Realized P&L
+$15
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
67.1%
Resolved
165
Trades
374
lifetime
Volume
$2.81K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$340
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 20:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 61 days
Categories
Other
54% 78% +$11
Crypto
26% 68% +$2
Politics
18% 60% -$4
Sports
1% 50% +$6
Tech
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +170 $147 88¢ $150 +$3 10-26 20:33
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -50 -$48 96¢ $-48 $0 10-25 20:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? No -30 -$30 99¢ $-30 $0 10-25 20:17
Human moon landing in 2026? No -20 -$20 99¢ $-20 +$0 08-01 05:47
Trump out as President before 2027? No -20 -$19 96¢ $-19 $0 08-14 17:35
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -949 -$14 1¢ $-13 +$1 10-25 20:14
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -11 -$11 96¢ $-11 $0 10-25 20:16
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? No -10 -$10 97¢ $-10 $0 08-01 05:54
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -10 -$10 96¢ $-10 +$0 10-01 12:53
US recession by end of 2026? No -10 -$9 92¢ $-9 $0 10-25 20:20
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -10 -$9 92¢ $-9 $0 10-25 20:14
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No -10 -$9 87¢ $-9 $0 10-25 20:14
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? No -5 -$2 42¢ $-2 +$0 10-25 20:07