Realized P&L
-$396
Unrealized P&L
+$66
Hit rate
63.9%
Resolved
4
Trades
5,264
lifetime
Volume
$180.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$34
Open exposure
$3.96K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 18:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
72% 100% +$126
Politics
18% 33% $-522
Crypto
9%
Tech
1%
Sports
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 106 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1,434 $-1,399 98¢ $-1404 $-5 07-19 17:15
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027? No -300 $-295 98¢ $-293 +$2 06-19 15:08
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +300 $264 92¢ $274 +$10 07-02 16:34
Will Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026? No -212 $-204 96¢ $-203 +$1 07-07 20:14
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? No -202 $-197 98¢ $-198 $-1 06-12 01:00
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No +167 $159 97¢ $162 +$3 07-19 08:58
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? No -134 $-129 98¢ $-131 $-1 06-15 06:34
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027? No +96 $92 96¢ $93 +$1 07-09 12:56
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +100 $84 92¢ $92 +$9 07-11 18:30
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026? No +91 $77 92¢ $84 +$7 07-01 03:09
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? No -75 $-73 98¢ $-73 $-0 07-17 22:56
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +77 $70 92¢ $70 +$1 07-13 20:51
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? No -70 $-69 99¢ $-69 +$0 06-26 11:36
Will XRP reach $4.00 by December 31, 2026? No +67 $61 97¢ $65 +$4 07-12 04:57
Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026? No +65 $62 97¢ $63 +$1 07-17 17:27
Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? No +83 $63 76¢ $63 $-0 07-20 05:34
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +64 $59 94¢ $60 +$1 07-09 21:06
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year? No +63 $57 93¢ $59 +$2 07-20 04:58
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +60 $52 88¢ $53 +$0 07-15 12:55
Will USD/KRW hit 1650 (High) in 2026? No +60 $41 88¢ $53 +$12 06-14 13:48
Will USD/KRW hit 1600 (High) in 2026? No +60 $36 86¢ $51 +$16 06-14 12:26
Will Zcash reach $900 by December 31, 2026? No +60 $48 69¢ $41 $-6 07-14 16:22
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No -42 $-42 98¢ $-41 +$1 07-11 18:27
Will Aster reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026? No +43 $37 96¢ $41 +$3 06-22 11:53
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027? No +40 $37 96¢ $38 +$2 07-08 02:56
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? No -38 $-37 97¢ $-37 +$0 07-19 02:48
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? No +37 $36 97¢ $36 +$1 07-17 16:33
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? No +40 $34 90¢ $36 +$2 07-15 17:32
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No +40 $34 90¢ $36 +$2 07-17 12:54
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? No +36 $34 97¢ $35 +$1 07-17 11:19