Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?
open
Total volume
$177
Trades
40
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$4,318
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-27 17:02
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | — | $48 | $48 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $3 | $14 | $11 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 10 | $4 | — | +$4 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $29 | $29 |
| Median | 3 | — | $2 | $2 |
| Below median | 3 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $17 | $17 |
| unranked | 8 | $4 | $14 | $9 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Violent-Signature 0xe9fb…dbd0 | Yes | +84 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 07-27 01:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xccb3…c2e4 | Yes | +23 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-27 17:02 |
| Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | +18 | $17 | $17 | 4 | 07-27 17:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x27e5…fb20 | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 07-27 17:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x3b5a…5651 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-28 06:49 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | +2 | $1 | $56 | 3 | 06-24 11:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-07 09:07 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 17:02:09 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x6b64cd… |
| 07-27 17:02:09 | (anonymous) 0x27e5…fb20 | No | BUY | 14 | 95¢ | $14 | 0x6b64cd… |
| 07-27 17:02:09 | (anonymous) 0xccb3…c2e4 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x6b64cd… |
| 07-27 01:05:00 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x0658f5… |
| 07-27 01:05:00 | Violent-Signature 0xe9fb…dbd0 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x0658f5… |
| 07-27 01:05:00 | Broken-Opposite 0x26cb…3e56 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x0658f5… |
| 07-27 01:05:00 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x0658f5… |
| 07-26 23:33:10 | Violent-Signature 0xe9fb…dbd0 | Yes | BUY | 59 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x10be24… |
| 07-26 23:33:10 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 59 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x10be24… |
| 07-06 18:32:17 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 24 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0496f6… |
| 07-06 18:32:17 | (anonymous) 0xc6d9…3a6e | Yes | SELL | 24 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0496f6… |
| 07-05 22:25:26 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 15 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x0939ea… |
| 07-05 22:25:26 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x0939ea… |
| 07-05 22:25:26 | (anonymous) 0x16b4…168f | No | SELL | 32 | 97¢ | $31 | 0x0939ea… |
| 07-01 10:18:29 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x108adb… |
| 07-01 10:18:29 | (anonymous) 0x0f55…38ae | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x108adb… |
| 07-01 09:29:47 | Lanky-Agony 0xc8cd…956b | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x239da8… |
| 07-01 09:29:47 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x239da8… |
| 07-01 01:40:29 | Violet-Negligee 0xd687…bbb3 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x8fee6b… |
| 07-01 01:40:29 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 36 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x8fee6b… |
| 07-01 00:46:29 | Violet-Negligee 0xd687…bbb3 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x84b91f… |
| 07-01 00:46:29 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x84b91f… |
| 06-24 11:43:56 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 27 | 98¢ | $26 | 0x908d36… |
| 06-24 11:43:56 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x908d36… |
| 06-24 11:43:56 | (anonymous) 0xcc20…1179 | Yes | SELL | 47 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x908d36… |
| 06-07 09:11:42 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xbbc016… |
| 06-07 09:11:42 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xbbc016… |
| 06-07 09:07:12 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x1f82c8… |
| 06-07 09:07:12 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1f82c8… |
| 06-05 06:01:49 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x3580df… |
| 06-05 06:01:49 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x3580df… |
| 06-05 06:01:27 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x5b169d… |
| 06-05 06:01:27 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x5b169d… |
| 06-03 01:37:50 | Lustrous-Nitrogen 0x7993…072f | No | SELL | 41 | 96¢ | $39 | 0x97bd94… |
| 06-03 01:37:50 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x97bd94… |
| 06-03 01:37:50 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x97bd94… |
| 05-28 06:49:28 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x16c039… |
| 05-28 06:49:28 | (anonymous) 0x3b5a…5651 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x16c039… |
| 05-28 03:19:21 | (anonymous) 0x3b5a…5651 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x10a85d… |
| 05-28 03:19:21 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x10a85d… |