Realized P&L
+$736
Unrealized P&L
+$189
Hit rate
79.5%
Resolved
35
Trades
959
lifetime
Volume
$9.91K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$1.38K
8 positions
First seen
2026-03-03
last 07-21 16:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
72% 54% +$736
Crypto
23%
Tech
3%
Politics
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +1,301 $979 86¢ $1.1K +$146 07-07 00:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +300 $97 46¢ $136 +$40 07-19 07:00
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? Yes +500 $50 12¢ $58 +$8 07-08 01:36
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? Yes +241 $37 14¢ $33 $-5 07-21 11:13
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026? Yes +25 $16 62¢ $15 $-0 07-12 20:43
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 +$0 07-07 04:11
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -120 $-7 $-4 +$3 06-08 10:49
Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +154 $5 $3 $-2 07-08 02:00