Realized P&L (90d)
+$2
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
71.1%
Resolved (90d)
18
Trades (90d)
43
373 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$640
$2.80K lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$361
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 20:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 62 days
Categories
Other
54% 79% +$12
Crypto
26% 68% +$2
Politics
18% 60% -$4
Sports
1% 50% +$6
Tech
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +170 $147 94¢ $159 +$12 10-26 20:33
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -50 -$48 98¢ $-49 -$1 10-25 20:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? No -30 -$30 99¢ $-30 $0 10-25 20:17
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -949 -$14 2¢ $-23 -$9 10-25 20:14
Human moon landing in 2026? No -20 -$20 100¢ $-20 $0 08-01 05:47
Trump out as President before 2027? No -20 -$19 97¢ $-19 $0 08-14 17:35
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -11 -$11 98¢ $-11 $0 10-25 20:16
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? No -10 -$10 99¢ $-10 $0 08-01 05:54
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -10 -$10 98¢ $-10 $0 10-01 12:53
US recession by end of 2026? No -10 -$9 98¢ $-10 -$1 10-25 20:20
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -10 -$9 92¢ $-9 $0 10-25 20:14
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No -10 -$9 90¢ $-9 $0 10-25 20:14
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? No -5 -$2 38¢ $-2 +$0 10-25 20:07