Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
open
Total volume
$32,149
$969 in 24h
Trades
718
Unique wallets
174
Liquidity
$17,920
Latest YES mid
94¢
Latest NO mid
6¢
End date
2026-10-04
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-07 16:48
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-83.8¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $740
vs crowd: 84% YES on $19.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 12 | $3.3K | $1.5K | +$1.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 15 | $9.5K | $75 | +$9.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 22 | $2.3K | $35 | +$2.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 125 | $1.6K | $1.5K | +$124 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $5 | $735 | $730 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $2.0K | $269 | +$1.8K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $3.7K | $12 | +$3.7K |
| Median | 15 | $4.4K | $48 | +$4.4K |
| Below median | 28 | $729 | $15 | +$714 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $6 | $10 | $4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $2.3K | $17 | +$2.3K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $1.1K | $472 | +$608 |
| unranked | 98 | $2.5K | $1.5K | +$972 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | No | +4,833 | $627 | $843 | 37 | 07-01 06:12 |
| Dental-Liquid 0x7f9e…3a0e | Yes | +3,802 | $3,245 | $3,245 | 5 | 06-16 01:06 |
| Vigilant-Enclave-Absence 0xc0bf…b4cd | No | +3,632 | $435 | $435 | 7 | 06-29 18:36 |
| Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35 | No | +3,310 | $442 | $442 | 15 | 06-18 13:49 |
| Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | +2,804 | $2,316 | $5,873 | 70 | 07-05 13:03 |
| Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | Yes | +2,658 | $2,220 | $2,220 | 11 | 06-29 17:12 |
| Humble-Vestment 0x9fd4…325c | Yes | +2,162 | $2,000 | $2,000 | 1 | 07-01 06:12 |
| Unwelcome-Fig 0xc46f…3130 | Yes | +1,208 | $1,031 | $1,031 | 2 | 06-26 19:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | +1,145 | $116 | $405 | 119 | 07-05 13:03 |
| Emotional-Shakedown 0x30fc…510d | No | +1,000 | $120 | $120 | 1 | 06-26 19:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe70…443a | No | +676 | $196 | $196 | 1 | 06-01 04:07 |
| Crazykekbr 0x300f…d366 | Yes | +547 | $402 | $402 | 1 | 06-01 13:30 |
| Overcooked-Almond 0x238d…70d8 | Yes | +478 | $358 | $358 | 1 | 05-29 01:58 |
| Likely-Fugato 0x3038…9368 | Yes | +356 | $285 | $285 | 10 | 06-17 17:38 |
| Pointless-Bureau 0x9315…16c9 | Yes | +244 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-12 12:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xedc4…be57 | No | +167 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-03 02:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x0445…c3e1 | Yes | +143 | $110 | $130 | 5 | 07-05 19:51 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +109 | $6 | $21 | 6 | 07-05 21:06 |
| Faint-Brass 0xd035…f165 | No | +108 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-16 11:05 |
| Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35…1a6c | Yes | +100 | $75 | $75 | 1 | 06-05 14:17 |
| Prize-Monastery 0xcd76…77bd | No | +100 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-09 19:18 |
| Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | Yes | +100 | $86 | $86 | 15 | 06-24 03:03 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +90 | $16 | $16 | 3 | 06-15 11:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x9332…5d34 | No | +88 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-05 13:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x220d…636d | No | +74 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-24 11:12 |
| Daring-Blinker 0x755d…6acc | Yes | +60 | $44 | $44 | 3 | 06-06 02:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x50fe…88fd | Yes | +60 | $57 | $57 | 1 | 07-02 11:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xdf8c…ccbb | Yes | +59 | $56 | $56 | 1 | 07-02 11:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x783f…631b | Yes | +58 | $55 | $55 | 2 | 07-03 23:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x18f1…f1a9 | Yes | +56 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 07-02 11:42 |
| Whopping-Thickness 0xe958…1aba | No | +53 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-10 14:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x6d30…cde3 | Yes | +49 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 07-02 11:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b56…4a30 | Yes | +48 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 07-02 11:41 |
| Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | No | +41 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 06-16 01:06 |
| Gargantuan-Bridge 0x47bf…c6bb | Yes | +40 | $33 | $33 | 2 | 06-14 17:32 |
| Hard-Shofar 0x544e…7d51 | No | +37 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-29 16:57 |
| Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | No | +32 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-01 06:36 |
| Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | +30 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 06-02 17:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xe9e8…7b51 | No | +28 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-01 06:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x4fb2…7a7a | Yes | +26 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 07-02 11:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xe63e…3204 | Yes | +23 | $17 | $17 | 4 | 06-01 16:21 |
| Naughty-Conditioner 0x7047…31b3 | No | +21 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 06-23 00:47 |
| Virtual-Ear 0x36b6…e523 | Yes | +20 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-30 16:23 |
| Intent-Property 0x57f5…c1c9 | No | +17 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-27 08:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x16d2…b413 | No | +15 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-26 17:57 |
| Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | +14 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-01 21:31 |
| Livid-Television 0xc5da…5f86 | No | +13 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-19 03:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xe920…5ee7 | Yes | +12 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 07-02 11:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x23c1…ac39 | Yes | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-27 12:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | +10 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 07-01 06:36 |
| Failing-Wedding 0xb8a4…a13b | No | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-23 13:04 |
| Kindly-Species 0x6104…62f1 | No | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-02 19:51 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-02 17:34 |
| Stupendous-Donut 0x4e9e…6f3e | No | +7 | $0 | $2 | 3 | 07-07 10:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x1f9c…ed95 | Yes | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-01 13:02 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 16:48:10 | Ultimate-Subject 0x5bcd…cf4b | No | SELL | 42 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xedd747… |
| 07-07 16:48:10 | Sociable-Pound 0x9378…8427 | Yes | SELL | 42 | 94¢ | $39 | 0xedd747… |
| 07-07 11:51:44 | Sociable-Pound 0x9378…8427 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 94¢ | $14 | 0x53d444… |
| 07-07 11:51:44 | (anonymous) 0xa490…bc3d | No | SELL | 14 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x53d444… |
| 07-07 10:40:55 | (anonymous) 0xa490…bc3d | No | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xea375b… |
| 07-07 10:40:55 | Stupendous-Donut 0x4e9e…6f3e | No | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xea375b… |
| 07-07 10:40:55 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xea375b… |
| 07-06 07:36:08 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x50b48f… |
| 07-06 07:36:08 | Stupendous-Donut 0x4e9e…6f3e | No | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x50b48f… |
| 07-05 21:06:13 | Pleasant-Cheesecake 0x8c66…8d1b | Yes | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xe2d9d8… |
| 07-05 21:06:13 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xe2d9d8… |
| 07-05 19:51:23 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 4 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xe384e5… |
| 07-05 19:51:23 | (anonymous) 0x0445…c3e1 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 93¢ | $4 | 0xe384e5… |
| 07-05 13:03:58 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | SELL | 38 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x1e58b5… |
| 07-05 13:03:58 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 92¢ | $46 | 0x1e58b5… |
| 07-05 13:03:58 | (anonymous) 0x9332…5d34 | No | BUY | 88 | 8¢ | $7 | 0x1e58b5… |
| 07-05 10:54:41 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | SELL | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xe0a84e… |
| 07-05 10:54:41 | (anonymous) 0x8b89…eaae | Yes | SELL | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0xe0a84e… |
| 07-05 02:07:40 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x6c6018… |
| 07-05 02:07:40 | Unsung-Session 0xa1ca…0ec6 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x6c6018… |
| 07-04 22:33:25 | (anonymous) 0x0445…c3e1 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x729e9a… |
| 07-04 22:33:25 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | SELL | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x729e9a… |
| 07-04 21:59:07 | (anonymous) 0x0445…c3e1 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 92¢ | $3 | 0x8226dd… |
| 07-04 21:59:07 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | SELL | 3 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x8226dd… |
| 07-04 12:23:38 | (anonymous) 0x8b89…eaae | Yes | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xf598b0… |
| 07-04 12:23:38 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xf598b0… |
| 07-04 01:42:07 | (anonymous) 0x0445…c3e1 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x661d6d… |
| 07-04 01:42:07 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | SELL | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x661d6d… |
| 07-03 23:49:16 | (anonymous) 0xe4fc…05a0 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 94¢ | $16 | 0x95bf40… |
| 07-03 23:49:16 | (anonymous) 0x783f…631b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x95bf40… |
| 07-03 23:49:16 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x95bf40… |
| 07-03 07:36:10 | Helpful-Nutrition 0xa0c7…67dd | No | SELL | 372 | 6¢ | $22 | 0xab09bc… |
| 07-03 07:36:10 | (anonymous) 0x0287…9448 | Yes | SELL | 425 | 94¢ | $400 | 0xab09bc… |
| 07-03 07:36:10 | (anonymous) 0x783f…631b | Yes | BUY | 53 | 94¢ | $50 | 0xab09bc… |
| 07-03 03:42:46 | Helpful-Nutrition 0xa0c7…67dd | No | SELL | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xce323d… |
| 07-03 03:42:46 | Classic-Toreador 0x02e1…c7ea | Yes | SELL | 6 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xce323d… |
| 07-03 02:28:04 | (anonymous) 0xedc4…be57 | No | BUY | 167 | 6¢ | $10 | 0x0b2970… |
| 07-03 02:28:04 | Helpful-Nutrition 0xa0c7…67dd | No | SELL | 167 | 6¢ | $10 | 0x0b2970… |
| 07-02 19:55:11 | Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | No | SELL | 50 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xaed2ed… |
| 07-02 19:55:11 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0xaed2ed… |
| 07-02 18:00:43 | (anonymous) 0xb436…9654 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x4b9129… |
| 07-02 18:00:43 | Helpful-Nutrition 0xa0c7…67dd | No | SELL | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x4b9129… |
| 07-02 15:03:53 | (anonymous) 0x9d60…bbbc | Yes | SELL | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0xf09066… |
| 07-02 15:03:53 | Helpful-Nutrition 0xa0c7…67dd | No | SELL | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xf09066… |
| 07-02 13:41:19 | Worldly-Invoice 0x0e78…f0c6 | Yes | SELL | 44 | 94¢ | $41 | 0x8dc449… |
| 07-02 13:41:19 | Helpful-Nutrition 0xa0c7…67dd | No | SELL | 44 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x8dc449… |
| 07-02 13:21:08 | Helpful-Nutrition 0xa0c7…67dd | No | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x5f9874… |
| 07-02 13:21:08 | Clear-Sky 0x61f7…1e59 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x5f9874… |
| 07-02 11:42:37 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 95¢ | $25 | 0xbbe3fb… |
| 07-02 11:42:37 | (anonymous) 0x4fb2…7a7a | Yes | BUY | 26 | 95¢ | $25 | 0xbbe3fb… |
| 07-02 11:42:28 | (anonymous) 0x50fe…88fd | Yes | BUY | 60 | 95¢ | $57 | 0xa4c86b… |
| 07-02 11:42:28 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 95¢ | $57 | 0xa4c86b… |
| 07-02 11:42:16 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | SELL | 49 | 95¢ | $46 | 0xb8d7dd… |
| 07-02 11:42:16 | (anonymous) 0x6d30…cde3 | Yes | BUY | 49 | 95¢ | $46 | 0xb8d7dd… |
| 07-02 11:42:02 | (anonymous) 0x18f1…f1a9 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 95¢ | $53 | 0x7118ae… |
| 07-02 11:42:02 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | SELL | 56 | 95¢ | $53 | 0x7118ae… |
| 07-02 11:41:43 | (anonymous) 0xdf8c…ccbb | Yes | BUY | 59 | 95¢ | $56 | 0x3d143b… |
| 07-02 11:41:43 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | SELL | 59 | 95¢ | $56 | 0x3d143b… |
| 07-02 11:41:28 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | SELL | 48 | 95¢ | $45 | 0x7b8031… |
| 07-02 11:41:28 | (anonymous) 0x6b56…4a30 | Yes | BUY | 48 | 95¢ | $45 | 0x7b8031… |
| 07-02 11:40:56 | (anonymous) 0xe920…5ee7 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 95¢ | $11 | 0x325e86… |
| 07-02 11:40:56 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 95¢ | $11 | 0x325e86… |
| 07-02 08:09:19 | Helpful-Nutrition 0xa0c7…67dd | No | SELL | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xa5bb9b… |
| 07-02 08:09:19 | These-Length 0x7c36…357f | Yes | SELL | 8 | 94¢ | $7 | 0xa5bb9b… |
| 07-02 08:09:01 | (anonymous) 0x666b…308b | Yes | SELL | 8 | 94¢ | $7 | 0xdcd5a1… |
| 07-02 08:09:01 | Helpful-Nutrition 0xa0c7…67dd | No | SELL | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xdcd5a1… |
| 07-02 08:08:20 | Waterlogged-Fraction 0x8bf9…6a86 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xb0d569… |
| 07-02 08:08:20 | Helpful-Nutrition 0xa0c7…67dd | No | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xb0d569… |
| 07-02 08:07:41 | Narrow-Spec 0x7793…2f6d | Yes | SELL | 8 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x95b6d0… |
| 07-02 08:07:41 | Helpful-Nutrition 0xa0c7…67dd | No | SELL | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x95b6d0… |
| 07-02 08:05:37 | Helpful-Nutrition 0xa0c7…67dd | No | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x2268c9… |
| 07-02 08:05:37 | Sick-Allowance 0xcd84…4f9c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x2268c9… |
| 07-02 07:35:50 | Rowdy-Novel 0xb2b9…86b4 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x70a36a… |
| 07-02 07:35:50 | Helpful-Nutrition 0xa0c7…67dd | No | SELL | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x70a36a… |
| 07-02 07:31:19 | Helpful-Nutrition 0xa0c7…67dd | No | SELL | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xa62d6f… |
| 07-02 07:31:19 | Unfolded-Meme 0x7b05…9f01 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 94¢ | $7 | 0xa62d6f… |
| 07-02 07:21:56 | Weak-Devastation 0xd2f2…6cec | Yes | SELL | 8 | 94¢ | $7 | 0xa1bccc… |
| 07-02 07:21:56 | Helpful-Nutrition 0xa0c7…67dd | No | SELL | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xa1bccc… |
| 07-02 07:13:53 | Coordinated-Try 0x0bbf…3809 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x349391… |
| 07-02 07:13:53 | Helpful-Nutrition 0xa0c7…67dd | No | SELL | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x349391… |
| 07-02 07:12:13 | Helpful-Nutrition 0xa0c7…67dd | No | SELL | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x018e90… |
| 07-02 07:12:13 | Quixotic-Average 0xbbef…9838 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x018e90… |
| 07-02 04:12:05 | Bland-Birthday 0x0740…8a92 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 94¢ | $7 | 0xa52d1e… |
| 07-02 04:12:05 | Helpful-Nutrition 0xa0c7…67dd | No | SELL | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xa52d1e… |
| 07-02 04:03:40 | Shimmering-Mare 0x2ae7…2419 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x70e50c… |
| 07-02 04:03:40 | Helpful-Nutrition 0xa0c7…67dd | No | SELL | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x70e50c… |
| 07-02 02:39:41 | Helpful-Nutrition 0xa0c7…67dd | No | SELL | 24 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x3f9fff… |
| 07-02 02:39:41 | Weary-Fencing 0x90a9…1bf1 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 94¢ | $22 | 0x3f9fff… |
| 07-01 19:10:41 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x1be154… |
| 07-01 19:10:41 | (anonymous) 0xb436…9654 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x1be154… |
| 07-01 19:09:19 | (anonymous) 0xdb2f…5522 | Yes | SELL | 270 | 94¢ | $254 | 0x91961d… |
| 07-01 19:09:19 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 100 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x91961d… |
| 07-01 19:09:19 | Helpful-Nutrition 0xa0c7…67dd | No | SELL | 142 | 6¢ | $9 | 0x91961d… |
| 07-01 19:09:19 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 28 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x91961d… |
| 07-01 17:58:44 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x8b8b68… |
| 07-01 17:58:44 | Stupendous-Donut 0x4e9e…6f3e | No | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x8b8b68… |
| 07-01 13:02:10 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x7d8966… |
| 07-01 13:02:10 | (anonymous) 0x1f9c…ed95 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x7d8966… |
| 07-01 06:36:53 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 45 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xfc1859… |
| 07-01 06:36:53 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xfc1859… |