Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
open
Total volume
$19,388
$969 in 24h
Trades
374
Unique wallets
105
Liquidity
$17,920
Latest YES mid
84¢
Latest NO mid
16¢
End date
2026-10-04
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-15 11:53
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-84.5¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $365
vs crowd: 86% YES on $10.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 11 | $1.0K | $544 | +$503 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $2.8K | $23 | +$2.8K |
| 🐟 Fish | 18 | $3.9K | $45 | +$3.9K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 67 | $1.2K | $864 | +$350 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $5 | $360 | $355 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $44 | $125 | $81 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $1.4K | $9 | +$1.4K |
| Median | 11 | $2.8K | $47 | +$2.8K |
| Below median | 19 | $715 | $5 | +$710 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $1.7K | — | +$1.7K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $1.1K | $49 | +$1.0K |
| unranked | 53 | $1.2K | $879 | +$335 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | Yes | +2,079 | $1,705 | $1,705 | 5 | 06-13 16:03 |
| Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | +1,641 | $1,289 | $3,791 | 38 | 06-15 09:54 |
| Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | No | +1,392 | $252 | $468 | 26 | 06-15 11:48 |
| Dental-Liquid 0x7f9e…3a0e | Yes | +1,126 | $944 | $944 | 3 | 06-15 11:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe70…443a | No | +676 | $196 | $196 | 1 | 06-01 04:07 |
| Crazykekbr 0x300f…d366 | Yes | +547 | $402 | $402 | 1 | 06-01 13:30 |
| Adept-Wish 0x856b…f305 | No | +500 | $95 | $95 | 1 | 06-12 01:30 |
| Overcooked-Almond 0x238d…70d8 | Yes | +478 | $358 | $358 | 1 | 05-29 01:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | +422 | $79 | $172 | 28 | 06-15 11:48 |
| Likely-Fugato 0x3038…9368 | Yes | +280 | $221 | $221 | 3 | 06-11 18:35 |
| Pointless-Bureau 0x9315…16c9 | Yes | +244 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-12 12:15 |
| Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35 | No | +223 | $33 | $33 | 2 | 06-15 11:48 |
| Unwelcome-Fig 0xc46f…3130 | Yes | +200 | $144 | $144 | 1 | 06-01 02:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x0445…c3e1 | Yes | +154 | $120 | $120 | 1 | 06-06 17:34 |
| Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35…1a6c | Yes | +100 | $75 | $75 | 1 | 06-05 14:17 |
| Vigilant-Enclave-Absence 0xc0bf…b4cd | No | +100 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 06-01 16:21 |
| Prize-Monastery 0xcd76…77bd | No | +100 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-09 19:18 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +90 | $16 | $16 | 3 | 06-15 11:53 |
| Daring-Blinker 0x755d…6acc | Yes | +60 | $44 | $44 | 3 | 06-06 02:46 |
| Whopping-Thickness 0xe958…1aba | No | +53 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-10 14:14 |
| sohperde_69_420 0xebed…04c2 | Yes | +41 | $31 | $31 | 2 | 06-13 05:39 |
| Gargantuan-Bridge 0x47bf…c6bb | Yes | +40 | $33 | $33 | 2 | 06-14 17:32 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +39 | $9 | $10 | 4 | 06-12 12:20 |
| Hard-Shofar 0x544e…7d51 | No | +37 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-29 16:57 |
| Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | +30 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 06-02 17:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x58a0…4ddf | No | +29 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-13 16:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x28b8…5e00 | No | +25 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-15 11:48 |
| Weary-Fencing 0x90a9…1bf1 | Yes | +24 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-15 11:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xe63e…3204 | Yes | +23 | $17 | $17 | 4 | 06-01 16:21 |
| Virtual-Ear 0x36b6…e523 | Yes | +20 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-30 16:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x21fa…04ba | Yes | +20 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 06-10 12:21 |
| Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | +14 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-01 21:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x2160…4c78 | No | +13 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-15 11:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x8342…c2ad | No | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-12 12:57 |
| Kindly-Species 0x6104…62f1 | No | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-02 19:51 |
| Dependent-Narrative 0x33fe…d8d0 | Yes | +8 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 06-05 19:00 |
| Coordinated-Try 0x0bbf…3809 | Yes | +8 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 06-05 18:59 |
| Reckless-Entrance 0x584f…2faa | Yes | +8 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 06-06 02:34 |
| Unfolded-Meme 0x7b05…9f01 | Yes | +8 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 06-05 19:01 |
| Rowdy-Novel 0xb2b9…86b4 | Yes | +8 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 06-05 19:00 |
| Shimmering-Mare 0x2ae7…2419 | Yes | +8 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 06-05 18:59 |
| Flowery-Inscription 0x5352…388f | Yes | +8 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 06-06 02:29 |
| Bland-Birthday 0x0740…8a92 | Yes | +8 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 06-06 02:28 |
| Hungry-Flan 0xb25f…4724 | Yes | +8 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 06-06 02:28 |
| These-Length 0x7c36…357f | Yes | +8 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 06-05 21:04 |
| Weak-Devastation 0xd2f2…6cec | Yes | +8 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 06-05 20:56 |
| Quixotic-Average 0xbbef…9838 | Yes | +8 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 06-05 20:58 |
| Costly-Quart 0x480f…7c91 | No | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 19:33 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 11:53:13 | Weary-Fencing 0x90a9…1bf1 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 85¢ | $20 | 0x11384a… |
| 06-15 11:53:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 85¢ | $6 | 0x11384a… |
| 06-15 11:53:13 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | BUY | 2 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x095dcb… |
| 06-15 11:53:13 | Thoughtful-Visa 0x2df2…9dca | Yes | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0x095dcb… |
| 06-15 11:53:13 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | BUY | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x11384a… |
| 06-15 11:48:57 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | SELL | 12 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xc7a9b7… |
| 06-15 11:48:57 | (anonymous) 0x28b8…5e00 | No | BUY | 12 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xc7a9b7… |
| 06-15 11:48:46 | (anonymous) 0x28b8…5e00 | No | BUY | 12 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xda0465… |
| 06-15 11:48:46 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | SELL | 12 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xda0465… |
| 06-15 11:48:24 | (anonymous) 0x2160…4c78 | No | BUY | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xf65e54… |
| 06-15 11:48:24 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 7 | 84¢ | $6 | 0xf65e54… |
| 06-15 11:48:24 | (anonymous) 0x0bc5…8b88 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x60cc1b… |
| 06-15 11:48:24 | Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35 | No | BUY | 1 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x60cc1b… |
| 06-15 11:48:24 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | BUY | 1 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x60cc1b… |
| 06-15 11:48:22 | (anonymous) 0x2160…4c78 | No | BUY | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x7cbe6c… |
| 06-15 11:48:22 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 84¢ | $8 | 0x23d494… |
| 06-15 11:48:22 | Dental-Liquid 0x7f9e…3a0e | Yes | BUY | 644 | 85¢ | $547 | 0x23d494… |
| 06-15 11:48:22 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 7 | 84¢ | $6 | 0x7cbe6c… |
| 06-15 11:48:22 | Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35 | No | BUY | 222 | 15¢ | $33 | 0x23d494… |
| 06-15 11:48:22 | Juvenile-Ballet 0xf8b0…ac2a | Yes | SELL | 44 | 85¢ | $38 | 0x23d494… |
| 06-15 11:48:22 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | No | BUY | 222 | 15¢ | $33 | 0x23d494… |
| 06-15 11:48:22 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | BUY | 6 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x23d494… |
| 06-15 09:54:51 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 84¢ | $42 | 0xa73cb8… |
| 06-15 09:54:51 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | No | BUY | 11 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xa73cb8… |
| 06-15 09:54:51 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | SELL | 39 | 84¢ | $33 | 0xa73cb8… |
| 06-15 03:21:43 | (anonymous) 0x843d…814e | Yes | SELL | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0xbe9c4b… |
| 06-15 03:21:43 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0xbe9c4b… |
| 06-14 17:32:19 | Gargantuan-Bridge 0x47bf…c6bb | Yes | BUY | 30 | 84¢ | $25 | 0x23f548… |
| 06-14 17:32:19 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 84¢ | $25 | 0x23f548… |
| 06-13 16:03:10 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | Yes | BUY | 29 | 83¢ | $24 | 0x06c2ac… |
| 06-13 16:03:10 | (anonymous) 0x58a0…4ddf | No | BUY | 29 | 17¢ | $5 | 0x06c2ac… |
| 06-13 06:14:18 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | No | BUY | 80 | 17¢ | $14 | 0xe20d36… |
| 06-13 06:14:18 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 56 | 82¢ | $46 | 0xe20d36… |
| 06-13 06:14:18 | (anonymous) 0x5e9e…5f7f | No | SELL | 348 | 18¢ | $61 | 0xe20d36… |
| 06-13 06:14:18 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | BUY | 89 | 17¢ | $15 | 0xe20d36… |
| 06-13 05:39:40 | sohperde_69_420 0xebed…04c2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 81¢ | $8 | 0x4307f2… |
| 06-13 05:39:40 | Opulent-Sentencing 0x162f…978f | No | SELL | 124 | 20¢ | $25 | 0x4307f2… |
| 06-13 05:39:40 | (anonymous) 0x258a…46bd | No | SELL | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x4307f2… |
| 06-13 05:39:40 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 81¢ | $45 | 0x4307f2… |
| 06-13 05:39:40 | (anonymous) 0xe561…10f1 | Yes | SELL | 215 | 81¢ | $173 | 0x4307f2… |
| 06-13 05:39:40 | (anonymous) 0x843d…814e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0x4307f2… |
| 06-13 00:56:57 | Dishonest-Warming 0x7acd…ae09 | Yes | SELL | 151 | 83¢ | $126 | 0x91e4fc… |
| 06-13 00:56:57 | Tall-Titanium 0xc291…0ef5 | No | SELL | 293 | 17¢ | $50 | 0x91e4fc… |
| 06-13 00:56:57 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | No | BUY | 142 | 17¢ | $24 | 0x91e4fc… |
| 06-12 16:19:54 | Dishonest-Warming 0x7acd…ae09 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0xe1c2ae… |
| 06-12 16:19:54 | Sick-Bugle-Cooperation 0xd2df…e29c | No | SELL | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xe1c2ae… |
| 06-12 14:16:48 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 82¢ | $8 | 0x117804… |
| 06-12 14:16:48 | (anonymous) 0x99fe…5705 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 82¢ | $8 | 0x117804… |
| 06-12 14:00:15 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | Yes | SELL | 1,000 | 82¢ | $820 | 0x0f6ef9… |
| 06-12 14:00:15 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | Yes | BUY | 640 | 82¢ | $525 | 0x0f6ef9… |
| 06-12 12:57:40 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | Yes | SELL | 1,000 | 82¢ | $820 | 0x848862… |
| 06-12 12:57:40 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 11 | 82¢ | $9 | 0x848862… |
| 06-12 12:57:40 | (anonymous) 0x8342…c2ad | No | BUY | 10 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x848862… |
| 06-12 12:57:40 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | Yes | BUY | 1,040 | 82¢ | $852 | 0x848862… |
| 06-12 12:20:45 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 1 | 19¢ | $0 | 0xcaf790… |
| 06-12 12:20:45 | (anonymous) 0x99fe…5705 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0xcaf790… |
| 06-12 12:15:13 | Pointless-Bureau 0x9315…16c9 | Yes | BUY | 244 | 82¢ | $200 | 0x99f583… |
| 06-12 12:15:13 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | Yes | SELL | 244 | 82¢ | $200 | 0x99f583… |
| 06-12 01:30:51 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 81¢ | $405 | 0xad030a… |
| 06-12 01:30:51 | Adept-Wish 0x856b…f305 | No | BUY | 500 | 19¢ | $95 | 0xad030a… |
| 06-11 21:17:25 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0xd5074d… |
| 06-11 21:17:25 | Robust-Secret 0x2f88…0111 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 81¢ | $29 | 0xd5074d… |
| 06-11 21:17:25 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 81¢ | $13 | 0xd5074d… |
| 06-11 18:39:25 | Opulent-Sentencing 0x162f…978f | No | SELL | 473 | 20¢ | $95 | 0xe184f9… |
| 06-11 18:39:25 | Robust-Secret 0x2f88…0111 | Yes | SELL | 473 | 80¢ | $378 | 0xe184f9… |
| 06-11 18:35:15 | Robust-Secret 0x2f88…0111 | Yes | SELL | 179 | 81¢ | $145 | 0x6f09be… |
| 06-11 18:35:15 | Likely-Fugato 0x3038…9368 | Yes | BUY | 179 | 81¢ | $145 | 0x6f09be… |
| 06-11 17:50:31 | Likely-Fugato 0x3038…9368 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0x0ded1f… |
| 06-11 17:50:31 | (anonymous) 0x99fe…5705 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0x0ded1f… |
| 06-11 17:38:09 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | Yes | SELL | 145 | 82¢ | $119 | 0xb12e8d… |
| 06-11 17:38:09 | Harmful-Fiction 0xf0a2…a2e1 | No | SELL | 145 | 18¢ | $26 | 0xb12e8d… |
| 06-10 22:19:01 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 81¢ | $15 | 0x6a7f81… |
| 06-10 22:19:01 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 81¢ | $15 | 0x6a7f81… |
| 06-10 20:33:30 | Untidy-Carload 0x6cf7…2697 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x72ab27… |
| 06-10 20:33:30 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | Yes | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x72ab27… |
| 06-10 20:18:00 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 81¢ | $2 | 0x794d6d… |
| 06-10 20:18:00 | (anonymous) 0x99fe…5705 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 81¢ | $2 | 0x794d6d… |
| 06-10 14:14:55 | Whopping-Thickness 0xe958…1aba | No | BUY | 53 | 19¢ | $10 | 0xd4fca0… |
| 06-10 14:14:55 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | BUY | 53 | 81¢ | $43 | 0xd4fca0… |
| 06-10 12:21:37 | (anonymous) 0x21fa…04ba | Yes | BUY | 8 | 81¢ | $6 | 0x5b2c7a… |
| 06-10 12:21:37 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 81¢ | $49 | 0x5b2c7a… |
| 06-10 12:21:37 | Dim-Underwriting 0x91e5…0947 | Yes | SELL | 76 | 81¢ | $61 | 0x5b2c7a… |
| 06-10 06:42:10 | (anonymous) 0x21fa…04ba | Yes | BUY | 12 | 82¢ | $10 | 0xe033d5… |
| 06-10 06:42:10 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | Yes | SELL | 12 | 82¢ | $10 | 0xe033d5… |
| 06-10 06:19:30 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | Yes | SELL | 184 | 82¢ | $151 | 0x0d8007… |
| 06-10 06:19:30 | Robust-Secret 0x2f88…0111 | Yes | BUY | 184 | 82¢ | $151 | 0x0d8007… |
| 06-10 06:14:22 | Robust-Secret 0x2f88…0111 | Yes | BUY | 184 | 82¢ | $151 | 0x47c77f… |
| 06-10 06:14:22 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | Yes | SELL | 184 | 82¢ | $151 | 0x47c77f… |
| 06-10 05:59:09 | Robust-Secret 0x2f88…0111 | Yes | BUY | 184 | 82¢ | $151 | 0x717ca9… |
| 06-10 05:59:09 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | Yes | SELL | 184 | 82¢ | $151 | 0x717ca9… |
| 06-10 04:57:34 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | BUY | 80 | 18¢ | $14 | 0xf77802… |
| 06-10 04:57:34 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0xf77802… |
| 06-10 04:57:34 | Robust-Secret 0x2f88…0111 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 82¢ | $82 | 0xf77802… |
| 06-10 04:52:31 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | BUY | 62 | 81¢ | $50 | 0x33a930… |
| 06-10 04:52:31 | Robust-Secret 0x2f88…0111 | Yes | SELL | 62 | 81¢ | $50 | 0x33a930… |
| 06-09 22:17:04 | (anonymous) 0x99fe…5705 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 81¢ | $8 | 0xf0be20… |
| 06-09 22:17:04 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 81¢ | $8 | 0xf0be20… |
| 06-09 19:18:06 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | BUY | 120 | 81¢ | $97 | 0x55197f… |
| 06-09 19:18:06 | Prize-Monastery 0xcd76…77bd | No | BUY | 100 | 19¢ | $19 | 0x55197f… |
| 06-09 19:18:06 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0x55197f… |