Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
open
Total volume
$66,968
$969 in 24h
Trades
1,197
Unique wallets
274
Liquidity
$17,920
Latest YES mid
93¢
Latest NO mid
7¢
End date
2026-10-04
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-17 12:56
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-28.2¢
(top1%: 63% YES on $2.4K
vs crowd: 91% YES on $40.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 19 | $16.7K | $1.7K | +$14.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 27 | $13.8K | $107 | +$13.7K |
| 🐟 Fish | 54 | $4.9K | $84 | +$4.8K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 174 | $1.6K | $1.7K | $152 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $1.5K | $885 | +$604 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 15 | $10.6K | $322 | +$10.3K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 10 | $3.8K | $39 | +$3.8K |
| Median | 32 | $6.1K | $76 | +$6.0K |
| Below median | 46 | $900 | $37 | +$863 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $33 | $21 | +$12 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 11 | $3.0K | $78 | +$2.9K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 7 | $5.9K | $472 | +$5.5K |
| unranked | 143 | $5.2K | $1.8K | +$3.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | No | +8,668 | $777 | $994 | 47 | 08-05 03:43 |
| Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | Yes | +5,780 | $5,500 | $5,974 | 14 | 08-10 03:12 |
| Vigilant-Enclave-Absence 0xc0bf…b4cd | No | +3,631 | $435 | $435 | 8 | 08-04 17:47 |
| Attached-Example-Anesthesiologist 0x3eae…e2ed | Yes | +3,505 | $3,361 | $3,361 | 2 | 08-14 09:16 |
| Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | +3,323 | $2,798 | $7,340 | 88 | 08-08 04:00 |
| Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35 | No | +3,310 | $442 | $442 | 15 | 06-18 13:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe56…9be6 | No | +3,129 | $172 | $172 | 14 | 07-26 16:37 |
| Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | Yes | +2,985 | $2,510 | $2,510 | 17 | 08-10 01:10 |
| Handy-Ruffle 0x3dca…3c13 | Yes | +2,983 | $2,817 | $2,817 | 3 | 08-12 10:14 |
| Unwelcome-Fig 0xc46f…3130 | Yes | +2,449 | $2,228 | $2,228 | 3 | 08-16 15:43 |
| Humble-Vestment 0x9fd4…325c | Yes | +2,162 | $2,000 | $2,000 | 1 | 07-01 06:12 |
| Dental-Liquid 0x7f9e…3a0e | Yes | +1,630 | $1,164 | $5,326 | 11 | 08-16 03:02 |
| Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | +1,187 | $1,138 | $1,138 | 2 | 08-16 03:02 |
| Emotional-Shakedown 0x30fc…510d | No | +1,000 | $120 | $120 | 1 | 06-26 19:43 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | +837 | $529 | $529 | 3 | 08-05 20:54 |
| Handy-Grasshopper 0x4fc1…ec92 | Yes | +746 | $713 | $713 | 2 | 07-16 20:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe70…443a | No | +676 | $196 | $196 | 1 | 06-01 04:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x1a86…4683 | No | +634 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 08-10 01:10 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | +606 | $31 | $87 | 12 | 08-12 10:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | +526 | $75 | $514 | 140 | 08-14 16:40 |
| Overcooked-Almond 0x238d…70d8 | Yes | +478 | $358 | $358 | 1 | 05-29 01:58 |
| Likely-Fugato 0x3038…9368 | Yes | +375 | $304 | $304 | 11 | 07-09 15:18 |
| Calm-Locomotive 0x6747…a64f | Yes | +200 | $189 | $189 | 2 | 07-19 19:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | Yes | +169 | $164 | $420 | 14 | 08-10 03:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xedc4…be57 | No | +167 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-03 02:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c27…04a7 | No | +163 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 07-29 23:30 |
| Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | No | +122 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 07-09 03:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x0445…c3e1 | Yes | +110 | $78 | $162 | 7 | 08-02 03:09 |
| Disastrous-Bend 0xe000…cbb1 | No | +110 | $5 | $5 | 4 | 08-03 04:06 |
| Key-Jogging 0x0a87…3e26 | Yes | +107 | $101 | $101 | 2 | 08-11 23:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xf040…d11f | Yes | +104 | $100 | $122 | 2 | 08-15 13:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x601c…da40 | Yes | +100 | $96 | $96 | 2 | 08-14 09:34 |
| Prize-Monastery 0xcd76…77bd | No | +100 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-09 19:18 |
| Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | Yes | +100 | $86 | $86 | 15 | 06-24 03:03 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +92 | $9 | $33 | 29 | 08-15 04:19 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +90 | $16 | $16 | 3 | 06-15 11:53 |
| Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | +83 | $69 | $69 | 5 | 07-22 01:05 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | +80 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 07-19 22:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x220d…636d | No | +74 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-24 11:12 |
| Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | +67 | $7 | $7 | 5 | 07-28 17:05 |
| Daring-Blinker 0x755d…6acc | Yes | +60 | $44 | $44 | 3 | 06-06 02:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x6189…1416 | Yes | +59 | $57 | $57 | 2 | 08-05 20:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x931e…8547 | Yes | +58 | $56 | $56 | 2 | 08-15 16:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x3677…c090 | Yes | +57 | $55 | $55 | 2 | 07-27 10:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc0d…d3a5 | No | +55 | $10 | $10 | 3 | 07-19 22:08 |
| Whopping-Thickness 0xe958…1aba | No | +53 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-10 14:14 |
| Broken-Leaf 0x9c5e…5b82 | Yes | +50 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 08-10 03:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | +48 | $3 | $20 | 7 | 08-05 03:43 |
| Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | No | +48 | $7 | $7 | 4 | 07-19 22:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | No | +47 | $0 | $21 | 18 | 08-16 03:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x99d0…cee8 | No | +46 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-22 01:05 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | No | +45 | $5 | $7 | 12 | 07-19 22:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x0640…5ea2 | No | +43 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-12 00:12 |
| Gargantuan-Bridge 0x47bf…c6bb | Yes | +40 | $33 | $33 | 2 | 06-14 17:32 |
| Content-Lunchroom 0xb1c4…293d | No | +39 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-17 10:33 |
| Hard-Shofar 0x544e…7d51 | No | +37 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-29 16:57 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +35 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-19 22:55 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-17 12:56:21 | (anonymous) 0x2fbb…6e09 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 97¢ | $17 | 0x142472… |
| 08-17 12:56:21 | Guilty-Trail 0xae58…e5c5 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 97¢ | $17 | 0x142472… |
| 08-16 15:43:21 | Grim-Artificer 0x5f88…1d4d | Yes | SELL | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0x80b2cc… |
| 08-16 15:43:21 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 96¢ | $31 | 0x80b2cc… |
| 08-16 15:43:21 | Dishonest-Warming 0x7acd…ae09 | Yes | SELL | 1,100 | 96¢ | $1,060 | 0x80b2cc… |
| 08-16 15:43:21 | Unwelcome-Fig 0xc46f…3130 | Yes | BUY | 1,241 | 96¢ | $1,197 | 0x80b2cc… |
| 08-16 04:06:33 | (anonymous) 0x987e…c3bd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xaf468d… |
| 08-16 04:06:33 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | No | SELL | 15 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xaf468d… |
| 08-16 04:06:33 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0xaf468d… |
| 08-16 03:02:52 | Generous-Absence 0xf73c…e7cf | Yes | SELL | 179 | 96¢ | $171 | 0xe01e0a… |
| 08-16 03:02:52 | Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | BUY | 179 | 96¢ | $171 | 0xe01e0a… |
| 08-16 03:02:37 | Generous-Absence 0xf73c…e7cf | Yes | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x844f5d… |
| 08-16 03:02:37 | (anonymous) 0xcac7…37d8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x844f5d… |
| 08-16 03:02:18 | (anonymous) 0xc1d4…61a7 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x928884… |
| 08-16 03:02:18 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | No | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x5d09b5… |
| 08-16 03:02:18 | (anonymous) 0x0bc5…8b88 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x5d09b5… |
| 08-16 03:02:18 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | No | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x928884… |
| 08-16 03:02:16 | Dental-Liquid 0x7f9e…3a0e | Yes | SELL | 1,000 | 96¢ | $958 | 0x8633a7… |
| 08-16 03:02:16 | Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | BUY | 1,009 | 96¢ | $966 | 0x8633a7… |
| 08-15 16:23:36 | (anonymous) 0x931e…8547 | Yes | BUY | 46 | 96¢ | $44 | 0x12a656… |
| 08-15 16:23:36 | Opulent-Sentencing 0x162f…978f | No | BUY | 52 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x12a656… |
| 08-15 16:23:36 | (anonymous) 0x987e…c3bd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x12a656… |
| 08-15 13:47:30 | (anonymous) 0x931e…8547 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 96¢ | $11 | 0x9678eb… |
| 08-15 13:47:30 | (anonymous) 0xf040…d11f | Yes | SELL | 12 | 96¢ | $11 | 0x9678eb… |
| 08-15 04:47:21 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | No | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x6f7f5b… |
| 08-15 04:47:21 | (anonymous) 0xd082…29e4 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x6f7f5b… |
| 08-15 04:46:39 | (anonymous) 0x99fe…5705 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xd2392e… |
| 08-15 04:46:39 | Dental-Liquid 0x7f9e…3a0e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xd2392e… |
| 08-15 04:36:25 | Dim-Pillbox-Tolerance 0x9614…d217 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x693d41… |
| 08-15 04:36:25 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | No | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x693d41… |
| 08-15 04:19:21 | Dental-Liquid 0x7f9e…3a0e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x3533dd… |
| 08-15 04:19:21 | Dim-Pillbox-Tolerance 0x9614…d217 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x3533dd… |
| 08-15 04:19:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x52836f… |
| 08-15 04:19:16 | (anonymous) 0xc1d4…61a7 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x52836f… |
| 08-15 04:19:15 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x297e3e… |
| 08-15 04:19:15 | (anonymous) 0x0bc5…8b88 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x297e3e… |
| 08-15 04:19:15 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 96¢ | $958 | 0xabdb14… |
| 08-15 04:19:15 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | No | BUY | 16 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xabdb14… |
| 08-15 04:19:15 | Dental-Liquid 0x7f9e…3a0e | Yes | SELL | 984 | 96¢ | $943 | 0xabdb14… |
| 08-15 00:25:42 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | No | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xfd68f6… |
| 08-15 00:25:42 | (anonymous) 0xd082…29e4 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xfd68f6… |
| 08-14 16:40:01 | (anonymous) 0x9332…5d34 | No | SELL | 88 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x3f36b7… |
| 08-14 16:40:01 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | BUY | 88 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x3f36b7… |
| 08-14 09:34:46 | Generous-Absence 0xf73c…e7cf | Yes | SELL | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xed2f52… |
| 08-14 09:34:46 | (anonymous) 0x601c…da40 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xed2f52… |
| 08-14 09:34:43 | Generous-Absence 0xf73c…e7cf | Yes | SELL | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x799e4b… |
| 08-14 09:34:43 | (anonymous) 0x601c…da40 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x799e4b… |
| 08-14 09:16:10 | Generous-Absence 0xf73c…e7cf | Yes | SELL | 3,285 | 96¢ | $3,150 | 0x94bde6… |
| 08-14 09:16:10 | Attached-Example-Anesthesiologist 0x3eae…e2ed | Yes | BUY | 3,500 | 96¢ | $3,356 | 0x94bde6… |
| 08-14 09:16:10 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | BUY | 215 | 4¢ | $9 | 0x94bde6… |
| 08-14 07:06:12 | Attached-Example-Anesthesiologist 0x3eae…e2ed | Yes | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xf17b3a… |
| 08-14 07:06:12 | (anonymous) 0x987e…c3bd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xf17b3a… |
| 08-13 14:21:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x48f213… |
| 08-13 14:21:13 | (anonymous) 0x6162…6dc8 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x48f213… |
| 08-12 10:14:51 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x767487… |
| 08-12 10:14:51 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | BUY | 135 | 5¢ | $7 | 0x767487… |
| 08-12 10:14:51 | Sparse-Celsius 0x8f41…260e | Yes | SELL | 129 | 95¢ | $122 | 0x767487… |
| 08-12 10:14:51 | Handy-Ruffle 0x3dca…3c13 | Yes | BUY | 294 | 95¢ | $279 | 0x767487… |
| 08-12 10:14:25 | Generous-Absence 0xf73c…e7cf | Yes | SELL | 1,000 | 94¢ | $945 | 0x91dfbe… |
| 08-12 10:14:25 | Handy-Ruffle 0x3dca…3c13 | Yes | BUY | 2,090 | 94¢ | $1,975 | 0x91dfbe… |
| 08-12 10:14:25 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | BUY | 196 | 6¢ | $11 | 0x91dfbe… |
| 08-12 10:12:19 | Opulent-Sentencing 0x162f…978f | No | BUY | 403 | 6¢ | $24 | 0xbe1d5b… |
| 08-12 10:12:19 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | BUY | 196 | 6¢ | $12 | 0xbe1d5b… |
| 08-12 10:12:19 | Handy-Ruffle 0x3dca…3c13 | Yes | BUY | 599 | 94¢ | $563 | 0xbe1d5b… |
| 08-12 09:50:55 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 9 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x3d0a17… |
| 08-12 09:50:55 | Well-Groomed-Grade 0xeb74…28b0 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 93¢ | $8 | 0x3d0a17… |
| 08-12 06:39:00 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 93¢ | $18 | 0xa5dec9… |
| 08-12 06:39:00 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 19 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xa5dec9… |
| 08-11 23:26:00 | Key-Jogging 0x0a87…3e26 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 94¢ | $53 | 0x1b5d7f… |
| 08-11 23:26:00 | Opulent-Sentencing 0x162f…978f | No | BUY | 56 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x1b5d7f… |
| 08-11 14:30:31 | Opulent-Sentencing 0x162f…978f | No | BUY | 28 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xb5630d… |
| 08-11 14:30:31 | (anonymous) 0x229a…3c6d | Yes | BUY | 28 | 94¢ | $26 | 0xb5630d… |
| 08-11 06:58:22 | (anonymous) 0x3905…9bbf | No | SELL | 13 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x9e0296… |
| 08-11 06:58:22 | Opulent-Sentencing 0x162f…978f | No | BUY | 13 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x9e0296… |
| 08-10 19:27:33 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x00169d… |
| 08-10 19:27:33 | Generous-Absence 0xf73c…e7cf | Yes | SELL | 106 | 94¢ | $100 | 0x00169d… |
| 08-10 19:27:33 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | BUY | 214 | 6¢ | $12 | 0x00169d… |
| 08-10 19:27:33 | Knotty-Tenant 0xe432…4610 | No | SELL | 350 | 6¢ | $20 | 0x00169d… |
| 08-10 08:46:19 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | No | BUY | 49 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xb93389… |
| 08-10 08:46:19 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 80 | 94¢ | $76 | 0xb93389… |
| 08-10 08:46:19 | Sparse-Celsius 0x8f41…260e | Yes | BUY | 129 | 94¢ | $122 | 0xb93389… |
| 08-10 03:12:39 | (anonymous) 0x987e…c3bd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x19a78e… |
| 08-10 03:12:39 | Generous-Absence 0xf73c…e7cf | Yes | SELL | 380 | 94¢ | $359 | 0x19a78e… |
| 08-10 03:12:39 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | SELL | 61 | 6¢ | $4 | 0x19a78e… |
| 08-10 03:12:39 | Broken-Leaf 0x9c5e…5b82 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $47 | 0x19a78e… |
| 08-10 03:12:39 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 94¢ | $75 | 0x19a78e… |
| 08-10 03:12:39 | (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | Yes | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x19a78e… |
| 08-10 03:12:39 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | Yes | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x19a78e… |
| 08-10 01:10:33 | (anonymous) 0x1241…d325 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xac5d82… |
| 08-10 01:10:33 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xac5d82… |
| 08-10 01:10:28 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | Yes | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xc917d9… |
| 08-10 01:10:28 | Grim-Artificer 0x5f88…1d4d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xc917d9… |
| 08-10 01:10:28 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | SELL | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc917d9… |
| 08-10 01:10:28 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | Yes | BUY | 284 | 95¢ | $269 | 0xc917d9… |
| 08-10 01:10:28 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xc917d9… |
| 08-10 01:10:28 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 142 | 96¢ | $136 | 0xc917d9… |
| 08-10 01:10:28 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | No | SELL | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc917d9… |
| 08-10 01:10:28 | (anonymous) 0x1a86…4683 | No | BUY | 634 | 5¢ | $30 | 0xc917d9… |
| 08-09 09:50:27 | Well-Groomed-Grade 0xeb74…28b0 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 97¢ | $9 | 0xf8cd26… |
| 08-09 09:50:27 | (anonymous) 0x8ab7…d6ee | Yes | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xf8cd26… |