(anonymous) 0xfaf680…02cc47
whale hot 11W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$124.1K
Unrealized P&L
-$8.86K
Hit rate
90.4%
Resolved
444
Trades
6,789
lifetime
Volume
$5.14M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$757
Open exposure
$189.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-16
last 10-27 16:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 103 days
Categories
Other
47% 94% +$108,097
Politics
46% 92% +$25,525
Sports
7% 83% -$10,265
Tech
1% 100% +$766
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 324 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +39,383 $37,012 97¢ $38.1K +$1,052 10-18 05:39
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +25,046 $23,785 97¢ $24.2K +$447 10-01 21:35
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No +22,045 $20,992 95¢ $21.0K +$50 10-26 19:16
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +17,494 $15,873 92¢ $16.0K +$134 10-26 03:34
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +14,575 $14,210 100¢ $14.5K +$321 09-29 13:58
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +13,105 $10,958 92¢ $12.0K +$1,032 09-18 21:39
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +7,974 $7,747 100¢ $7.9K +$198 10-07 20:44
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +7,590 $5,521 82¢ $6.3K +$741 10-12 23:09
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +10,000 $7,700 57¢ $5.8K -$1,950 07-02 06:21
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +5,332 $5,278 100¢ $5.3K +$40 10-11 22:46
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +4,172 $3,504 96¢ $4.0K +$480 10-27 15:48
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,603 $3,217 86¢ $3.1K -$136 10-03 17:56
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No +3,333 $2,900 92¢ $3.0K +$150 09-23 03:31
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? No +3,334 $3,034 90¢ $3.0K -$33 10-20 14:47
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +3,313 $2,948 86¢ $2.8K -$116 10-05 07:35
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +3,479 $3,067 80¢ $2.8K -$301 08-25 23:15
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +3,333 $3,143 79¢ $2.6K -$513 09-19 13:27
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +3,430 $1,837 70¢ $2.4K +$547 09-22 11:57
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +3,320 $2,623 66¢ $2.2K -$448 09-22 07:55
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? Yes +2,067 $1,930 96¢ $2.0K +$62 10-14 04:37
France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026? No +1,727 $1,561 100¢ $1.7K +$163 10-19 20:55
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,671 $1,538 92¢ $1.5K -$8 10-26 03:23
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +1,667 $1,300 80¢ $1.3K +$42 08-23 23:46
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +1,374 $1,297 97¢ $1.3K +$30 10-05 09:43
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +22,762 $11,914 4¢ $1.0K -$10,890 10-27 16:12
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1,037 $891 92¢ $959 +$67 09-11 12:56
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? Yes — +1,129 $960 80¢ $898 -$62 09-18 03:01
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +1,155 $903 65¢ $749 -$154 09-22 22:22
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? Yes +679 $618 92¢ $624 +$7 08-30 23:42
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +861 $408 69¢ $594 +$185 10-25 04:23