Realized P&L
+$10.6M
Unrealized P&L
+$173.8K
Hit rate
58.8%
Resolved
1,257
Trades
286,656
lifetime
Volume
$148.9M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$519
Open exposure
$2.43M
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-22
last 10-29 11:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 137 days
Categories
Other
65% 44% +$2,373,295
Sports
33% 47% +$8,290,203
Politics
2% 0% -$21,718
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2570 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +854,676 $606,844 86¢ $739.3K +$132,450 09-18 14:58
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +492,643 $319,517 66¢ $327.6K +$8,090 10-29 03:09
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +400,000 $268,000 68¢ $270.0K +$2,000 10-23 09:16
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +332,781 $235,822 72¢ $241.3K +$5,444 10-29 12:55
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +231,598 $216,232 94¢ $218.0K +$1,818 10-29 00:35
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +2,183,701 $172,361 8¢ $163.8K -$8,584 10-29 12:16
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +189,751 $64,469 34¢ $63.6K -$903 10-04 16:38
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +42,168 $41,409 99¢ $41.9K +$527 10-28 22:09
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? Yes +45,000 $40,050 91¢ $41.0K +$900 10-28 19:52
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +55,602 $36,373 68¢ $37.5K +$1,158 10-25 16:27
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +101,307 $25,193 30¢ $29.9K +$4,693 10-28 19:12
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +75,000 $23,250 32¢ $23.6K +$375 10-29 11:34
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +334,987 $23,018 6¢ $21.8K -$1,244 10-29 12:16
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +176,537 $15,413 12¢ $20.3K +$4,888 10-04 14:17
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes +2,562,908 $15,116 1¢ $19.2K +$4,106 10-24 02:23
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -49,229 -$20,762 38¢ $-18953 +$1,809 10-23 17:21
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +60,415 $15,216 30¢ $17.8K +$2,606 10-26 19:51
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +56,329 $17,449 32¢ $17.7K +$295 10-29 11:58
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +16,982 $15,600 94¢ $16.0K +$371 10-17 18:32
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +30,167 $12,369 46¢ $13.7K +$1,358 10-27 23:17
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +17,714 $12,751 72¢ $12.8K +$91 10-29 12:31
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +17,637 $12,319 70¢ $12.4K +$116 10-29 10:00
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +41,348 $5,789 28¢ $11.4K +$5,582 10-16 18:01
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +63,348 $10,167 18¢ $11.1K +$919 10-29 12:33
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +8,428 $5,048 90¢ $7.6K +$2,524 10-29 11:58
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +8,829 $7,063 84¢ $7.5K +$397 10-25 14:44
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes -221,296 -$7,821 3¢ $-7192 +$629 09-20 16:25
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +21,382 $7,270 32¢ $6.9K -$321 10-16 22:06
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -41,325 -$7,591 16¢ $-6405 +$1,186 10-29 04:08
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +31,800 $4,392 15¢ $4.9K +$521 10-28 03:08