(anonymous) 0xa24c69…707fe2 Create alert
bot new 20W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$89
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
98.5%
Resolved
228
Trades
868
lifetime
Volume
$15.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$3.53K
26 positions
First seen
2026-10-30
last 11-02 16:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
70% 76% +$54
Politics
14% 67% +$2
Sports
12% 70% +$31
Tech
3% 100% +$0
Crypto
1% 80% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 345 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine and Michigan? No +1,119 $1,112 99¢ $1.1K -$1 10-31 09:04
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +409 $403 100¢ $408 +$5 10-31 18:49
Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026? No +350 $344 98¢ $344 $0 11-01 23:16
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? No +532 $303 54¢ $287 -$16 10-31 10:29
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +246 $243 99¢ $244 +$1 11-01 20:03
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement? No +370 $226 62¢ $229 +$4 10-30 16:09
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +183 $183 100¢ $182 $0 10-30 17:34
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? No — +157 $156 100¢ $157 +$0 10-31 22:04
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +84 $83 99¢ $83 +$0 10-31 14:57
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? No +81 $80 100¢ $81 +$1 11-01 04:59
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the top artist for 2026? No +76 $76 100¢ $76 $0 10-31 15:41
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? No +58 $57 99¢ $57 +$0 11-01 20:29
Will Republicans win Kansas and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? No +54 $54 99¢ $54 $0 11-02 02:42
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio? No +51 $51 100¢ $51 $0 11-02 01:04
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? No +32 $31 98¢ $31 +$0 11-02 15:34
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No — +31 $30 98¢ $30 $0 10-30 05:41
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +186 $30 15¢ $27 -$3 10-31 03:14
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? No +22 $22 100¢ $22 +$1 11-02 15:18
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +1,395 $17 1¢ $20 +$3 11-01 20:31
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +19 $19 95¢ $18 -$1 10-30 05:48
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 10-30 15:02
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +194 $4 2¢ $4 $0 11-01 16:55
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? No +36 $2 4¢ $2 $0 10-31 10:40
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? No +35 $3 4¢ $1 -$1 10-31 07:07
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? No +5 $0 2¢ $0 $0 11-02 04:04
Will Al Nassr Club win on 2026-11-02? No — +9 $0 0¢ $0 $0 11-02 15:28