Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
open
Total volume
$7,778
$152 in 24h
Trades
248
Unique wallets
75
Liquidity
$14,561
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-10-04
First seen
2026-05-30
last 07-26 14:36
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-2.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $61
vs crowd: 2% YES on $4.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 10 | $8 | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 12 | $44 | $2.5K | $2.5K |
| 🐟 Fish | 12 | $37 | $404 | $367 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 41 | $14 | $729 | $715 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $61 | $61 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $11 | $434 | $423 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $2 | $33 | $31 |
| Median | 11 | $24 | $2.6K | $2.6K |
| Below median | 10 | $7 | $263 | $255 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $31 | $6 | +$25 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $15 | $37 | $22 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | — | $279 | $279 |
| unranked | 36 | $11 | $1.1K | $1.0K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | +2,585 | $2,509 | $2,509 | 23 | 07-20 12:01 |
| Superior-Format 0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | +742 | $22 | $26 | 6 | 07-08 15:23 |
| Comfortable-Meridian 0x16af…12a5 | Yes | +400 | $15 | $29 | 6 | 07-18 20:01 |
| Outlandish-Complicity 0x0781…c4ff | Yes | +388 | $15 | $15 | 4 | 07-08 09:56 |
| Handy-Grasshopper 0x4fc1…ec92 | No | +290 | $280 | $280 | 2 | 06-26 14:08 |
| Weak-Threshold 0xbd65…304f | Yes | +154 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-08 02:00 |
| Grim-Artificer 0x5f88…1d4d | No | +143 | $138 | $347 | 10 | 07-23 01:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x1e5a…6709 | Yes | +143 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-23 01:34 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +135 | $131 | $426 | 9 | 07-26 14:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x8342…b349 | No | +103 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-05 18:50 |
| Lumpy-Video 0xbc56…8f28 | Yes | +77 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-17 13:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | +70 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-26 09:43 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | +63 | $61 | $61 | 1 | 07-08 02:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x5246…84d9 | No | +56 | $55 | $55 | 1 | 07-21 05:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xe7fa…5633 | No | +54 | $53 | $53 | 2 | 07-23 01:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x05ce…7d8b | No | +52 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 07-17 10:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x9501…7c30 | No | +50 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 07-17 12:57 |
| Clean-Slang 0xd5ff…8450 | Yes | +50 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-11 19:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x4f58…07bc | No | +42 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-30 10:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x1a45…6b5f | No | +41 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 07-17 10:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x3074…e225 | No | +41 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 07-17 10:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | +40 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 18:55 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +39 | $37 | $37 | 3 | 07-05 23:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xb62c…d9af | No | +38 | $36 | $44 | 2 | 07-15 05:03 |
| Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | Yes | +32 | $2 | $6 | 3 | 07-13 15:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xd56c…12b4 | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 3 | 07-23 01:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | +18 | $17 | $151 | 11 | 07-26 14:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x3677…c090 | No | +10 | $10 | $21 | 2 | 07-08 15:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-26 09:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x9cdd…df3e | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-26 09:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xad5c…b927 | No | +3 | $3 | $7 | 2 | 07-08 11:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x6f08…2ae3 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-26 12:32 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 14:36:43 | (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x7037d8… |
| 07-26 14:36:43 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x7037d8… |
| 07-26 12:32:46 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xaa6f16… |
| 07-26 12:32:46 | (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | SELL | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0xaa6f16… |
| 07-26 12:32:46 | (anonymous) 0x6f08…2ae3 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xaa6f16… |
| 07-26 11:36:57 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x04a38a… |
| 07-26 11:36:57 | (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | SELL | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x04a38a… |
| 07-26 09:45:55 | Limp-Attraction 0x9d06…c4e8 | No | SELL | 24 | 97¢ | $23 | 0xc7269d… |
| 07-26 09:45:55 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 16 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xc7269d… |
| 07-26 09:45:55 | (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0xc7269d… |
| 07-26 09:44:15 | Limp-Attraction 0x9d06…c4e8 | No | BUY | 12 | 98¢ | $11 | 0x148a5b… |
| 07-26 09:44:15 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x148a5b… |
| 07-26 09:44:15 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x148a5b… |
| 07-26 09:44:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbb5119… |
| 07-26 09:44:07 | (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0xbb5119… |
| 07-26 09:43:55 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x772661… |
| 07-26 09:43:55 | Guilty-Trail 0xae58…e5c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x772661… |
| 07-26 09:43:36 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 12 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbf6c72… |
| 07-26 09:43:36 | Limp-Attraction 0x9d06…c4e8 | No | BUY | 12 | 98¢ | $11 | 0xbf6c72… |
| 07-26 09:43:33 | (anonymous) 0x9cdd…df3e | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0xfc601d… |
| 07-26 09:43:33 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0x307868… |
| 07-26 09:43:33 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 18 | 97¢ | $17 | 0x307868… |
| 07-26 09:43:33 | (anonymous) 0x631f…8a3b | No | SELL | 29 | 98¢ | $28 | 0x307868… |
| 07-26 09:43:33 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xfc601d… |
| 07-26 09:43:33 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x307868… |
| 07-26 09:43:33 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | BUY | 235 | 97¢ | $229 | 0x307868… |
| 07-26 09:43:33 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x307868… |
| 07-23 01:34:37 | (anonymous) 0xe7fa…5633 | No | BUY | 14 | 98¢ | $14 | 0x76af2d… |
| 07-23 01:34:37 | (anonymous) 0x631f…8a3b | No | BUY | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0x76af2d… |
| 07-23 01:34:37 | (anonymous) 0xd56c…12b4 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x76af2d… |
| 07-23 01:34:37 | Grim-Artificer 0x5f88…1d4d | No | BUY | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0x76af2d… |
| 07-23 01:34:37 | (anonymous) 0x1e5a…6709 | Yes | BUY | 143 | 3¢ | $5 | 0x76af2d… |
| 07-22 20:41:03 | Grim-Artificer 0x5f88…1d4d | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x78f958… |
| 07-22 20:41:03 | (anonymous) 0xd56c…12b4 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x78f958… |
| 07-21 18:55:10 | (anonymous) 0xe7fa…5633 | No | BUY | 40 | 98¢ | $39 | 0x3963b1… |
| 07-21 18:55:10 | (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x3963b1… |
| 07-21 05:12:07 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 286 | 97¢ | $279 | 0x335266… |
| 07-21 05:12:07 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | SELL | 342 | 97¢ | $333 | 0x335266… |
| 07-21 05:12:07 | (anonymous) 0x5246…84d9 | No | BUY | 56 | 98¢ | $55 | 0x335266… |
| 07-20 12:01:37 | Limp-Attraction 0x9d06…c4e8 | No | SELL | 25 | 97¢ | $24 | 0x155709… |
| 07-20 12:01:37 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 25 | 97¢ | $24 | 0x155709… |
| 07-18 20:32:36 | (anonymous) 0x631f…8a3b | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0xbfdca6… |
| 07-18 20:32:36 | (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | SELL | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0xbfdca6… |
| 07-18 20:02:00 | (anonymous) 0x631f…8a3b | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x79b93f… |
| 07-18 20:02:00 | Limp-Attraction 0x9d06…c4e8 | No | SELL | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x79b93f… |
| 07-18 20:01:42 | (anonymous) 0x631f…8a3b | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xe59dbb… |
| 07-18 20:01:42 | Guilty-Trail 0xae58…e5c5 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xe59dbb… |
| 07-18 20:01:27 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | SELL | 240 | 96¢ | $231 | 0x744ed6… |
| 07-18 20:01:27 | Comfortable-Meridian 0x16af…12a5 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 4¢ | $7 | 0x744ed6… |
| 07-18 20:01:27 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x744ed6… |
| 07-18 20:01:27 | Mindless-Degradation 0xb35a…c452 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x744ed6… |
| 07-18 19:56:24 | Jumpy-Cyclamen 0x9fe7…95c3 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x126f0f… |
| 07-18 19:56:24 | Mindless-Degradation 0xb35a…c452 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x126f0f… |
| 07-17 19:55:46 | Guilty-Trail 0xae58…e5c5 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xadaffe… |
| 07-17 19:55:46 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xadaffe… |
| 07-17 15:32:45 | (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | BUY | 14 | 98¢ | $14 | 0xf46fa9… |
| 07-17 15:32:45 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 14 | 98¢ | $14 | 0xf46fa9… |
| 07-17 13:32:30 | (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | SELL | 14 | 96¢ | $14 | 0xe7b143… |
| 07-17 13:32:30 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0xe7b143… |
| 07-17 13:01:03 | Lumpy-Video 0xbc56…8f28 | Yes | BUY | 77 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x491912… |
| 07-17 13:01:03 | Mindless-Degradation 0xb35a…c452 | Yes | SELL | 77 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x491912… |
| 07-17 12:57:34 | (anonymous) 0x9501…7c30 | No | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $49 | 0x979c9f… |
| 07-17 12:57:34 | Mindless-Degradation 0xb35a…c452 | Yes | BUY | 88 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x979c9f… |
| 07-17 12:57:34 | Opulent-Jackfruit 0x6f8d…6e2a | Yes | SELL | 38 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x979c9f… |
| 07-17 12:30:51 | Opulent-Jackfruit 0x6f8d…6e2a | Yes | SELL | 14 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xa89147… |
| 07-17 12:30:51 | (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | SELL | 14 | 97¢ | $14 | 0xa89147… |
| 07-17 10:15:15 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x521ed3… |
| 07-17 10:15:15 | Guilty-Trail 0xae58…e5c5 | No | SELL | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x521ed3… |
| 07-17 10:12:55 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 16 | 97¢ | $15 | 0x842ec3… |
| 07-17 10:12:55 | Limp-Attraction 0x9d06…c4e8 | No | SELL | 16 | 97¢ | $15 | 0x842ec3… |
| 07-17 10:12:12 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x15bdbd… |
| 07-17 10:12:12 | (anonymous) 0x3074…e225 | No | BUY | 41 | 97¢ | $40 | 0x15bdbd… |
| 07-17 10:12:12 | (anonymous) 0x1a45…6b5f | No | BUY | 41 | 97¢ | $40 | 0x15bdbd… |
| 07-17 10:12:12 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 99 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x15bdbd… |
| 07-17 10:12:12 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | SELL | 458 | 97¢ | $447 | 0x15bdbd… |
| 07-17 10:12:12 | (anonymous) 0x05ce…7d8b | No | BUY | 52 | 97¢ | $51 | 0x15bdbd… |
| 07-17 10:12:12 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0x15bdbd… |
| 07-15 05:03:04 | Guilty-Trail 0xae58…e5c5 | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x58110f… |
| 07-15 05:03:04 | (anonymous) 0xb62c…d9af | No | SELL | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x58110f… |
| 07-13 15:25:22 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x514d89… |
| 07-13 15:25:22 | Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x514d89… |
| 07-13 15:16:56 | Shameful-Cinnamon 0x4d01…1645 | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x55fb38… |
| 07-13 15:16:56 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x55fb38… |
| 07-13 15:16:46 | Shameful-Cinnamon 0x4d01…1645 | No | SELL | 50 | 97¢ | $49 | 0xf7a2f8… |
| 07-13 15:16:46 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $49 | 0xf7a2f8… |
| 07-13 15:09:10 | Shameful-Cinnamon 0x4d01…1645 | No | SELL | 26 | 97¢ | $25 | 0x2d7371… |
| 07-13 15:09:10 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 26 | 97¢ | $25 | 0x2d7371… |
| 07-11 19:52:28 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x451434… |
| 07-11 19:52:28 | Clean-Slang 0xd5ff…8450 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x451434… |
| 07-08 15:23:14 | Superior-Format 0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x08c61d… |
| 07-08 15:23:14 | (anonymous) 0x3677…c090 | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x08c61d… |
| 07-08 12:48:43 | Superior-Format 0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x071106… |
| 07-08 12:48:43 | (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x071106… |
| 07-08 12:11:13 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xbe570a… |
| 07-08 12:11:13 | Superior-Format 0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xbe570a… |
| 07-08 12:11:13 | (anonymous) 0xbdb6…79ee | No | SELL | 31 | 97¢ | $30 | 0xbe570a… |
| 07-08 11:47:50 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x86919c… |
| 07-08 11:47:50 | Guilty-Trail 0xae58…e5c5 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x86919c… |
| 07-08 11:47:41 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x1d4038… |
| 07-08 11:47:41 | Limp-Attraction 0x9d06…c4e8 | No | SELL | 19 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x1d4038… |