Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?
open
Total volume
$347
Trades
75
Unique wallets
32
Liquidity
$4,318
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-17 21:15
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $0 | $33 | $33 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | — | $216 | $216 |
| 🐟 Fish | 11 | $5 | $40 | $35 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 13 | $24 | $31 | $7 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $0 | $33 | $33 |
| Median | 3 | — | $2 | $2 |
| Below median | 4 | — | $24 | $24 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $190 | $190 |
| unranked | 14 | $24 | $71 | $46 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Violent-Signature 0xe9fb…dbd0 | Yes | +400 | $23 | $23 | 7 | 08-17 21:15 |
| Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | +203 | $190 | $190 | 31 | 08-17 21:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x41b7…4ff3 | Yes | +30 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 08-05 08:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x41b7…4ff3 | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 08-05 16:02 |
| Basic-Hamster 0x5824…69a9 | No | +27 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 08-11 03:29 |
| Frivolous-Countryside 0x35e1…f41d | No | +18 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 08-13 13:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x27e5…fb20 | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 07-27 17:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xb3af…84fc | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 08-11 05:41 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-16 08:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x3b5a…5651 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-28 06:49 |
| Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | Yes | +2 | $0 | $2 | 3 | 08-15 08:19 |
| Lone-Dibble 0x6eae…1916 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-15 08:19 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | +2 | $1 | $56 | 3 | 06-24 11:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-07 09:07 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-17 21:15:07 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $4 | 0x39beac… |
| 08-17 21:15:07 | Violent-Signature 0xe9fb…dbd0 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x39beac… |
| 08-16 08:56:15 | Busy-Endive 0x1b5b…a142 | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x095818… |
| 08-16 08:56:15 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x095818… |
| 08-15 08:19:24 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x040584… |
| 08-15 08:19:24 | Lone-Dibble 0x6eae…1916 | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x040584… |
| 08-14 22:29:22 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xe042ad… |
| 08-14 22:29:22 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 9 | 92¢ | $8 | 0xe042ad… |
| 08-14 22:29:22 | Violent-Signature 0xe9fb…dbd0 | Yes | BUY | 66 | 7¢ | $5 | 0xe042ad… |
| 08-14 22:29:22 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xe042ad… |
| 08-13 13:42:25 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x4bdb6f… |
| 08-13 13:42:25 | Frivolous-Countryside 0x35e1…f41d | No | BUY | 18 | 94¢ | $17 | 0x4bdb6f… |
| 08-11 05:41:27 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc28f2b… |
| 08-11 05:41:27 | (anonymous) 0xb3af…84fc | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xc28f2b… |
| 08-11 03:29:12 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf0025b… |
| 08-11 03:29:12 | Basic-Hamster 0x5824…69a9 | No | BUY | 27 | 87¢ | $24 | 0xf0025b… |
| 08-11 03:29:12 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xf0025b… |
| 08-11 03:29:12 | Violent-Signature 0xe9fb…dbd0 | Yes | BUY | 141 | 7¢ | $10 | 0xf0025b… |
| 08-05 21:22:11 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x481004… |
| 08-05 21:22:11 | Violent-Signature 0xe9fb…dbd0 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x481004… |
| 08-05 16:02:51 | (anonymous) 0x41b7…4ff3 | No | BUY | 15 | 96¢ | $14 | 0x69b853… |
| 08-05 16:02:51 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 41 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x69b853… |
| 08-05 16:02:51 | Violent-Signature 0xe9fb…dbd0 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x69b853… |
| 08-05 08:44:51 | (anonymous) 0x41b7…4ff3 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x87d6dd… |
| 08-05 08:44:51 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 71 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x87d6dd… |
| 08-05 08:44:51 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 86 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x87d6dd… |
| 08-01 05:54:18 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x039803… |
| 08-01 05:54:18 | (anonymous) 0x9bc3…d392 | No | SELL | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x039803… |
| 07-31 04:58:42 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa3208d… |
| 07-31 04:58:42 | (anonymous) 0x41b7…4ff3 | No | BUY | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0xa3208d… |
| 07-31 04:58:42 | Experienced-Carpeting 0xbdcb…e811 | No | SELL | 23 | 98¢ | $23 | 0xa3208d… |
| 07-29 15:40:54 | (anonymous) 0xccb3…c2e4 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xaf20d6… |
| 07-29 15:40:54 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xaf20d6… |
| 07-29 15:39:09 | (anonymous) 0xccb3…c2e4 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x450a1f… |
| 07-29 15:39:09 | (anonymous) 0x41b7…4ff3 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x450a1f… |
| 07-27 17:02:09 | (anonymous) 0xccb3…c2e4 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x6b64cd… |
| 07-27 17:02:09 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x6b64cd… |
| 07-27 17:02:09 | (anonymous) 0x27e5…fb20 | No | BUY | 14 | 95¢ | $14 | 0x6b64cd… |
| 07-27 01:05:00 | Broken-Opposite 0x26cb…3e56 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x0658f5… |
| 07-27 01:05:00 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x0658f5… |
| 07-27 01:05:00 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x0658f5… |
| 07-27 01:05:00 | Violent-Signature 0xe9fb…dbd0 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x0658f5… |
| 07-26 23:33:10 | Violent-Signature 0xe9fb…dbd0 | Yes | BUY | 59 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x10be24… |
| 07-26 23:33:10 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 59 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x10be24… |
| 07-06 18:32:17 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 24 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0496f6… |
| 07-06 18:32:17 | (anonymous) 0xc6d9…3a6e | Yes | SELL | 24 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0496f6… |
| 07-05 22:25:26 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x0939ea… |
| 07-05 22:25:26 | (anonymous) 0x16b4…168f | No | SELL | 32 | 97¢ | $31 | 0x0939ea… |
| 07-05 22:25:26 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 15 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x0939ea… |
| 07-01 10:18:29 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x108adb… |
| 07-01 10:18:29 | (anonymous) 0x0f55…38ae | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x108adb… |
| 07-01 09:29:47 | Lanky-Agony 0xc8cd…956b | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x239da8… |
| 07-01 09:29:47 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x239da8… |
| 07-01 01:40:29 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 36 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x8fee6b… |
| 07-01 01:40:29 | Violet-Negligee 0xd687…bbb3 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x8fee6b… |
| 07-01 00:46:29 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x84b91f… |
| 07-01 00:46:29 | Violet-Negligee 0xd687…bbb3 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x84b91f… |
| 06-24 11:43:56 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x908d36… |
| 06-24 11:43:56 | (anonymous) 0xcc20…1179 | Yes | SELL | 47 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x908d36… |
| 06-24 11:43:56 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 27 | 98¢ | $26 | 0x908d36… |
| 06-07 09:11:42 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xbbc016… |
| 06-07 09:11:42 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xbbc016… |
| 06-07 09:07:12 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x1f82c8… |
| 06-07 09:07:12 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1f82c8… |
| 06-05 06:01:49 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x3580df… |
| 06-05 06:01:49 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x3580df… |
| 06-05 06:01:27 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x5b169d… |
| 06-05 06:01:27 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x5b169d… |
| 06-03 01:37:50 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x97bd94… |
| 06-03 01:37:50 | Lustrous-Nitrogen 0x7993…072f | No | SELL | 41 | 96¢ | $39 | 0x97bd94… |
| 06-03 01:37:50 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x97bd94… |
| 05-28 06:49:28 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x16c039… |
| 05-28 06:49:28 | (anonymous) 0x3b5a…5651 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x16c039… |
| 05-28 03:19:21 | (anonymous) 0x3b5a…5651 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x10a85d… |
| 05-28 03:19:21 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x10a85d… |