Realized P&L
-$26
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
83.7%
Resolved
2
Trades
432
lifetime
Volume
$16.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$39
Open exposure
$1.05K
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-28
last 06-12 05:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
99% 50% $-26
Politics
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -402 $-354 90¢ $-364 $-10 06-10 19:09
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No -252 $-256 99¢ $-250 +$6 06-04 19:46
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -201 $-193 96¢ $-194 $-1 06-11 21:27
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +131 $115 94¢ $124 +$9 06-02 04:22
Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No -66 $-64 96¢ $-64 $-0 06-06 23:06
Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No +27 $26 96¢ $26 +$0 06-12 05:19
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No +26 $24 93¢ $24 +$0 06-11 07:41
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes -13 $-9 70¢ $-9 +$0 06-10 20:34