Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
open
Total volume
$2,016
$152 in 24h
Trades
107
Unique wallets
48
Liquidity
$14,561
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-10-04
First seen
2026-05-30
last 07-05 23:20
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $1 | $523 | $521 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | — | $197 | $197 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $22 | $79 | $57 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 28 | $6 | $413 | $407 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | — | $205 | $205 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Median | 8 | $22 | $217 | $196 |
| Below median | 8 | $6 | $39 | $33 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | — | $6 | $6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $37 | $37 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 21 | — | $707 | $707 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comfortable-Meridian 0x16af…12a5 | Yes | +600 | $22 | $22 | 5 | 07-01 15:44 |
| Handy-Grasshopper 0x4fc1…ec92 | No | +290 | $280 | $280 | 2 | 06-26 14:08 |
| Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | +214 | $205 | $205 | 1 | 06-06 23:06 |
| Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | +196 | $189 | $189 | 6 | 07-05 19:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x8342…b349 | No | +103 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-05 18:50 |
| Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | Yes | +57 | $2 | $6 | 2 | 07-02 19:54 |
| Opulent-Jackfruit 0x6f8d…6e2a | Yes | +52 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-18 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | +52 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-16 10:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x6830…3b64 | No | +51 | $49 | $49 | 2 | 06-30 10:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xb62c…d9af | No | +42 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 07-01 15:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x4f58…07bc | No | +42 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-30 10:50 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +39 | $37 | $37 | 3 | 07-05 23:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xbdb6…79ee | No | +31 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-30 05:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x3677…c090 | No | +16 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-26 08:27 |
| Limp-Attraction 0x9d06…c4e8 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-06 23:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xad5c…b927 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-07 00:11 |
| Jumpy-Cyclamen 0x9fe7…95c3 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-05 18:14 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-05 23:20:53 | (anonymous) 0x1e77…712e | No | SELL | 23 | 97¢ | $23 | 0x56b317… |
| 07-05 23:20:53 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 23 | 97¢ | $23 | 0x56b317… |
| 07-05 19:06:40 | (anonymous) 0xfbad…d55b | No | SELL | 48 | 97¢ | $46 | 0xeb0a74… |
| 07-05 19:06:40 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 48 | 97¢ | $46 | 0xeb0a74… |
| 07-05 18:50:16 | (anonymous) 0xe015…c3b4 | No | SELL | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x73c03c… |
| 07-05 18:50:16 | (anonymous) 0x7ae6…ba1f | No | SELL | 51 | 97¢ | $49 | 0x73c03c… |
| 07-05 18:50:16 | (anonymous) 0xfbad…d55b | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x73c03c… |
| 07-05 18:50:16 | (anonymous) 0x8342…b349 | No | BUY | 103 | 97¢ | $100 | 0x73c03c… |
| 07-03 20:29:31 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x8e4f77… |
| 07-03 20:29:31 | (anonymous) 0x6e84…a57b | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x8e4f77… |
| 07-03 20:11:29 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 25 | 96¢ | $24 | 0x1765a7… |
| 07-03 20:11:29 | Junior-Burn 0xc77b…a526 | No | SELL | 25 | 96¢ | $24 | 0x1765a7… |
| 07-03 12:24:16 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 8 | 96¢ | $7 | 0xc1e605… |
| 07-03 12:24:16 | (anonymous) 0x6236…4558 | No | SELL | 8 | 96¢ | $7 | 0xc1e605… |
| 07-03 12:24:10 | (anonymous) 0x6236…4558 | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xf987fc… |
| 07-03 12:24:10 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xf987fc… |
| 07-03 12:24:05 | (anonymous) 0x1587…ab76 | No | SELL | 19 | 96¢ | $18 | 0xd5a77e… |
| 07-03 12:24:05 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0xd5a77e… |
| 07-03 12:24:05 | (anonymous) 0x6236…4558 | No | SELL | 34 | 97¢ | $33 | 0xd5a77e… |
| 07-03 12:24:05 | (anonymous) 0x5f58…86a5 | No | SELL | 46 | 96¢ | $45 | 0xd5a77e… |
| 07-03 04:52:20 | (anonymous) 0x6e84…a57b | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xc8ffec… |
| 07-03 04:52:20 | (anonymous) 0x1587…ab76 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xc8ffec… |
| 07-03 03:51:44 | (anonymous) 0x1587…ab76 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xecacc4… |
| 07-03 03:51:44 | (anonymous) 0x6e84…a57b | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xecacc4… |
| 07-02 19:54:44 | Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | Yes | SELL | 53 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xe8592c… |
| 07-02 19:54:44 | (anonymous) 0x1fde…b559 | No | SELL | 53 | 96¢ | $51 | 0xe8592c… |
| 07-01 15:44:37 | (anonymous) 0xb62c…d9af | No | BUY | 42 | 96¢ | $40 | 0xba3e84… |
| 07-01 15:44:37 | Comfortable-Meridian 0x16af…12a5 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xba3e84… |
| 07-01 15:44:37 | Grim-Artificer 0x5f88…1d4d | No | BUY | 18 | 96¢ | $18 | 0xba3e84… |
| 06-30 10:50:56 | (anonymous) 0x6830…3b64 | No | BUY | 45 | 96¢ | $43 | 0x4bafbb… |
| 06-30 10:50:56 | (anonymous) 0x4f58…07bc | No | BUY | 42 | 96¢ | $40 | 0x4bafbb… |
| 06-30 10:50:56 | Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | Yes | BUY | 110 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x4bafbb… |
| 06-30 10:50:56 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x4bafbb… |
| 06-30 05:54:40 | (anonymous) 0xbdb6…79ee | No | BUY | 31 | 96¢ | $30 | 0xf03f72… |
| 06-30 05:54:40 | Grim-Artificer 0x5f88…1d4d | No | SELL | 31 | 96¢ | $30 | 0xf03f72… |
| 06-26 14:10:51 | (anonymous) 0x6830…3b64 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x25fb51… |
| 06-26 14:10:51 | Comfortable-Meridian 0x16af…12a5 | Yes | BUY | 58 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x25fb51… |
| 06-26 14:10:51 | (anonymous) 0x1fde…b559 | No | BUY | 52 | 96¢ | $50 | 0x25fb51… |
| 06-26 14:08:03 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 33 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x914cd4… |
| 06-26 14:08:03 | Comfortable-Meridian 0x16af…12a5 | Yes | BUY | 282 | 4¢ | $10 | 0x914cd4… |
| 06-26 14:08:03 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 59 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x914cd4… |
| 06-26 14:08:03 | Handy-Grasshopper 0x4fc1…ec92 | No | BUY | 190 | 96¢ | $183 | 0x914cd4… |
| 06-26 14:07:55 | Handy-Grasshopper 0x4fc1…ec92 | No | BUY | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0x549df7… |
| 06-26 14:07:55 | Comfortable-Meridian 0x16af…12a5 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x549df7… |
| 06-26 08:27:25 | (anonymous) 0x3677…c090 | No | BUY | 16 | 96¢ | $15 | 0x3c27e7… |
| 06-26 08:27:25 | (anonymous) 0x1587…ab76 | No | SELL | 16 | 96¢ | $15 | 0x3c27e7… |
| 06-25 21:01:44 | Comfortable-Meridian 0x16af…12a5 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x49b4c7… |
| 06-25 21:01:44 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 60 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x49b4c7… |
| 06-25 21:01:44 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x49b4c7… |
| 06-22 21:46:11 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x687bc1… |
| 06-22 21:46:11 | Unselfish-Lift 0x83ab…a8ab | No | SELL | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x687bc1… |
| 06-22 16:47:32 | (anonymous) 0x92aa…0341 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xe6f2bb… |
| 06-22 16:47:32 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe6f2bb… |
| 06-21 05:49:14 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xf294b0… |
| 06-21 05:49:14 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf294b0… |
| 06-21 05:48:35 | (anonymous) 0x1587…ab76 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x778033… |
| 06-21 05:48:35 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x778033… |
| 06-19 04:35:23 | (anonymous) 0x1587…ab76 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x241e3d… |
| 06-19 04:35:23 | (anonymous) 0x92aa…0341 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x241e3d… |
| 06-18 08:34:37 | (anonymous) 0x6236…4558 | No | BUY | 52 | 96¢ | $50 | 0xc8f461… |
| 06-18 08:34:37 | Opulent-Jackfruit 0x6f8d…6e2a | Yes | BUY | 52 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xc8f461… |
| 06-16 10:27:48 | (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | BUY | 52 | 96¢ | $50 | 0xb03adc… |
| 06-16 10:27:48 | (anonymous) 0x1587…ab76 | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0xb03adc… |
| 06-16 10:27:48 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 47 | 96¢ | $46 | 0xb03adc… |
| 06-16 03:08:16 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xfb8e01… |
| 06-16 03:08:16 | Unselfish-Lift 0x83ab…a8ab | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xfb8e01… |
| 06-12 10:38:39 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 13 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x5b1e54… |
| 06-12 10:38:39 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 13 | 96¢ | $13 | 0x5b1e54… |
| 06-10 18:48:52 | Huge-Bark 0x9b91…297b | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xd4191f… |
| 06-10 18:48:52 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd4191f… |
| 06-10 09:08:31 | (anonymous) 0xd94a…6bb1 | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x71587c… |
| 06-10 09:08:31 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x71587c… |
| 06-08 20:16:39 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 9 | 96¢ | $8 | 0xb2d897… |
| 06-08 20:16:39 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb2d897… |
| 06-07 08:39:31 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x857922… |
| 06-07 08:39:31 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x857922… |
| 06-07 08:38:54 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf1c4f8… |
| 06-07 08:38:54 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xf1c4f8… |
| 06-07 00:27:31 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 16 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x134833… |
| 06-07 00:27:31 | (anonymous) 0x0085…b322 | No | SELL | 16 | 96¢ | $15 | 0x134833… |
| 06-07 00:11:21 | (anonymous) 0xad5c…b927 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xaabf86… |
| 06-07 00:11:21 | (anonymous) 0x0085…b322 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xaabf86… |
| 06-06 23:06:58 | (anonymous) 0x0085…b322 | No | BUY | 21 | 96¢ | $20 | 0x34b793… |
| 06-06 23:06:58 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 18 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x34b793… |
| 06-06 23:06:58 | Grim-Artificer 0x5f88…1d4d | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x34b793… |
| 06-06 23:06:46 | Limp-Attraction 0x9d06…c4e8 | No | BUY | 11 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xe737f6… |
| 06-06 23:06:46 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 11 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe737f6… |
| 06-06 23:06:39 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 12 | 96¢ | $11 | 0xbbe2bb… |
| 06-06 23:06:39 | (anonymous) 0x11c1…6db8 | No | SELL | 44 | 96¢ | $42 | 0xbbe2bb… |
| 06-06 23:06:39 | (anonymous) 0x03eb…1af0 | No | SELL | 41 | 96¢ | $39 | 0xbbe2bb… |
| 06-06 23:06:39 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | BUY | 214 | 96¢ | $205 | 0xbbe2bb… |
| 06-06 23:06:39 | Grim-Artificer 0x5f88…1d4d | No | SELL | 65 | 96¢ | $62 | 0xbbe2bb… |
| 06-06 23:06:39 | (anonymous) 0x5a3b…b269 | No | SELL | 53 | 96¢ | $51 | 0xbbe2bb… |
| 06-05 18:14:43 | Jumpy-Cyclamen 0x9fe7…95c3 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xaf2297… |
| 06-05 18:14:43 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xaf2297… |
| 06-05 05:44:42 | (anonymous) 0x1fde…b559 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xa3efb5… |
| 06-05 05:44:42 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xa3efb5… |
| 06-05 05:43:22 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x7c0224… |
| 06-05 05:43:22 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x7c0224… |
| 06-04 00:15:09 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xf1aa3f… |