Grim-Artificer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$26

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.7%

Resolved

Trades

688

lifetime

Volume

$43.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$63

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 08-11 11:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

96% 50% $-26

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	85	$13.4K	6,561	7,014	-453	open	—	06-26 17:16
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	74	$6.1K	3,243	3,112	+131	open	—	08-07 21:29
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	36	$5.8K	3,015	3,417	-402	open	—	08-10 01:46
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	51	$3.9K	2,106	2,307	-201	open	—	08-11 11:24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	53	$3.3K	1,853	1,855	-2	open	—	05-24 03:18
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	70	$2.4K	1,397	1,435	-38	open	—	04-27 21:37
no change in the selic rate after bank of brazils march 2026 meeting	165	$2.3K	5,382	3,870	+1,512	open	—	03-18 18:16
Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	15	$950	256	720	-464	open	—	08-10 17:03
Ebola pandemic in 2026?	8	$915	402	604	-202	open	—	06-01 02:25
will the bank of brazil decrease the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	20	$911	647	596	+51	open	—	03-18 16:48
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?	16	$879	464	464	-0	open	—	08-10 17:15
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?	46	$731	420	449	-29	open	—	04-27 19:47
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	2	$392	200	200	+0	open	—	07-19 11:02
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on May 8?	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	05-08 21:11
Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	5	$252	27	227	-200	open	—	08-10 17:13
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	15	$193	102	159	-57	open	—	07-24 22:02
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	7	$143	75	75	+0	open	—	08-11 11:29
will ronaldo caiado qualify for brazils presidential runoff 20260617203741261	2	$93	49	49	+0	open	—	08-11 11:29
Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	5	$58	135	135	+0	Yes	$-27	04-13 02:06
will powell say inflation 60 times during january press conference	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	01-28 19:33
will the bank of brazil increase the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	10	$7	713	713	+0	open	—	03-18 11:34
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	08-10 01:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 11:29:33	will ronaldo caiado qualify for brazils presidential runoff 20260617203741261	No	SELL	49	98¢	$48	0x29bffb…
08-11 11:29:01	Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x779682…
08-11 11:24:33	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	350	96¢	$337	0x87e98b…
08-10 17:15:31	New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	326	96¢	$313	0x9b7029…
08-10 17:13:21	Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	SELL	216	99¢	$215	0xadd44c…
08-10 17:03:52	Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	SELL	486	98¢	$476	0x455de8…
08-10 01:46:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	201	95¢	$191	0x07cfb6…
08-10 01:10:28	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc917d9…
08-09 08:21:36	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	201	96¢	$193	0x5cb03f…
08-08 02:20:30	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	201	96¢	$193	0xd5d4b8…
08-07 21:29:55	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	201	98¢	$196	0xb18c68…
08-07 15:23:15	Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x3faa00…
08-06 22:33:00	New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	41	96¢	$39	0xe7f4aa…
08-06 21:13:39	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	201	96¢	$193	0x873146…
08-05 12:20:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	201	98¢	$196	0x28e7ea…
08-05 09:34:14	Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x719732…
08-05 07:21:53	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	201	94¢	$189	0xe2cd3f…
08-05 07:16:32	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6a653a…
08-05 07:16:09	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	96	97¢	$93	0x772fb2…
08-05 04:47:12	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x1c778e…
08-04 19:44:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	199	98¢	$194	0x31d885…
08-04 19:34:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xecdbcc…
08-04 19:28:18	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd1b15d…
07-31 14:26:54	New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	51	95¢	$49	0x8436fa…
07-31 07:54:51	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	201	94¢	$189	0x13accc…
07-30 20:29:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	201	93¢	$187	0xb09861…
07-30 15:04:57	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	201	94¢	$189	0x8187dd…
07-30 15:02:33	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	36	98¢	$35	0xa9c59e…
07-30 03:50:44	Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xdeceb2…
07-29 12:38:44	Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x39cbb2…
07-28 10:28:44	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	202	98¢	$197	0xd406ba…
07-27 11:48:18	Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0x410cec…
07-24 22:02:42	Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0xbcb98d…
07-24 12:21:40	Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x42feab…
07-24 07:56:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x6f520e…
07-24 07:29:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xdfc3cb…
07-24 07:08:25	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	83	97¢	$80	0x2f6de0…
07-23 18:14:28	Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	51	79¢	$40	0xef4dcf…
07-23 05:09:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	101	98¢	$98	0xdb1ca3…
07-23 01:34:37	Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x76af2d…
07-22 20:43:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	101	97¢	$98	0x8a86c8…
07-22 20:41:03	Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x78f958…
07-22 19:39:28	will ronaldo caiado qualify for brazils presidential runoff 20260617203741261	No	BUY	49	92¢	$45	0xf16e84…
07-22 18:34:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	101	97¢	$98	0x1e8fbe…
07-22 13:56:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	89	95¢	$84	0x737be5…
07-22 13:52:25	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x23640e…
07-22 12:11:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	111	95¢	$106	0x4a227c…
07-20 12:05:00	New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x9f3d54…
07-19 23:05:15	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	14	97¢	$14	0x1275be…
07-19 22:54:12	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	19	97¢	$18	0xd9d05c…
07-19 22:34:10	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	15	97¢	$14	0xd06c81…
07-19 11:02:01	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	200	98¢	$196	0x564708…
07-19 05:10:51	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0xb762ef…
07-18 18:02:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$98	0xf33696…
07-18 13:48:10	New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xe27cc1…
07-18 06:32:42	New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	44	96¢	$42	0x259ee1…
07-17 22:28:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	200	97¢	$194	0x08ca97…
07-17 17:03:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	201	94¢	$189	0x0a802e…
07-17 16:32:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x7dad2a…
07-17 10:10:25	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	201	93¢	$187	0x30dee7…
07-17 07:35:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0xa7b5ad…
07-17 07:13:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	201	96¢	$194	0x5a1dd0…
07-17 05:31:18	New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x950f90…
07-17 01:11:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x38866a…
07-16 22:00:32	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xefd30d…
07-16 19:59:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	201	92¢	$185	0x338f91…
07-16 18:22:46	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	201	97¢	$195	0x4109e1…
07-16 18:22:32	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x2cef8b…
07-16 16:38:07	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	201	96¢	$193	0xc2ce1b…
07-16 10:55:53	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xd9cb10…
07-16 10:35:17	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0x6b2cf4…
07-16 10:20:13	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xd433bd…
07-15 21:35:35	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x6554e9…
07-15 19:42:08	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xf4d0e2…
07-15 15:44:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0xb6fa27…
07-15 14:19:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	198	93¢	$184	0xbecbe0…
07-15 07:57:55	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	201	2¢	$4	0xccfc76…
07-14 16:13:07	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	201	98¢	$197	0xfefbdb…
07-13 21:12:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x8108d1…
07-13 16:04:07	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	201	96¢	$194	0x4f8154…
07-13 14:39:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	201	97¢	$196	0x821e76…
07-13 13:57:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	201	92¢	$185	0xa85da8…
07-13 06:51:35	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	151	97¢	$146	0x66ac29…
07-12 22:48:53	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	201	93¢	$187	0x00580d…
07-12 16:17:44	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x03fb94…
07-12 12:30:26	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	51	96¢	$49	0xc63ebe…
07-12 11:18:31	New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x40b958…
07-12 08:43:23	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	110	98¢	$108	0x638aad…
07-12 08:24:31	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	66	98¢	$64	0x6dcd6e…
07-12 07:25:34	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x00870a…
07-12 05:35:26	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0x3ccd7c…
07-11 22:52:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0x980e96…
07-11 21:57:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x2b9164…
07-11 18:06:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xdd4996…
07-11 13:16:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	180	97¢	$175	0x4b52d9…
07-11 10:55:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6b8e11…
07-11 10:46:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	19	97¢	$18	0x44ff3b…
07-11 05:49:44	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	51	96¢	$49	0x4603dd…
07-10 22:26:25	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0x5ebfae…
07-10 21:34:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	201	96¢	$194	0x254089…