Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
open
Total volume
$46,188
$969 in 24h
Trades
1,012
Unique wallets
240
Liquidity
$17,920
Latest YES mid
93¢
Latest NO mid
7¢
End date
2026-10-04
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-27 22:56
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-51.5¢
(top1%: 37% YES on $1.4K
vs crowd: 88% YES on $29.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 16 | $10.6K | $1.7K | +$8.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 26 | $10.8K | $102 | +$10.7K |
| 🐟 Fish | 46 | $3.5K | $80 | +$3.4K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 152 | $1.3K | $1.7K | $374 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $505 | $871 | $366 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 14 | $7.5K | $304 | +$7.2K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 10 | $3.8K | $21 | +$3.8K |
| Median | 29 | $5.8K | $74 | +$5.8K |
| Below median | 39 | $845 | $32 | +$813 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $27 | $18 | +$9 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 10 | $2.8K | $31 | +$2.7K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $1.2K | $472 | +$747 |
| unranked | 122 | $3.7K | $1.7K | +$2.0K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | No | +8,230 | $763 | $979 | 40 | 07-19 19:16 |
| Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | Yes | +5,736 | $5,463 | $5,463 | 11 | 07-21 18:54 |
| Vigilant-Enclave-Absence 0xc0bf…b4cd | No | +3,632 | $435 | $435 | 7 | 06-29 18:36 |
| Dental-Liquid 0x7f9e…3a0e | Yes | +3,630 | $3,080 | $3,410 | 6 | 07-09 03:43 |
| Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | +3,502 | $2,971 | $7,014 | 82 | 07-27 21:34 |
| Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35 | No | +3,310 | $442 | $442 | 15 | 06-18 13:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe56…9be6 | No | +3,129 | $172 | $172 | 14 | 07-26 16:37 |
| Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | Yes | +2,885 | $2,414 | $2,414 | 15 | 07-25 18:38 |
| Humble-Vestment 0x9fd4…325c | Yes | +2,162 | $2,000 | $2,000 | 1 | 07-01 06:12 |
| Unwelcome-Fig 0xc46f…3130 | Yes | +1,208 | $1,031 | $1,031 | 2 | 06-26 19:43 |
| Emotional-Shakedown 0x30fc…510d | No | +1,000 | $120 | $120 | 1 | 06-26 19:43 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | +812 | $505 | $505 | 2 | 07-19 19:40 |
| Handy-Grasshopper 0x4fc1…ec92 | Yes | +746 | $713 | $713 | 2 | 07-16 20:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe70…443a | No | +676 | $196 | $196 | 1 | 06-01 04:07 |
| Overcooked-Almond 0x238d…70d8 | Yes | +478 | $358 | $358 | 1 | 05-29 01:58 |
| Likely-Fugato 0x3038…9368 | Yes | +375 | $304 | $304 | 11 | 07-09 15:18 |
| Pointless-Bureau 0x9315…16c9 | Yes | +244 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-12 12:15 |
| Calm-Locomotive 0x6747…a64f | Yes | +200 | $189 | $189 | 2 | 07-19 19:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | Yes | +173 | $167 | $385 | 10 | 07-21 08:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xedc4…be57 | No | +167 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-03 02:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | +149 | $63 | $463 | 127 | 07-27 22:56 |
| Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | No | +122 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 07-09 03:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xf040…d11f | Yes | +115 | $111 | $111 | 1 | 07-09 02:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x0445…c3e1 | Yes | +110 | $79 | $161 | 6 | 07-20 18:18 |
| Prize-Monastery 0xcd76…77bd | No | +100 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-09 19:18 |
| Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | Yes | +100 | $86 | $86 | 15 | 06-24 03:03 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +90 | $16 | $16 | 3 | 06-15 11:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x9332…5d34 | No | +88 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-05 13:03 |
| Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | +83 | $69 | $69 | 5 | 07-22 01:05 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | +80 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 07-19 22:08 |
| Guilty-Trail 0xae58…e5c5 | Yes | +77 | $73 | $73 | 5 | 07-27 03:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x220d…636d | No | +74 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-24 11:12 |
| Faint-Brass 0xd035…f165 | No | +66 | $11 | $19 | 5 | 07-26 16:37 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +62 | $8 | $27 | 19 | 07-27 10:12 |
| Daring-Blinker 0x755d…6acc | Yes | +60 | $44 | $44 | 3 | 06-06 02:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x7ce4…bb27 | Yes | +58 | $55 | $55 | 1 | 07-21 15:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x7f31…72ed | Yes | +58 | $55 | $55 | 1 | 07-23 00:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x2d37…b653 | Yes | +57 | $53 | $53 | 3 | 07-26 14:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x3677…c090 | Yes | +57 | $55 | $55 | 2 | 07-27 10:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc0d…d3a5 | No | +55 | $10 | $10 | 3 | 07-19 22:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xf399…6bf5 | Yes | +53 | $51 | $51 | 2 | 07-21 10:52 |
| Whopping-Thickness 0xe958…1aba | No | +53 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-10 14:14 |
| Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | +49 | $6 | $6 | 4 | 07-19 22:55 |
| Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | No | +48 | $7 | $7 | 4 | 07-19 22:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x99d0…cee8 | No | +46 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-22 01:05 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | No | +45 | $5 | $7 | 12 | 07-19 22:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x0640…5ea2 | No | +43 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-12 00:12 |
| Gargantuan-Bridge 0x47bf…c6bb | Yes | +40 | $33 | $33 | 2 | 06-14 17:32 |
| Content-Lunchroom 0xb1c4…293d | No | +39 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-17 10:33 |
| Hard-Shofar 0x544e…7d51 | No | +37 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-29 16:57 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +35 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-19 22:55 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +25 | $60 | $485 | 26 | 07-22 01:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xe63e…3204 | Yes | +23 | $17 | $17 | 4 | 06-01 16:21 |
| Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | +18 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-19 22:55 |
| Intent-Property 0x57f5…c1c9 | No | +17 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-27 08:32 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 22:56:24 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | BUY | 59 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x183fd8… |
| 07-27 22:56:24 | Pertinent-Vengeance 0x0275…b936 | No | SELL | 59 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x183fd8… |
| 07-27 21:34:18 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x05e6b0… |
| 07-27 21:34:18 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | No | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x05e6b0… |
| 07-27 10:12:55 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 11 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x3e1589… |
| 07-27 10:12:55 | (anonymous) 0x3677…c090 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x3e1589… |
| 07-27 03:13:40 | Guilty-Trail 0xae58…e5c5 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 95¢ | $18 | 0xdd06f9… |
| 07-27 03:13:40 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 19 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xdd06f9… |
| 07-27 01:46:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xc4fa0f… |
| 07-27 01:46:13 | Guilty-Trail 0xae58…e5c5 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 95¢ | $18 | 0xc4fa0f… |
| 07-27 01:46:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 11 | 95¢ | $11 | 0xc4fa0f… |
| 07-26 23:34:42 | Guilty-Trail 0xae58…e5c5 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 96¢ | $18 | 0x0f4b68… |
| 07-26 23:34:42 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 19 | 96¢ | $18 | 0x0f4b68… |
| 07-26 16:37:49 | (anonymous) 0xfe56…9be6 | No | BUY | 25 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x21071c… |
| 07-26 16:37:49 | Faint-Brass 0xd035…f165 | No | SELL | 25 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x21071c… |
| 07-26 16:12:33 | Submissive-Rosemary 0x30a0…a458 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 92¢ | $3 | 0xb6ca15… |
| 07-26 16:12:33 | Faint-Brass 0xd035…f165 | No | SELL | 3 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xb6ca15… |
| 07-26 14:53:33 | (anonymous) 0x2d37…b653 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x1f46b5… |
| 07-26 14:53:33 | Faint-Brass 0xd035…f165 | No | SELL | 9 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x1f46b5… |
| 07-26 14:53:33 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 93¢ | $28 | 0x1f46b5… |
| 07-26 14:53:33 | (anonymous) 0x9cdd…df3e | Yes | SELL | 40 | 93¢ | $37 | 0x1f46b5… |
| 07-25 18:38:13 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 70 | 93¢ | $65 | 0x7b695c… |
| 07-25 18:38:13 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | Yes | BUY | 70 | 93¢ | $65 | 0x7b695c… |
| 07-25 04:45:04 | (anonymous) 0xfe56…9be6 | No | BUY | 40 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x98bb35… |
| 07-25 04:45:04 | (anonymous) 0x2d37…b653 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 92¢ | $37 | 0x98bb35… |
| 07-25 04:36:22 | (anonymous) 0x8807…d08a | Yes | SELL | 20 | 93¢ | $18 | 0x9f258d… |
| 07-25 04:36:22 | (anonymous) 0x2d37…b653 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 92¢ | $15 | 0x9f258d… |
| 07-25 04:36:22 | Junior-Raincoat 0x990b…7b0f | Yes | BUY | 4 | 93¢ | $4 | 0x9f258d… |
| 07-24 16:00:25 | Junior-Raincoat 0x990b…7b0f | Yes | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xbe5b54… |
| 07-24 16:00:25 | (anonymous) 0x97ab…2e6a | Yes | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xbe5b54… |
| 07-24 15:32:09 | (anonymous) 0x97ab…2e6a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xf6fa2e… |
| 07-24 15:32:09 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | No | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xf6fa2e… |
| 07-23 00:49:31 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 93¢ | $65 | 0x8394b5… |
| 07-23 00:49:31 | (anonymous) 0xfe56…9be6 | No | BUY | 157 | 6¢ | $10 | 0x8394b5… |
| 07-23 00:49:31 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 29 | 94¢ | $27 | 0x8394b5… |
| 07-23 00:49:31 | (anonymous) 0x7f31…72ed | Yes | BUY | 58 | 94¢ | $55 | 0x8394b5… |
| 07-22 01:05:34 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | BUY | 19 | 92¢ | $17 | 0x919268… |
| 07-22 01:05:34 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x919268… |
| 07-22 01:05:34 | (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 91¢ | $3 | 0x919268… |
| 07-22 01:05:34 | (anonymous) 0x99d0…cee8 | No | BUY | 46 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x919268… |
| 07-21 18:54:51 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | No | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1430aa… |
| 07-21 18:54:51 | (anonymous) 0x2a9d…4124 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x1430aa… |
| 07-21 18:54:48 | (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | No | BUY | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xcaf5cf… |
| 07-21 18:54:48 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | Yes | BUY | 13 | 92¢ | $12 | 0xcaf5cf… |
| 07-21 15:44:57 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | Yes | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xd14f33… |
| 07-21 15:44:57 | (anonymous) 0x98a4…b64d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xd14f33… |
| 07-21 15:23:10 | (anonymous) 0x2a9d…4124 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x3e01bb… |
| 07-21 15:23:10 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | No | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x3e01bb… |
| 07-21 15:23:06 | (anonymous) 0x7ce4…bb27 | Yes | BUY | 58 | 94¢ | $55 | 0x2f3503… |
| 07-21 15:23:06 | (anonymous) 0xfe56…9be6 | No | BUY | 143 | 7¢ | $10 | 0x2f3503… |
| 07-21 15:23:06 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | Yes | BUY | 14 | 92¢ | $13 | 0x2f3503… |
| 07-21 15:23:06 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | No | SELL | 71 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x2f3503… |
| 07-21 10:52:39 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xc4b738… |
| 07-21 10:52:39 | (anonymous) 0xf399…6bf5 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xc4b738… |
| 07-21 10:52:31 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x7e4d2a… |
| 07-21 10:52:31 | (anonymous) 0xf399…6bf5 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x7e4d2a… |
| 07-21 08:31:45 | (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | Yes | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x74de2a… |
| 07-21 08:31:45 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | No | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x74de2a… |
| 07-21 07:23:19 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | No | BUY | 65 | 4¢ | $3 | 0xf11e9e… |
| 07-21 07:23:19 | Naughty-Conditioner 0x7047…31b3 | No | SELL | 65 | 4¢ | $3 | 0xf11e9e… |
| 07-20 23:31:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xaba219… |
| 07-20 23:31:16 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 94¢ | $17 | 0xaba219… |
| 07-20 21:59:31 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x6108a5… |
| 07-20 21:59:31 | (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x6108a5… |
| 07-20 20:24:01 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x58c2c8… |
| 07-20 20:24:01 | (anonymous) 0x9cdd…df3e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x58c2c8… |
| 07-20 20:24:00 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | Yes | BUY | 128 | 92¢ | $118 | 0x590121… |
| 07-20 20:24:00 | (anonymous) 0xfe56…9be6 | No | BUY | 128 | 8¢ | $10 | 0x590121… |
| 07-20 20:22:57 | (anonymous) 0x2a9d…4124 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x7bcbe8… |
| 07-20 20:22:57 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x7bcbe8… |
| 07-20 20:22:55 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xe6718c… |
| 07-20 20:22:55 | (anonymous) 0x0e19…3f79 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xe6718c… |
| 07-20 20:22:54 | (anonymous) 0xfe56…9be6 | No | BUY | 135 | 7¢ | $10 | 0xdcb600… |
| 07-20 20:22:54 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | BUY | 68 | 93¢ | $63 | 0xdcb600… |
| 07-20 20:22:54 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | Yes | BUY | 68 | 92¢ | $62 | 0xdcb600… |
| 07-20 20:22:45 | (anonymous) 0xfe56…9be6 | No | BUY | 143 | 7¢ | $10 | 0x748cd0… |
| 07-20 20:22:45 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | BUY | 132 | 93¢ | $123 | 0x748cd0… |
| 07-20 20:22:45 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | No | SELL | 11 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x748cd0… |
| 07-20 18:18:09 | (anonymous) 0x0445…c3e1 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 95¢ | $31 | 0xb9ec71… |
| 07-20 18:18:09 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | No | SELL | 3 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xb9ec71… |
| 07-20 18:18:09 | Bare-Stag 0x2fa8…4359 | No | SELL | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb9ec71… |
| 07-20 18:18:09 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 95¢ | $23 | 0xb9ec71… |
| 07-20 08:42:55 | Emotional-Trigonometry 0xc53d…4346 | No | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1405d4… |
| 07-20 08:42:55 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | No | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1405d4… |
| 07-20 01:00:15 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | No | BUY | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1bfebc… |
| 07-20 01:00:15 | (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | Yes | BUY | 8 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x1bfebc… |
| 07-19 23:22:34 | (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0xe61c9f… |
| 07-19 23:22:34 | Bare-Stag 0x2fa8…4359 | No | SELL | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xe61c9f… |
| 07-19 22:56:07 | (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x51b5dd… |
| 07-19 22:56:07 | Guilty-Trail 0xae58…e5c5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x51b5dd… |
| 07-19 22:56:01 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0xb9ee62… |
| 07-19 22:56:01 | (anonymous) 0x9cdd…df3e | Yes | BUY | 12 | 96¢ | $11 | 0xb9ee62… |
| 07-19 22:56:01 | (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xb9ee62… |
| 07-19 22:55:58 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | BUY | 18 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x748e9b… |
| 07-19 22:55:58 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | No | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x748e9b… |
| 07-19 22:55:58 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 94¢ | $56 | 0x748e9b… |
| 07-19 22:55:58 | Emotional-Trigonometry 0xc53d…4346 | No | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x748e9b… |
| 07-19 22:55:58 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | BUY | 19 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x748e9b… |
| 07-19 22:55:58 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x748e9b… |
| 07-19 22:55:58 | Pertinent-Vengeance 0x0275…b936 | No | BUY | 59 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x748e9b… |