Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$247

Unrealized P&L

-$313

Hit rate

60.7%

Resolved

Trades

172

lifetime

Volume

$5.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

$449

9 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 11-02 15:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Politics

44% 67% +$115

Other

44% 40% +$10

Sports

10% 47% +$117

Tech

2% 67% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+6,667	$200	2¢	$120	-$80	08-07 18:23
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	+1,786	$250	4¢	$80	-$170	11-02 15:58
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-1,333	-$19	6¢	$-80	-$61	06-27 16:58
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-370	-$74	17¢	$-64	+$10	06-25 17:10
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?	No	+64	$58	96¢	$62	+$3	07-15 13:27
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-250	-$13	11¢	$-26	-$13	06-25 17:10
Will National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?	Yes	+16	$8	75¢	$12	+$4	07-01 23:40
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?	No	+16	$7	14¢	$2	-$5	07-01 23:40
will trump visit north korea by december 31	Yes	+64	$3	3¢	$2	-$1	07-15 13:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	4	$741	1,241	1,241	+0	No	-$59	01-14 23:24
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	3	$655	500	500	+0	Team Spirit	+$335	08-23 13:30
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?	3	$282	299	0	+299	No	+$17	07-15 13:27
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	1	$250	1,786	0	+1,786	open	—	11-02 15:58
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	2	$244	435	435	+0	No	+$44	01-14 20:33
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	2	$222	308	308	+0	No	-$178	01-17 11:56
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?	1	$200	474	0	+474	No	-$200	10-22 15:14
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	1	$200	6,667	0	+6,667	open	—	08-07 18:23
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	3	$158	162	0	+162	No	+$5	07-16 12:01
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	3	$150	204	0	+204	No	+$54	07-15 14:28
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$145	210	0	+210	Yes	-$145	07-14 23:15
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	2	$135	147	147	+0	open	—	06-25 17:10
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	5	$129	150	1	+149	No	+$22	07-17 05:43
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	3	$129	162	0	+162	No	+$33	07-16 12:01
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	1	$121	0	357	-357	No	+$121	01-13 17:24
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	6	$110	151	1	+149	No	+$42	07-17 05:43
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$100	0	1,000	-1,000	No	+$100	01-17 11:56
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	1	$100	256	0	+256	Spain	-$100	07-14 19:23
Will Haley Stevens win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?	2	$88	98	0	+98	No	+$10	07-15 14:29
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	1	$82	0	389	-389	No	+$82	01-17 11:56
Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group I?	1	$80	102	0	+102	No	+$22	07-14 20:11
Will Haley Stevens win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%?	2	$75	98	0	+98	No	+$23	07-15 14:29
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$74	0	370	-370	open	—	06-25 17:10
us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	1	$68	0	1,000	-1,000	No	+$68	01-13 17:24
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?	1	$58	64	0	+64	open	—	07-15 13:27
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	4	$57	150	1	+149	Yes	-$56	07-17 05:43
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$55	210	0	+210	Yes	+$155	07-14 23:15
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 23, 2026?	1	$50	345	0	+345	No	-$50	10-22 15:13
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	1	$50	507	0	+507	No	-$50	10-22 14:01
Will Joseph Chaplik win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 5–10%?	1	$49	60	0	+60	No	+$11	07-17 07:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 15:58:36	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,786	14¢	$250	0x048ee8…
10-23 21:48:48	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0x962584…
10-23 21:48:48	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x675b9d…
10-23 21:48:47	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$1	0xd2d8f9…
10-23 21:48:47	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xc07484…
10-23 21:48:47	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x1a4e72…
10-22 15:14:14	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	474	42¢	$200	0xf377c2…
10-22 15:13:56	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	345	14¢	$50	0x856c9e…
10-22 14:01:24	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	507	10¢	$50	0x91d70d…
10-20 22:14:20	Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	16	6¢	$1	0xbad05f…
10-20 22:14:20	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?	No	SELL	15	28¢	$4	0xb96da7…
10-20 22:14:20	Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	9¢	$1	0xb55385…
10-20 22:14:20	Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	40¢	$6	0x0c2631…
10-20 22:14:18	Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0xcca52a…
10-20 22:14:18	Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xa3f341…
10-20 22:14:18	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?	No	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x93e465…
10-20 22:14:18	Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	43¢	$7	0x1ac7f4…
10-18 16:02:21	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	14	4¢	$1	0xd718f8…
10-18 16:02:15	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	26	4¢	$1	0xbaf567…
10-18 16:02:11	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xfade1c…
10-18 16:02:05	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x8bc5bb…
10-18 16:02:00	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x8ef2bc…
10-18 16:01:56	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0x6ebcb6…
10-18 16:01:51	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	52	5¢	$3	0xea88c9…
10-18 16:01:47	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	17	9¢	$2	0x1d7fff…
10-18 16:01:41	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0x94975c…
10-18 16:01:36	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xae5969…
10-18 16:01:32	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x9a6512…
10-18 16:01:27	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x519330…
10-18 16:01:21	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0xbed959…
10-18 16:01:18	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0xe03b84…
08-23 13:30:51	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	Team Spirit	SELL	500	99¢	$495	0xa1acc8…
08-23 13:22:54	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	496	32¢	$159	0xb7a91d…
08-23 13:22:54	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x28511d…
08-07 18:23:15	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	6,667	3¢	$200	0xfad3dd…
07-17 07:09:18	Will Joseph Chaplik be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?	Yes	BUY	60	10¢	$6	0xa20892…
07-17 07:09:18	Will Joseph Chaplik win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 5–10%?	No	BUY	60	81¢	$49	0x78e7ab…
07-17 05:43:22	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x85b378…
07-17 05:43:22	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x14fa62…
07-17 05:43:19	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	97	41¢	$40	0xe5ca59…
07-17 05:43:19	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	97	90¢	$88	0x767804…
07-17 05:43:19	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	97	64¢	$62	0x6dc5c5…
07-17 05:28:16	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0xc3b6eb…
07-17 05:28:13	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x28240a…
07-17 05:28:12	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x508fdd…
07-17 05:28:12	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x17cd09…
07-17 04:30:18	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 21, 2026?	No	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0x2b9d2f…
07-17 04:30:18	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 22, 2026?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x11ceaf…
07-17 04:30:16	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231	Yes	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0x5041ac…
07-17 04:30:16	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x3e12f6…
07-17 04:30:16	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?	No	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0x0b00b2…
07-17 04:30:13	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0xdc48a0…
07-17 04:30:13	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0x8d886c…
07-17 04:30:13	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231	Yes	BUY	6	59¢	$3	0x8385dd…
07-17 04:30:13	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x524063…
07-17 04:30:13	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 22, 2026?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0x2b56fc…
07-17 04:30:13	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 20, 2026?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x11e38b…
07-16 23:03:55	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0xa49cdb…
07-16 23:03:52	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x887029…
07-16 23:03:52	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	21¢	$2	0x59d23e…
07-16 22:30:46	Will the next Claude Opus model not be released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x91bc83…
07-16 22:30:46	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	Yes	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x28ae93…
07-16 22:29:37	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	40	43¢	$17	0x9a847d…
07-16 22:29:35	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 20, 2026?	No	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0x82b790…
07-16 12:01:58	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	60	78¢	$47	0xf847a6…
07-16 12:01:58	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	60	22¢	$13	0xbabe9a…
07-16 12:01:58	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x01661a…
07-16 08:31:44	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0xca26ee…
07-16 08:31:41	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	73	17¢	$12	0xf00efa…
07-16 08:31:40	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	72	98¢	$71	0xd152e0…
07-16 08:31:40	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	72	80¢	$58	0xada513…
07-15 22:05:13	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$29	0x47763f…
07-15 22:05:11	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xf8f3c4…
07-15 22:05:11	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0x71ae02…
07-15 14:29:07	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	SELL	0	32¢	$0	0xb51965…
07-15 14:29:04	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	38	33¢	$13	0xf56afb…
07-15 14:29:02	Will Haley Stevens win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?	No	BUY	38	90¢	$34	0x2ae403…
07-15 14:29:02	Will Haley Stevens win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%?	No	BUY	38	72¢	$27	0x0d7b57…
07-15 14:28:31	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in September?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xaa946a…
07-15 14:28:31	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x3b1901…
07-15 14:28:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	61	75¢	$46	0x98ad7a…
07-15 14:28:28	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?	Yes	BUY	61	11¢	$7	0x82d7fa…
07-15 14:28:28	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in July?	Yes	BUY	61	2¢	$1	0x593a24…
07-15 14:28:28	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in September?	Yes	BUY	61	8¢	$5	0x538f28…
07-15 13:27:22	Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xb6aa47…
07-15 13:27:17	Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?	No	BUY	105	94¢	$99	0xa1ccc5…
07-15 13:27:17	Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	105	1¢	$1	0x09655f…
07-15 13:27:11	Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?	No	BUY	64	91¢	$58	0xe463c6…
07-15 13:27:11	will trump visit north korea by december 31	Yes	BUY	64	4¢	$3	0x0c0a4c…
07-15 04:09:41	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x1a98ab…
07-15 04:09:37	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb50daf…
07-14 23:15:19	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	210	69¢	$145	0x98ded0…
07-14 23:15:17	Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	210	26¢	$55	0xf074cd…
07-14 20:11:16	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	0	19¢	$0	0xd5c649…
07-14 20:11:13	Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group I?	No	BUY	102	78¢	$80	0xc1c288…
07-14 20:11:13	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	102	20¢	$20	0x98e9ad…
07-14 19:23:46	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0x37dae7…
07-14 19:07:23	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in July?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xfb096d…
07-14 19:07:23	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x3289df…
07-14 19:07:20	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?	Yes	BUY	105	10¢	$10	0xba0182…