Grim-Artificer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$26

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.7%

Resolved

Trades

654

lifetime

Volume

$38.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$59

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 07-24 22:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

98% 50% $-26

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	85	$13.4K	6,561	7,014	-453	open	—	06-26 17:16
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	64	$5.1K	2,841	2,472	+368	open	—	07-24 07:56
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	30	$4.7K	2,412	2,814	-402	open	—	07-22 13:56
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	53	$3.3K	1,853	1,855	-2	open	—	05-24 03:18
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	47	$3.0K	2,106	1,354	+752	open	—	07-19 23:05
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	70	$2.4K	1,397	1,435	-38	open	—	04-27 21:37
no change in the selic rate after bank of brazils march 2026 meeting	165	$2.3K	5,382	3,870	+1,512	open	—	03-18 18:16
Ebola pandemic in 2026?	8	$915	402	604	-202	open	—	06-01 02:25
will the bank of brazil decrease the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	20	$911	647	596	+51	open	—	03-18 16:48
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?	46	$731	420	449	-29	open	—	04-27 19:47
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?	13	$478	413	97	+316	open	—	07-20 12:05
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	2	$392	200	200	+0	open	—	07-19 11:02
Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	10	$347	252	109	+143	open	—	07-23 01:34
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on May 8?	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	05-08 21:11
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	15	$193	102	159	-57	open	—	07-24 22:02
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	6	$94	75	25	+50	open	—	07-03 08:49
Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	5	$58	135	135	+0	Yes	$-27	04-13 02:06
will ronaldo caiado qualify for brazils presidential runoff 20260617203741261	1	$45	49	0	+49	open	—	07-22 19:39
Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	2	$26	27	0	+27	open	—	06-12 05:19
will powell say inflation 60 times during january press conference	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	01-28 19:33
will the bank of brazil increase the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	10	$7	713	713	+0	open	—	03-18 11:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 22:02:42	Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0xbcb98d…
07-24 12:21:40	Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x42feab…
07-24 07:56:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x6f520e…
07-24 07:29:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xdfc3cb…
07-24 07:08:25	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	83	97¢	$80	0x2f6de0…
07-23 18:14:28	Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	51	79¢	$40	0xef4dcf…
07-23 05:09:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	101	98¢	$98	0xdb1ca3…
07-23 01:34:37	Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x76af2d…
07-22 20:43:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	101	97¢	$98	0x8a86c8…
07-22 20:41:03	Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x78f958…
07-22 19:39:28	will ronaldo caiado qualify for brazils presidential runoff 20260617203741261	No	BUY	49	92¢	$45	0xf16e84…
07-22 18:34:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	101	97¢	$98	0x1e8fbe…
07-22 13:56:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	89	95¢	$84	0x737be5…
07-22 13:52:25	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x23640e…
07-22 12:11:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	111	95¢	$106	0x4a227c…
07-20 12:05:00	New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x9f3d54…
07-19 23:05:15	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	14	97¢	$14	0x1275be…
07-19 22:54:12	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	19	97¢	$18	0xd9d05c…
07-19 22:34:10	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	15	97¢	$14	0xd06c81…
07-19 11:02:01	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	200	98¢	$196	0x564708…
07-19 05:10:51	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0xb762ef…
07-18 18:02:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$98	0xf33696…
07-18 13:48:10	New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xe27cc1…
07-18 06:32:42	New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	44	96¢	$42	0x259ee1…
07-17 22:28:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	200	97¢	$194	0x08ca97…
07-17 17:03:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	201	94¢	$189	0x0a802e…
07-17 16:32:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x7dad2a…
07-17 10:10:25	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	201	93¢	$187	0x30dee7…
07-17 07:35:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0xa7b5ad…
07-17 07:13:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	201	96¢	$194	0x5a1dd0…
07-17 05:31:18	New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x950f90…
07-17 01:11:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x38866a…
07-16 22:00:32	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xefd30d…
07-16 19:59:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	201	92¢	$185	0x338f91…
07-16 18:22:46	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	201	97¢	$195	0x4109e1…
07-16 18:22:32	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x2cef8b…
07-16 16:38:07	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	201	96¢	$193	0xc2ce1b…
07-16 10:55:53	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xd9cb10…
07-16 10:35:17	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0x6b2cf4…
07-16 10:20:13	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xd433bd…
07-15 21:35:35	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x6554e9…
07-15 19:42:08	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xf4d0e2…
07-15 15:44:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0xb6fa27…
07-15 14:19:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	198	93¢	$184	0xbecbe0…
07-15 07:57:55	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	201	2¢	$4	0xccfc76…
07-14 16:13:07	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	201	98¢	$197	0xfefbdb…
07-13 21:12:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x8108d1…
07-13 16:04:07	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	201	96¢	$194	0x4f8154…
07-13 14:39:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	201	97¢	$196	0x821e76…
07-13 13:57:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	201	92¢	$185	0xa85da8…
07-13 06:51:35	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	151	97¢	$146	0x66ac29…
07-12 22:48:53	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	201	93¢	$187	0x00580d…
07-12 16:17:44	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x03fb94…
07-12 12:30:26	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	51	96¢	$49	0xc63ebe…
07-12 11:18:31	New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x40b958…
07-12 08:43:23	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	110	98¢	$108	0x638aad…
07-12 08:24:31	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	66	98¢	$64	0x6dcd6e…
07-12 07:25:34	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x00870a…
07-12 05:35:26	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0x3ccd7c…
07-11 22:52:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0x980e96…
07-11 21:57:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x2b9164…
07-11 18:06:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xdd4996…
07-11 13:16:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	180	97¢	$175	0x4b52d9…
07-11 10:55:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6b8e11…
07-11 10:46:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	19	97¢	$18	0x44ff3b…
07-11 05:49:44	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	51	96¢	$49	0x4603dd…
07-10 22:26:25	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0x5ebfae…
07-10 21:34:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	201	96¢	$194	0x254089…
07-10 18:46:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x2eeb1f…
07-10 18:00:14	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	201	98¢	$197	0x4178fb…
07-10 15:10:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x788601…
07-10 14:51:05	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xcdebd7…
07-10 14:43:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6dfbb3…
07-10 14:31:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	201	92¢	$185	0xbcd09a…
07-10 11:42:23	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	102	96¢	$98	0xa6e01d…
07-09 21:21:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	201	93¢	$187	0xec41cc…
07-09 09:33:43	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	250	98¢	$244	0xf719a7…
07-08 09:56:17	Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$5	0xf20acb…
07-08 09:51:16	Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	BUY	76	96¢	$73	0x829db9…
07-08 08:17:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	201	93¢	$187	0xda1190…
07-08 03:40:55	Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0x8ab946…
07-08 03:11:44	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	201	96¢	$193	0xbcb02f…
07-07 22:59:13	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0x15215e…
07-07 21:14:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	51	96¢	$49	0x5663b9…
07-07 15:25:38	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	114	98¢	$112	0x61652d…
07-07 15:13:08	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0x6f2310…
07-07 14:55:20	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x7db58f…
07-07 14:35:59	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x97a332…
07-07 13:18:53	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9b4f84…
07-07 13:18:53	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x098f31…
07-07 13:13:53	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$15	0xa90bc2…
07-07 12:13:38	Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	SELL	1	79¢	$0	0x335dd2…
07-07 09:34:26	Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0xaad8b9…
07-07 04:12:31	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	201	98¢	$197	0x1e9566…
07-06 05:49:50	New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	75	92¢	$69	0xfe881e…
07-05 12:57:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0x261f50…
07-05 11:06:53	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x105cf7…
07-05 09:40:20	Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	SELL	18	79¢	$14	0xfe8a2b…
07-04 22:58:56	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	51	96¢	$49	0x77bbed…
07-04 22:58:49	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	51	96¢	$49	0x53dfb6…