Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5.30K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

83.1%

Resolved

Trades

150

lifetime

Volume

$18.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$124

Open exposure

$233

5 positions

First seen

2026-09-22

last 11-05 02:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Politics

100% 42% +$5,305

Other

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will PSOE receive 30% or more of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	+154	$137	78¢	$119	-$18	11-05 02:04
Will PSOE receive between 28% and 30% of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	+154	$90	71¢	$109	+$19	11-05 02:03
Will PSOE receive between 24% and 26% of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	+20	$3	10¢	$2	-$1	10-28 03:26
Will PSOE receive less than 24% of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	+20	$2	6¢	$1	-$1	10-28 03:26
Will Vox win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	+250	$1	0¢	$1	+$1	11-03 23:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?	5	$3.8K	3,972	0	+3,972	No	+$203	09-29 03:06
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	5	$2.5K	2,717	0	+2,717	No	+$174	10-04 17:27
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	10	$2.5K	4,787	0	+4,787	No	+$376	10-21 02:21
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	7	$1.4K	3,079	0	+3,079	No	+$801	10-21 02:21
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	7	$1.0K	3,972	0	+3,972	No	+$2,927	09-29 03:06
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 6%-9%?	1	$954	960	0	+960	open	—	11-04 05:53
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	3	$940	1,261	0	+1,261	Yes	-$940	09-28 21:13
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	4	$708	844	0	+844	Yes	-$708	10-21 18:14
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	7	$618	1,690	579	+1,111	No	+$736	10-25 02:57
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$504	551	0	+551	No	+$47	10-21 06:15
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	8	$489	2,941	1	+2,940	Yes	+$2,451	10-25 02:58
Will Democrats win exactly 11 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?	2	$293	331	0	+331	No	+$38	09-29 20:49
Will Democrats win 12 or more House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?	3	$289	331	0	+331	No	+$42	09-29 20:51
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$241	268	0	+268	Yes	-$241	10-09 22:15
Will Renan Santos qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	1	$221	222	0	+222	No	+$1	09-28 17:06
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?	1	$187	780	0	+780	No	-$187	10-10 00:46
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?	3	$176	1,462	0	+1,462	Yes	-$176	10-10 00:58
Will The Democrats win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	1	$174	218	0	+218	No	+$44	10-12 22:05
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?	2	$170	174	0	+174	Yes	+$4	10-09 22:05
Will Democrats win 6 or more House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?	4	$161	519	0	+519	Yes	+$358	10-30 12:31
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	2	$139	270	197	+73	No	+$15	10-15 00:41
Will PSOE receive 30% or more of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?	1	$137	154	0	+154	open	—	11-05 02:04
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	9	$133	4,790	0	+4,790	Yes	-$133	10-03 23:15
Will Otzma Yehudit win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	3	$120	132	0	+132	No	+$12	10-20 22:35
Will PSOE receive between 28% and 30% of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?	1	$90	154	0	+154	open	—	11-05 02:03
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	7	$84	4,735	0	+4,735	Yes	-$84	10-03 23:15
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$70	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	-$70	10-30 01:27
Will the PQ win fewer than 50 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	2	$62	205	0	+205	No	-$62	09-26 03:22
Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	1	$59	66	0	+66	No	+$7	10-09 02:28
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	6	$54	1,955	0	+1,955	No	-$54	10-20 02:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 02:34:43	Will Vox receive less than 16% of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	88	2¢	$2	0x77a0fe…
11-05 02:04:16	Will PSOE receive 30% or more of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	154	89¢	$137	0x2fb5e7…
11-05 02:03:54	Will PSOE receive between 28% and 30% of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	154	59¢	$90	0x39e53a…
11-04 05:53:12	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 6%-9%?	No	BUY	960	99¢	$954	0x4e3647…
11-03 23:12:01	Will Vox win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x1aa417…
11-01 22:06:48	Will Vox receive less than 16% of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	71	2¢	$1	0x64757e…
11-01 22:06:43	Will Vox receive between 16% and 18% of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	71	23¢	$16	0x748a3b…
11-01 21:46:46	Will Democrats win fewer than 8 House seats in Texas in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x067756…
10-30 12:31:43	Will Democrats win 6 or more House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	175	38¢	$66	0x7851e8…
10-30 01:27:34	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	1,000	7¢	$70	0xc4eea7…
10-29 20:56:51	Will Democrats win 6 or more House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	44	41¢	$18	0x11ad88…
10-28 15:19:58	Will Democrats win 6 or more House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	200	29¢	$59	0x9901f3…
10-28 03:26:12	Will PSOE receive less than 24% of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xb6f6d6…
10-28 03:26:12	Will PSOE receive between 24% and 26% of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x4113d5…
10-27 02:35:39	Will Democrats win 9 or more House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	49	28¢	$14	0x02d7a1…
10-25 02:58:11	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	BUY	586	30¢	$176	0xea1ef5…
10-25 02:57:59	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	No	SELL	579	31¢	$179	0x96016f…
10-25 02:45:50	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0xc3295f…
10-21 18:14:30	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	No	BUY	176	80¢	$141	0xdde61b…
10-21 15:28:29	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	No	BUY	272	80¢	$218	0x2a2890…
10-21 06:15:33	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	295	92¢	$271	0x7c4fbb…
10-21 02:24:17	Will Democrats win fewer than 8 House seats in Texas in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	177	1¢	$2	0x4bcba1…
10-21 02:21:20	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	No	BUY	43	64¢	$28	0x0e4d6d…
10-21 02:21:20	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x04d1df…
10-20 22:35:54	Will Otzma Yehudit win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	92	91¢	$84	0xd7bcd5…
10-20 19:08:35	Will Otzma Yehudit win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x382baf…
10-20 19:06:53	Will Otzma Yehudit win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x8d37db…
10-20 16:49:15	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	256	91¢	$233	0xce0412…
10-20 14:18:06	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	Yes	BUY	794	0¢	$2	0xe7b393…
10-20 14:18:05	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	794	0¢	$2	0xae0ae8…
10-20 14:18:02	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	794	1¢	$7	0x3af764…
10-20 14:09:54	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	Yes	BUY	900	0¢	$2	0x730ba3…
10-20 14:09:53	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	900	0¢	$2	0x7173ae…
10-20 14:09:53	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	900	1¢	$8	0x17229f…
10-20 02:04:00	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x9af821…
10-20 02:03:48	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xc8825c…
10-20 02:03:47	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x605b62…
10-20 02:00:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0xaec06b…
10-20 02:00:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0xf1d365…
10-20 02:00:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$13	0xe1dc16…
10-20 01:58:51	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0xa8d96a…
10-20 01:58:50	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$13	0xa14846…
10-20 01:58:48	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0x51f2a8…
10-20 01:58:05	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0xaba01d…
10-20 01:58:05	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$13	0x521801…
10-20 01:58:03	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0x5ebcb2…
10-20 01:54:15	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	210	26¢	$55	0x3919bf…
10-20 01:54:15	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	Yes	BUY	210	2¢	$5	0x328c4d…
10-20 01:54:15	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	210	6¢	$14	0x1e5ccd…
10-15 00:42:41	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	No	BUY	86	86¢	$74	0x9133f3…
10-15 00:41:19	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	SELL	197	39¢	$77	0xbb0a9a…
10-12 22:05:24	Will The Democrats win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	218	80¢	$174	0xa6c3a2…
10-12 20:36:32	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	BUY	116	13¢	$15	0xa6cfdc…
10-12 20:36:29	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	BUY	116	84¢	$97	0xf51747…
10-11 19:52:16	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	24	30¢	$7	0xccd102…
10-10 21:40:31	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	BUY	1,280	9¢	$121	0x64041c…
10-10 02:02:33	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?	No	BUY	156	25¢	$39	0x3f2140…
10-10 00:58:29	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?	No	BUY	521	12¢	$65	0x48bf86…
10-10 00:49:17	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?	No	BUY	511	10¢	$51	0xa0186c…
10-10 00:46:22	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?	Yes	BUY	780	24¢	$187	0x90e6be…
10-09 22:15:17	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	268	90¢	$241	0x112cee…
10-09 22:05:01	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?	Yes	BUY	160	98¢	$156	0x931228…
10-09 22:04:58	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?	Yes	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x21e641…
10-09 17:40:26	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	No	BUY	310	89¢	$276	0x27cd2c…
10-09 05:08:59	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x6a6401…
10-09 05:08:54	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x4f28ab…
10-09 02:52:18	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	No	BUY	255	21¢	$54	0x07d277…
10-09 02:38:57	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	270	1¢	$3	0xc625ea…
10-09 02:38:45	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	270	23¢	$62	0x1cf777…
10-09 02:28:14	Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	66	90¢	$59	0xc7d9e2…
10-09 02:09:50	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	BUY	2,789	83¢	$2,326	0xe8eba4…
10-09 02:06:26	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	BUY	341	19¢	$64	0x6d941a…
10-08 20:53:20	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	No	BUY	500	22¢	$110	0x64b057…
10-08 20:53:11	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	No	BUY	85	21¢	$18	0x5ac4e4…
10-08 19:29:57	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?	No	BUY	430	14¢	$61	0xdb9828…
10-08 19:28:30	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xda9e7e…
10-08 18:43:09	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	BUY	86	20¢	$17	0x3fb4c5…
10-08 18:14:23	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	No	BUY	160	21¢	$34	0x09e726…
10-07 23:17:34	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	No	BUY	574	22¢	$126	0xb0f3e7…
10-07 21:38:45	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	No	BUY	2,126	52¢	$1,104	0x518917…
10-07 21:33:18	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	BUY	141	13¢	$18	0x7d7efe…
10-07 19:28:06	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	BUY	390	20¢	$78	0xdcae01…
10-07 17:11:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	Yes	BUY	1,045	3¢	$33	0x0fa194…
10-07 17:11:16	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	891	3¢	$26	0xf3dad2…
10-07 17:11:16	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x44c149…
10-07 17:11:16	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	144	3¢	$4	0x3f5709…
10-07 15:08:43	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	216	1¢	$1	0xff23d5…
10-07 15:08:43	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	Yes	BUY	216	1¢	$2	0x1b7836…
10-07 06:19:53	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	Yes	BUY	264	1¢	$2	0x7e8f5b…
10-07 06:19:33	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	570	0¢	$2	0x3a567b…
10-07 06:19:18	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	Yes	BUY	306	0¢	$1	0x875fd7…
10-04 17:27:31	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	BUY	277	94¢	$261	0xf4e9c3…
10-04 04:30:46	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	BUY	266	92¢	$246	0x66bced…
10-03 23:15:31	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	BUY	81	95¢	$77	0x790fc5…
10-03 23:15:29	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	BUY	81	3¢	$2	0xc160f9…
10-03 23:15:29	Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	BUY	81	2¢	$1	0x5d1059…
09-29 20:51:32	Will Democrats win 12 or more House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	35	89¢	$31	0x6f7b65…
09-29 20:49:24	Will Democrats win 12 or more House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	170	86¢	$147	0x439a64…
09-29 20:49:23	Will Democrats win exactly 11 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	205	88¢	$181	0x06e5f1…
09-29 20:43:53	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	BUY	713	3¢	$22	0xa03f20…