Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
open
Total volume
$26,595
$1,787 in 24h
Trades
163
Unique wallets
113
Liquidity
$15,676
Latest YES mid
9¢
Latest NO mid
91¢
End date
2026-04-30
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 21:54
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-50.4¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $44
vs crowd: 50% YES on $12.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $44 | $44 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 110 | $6.1K | $6.0K | +$135 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $44 | $44 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $8 | $93 | $85 |
| Median | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Below median | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $2 | $3 | $1 |
| unranked | 103 | $6.1K | $5.9K | +$217 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Generous-Maximum 0xe555…a91d | Yes | +5,565 | $276 | $276 | 3 | 05-05 19:21 |
| Intrepid-Tugboat 0xe9a8…416c | Yes | +5,090 | $300 | $300 | 2 | 05-05 19:08 |
| Thin-Membrane 0xa510…1f80 | No | +4,629 | $216 | $216 | 1 | 05-05 14:05 |
| Complete-Fly 0x6bab…1292 | Yes | +3,999 | $568 | $568 | 1 | 05-05 17:44 |
| Determined-Percentage 0xcd71…d127 | No | +1,925 | $1,828 | $1,828 | 3 | 05-05 21:10 |
| Indelible-Try 0x9aeb…2729 | Yes | +1,645 | $1,556 | $1,556 | 1 | 05-05 13:57 |
| Green-Recruit 0x22db…190f | No | +1,600 | $1,548 | $1,548 | 2 | 05-05 18:23 |
| Sarcastic-Commandment 0x8ebf…83ce | Yes | +1,500 | $91 | $191 | 2 | 05-05 21:54 |
| Quarrelsome-Filth 0x38f5…6824 | No | +1,033 | $982 | $982 | 2 | 05-05 21:00 |
| Determined-Percentage 0xcd71…d127 | Yes | +943 | $926 | $926 | 1 | 05-05 12:51 |
| Tough-Mask 0xad52…11ac | Yes | +900 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-05 18:14 |
| Skinny-Class 0xfc2f…10c7 | Yes | +900 | $819 | $819 | 1 | 05-05 14:10 |
| Crisp-Official 0x6e9a…f3bb | Yes | +823 | $163 | $163 | 1 | 05-05 16:44 |
| Ajar-Cartilage 0xa10b…8ec6 | No | +806 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 05-05 15:19 |
| Puny-Satire 0xeb75…446d | No | +779 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-05 16:17 |
| Busy-Homeland 0x4aa0…e20f | Yes | +760 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-05 19:14 |
| Opulent-Right 0xb100…6461 | No | +530 | $512 | $512 | 1 | 05-05 19:04 |
| Intrepid-Tugboat 0xe9a8…416c | No | +500 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-05 14:54 |
| Upbeat-Advance 0x1851…ae47 | Yes | +500 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-05 18:14 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | No | +443 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 05-05 13:50 |
| Single-Excuse 0x67a9…c417 | Yes | +400 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-05 19:06 |
| That-Salute 0xb4c0…92d8 | Yes | +355 | $334 | $334 | 4 | 05-05 15:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xe72b…3c9c | No | +320 | $314 | $314 | 1 | 05-05 18:51 |
| Green-Recruit 0x22db…190f | Yes | +300 | $75 | $75 | 1 | 05-05 16:49 |
| Windy-Jacket 0xaf23…aa95 | Yes | +263 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-05 17:19 |
| Identical-Kilogram 0x8a3b…affe | Yes | +238 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-05 18:54 |
| Spectacular-Failure 0x9453…1a48 | Yes | +225 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 05-05 15:24 |
| Bountiful-Disposer 0xf2e7…843e | Yes | +200 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 19:07 |
| Open-Lever 0x54c0…eafc | Yes | +160 | $57 | $57 | 2 | 05-05 17:44 |
| Kindhearted-Dinosaur 0xa0bb…2a16 | Yes | +150 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 19:11 |
| Flawless-Elbow 0xbdfb…f1ff | No | +149 | $110 | $110 | 1 | 05-05 16:42 |
| Wicked-Implication 0xceca…3f67 | Yes | +118 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 05-05 16:44 |
| Detailed-Lip 0xcca9…4c9f | No | +115 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 15:44 |
| Musty-Bit 0x3a23…0f72 | Yes | +110 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-05 18:58 |
| Unwelcome-Disadvantage 0x2121…ac65 | Yes | +75 | $70 | $70 | 1 | 05-05 15:44 |
| Scented-Heir 0xfbdf…f7d1 | No | +73 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-05 14:07 |
| Acceptable-Arrival 0x938e…d242 | No | +68 | $63 | $63 | 2 | 05-05 18:08 |
| Thirsty-Spoon 0x95d5…08bc | No | +48 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 05-05 17:59 |
| Unused-Hepatitis 0xdf97…4653 | No | +38 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 15:07 |
| Ideal-Derby 0x9d88…bc8f | Yes | +36 | $11 | $19 | 4 | 05-05 18:00 |
| Junior-Burn 0xc77b…a526 | Yes | +34 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 18:23 |
| Large-Prefix 0xab47…be54 | Yes | +32 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 17:44 |
| Misty-Hike 0xe88e…941e | No | +32 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-05 18:33 |
| Teeming-Puppet 0x4388…5050 | No | +30 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 16:32 |
| Disastrous-Bend 0xe000…cbb1 | Yes | +28 | $20 | $30 | 9 | 05-05 17:42 |
| Blaring-Pie 0xbf98…d0bf | Yes | +25 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 16:44 |
| Robust-Executor 0x8085…ea17 | Yes | +25 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-05 13:35 |
| Equal-Funding 0xf094…5290 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 19:08 |
| Subtle-Creditor 0x6c2a…b7b5 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 05-05 18:31 |
| Capital-Dependent 0xd8b4…1217 | No | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 15:44 |
| Dutiful-Complexity 0x7c30…d34e | No | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 16:27 |
| Traumatic-Bakery 0xac76…9359 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-05 17:59 |
| Watchful-Production 0x2184…00df | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-05 19:08 |
| Glorious-Creator 0x18ee…c83f | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-05 16:42 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 21:54:38 | Sarcastic-Commandment 0x8ebf…83ce | Yes | SELL | 710 | 7¢ | $50 | 0x0d346d… |
| 05-05 21:49:38 | Stiff-Armpit 0x5345…dd4a | Yes | BUY | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x44666c… |
| 05-05 21:30:12 | Sarcastic-Commandment 0x8ebf…83ce | Yes | BUY | 2,210 | 6¢ | $141 | 0x9e1d70… |
| 05-05 21:10:10 | Determined-Percentage 0xcd71…d127 | No | BUY | 500 | 96¢ | $480 | 0xb757ed… |
| 05-05 21:09:50 | (anonymous) 0x0751…c5ec | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xdde464… |
| 05-05 21:09:48 | Determined-Percentage 0xcd71…d127 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xbcc935… |
| 05-05 21:00:06 | Quarrelsome-Filth 0x38f5…6824 | No | BUY | 949 | 95¢ | $904 | 0x1aef00… |
| 05-05 20:49:44 | Lucky-Congressperson 0x5c0b…4d31 | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x198981… |
| 05-05 20:49:42 | (anonymous) 0x0751…c5ec | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x744b64… |
| 05-05 20:49:40 | Determined-Percentage 0xcd71…d127 | No | BUY | 1,420 | 95¢ | $1,344 | 0x3099e3… |
| 05-05 20:44:42 | Quarrelsome-Filth 0x38f5…6824 | No | BUY | 84 | 93¢ | $78 | 0x9f47b1… |
| 05-05 20:03:38 | Sympathetic-Assassination 0xefde…65ab | Yes | SELL | 161 | 6¢ | $10 | 0x9eeee4… |
| 05-05 19:47:46 | Quarrelsome-Filth 0x38f5…6824 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x9b6487… |
| 05-05 19:27:02 | Stingy-Parameter 0xda64…b94c | No | SELL | 120 | 92¢ | $111 | 0x0d1473… |
| 05-05 19:21:20 | Generous-Maximum 0xe555…a91d | Yes | BUY | 33 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x1e1f7f… |
| 05-05 19:21:14 | Acceptable-Arrival 0x938e…d242 | Yes | SELL | 150 | 8¢ | $12 | 0x7afb7b… |
| 05-05 19:14:46 | Busy-Homeland 0x4aa0…e20f | Yes | BUY | 760 | 7¢ | $50 | 0xb585fe… |
| 05-05 19:13:06 | Worldly-Crime 0x05c8…2223 | Yes | SELL | 217 | 5¢ | $11 | 0x36b72a… |
| 05-05 19:11:24 | Kindhearted-Dinosaur 0xa0bb…2a16 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 7¢ | $10 | 0xb56cbe… |
| 05-05 19:08:16 | Equal-Funding 0xf094…5290 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xb3bf0b… |
| 05-05 19:08:10 | Intrepid-Tugboat 0xe9a8…416c | Yes | BUY | 2,941 | 7¢ | $200 | 0xce6ae4… |
| 05-05 19:08:06 | Watchful-Production 0x2184…00df | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0xac5200… |
| 05-05 19:08:04 | Watchful-Production 0x2184…00df | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xccea73… |
| 05-05 19:08:04 | Generous-Maximum 0xe555…a91d | Yes | BUY | 557 | 6¢ | $34 | 0x7dbcd3… |
| 05-05 19:08:02 | Conventional-Buggy 0x7bac…ca34 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x3f1893… |
| 05-05 19:07:54 | Generous-Maximum 0xe555…a91d | Yes | BUY | 4,976 | 5¢ | $239 | 0x6f6d3d… |
| 05-05 19:07:44 | Bountiful-Disposer 0xf2e7…843e | Yes | BUY | 200 | 5¢ | $10 | 0x015030… |
| 05-05 19:06:32 | Single-Excuse 0x67a9…c417 | Yes | BUY | 400 | 5¢ | $19 | 0x47a562… |
| 05-05 19:06:28 | (anonymous) 0xd6d0…d7a1 | No | SELL | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x390140… |
| 05-05 19:04:50 | (anonymous) 0xb3f1…2e40 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x81c06d… |
| 05-05 19:04:48 | Opulent-Right 0xb100…6461 | No | BUY | 530 | 97¢ | $512 | 0x613eff… |
| 05-05 18:58:02 | Musty-Bit 0x3a23…0f72 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0xc80372… |
| 05-05 18:57:10 | Busy-Homeland 0x4aa0…e20f | No | SELL | 550 | 96¢ | $529 | 0xec76fa… |
| 05-05 18:54:20 | Identical-Kilogram 0x8a3b…affe | Yes | BUY | 238 | 3¢ | $8 | 0xd79162… |
| 05-05 18:51:40 | (anonymous) 0xe72b…3c9c | No | BUY | 320 | 98¢ | $314 | 0x3ef8fe… |
| 05-05 18:48:12 | Quarrelsome-Filth 0x38f5…6824 | Yes | SELL | 450 | 2¢ | $9 | 0x725c31… |
| 05-05 18:42:48 | Worldly-Crime 0x05c8…2223 | Yes | BUY | 217 | 5¢ | $10 | 0xba4cce… |
| 05-05 18:41:06 | Intrepid-Tugboat 0xe9a8…416c | Yes | BUY | 2,149 | 5¢ | $100 | 0x93a0a2… |
| 05-05 18:41:04 | Parched-Stew 0x73c0…4aa3 | No | SELL | 97 | 96¢ | $93 | 0x679039… |
| 05-05 18:38:20 | Junior-Burn 0xc77b…a526 | No | SELL | 35 | 94¢ | $33 | 0x3661f5… |
| 05-05 18:33:08 | Misty-Hike 0xe88e…941e | No | BUY | 32 | 95¢ | $30 | 0xa1701a… |
| 05-05 18:31:22 | Subtle-Creditor 0x6c2a…b7b5 | No | BUY | 9 | 95¢ | $9 | 0x314687… |
| 05-05 18:26:58 | Subtle-Creditor 0x6c2a…b7b5 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0xaff09f… |
| 05-05 18:23:18 | Radiant-Fanlight 0xdded…13a2 | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x1151c1… |
| 05-05 18:23:18 | Junior-Burn 0xc77b…a526 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xfc62ad… |
| 05-05 18:23:06 | Green-Recruit 0x22db…190f | No | BUY | 400 | 97¢ | $387 | 0xf1fd8c… |
| 05-05 18:22:46 | Green-Recruit 0x22db…190f | No | BUY | 1,200 | 97¢ | $1,161 | 0x81dbfe… |
| 05-05 18:14:08 | Tough-Mask 0xad52…11ac | Yes | BUY | 900 | 2¢ | $16 | 0xd416df… |
| 05-05 18:14:02 | Upbeat-Advance 0x1851…ae47 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 2¢ | $9 | 0x07664a… |
| 05-05 18:12:48 | Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d5…8935 | No | SELL | 597 | 98¢ | $587 | 0xbfa575… |
| 05-05 18:12:34 | (anonymous) 0x1a7b…c5f8 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x7d8e82… |
| 05-05 18:09:40 | Earnest-Error 0xfa2b…c35d | No | SELL | 150 | 98¢ | $147 | 0x8bf292… |
| 05-05 18:08:00 | Acceptable-Arrival 0x938e…d242 | No | BUY | 37 | 98¢ | $36 | 0xfc02df… |
| 05-05 18:04:40 | Corrupt-Clearing 0x85f9…86dd | No | SELL | 231 | 98¢ | $226 | 0x4c9fd5… |
| 05-05 18:03:02 | Skinny-Elevation 0x024b…69fb | No | SELL | 0 | 98¢ | $0 | 0xa443ef… |
| 05-05 18:00:02 | Ideal-Derby 0x9d88…bc8f | Yes | BUY | 19 | 27¢ | $5 | 0xdc7821… |
| 05-05 18:00:00 | Ideal-Derby 0x9d88…bc8f | Yes | BUY | 19 | 26¢ | $5 | 0x343ced… |
| 05-05 18:00:00 | Ideal-Derby 0x9d88…bc8f | Yes | BUY | 19 | 26¢ | $5 | 0xac6cc7… |
| 05-05 17:59:54 | Ideal-Derby 0x9d88…bc8f | Yes | SELL | 21 | 21¢ | $4 | 0xe3a555… |
| 05-05 17:59:52 | Traumatic-Bakery 0xac76…9359 | No | BUY | 10 | 76¢ | $8 | 0x890cb0… |
| 05-05 17:59:52 | Thirsty-Spoon 0x95d5…08bc | No | BUY | 48 | 76¢ | $36 | 0x61e021… |
| 05-05 17:44:56 | (anonymous) 0x1298…4014 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 18¢ | $3 | 0x01d5ed… |
| 05-05 17:44:56 | (anonymous) 0x5ac8…2611 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x36a27c… |
| 05-05 17:44:56 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x82d9d2… |
| 05-05 17:44:56 | (anonymous) 0x5aea…738c | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x7e05f4… |
| 05-05 17:44:56 | (anonymous) 0xb782…752b | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xffa361… |
| 05-05 17:44:56 | (anonymous) 0xacc6…6ba5 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x6f54ce… |
| 05-05 17:44:56 | (anonymous) 0xea85…12dd | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x2d6e83… |
| 05-05 17:44:56 | (anonymous) 0xc8a4…ce9e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x2b62b1… |
| 05-05 17:44:56 | (anonymous) 0xf562…49db | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xb6cf94… |
| 05-05 17:44:56 | (anonymous) 0x913c…5a7c | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xbcd35a… |
| 05-05 17:44:56 | (anonymous) 0x163a…2725 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xa1ead2… |
| 05-05 17:44:56 | (anonymous) 0x7e8f…cd80 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xc1f6ef… |
| 05-05 17:44:56 | (anonymous) 0x89d6…ea49 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x313933… |
| 05-05 17:44:56 | (anonymous) 0xb9fe…1075 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x3af0bb… |
| 05-05 17:44:54 | Open-Lever 0x54c0…eafc | Yes | BUY | 97 | 16¢ | $16 | 0x6dbc8c… |
| 05-05 17:44:52 | Complete-Fly 0x6bab…1292 | Yes | BUY | 3,999 | 14¢ | $568 | 0xb65206… |
| 05-05 17:44:52 | Wavy-Sailing 0x2396…57dc | Yes | BUY | 18 | 16¢ | $3 | 0xf5c45c… |
| 05-05 17:44:52 | Large-Prefix 0xab47…be54 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 16¢ | $5 | 0x28790e… |
| 05-05 17:44:52 | Extra-Large-Toreador 0xf009…e274 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xe7e86c… |
| 05-05 17:44:48 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 7,138 | 86¢ | $6,125 | 0x3783eb… |
| 05-05 17:42:50 | Musty-Bit 0x3a23…0f72 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x1742be… |
| 05-05 17:42:38 | Disastrous-Bend 0xe000…cbb1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x31d3ab… |
| 05-05 17:39:54 | Accomplished-Granny 0xc876…8711 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xad7ac7… |
| 05-05 17:19:48 | Anchored-Bob 0xbe3d…4dc6 | Yes | SELL | 420 | 11¢ | $48 | 0xf9c124… |
| 05-05 17:19:44 | Disastrous-Bend 0xe000…cbb1 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xf3c6c5… |
| 05-05 17:19:44 | Windy-Jacket 0xaf23…aa95 | Yes | BUY | 263 | 11¢ | $30 | 0x0c4a77… |
| 05-05 17:19:38 | Disastrous-Bend 0xe000…cbb1 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x834354… |
| 05-05 17:12:40 | Limp-Nuke 0x6408…d5c6 | No | SELL | 21 | 86¢ | $18 | 0x2713ce… |
| 05-05 17:09:36 | Bare-Toothpaste 0x8c76…06ac | Yes | SELL | 123 | 13¢ | $16 | 0x696807… |
| 05-05 17:02:50 | Acceptable-Arrival 0x938e…d242 | No | BUY | 31 | 86¢ | $27 | 0x1d0e4d… |
| 05-05 16:59:58 | Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x8555e3… |
| 05-05 16:59:48 | (anonymous) 0xb782…752b | Yes | SELL | 6 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xe670ae… |
| 05-05 16:59:48 | (anonymous) 0x913c…5a7c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xdbde95… |
| 05-05 16:59:48 | (anonymous) 0x5aea…738c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xa272d2… |
| 05-05 16:57:36 | Shimmering-Corruption 0x5968…3fc4 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xe83663… |
| 05-05 16:57:18 | Disastrous-Bend 0xe000…cbb1 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 23¢ | $5 | 0x07ab6f… |
| 05-05 16:49:58 | Truthful-Prefix 0x205b…8edf | No | SELL | 6 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x54a7b7… |
| 05-05 16:49:24 | Vapid-Liberty 0x6dec…cefa | No | SELL | 569 | 75¢ | $427 | 0xcc9975… |
| 05-05 16:49:18 | Green-Recruit 0x22db…190f | Yes | BUY | 300 | 25¢ | $75 | 0x18ccc9… |