Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
open
Total volume
$535
$152 in 24h
Trades
41
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$14,561
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-10-04
First seen
2026-05-30
last 06-12 10:38
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
No active YES holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $1 | $219 | $218 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | — | $2 | $2 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $12 | $12 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 11 | — | $27 | $27 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $205 | $205 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Median | 3 | — | $13 | $13 |
| Below median | 6 | — | $21 | $21 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $15 | $15 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 7 | — | $7 | $7 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | +214 | $205 | $205 | 1 | 06-06 23:06 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 06-08 20:16 |
| Limp-Attraction 0x9d06…c4e8 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-06 23:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xad5c…b927 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-07 00:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x1fde…b559 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-05 05:44 |
| Jumpy-Cyclamen 0x9fe7…95c3 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-05 18:14 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 10:38:39 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 13 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x5b1e54… |
| 06-12 10:38:39 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 13 | 96¢ | $13 | 0x5b1e54… |
| 06-10 18:48:52 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd4191f… |
| 06-10 18:48:52 | Huge-Bark 0x9b91…297b | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xd4191f… |
| 06-10 09:08:31 | (anonymous) 0xd94a…6bb1 | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x71587c… |
| 06-10 09:08:31 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x71587c… |
| 06-08 20:16:39 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 9 | 96¢ | $8 | 0xb2d897… |
| 06-08 20:16:39 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb2d897… |
| 06-07 08:39:31 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x857922… |
| 06-07 08:39:31 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x857922… |
| 06-07 08:38:54 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xf1c4f8… |
| 06-07 08:38:54 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf1c4f8… |
| 06-07 00:27:31 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 16 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x134833… |
| 06-07 00:27:31 | (anonymous) 0x0085…b322 | No | SELL | 16 | 96¢ | $15 | 0x134833… |
| 06-07 00:11:21 | (anonymous) 0x0085…b322 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xaabf86… |
| 06-07 00:11:21 | (anonymous) 0xad5c…b927 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xaabf86… |
| 06-06 23:06:58 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 18 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x34b793… |
| 06-06 23:06:58 | (anonymous) 0x0085…b322 | No | BUY | 21 | 96¢ | $20 | 0x34b793… |
| 06-06 23:06:58 | Grim-Artificer 0x5f88…1d4d | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x34b793… |
| 06-06 23:06:46 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 11 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe737f6… |
| 06-06 23:06:46 | Limp-Attraction 0x9d06…c4e8 | No | BUY | 11 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xe737f6… |
| 06-06 23:06:39 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 12 | 96¢ | $11 | 0xbbe2bb… |
| 06-06 23:06:39 | (anonymous) 0x5a3b…b269 | No | SELL | 53 | 96¢ | $51 | 0xbbe2bb… |
| 06-06 23:06:39 | (anonymous) 0x11c1…6db8 | No | SELL | 44 | 96¢ | $42 | 0xbbe2bb… |
| 06-06 23:06:39 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | BUY | 214 | 96¢ | $205 | 0xbbe2bb… |
| 06-06 23:06:39 | Grim-Artificer 0x5f88…1d4d | No | SELL | 65 | 96¢ | $62 | 0xbbe2bb… |
| 06-06 23:06:39 | (anonymous) 0x03eb…1af0 | No | SELL | 41 | 96¢ | $39 | 0xbbe2bb… |
| 06-05 18:14:43 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xaf2297… |
| 06-05 18:14:43 | Jumpy-Cyclamen 0x9fe7…95c3 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xaf2297… |
| 06-05 05:44:42 | (anonymous) 0x1fde…b559 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xa3efb5… |
| 06-05 05:44:42 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xa3efb5… |
| 06-05 05:43:22 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x7c0224… |
| 06-05 05:43:22 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x7c0224… |
| 06-04 00:15:09 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xf1aa3f… |
| 06-04 00:15:09 | Muddy-Comeback 0x8c1e…6cb8 | No | SELL | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0xf1aa3f… |
| 06-03 16:16:03 | Mature-Enjoyment 0x6094…698e | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x2e6786… |
| 06-03 16:16:03 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x2e6786… |
| 06-01 22:56:20 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x875930… |
| 06-01 22:56:20 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 7 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x875930… |
| 05-30 08:47:24 | Marvelous-Hydrolyse 0xdee6…b754 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xeee2d6… |
| 05-30 08:47:24 | Grim-Artificer 0x5f88…1d4d | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xeee2d6… |