Unlucky-Comparison — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$396

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.9%

Resolved

Trades

5,895

lifetime

Volume

$186.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 16:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

71% 100% +$126

Politics

18% 33% $-522

Crypto

10% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 106 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	41	$8.7K	4,026	4,741	-715	open	—	02-20 16:57
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	98	$6.1K	2,491	3,686	-1,195	open	—	05-06 08:20
will silver si hit high 140 by end of january 438 122 492	8	$3.7K	1,822	1,872	-50	open	—	01-31 08:40
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	44	$2.8K	900	1,945	-1,045	open	—	05-05 21:56
gc hit 6000 high jan 2026	11	$2.5K	987	1,485	-498	open	—	01-31 11:19
Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	48	$2.4K	973	1,433	-460	open	—	04-26 20:30
was ilhan omar sprayed with pure water 783	11	$2.1K	1,045	1,100	-55	open	—	01-28 19:56
US strike on Cuba by January 31?	10	$2.0K	1,331	661	+670	open	—	02-01 06:33
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	14	$1.9K	717	1,370	-653	open	—	03-07 12:57
will silver si hit high 140 by end of february 384 774 953 735 356	4	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	02-26 17:38
will silver si hit high 185 by end of february 694 754	8	$1.8K	812	1,062	-250	open	—	02-14 00:19
will israel nuke iran by january 31	22	$1.8K	900	900	+0	open	—	01-30 11:56
will silver si hit high 180 by end of february 127 147	10	$1.8K	943	943	+0	open	—	02-21 07:46
nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	3	$1.8K	900	900	+0	open	—	01-30 16:19
ilhan omar town hall attack staged	37	$1.8K	900	900	+0	open	—	02-13 03:29
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?	3	$1.8K	900	900	+0	open	—	02-01 06:27
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	5	$1.7K	900	900	+0	open	—	03-31 11:58
moltbook shutdown by feb 28	20	$1.7K	900	900	-0	open	—	02-28 21:49
will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28 881	5	$1.7K	900	900	+0	open	—	03-01 00:20
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	5	$1.7K	830	900	-70	open	—	01-30 06:20
us strike on colombia by january 31	8	$1.7K	800	900	-100	open	—	01-30 11:46
will trump visit greenland by march 31	10	$1.6K	900	900	+0	open	—	03-20 21:41
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	49	$1.5K	117	1,449	-1,332	open	—	07-25 11:42
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	19	$1.5K	913	605	+308	open	—	05-05 22:23
will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of february 271 168 354 381 713	12	$1.3K	618	713	-95	open	—	02-18 15:38
US strike on Mexico by January 31?	5	$1.3K	812	487	+325	open	—	02-01 07:27
ukraine hits moscow by january 31	16	$1.3K	836	434	+402	open	—	02-02 16:33
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?	122	$1.2K	159	1,082	-923	open	—	06-10 04:49
will silver si hit high 130 by end of march	26	$1.2K	524	703	-179	open	—	03-31 00:48
will iranian officials visit the white house by february 28	16	$1.2K	464	717	-253	open	—	03-01 00:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 16:08:58	will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xaa52a7…
08-10 13:01:37	Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x6eff7a…
08-10 05:55:55	will cap reach 0pt08 before 2027	No	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x81c38a…
08-10 00:16:54	Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xab98b9…
08-09 07:49:01	Will Plasma reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$0	0xc72df9…
08-09 06:33:12	Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x669389…
08-09 04:43:45	Will BNB reach $1600 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x25f137…
08-08 16:23:51	Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xb7045a…
08-08 07:51:03	Will Pump.fun reach $0.0080 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x6b4f82…
08-07 22:46:42	Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xdde5e4…
08-07 20:52:19	Will Solana reach $260 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	92¢	$0	0xe77e68…
08-07 20:51:34	will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x58f7ea…
08-07 20:42:51	will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xbf67c7…
08-07 18:10:16	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x7925f2…
08-07 18:10:15	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x300e15…
08-07 16:28:19	Will Dogecoin reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0xd4d991…
08-07 16:27:39	Will Dogecoin reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x7a5b84…
08-07 15:33:21	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x38f014…
08-07 13:36:22	putin and zelenskyy shake hands by august 31	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x773c28…
08-07 12:03:46	Will USD/JPY hit 175 (High) in 2026?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x2ba867…
08-07 08:08:06	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x7dc085…
08-06 22:02:33	Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xfca1b4…
08-06 20:25:17	Will Kinetiq reach $1 before 2027?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x1ce2e8…
08-06 18:31:11	Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x19e5a2…
08-06 16:57:42	Will USD/CAD hit 1.60 (High) in 2026?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x1a0cd4…
08-06 14:15:59	Will Ethena reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xd09113…
08-06 07:46:09	Will BNB reach $1600 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$2	0xd96db5…
08-06 02:54:59	will the ethereum volatility index dip to 40 by august 31	No	BUY	48	97¢	$46	0xb7757e…
08-06 00:17:57	Will USD/CAD hit 1.60 (High) in 2026?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd1d64e…
08-05 19:52:08	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x90a014…
08-05 19:34:02	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x1983d5…
08-05 19:23:36	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0xcfad44…
08-05 19:18:48	Will USD/CAD hit 1.60 (High) in 2026?	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x541fd9…
08-05 16:53:24	Will Pump.fun reach $0.0050 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0xea1761…
08-05 16:51:26	Will Pump.fun reach $0.0046 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xa8ef4c…
08-05 15:28:29	will gold gc hit high 5000 by end of december 2026	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x986767…
08-05 15:18:38	will gold gc hit high 5000 by end of december 2026	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x4090f2…
08-05 15:08:47	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x20493a…
08-05 06:34:09	will gold gc hit high 5000 by end of december 2026	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x3df78f…
08-04 20:47:50	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x39f14f…
08-04 19:59:24	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xf58c73…
08-04 18:57:57	New COVID variant of concern before 2027?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x8061f3…
08-04 17:54:03	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x84efaa…
08-04 17:50:27	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7d0e8c…
08-04 17:48:59	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb22c01…
08-04 17:47:18	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x59f8f5…
08-04 17:45:53	CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x93a60e…
08-04 17:39:57	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2cd240…
08-04 17:33:05	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd58496…
08-04 10:22:35	Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x2879a0…
08-04 09:00:41	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x5c7c86…
08-03 21:37:56	Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xcf38b6…
08-03 21:37:35	Will Solana reach $280 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xa4992e…
08-03 21:37:24	Will Solana reach $260 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x8626e5…
08-03 21:37:06	Will Solana reach $220 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xc7e9ad…
08-03 13:56:53	Will BNB reach $1200 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb5ee2c…
08-03 13:56:24	Will BNB reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x0e3e1d…
08-03 11:05:35	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2dba33…
08-03 08:47:29	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8a83fd…
08-03 07:21:57	New COVID variant of concern before 2027?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xffbe9b…
08-02 20:56:12	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x33bae6…
08-02 16:57:36	will the bitcoin volatility index dip to 30 by august 31	No	BUY	10	97¢	$9	0x8f5651…
08-02 15:22:00	will the bitcoin volatility index dip to 30 by august 31	No	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x765248…
08-02 13:13:57	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xeb214f…
08-02 11:15:42	Will XRP reach $3.40 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x354e54…
08-02 08:31:14	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x41c9d7…
08-02 06:37:23	will the bitcoin volatility index dip to 30 by august 31	No	BUY	39	97¢	$38	0xe0b6ac…
08-02 06:34:59	will the ethereum volatility index dip to 40 by august 31	No	BUY	52	97¢	$51	0x6834cd…
08-01 17:38:29	Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x718697…
08-01 17:38:15	Will Solana reach $300 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x2f3073…
08-01 17:37:45	Will Solana reach $220 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xad15ff…
08-01 14:34:02	Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x05a43a…
08-01 12:18:14	Will BNB reach $1200 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x625fd1…
08-01 11:24:05	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xfeaea1…
08-01 08:47:05	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xb9e914…
08-01 08:29:06	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x51594e…
08-01 07:07:48	will total crypto market cap hit 4t in 2026 20260721192934663	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x21a47b…
08-01 07:05:53	will total crypto market cap hit 4t in 2026 20260721192934663	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xbeea07…
08-01 07:05:50	will total crypto market cap hit 4t in 2026 20260721192934663	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb23a3f…
08-01 07:05:47	will total crypto market cap hit 4t in 2026 20260721192934663	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x931535…
08-01 07:05:42	will total crypto market cap hit 4t in 2026 20260721192934663	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x21cef5…
08-01 05:54:18	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x039803…
08-01 01:06:59	will the ethereum volatility index dip to 40 by july 31	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xeec5e0…
08-01 01:03:44	will the bitcoin volatility index dip to 30 by july 31	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa90f1a…
07-31 21:24:02	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x41158b…
07-31 21:23:44	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xe84cc4…
07-31 18:34:45	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x4edaba…
07-31 17:09:57	Will USD/JPY hit 175 (High) in 2026?	No	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x18ced2…
07-31 15:50:53	Will USD/JPY hit 170 (High) in 2026?	No	BUY	4	60¢	$3	0xf0a83b…
07-31 14:45:51	Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xe5346f…
07-31 14:42:35	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xc7b07a…
07-31 14:26:05	Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x96254e…
07-31 12:50:24	will cap reach 0pt10 before 2027	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x1285b0…
07-31 08:29:32	will cap reach 0pt08 before 2027	No	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x0167eb…
07-30 18:13:48	Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x326fcf…
07-30 18:11:50	Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x255fb8…
07-30 16:46:20	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x6353ff…
07-30 12:54:12	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xdad9c1…
07-30 11:15:38	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x137636…
07-30 08:31:27	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027?	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0x4b9e31…