Realized P&L
-$2.36K
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
32.8%
Resolved
610
Trades
2,794
lifetime
Volume
$12.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-02-23
last 08-02 02:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 134 days
Categories
Politics
55%
35%
-$1,866
Other
32%
39%
-$651
Sports
9%
50%
+$120
Crypto
3%
41%
+$45
Tech
0%
40%
-$1
Pop-Culture
0%
33%
-$1
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-02).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15 | 58 | $1.3K | 7,719 | 7,965 | -246 | No | -$93 | 04-08 19:05 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 24 | $1.2K | 568,948 | 2,354 | +566,594 | Yes | -$1,051 | 04-10 18:09 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | 21 | $779 | 2,412 | 2,412 | +0 | No | -$61 | 04-08 19:04 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 31 | 51 | $774 | 110,846 | 0 | +110,846 | No | -$774 | 04-01 02:51 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 36 | $507 | 1,985 | 1,985 | +0 | No | -$73 | 03-31 00:37 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | 41 | $463 | 15,836 | 1,880 | +13,957 | Yes | +$205 | 05-09 05:07 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346 | 11 | $452 | 401 | 401 | +0 | Yes | -$92 | 04-09 19:39 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 15 | 9 | $438 | 1,222 | 1,222 | +0 | Yes | +$16 | 04-01 20:33 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 14 | $408 | 413 | 413 | +0 | Yes | -$4 | 04-02 08:34 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | 2 | $338 | 254 | 254 | +0 | Yes | +$18 | 03-26 03:24 |
| kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31 | 16 | $307 | 6,914 | 2,811 | +4,102 | No | -$211 | 03-31 20:00 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 42 | $263 | 16,333 | 5,170 | +11,163 | No | +$60 | 06-04 00:35 |
| us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026 | 23 | $257 | 125,793 | 110,993 | +14,800 | No | +$5 | 04-30 09:07 |
| israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026 | 22 | $246 | 1,233 | 1,233 | +0 | Yes | +$73 | 04-30 09:19 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | 17 | $230 | 952 | 952 | +0 | No | +$4 | 05-30 09:05 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | 24 | $183 | 2,000 | 900 | +1,100 | Yes | +$47 | 05-11 10:27 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | 60 | $169 | 2,802 | 2,508 | +294 | No | -$1 | 06-01 16:25 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 25 | $164 | 120 | 250 | -130 | Yes | +$0 | 07-17 18:03 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 21 | $163 | 460 | 580 | -120 | No | +$73 | 07-19 22:02 |
| will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921 | 15 | $162 | 51,508 | 51,508 | +0 | Yes | -$59 | 03-24 00:54 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982 | 3 | $159 | 197 | 197 | +0 | Yes | -$10 | 04-09 12:08 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | 20 | $121 | 484 | 358 | +127 | No | -$35 | 05-08 02:06 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | 29 | $114 | 460 | 460 | +0 | No | +$72 | 05-27 01:30 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | 20 | $97 | 130 | 144 | -14 | Yes | -$4 | 03-08 19:35 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | 7 | $86 | 904 | 554 | +350 | No | -$18 | 03-08 19:07 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 9 | $75 | 875 | 875 | +0 | Yes | -$70 | 03-01 02:16 |
| Epstein suicide note released by May 8? | 25 | $66 | 4,505 | 545 | +3,960 | No | -$27 | 05-12 00:12 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 14 | $64 | 2,157 | 1,955 | +202 | No | -$3 | 06-01 03:46 |
| mlb lad tor 2026 04 07 | 2 | $64 | 41 | 41 | +1 | Los Angeles Dodgers | +$17 | 04-08 01:48 |
| Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026? | 10 | $56 | 4,010 | 378 | +3,632 | No | -$31 | 05-04 06:34 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||