15:52 |
| Mushy-Generation 0x73d7…11b2 | Yes | +462 | $13 | $13 | 3 | 05-11 18:46 |
| Defensive-Cohesion 0xa264…3b18 | Yes | +460 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-28 10:03 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +390 | $389 | $389 | 13 | 11-03 23:23 |
| Cloudy-Injustice 0xe040…824f | No | +382 | $381 | $381 | 5 | 11-03 23:28 |
| Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | +363 | $361 | $361 | 9 | 11-03 23:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xe184…08c5 | Yes | +356 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-02 07:17 |
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | +319 | $316 | $316 | 2 | 11-02 22:04 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +300 | -$22 | $30 | 17 | 05-24 11:14 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +300 | $299 | $299 | 8 | 10-31 08:06 |
| Rubbery-Policy 0x2cfe…e4de | Yes | +299 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 08-18 14:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x08c9…a9cc | Yes | +299 | $4 | $4 | 5 | 07-15 13:27 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +292 | $290 | $290 | 10 | 10-31 06:06 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +290 | $289 | $289 | 6 | 11-03 17:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xc1a7…e106 | Yes | +286 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-04 02:49 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +278 | $271 | $271 | 5 | 10-28 22:09 |
| Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | +262 | $261 | $261 | 10 | 11-03 23:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x0b87…8fc2 | Yes | +250 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-02 08:02 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +212 | $210 | $210 | 9 | 11-02 23:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | +210 | $210 | $210 | 4 | 10-28 09:56 |
| Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | +208 | $208 | $208 | 7 | 11-03 23:24 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-04 01:02:19 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | Yes | SELL | 205 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x48f139… |
| 11-04 01:02:19 | Spotted-Concept 0x090a…0fa6 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x48f139… |
| 11-04 01:02:19 | Harsh-Macro 0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | SELL | 659 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x48f139… |
| 11-04 01:02:19 | (anonymous) 0xdf0e…c02b | Yes | SELL | 39 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x48f139… |
| 11-04 01:02:19 | (anonymous) 0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x48f139… |
| 11-04 01:02:19 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | SELL | 326 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x48f139… |
| 11-04 01:02:19 | (anonymous) 0x4cd9…35b9 | Yes | BUY | 1,824 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x48f139… |
| 11-04 01:02:19 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 125 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x48f139… |
| 11-04 00:23:58 | Academic-Menopause 0x2588…bb72 | No | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x0ff06d… |
| 11-04 00:23:58 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | SELL | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0ff06d… |
| 11-04 00:16:16 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 298 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x11cce1… |
| 11-04 00:16:16 | Spotted-Concept 0x090a…0fa6 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x11cce1… |
| 11-04 00:16:16 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | Yes | SELL | 806 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x11cce1… |
| 11-04 00:16:16 | (anonymous) 0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x11cce1… |
| 11-04 00:16:16 | (anonymous) 0x4cd9…35b9 | Yes | BUY | 7,552 | 0¢ | $8 | 0x11cce1… |
| 11-04 00:16:16 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | SELL | 2,150 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x11cce1… |
| 11-04 00:16:16 | Harsh-Macro 0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | SELL | 874 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x11cce1… |
| 11-03 23:28:09 | Spotted-Concept 0x090a…0fa6 | No | BUY | 28 | 100¢ | $28 | 0x250645… |
| 11-03 23:28:09 | Immense-Stencil 0x02ae…bad5 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x627f5e… |
| 11-03 23:28:09 | (anonymous) 0xa0ae…4a1e | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xb39579… |
| 11-03 23:28:09 | Immense-Stencil 0x02ae…bad5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb39579… |
| 11-03 23:28:09 | Immense-Stencil 0x02ae…bad5 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x250645… |
| 11-03 23:28:09 | Cloudy-Injustice 0xe040…824f | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x627f5e… |
| 11-03 23:26:51 | Immense-Stencil 0x02ae…bad5 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x855077… |
| 11-03 23:26:51 | Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x855077… |
| 11-03 23:26:49 | Immense-Stencil 0x02ae…bad5 | Yes | BUY | 75 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc64f09… |
| 11-03 23:26:49 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 450 | 100¢ | $450 | 0x6e8b05… |
| 11-03 23:26:49 | Immense-Stencil 0x02ae…bad5 | Yes | BUY | 450 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6e8b05… |
| 11-03 23:26:49 | (anonymous) 0x4f1a…0613 | No | BUY | 75 | 100¢ | $75 | 0xc64f09… |
| 11-03 23:26:46 | Immense-Stencil 0x02ae…bad5 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x67a879… |
| 11-03 23:26:46 | Immense-Stencil 0x02ae…bad5 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa6eebd… |
| 11-03 23:26:46 | (anonymous) 0x4f1a…0613 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x773da9… |
| 11-03 23:26:46 | (anonymous) 0xa0ae…4a1e | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x63da4e… |
| 11-03 23:26:46 | Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | BUY | 32 | 100¢ | $32 | 0x67a879… |
| 11-03 23:26:46 | Immense-Stencil 0x02ae…bad5 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x773da9… |
| 11-03 23:26:46 | Immense-Stencil 0x02ae…bad5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x63da4e… |
| 11-03 23:26:46 | (anonymous) 0x4f1a…0613 | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0xa6eebd… |
| 11-03 23:26:36 | (anonymous) 0x4f1a…0613 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xefbb41… |
| 11-03 23:26:36 | Immense-Stencil 0x02ae…bad5 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x59d643… |
| 11-03 23:26:36 | (anonymous) 0x17dd…944c | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x59d643… |
| 11-03 23:26:36 | Immense-Stencil 0x02ae…bad5 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xefbb41… |
| 11-03 23:26:33 | Immense-Stencil 0x02ae…bad5 | Yes | BUY | 250 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf6bfeb… |
| 11-03 23:26:33 | Spotted-Concept 0x090a…0fa6 | No | BUY | 250 | 100¢ | $250 | 0xf6bfeb… |
| 11-03 23:26:31 | Immense-Stencil 0x02ae…bad5 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5214c6… |
| 11-03 23:26:31 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 180 | 100¢ | $180 | 0x6c8f29… |
| 11-03 23:26:31 | Immense-Stencil 0x02ae…bad5 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2e93e7… |
| 11-03 23:26:31 | Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x2e93e7… |
| 11-03 23:26:31 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 248 | 100¢ | $248 | 0xe7cb65… |
| 11-03 23:26:31 | Immense-Stencil 0x02ae…bad5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0d4ac8… |
| 11-03 23:26:31 | Immense-Stencil 0x02ae…bad5 | Yes | BUY | 180 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6c8f29… |
| 11-03 23:26:31 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 200 | 100¢ | $200 | 0x5214c6… |
| 11-03 23:26:31 | Immense-Stencil 0x02ae…bad5 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x87253d… |
| 11-03 23:26:31 | (anonymous) 0xa0ae…4a1e | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x0d4ac8… |
| 11-03 23:26:31 | Immense-Stencil 0x02ae…bad5 | Yes | BUY | 248 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe7cb65… |
| 11-03 23:26:31 | Immense-Stencil 0x02ae…bad5 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc90e77… |
| 11-03 23:26:31 | (anonymous) 0x17dd…944c | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0xc90e77… |
| 11-03 23:26:31 | (anonymous) 0x4f1a…0613 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x87253d… |
| 11-03 23:25:31 | (anonymous) 0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | SELL | 400 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe9e96e… |
| 11-03 23:25:31 | Immense-Stencil 0x02ae…bad5 | Yes | BUY | 350 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe9e96e… |
| 11-03 23:25:31 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe9e96e… |
| 11-03 23:24:25 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x40e8c1… |
| 11-03 23:24:25 | Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x40e8c1… |
| 11-03 23:24:21 | (anonymous) 0xa0ae…4a1e | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x3a1e09… |
| 11-03 23:24:21 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3a1e09… |
| 11-03 23:23:58 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2743bf… |
| 11-03 23:23:58 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x08f949… |
| 11-03 23:23:58 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x30a2e4… |
| 11-03 23:23:58 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 130 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x886d1c… |
| 11-03 23:23:58 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x30a2e4… |
| 11-03 23:23:58 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 88 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5e3741… |
| 11-03 23:23:58 | (anonymous) 0x8dc6…22a3 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x08f949… |
| 11-03 23:23:58 | Spotted-Concept 0x090a…0fa6 | No | BUY | 88 | 100¢ | $88 | 0x5e3741… |
| 11-03 23:23:58 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 302 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x5672f0… |
| 11-03 23:23:58 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 90 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x348b1d… |
| 11-03 23:23:58 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 302 | 100¢ | $302 | 0x5672f0… |
| 11-03 23:23:58 | (anonymous) 0xa0ae…4a1e | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xa29b59… |
| 11-03 23:23:58 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 130 | 100¢ | $130 | 0x886d1c… |
| 11-03 23:23:58 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa29b59… |
| 11-03 23:23:58 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 90 | 100¢ | $90 | 0x348b1d… |
| 11-03 23:23:58 | Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x2743bf… |
| 11-03 23:23:46 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 45 | 100¢ | $45 | 0x7d0780… |
| 11-03 23:23:46 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcb0d12… |
| 11-03 23:23:46 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7d0780… |
| 11-03 23:23:46 | (anonymous) 0xa0ae…4a1e | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xcb0d12… |
| 11-03 23:23:45 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6d86b3… |
| 11-03 23:23:45 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x312dc0… |
| 11-03 23:23:45 | Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x312dc0… |
| 11-03 23:23:45 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x6d86b3… |
| 11-03 23:23:45 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x73b023… |
| 11-03 23:23:45 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x060ab4… |
| 11-03 23:23:45 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x060ab4… |
| 11-03 23:23:45 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x73b023… |
| 11-03 23:23:24 | (anonymous) 0xa0ae…4a1e | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x86e58e… |
| 11-03 23:23:24 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x86e58e… |
| 11-03 23:23:04 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x26b333… |
| 11-03 23:23:04 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x26b333… |
| 11-03 23:23:04 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x704786… |
| 11-03 23:23:04 | (anonymous) 0xa0ae…4a1e | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x704786… |
| 11-03 23:21:46 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb25e94… |
| 11-03 23:21:46 | Shallow-Diadem 0x4e72…ffb9 | No | BUY | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0xb25e94… |