Weak-Threshold 0xbd65de…4d304f
bot cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.09K
Unrealized P&L
+$237
Hit rate
54.1%
Resolved
507
Trades
1,904
lifetime
Volume
$36.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$1.78K
15 positions
First seen
2026-03-03
last 10-27 13:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 107 days
Categories
Other
85% 38% -$1,162
Crypto
6% 37% -$11
Politics
6% 30% -$20
Tech
2% 33% +$70
Sports
1% 53% +$32
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 168 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +432 $161 88¢ $382 +$221 07-24 02:22
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? No +325 $305 97¢ $315 +$10 10-25 16:15
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? Yes +500 $160 44¢ $218 +$58 10-20 05:54
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +1,186 $230 16¢ $190 -$41 10-17 02:31
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat? No +250 $180 70¢ $174 -$6 07-07 14:40
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes +246 $57 58¢ $144 +$86 10-14 08:18
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +306 $141 38¢ $115 -$26 07-03 00:30
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? Yes +665 $90 13¢ $85 -$5 10-24 13:34
Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat? Yes +65 $57 97¢ $63 +$6 07-18 21:52
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat? No +80 $59 60¢ $48 -$12 07-14 03:50
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? Yes +491 $25 4¢ $20 -$5 10-25 16:15
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? Yes +353 $51 5¢ $18 -$33 07-24 02:17
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? No -6 -$6 98¢ $-6 $0 05-13 08:14
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +50 $6 8¢ $4 -$3 09-03 01:29
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? Yes +100 $14 1¢ $1 -$13 10-20 02:35