Realized P&L
-$396
Unrealized P&L
+$26
Hit rate
63.9%
Resolved
4
Trades
3,594
lifetime
Volume
$160.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$45
Open exposure
$2.00K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 00:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
75% 100% +$126
Politics
18% 33% $-522
Crypto
7%
Tech
1%
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 101 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026? Yes +600 $596 100¢ $598 +$2 06-05 18:55
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? No -143 $-140 98¢ $-140 $-0 06-09 18:11
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June? No +125 $124 100¢ $124 +$0 06-10 00:19
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June? No +95 $95 100¢ $95 +$0 06-08 04:50
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30? No +94 $93 99¢ $93 +$1 06-05 19:19
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027? No +84 $80 96¢ $81 +$1 06-06 10:07
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June? No +79 $78 99¢ $79 +$1 06-10 03:06
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +79 $65 90¢ $71 +$7 06-09 15:57
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June? No +54 $53 98¢ $53 +$1 06-09 18:25
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +48 $47 99¢ $48 +$1 06-04 21:29
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +60 $33 74¢ $45 +$11 06-08 07:02
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? No +42 $41 99¢ $42 +$0 06-09 00:14
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June? No +42 $42 99¢ $42 +$0 06-09 11:53
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? No +42 $41 99¢ $41 +$1 06-06 07:09
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June? No +41 $41 100¢ $41 +$0 05-30 00:44
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? No +38 $38 99¢ $38 +$0 06-09 15:38
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June? No +36 $36 100¢ $36 +$0 06-09 03:19
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? No +35 $35 99¢ $35 +$0 06-07 21:37
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June? No +33 $32 99¢ $32 +$0 06-10 02:32
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June? No +30 $28 98¢ $30 +$2 06-09 18:25
Will XRP reach $4.00 by December 31, 2026? No +31 $28 92¢ $29 +$1 06-05 06:15
Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026? No +30 $28 96¢ $29 +$0 06-06 19:38
Will USD/KRW hit 1600 (High) in 2026? No +50 $32 56¢ $28 $-4 06-05 13:45
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June? No +24 $24 100¢ $24 +$0 06-07 05:21
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +30 $24 80¢ $24 $-0 06-08 02:08
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30? No +24 $23 99¢ $23 +$0 06-06 19:23
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? No +22 $20 93¢ $20 +$0 06-07 13:00
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No +20 $18 96¢ $19 +$1 05-29 22:25
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? No +20 $19 94¢ $19 +$0 06-07 13:57
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No +19 $18 99¢ $18 +$0 06-09 00:14