Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

74.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,132

lifetime

Volume

$2.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$28

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 06-07 12:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Politics

45% 100% +$0

Other

39% 100% +$0

Sports

10% 57% $-15

Crypto

4% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?	No	+20	$20	100¢	$20	+$0	06-07 11:20
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	+4	$4	94¢	$4	+$0	06-07 12:42
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	+3	$3	96¢	$3	+$0	06-05 18:59
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	+1	$1	100¢	$1	+$0	06-05 21:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	17	$149	75	75	+0	open	—	05-23 01:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	13	$147	91	60	+32	open	—	05-10 20:25
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	9	$114	92	23	+69	open	—	04-07 14:23
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	7	$114	77	37	+40	open	—	06-02 12:15
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	7	$94	67	27	+40	open	—	04-29 21:45
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	9	$69	36	35	+1	open	—	04-28 03:13
new stranger things episode released by april 30	5	$64	1	63	-62	open	—	04-22 18:53
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	25	$54	27	27	+0	open	—	04-27 21:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	6	$53	54	0	+54	open	—	05-31 15:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	8	$51	26	25	+1	open	—	05-06 03:03
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	6	$51	51	0	+51	open	—	05-31 15:19
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	7	$49	25	24	+1	open	—	04-29 18:34
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	6	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	04-28 01:19
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	5	$44	44	0	+44	open	—	05-12 15:15
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	7	$43	26	18	+8	open	—	05-17 13:56
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	20	$37	14	23	-9	open	—	04-10 07:21
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	10	$33	12	22	-10	open	—	04-28 13:57
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	11	$28	14	14	+0	open	—	04-28 01:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	5	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	05-14 14:07
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	12	$27	14	14	+0	open	—	04-28 01:19
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	14	$25	20	8	+12	open	—	05-28 20:18
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	6	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	06-04 13:50
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	5	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	05-13 19:16
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	5	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	05-25 13:09
Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?	6	$23	11	11	+0	open	—	04-28 01:19
New "Stranger Things" episode released by May 31?	9	$21	17	5	+11	open	—	05-30 22:20
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?	2	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	06-07 11:20
Will Iran strike Hungary by April 30, 2026?	6	$20	10	9	+1	open	—	04-28 01:19
Will Trump visit China by May 8?	9	$19	10	9	+1	No	+$0	05-02 09:57
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	11	$19	10	9	+1	No	+$0	05-07 13:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 12:42:31	Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xac3748…
06-07 11:20:25	Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xeae078…
06-07 06:51:40	Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9dc45c…
06-07 05:53:34	Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0f181f…
06-07 04:36:33	Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0cb209…
06-07 02:09:06	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x982086…
06-07 02:08:55	Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x66a9e1…
06-07 01:55:36	Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf31bb6…
06-07 00:50:16	will spacexs valuation hit high 4pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xea1636…
06-07 00:36:24	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8b4181…
06-07 00:30:12	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb8f5e4…
06-06 22:53:40	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xda23bb…
06-06 22:42:10	ex cuba leader raul castro in us custody by june 30	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3a4ef0…
06-06 22:40:03	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbfbd66…
06-06 21:00:37	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x793020…
06-06 17:49:34	Chirayu Rana divorced?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x42dd30…
06-06 16:00:52	ufc ari1 ket1 2026 06 06	Ketlen Souza	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x65a1c4…
06-06 15:46:43	ufc pri che3 2026 06 06	Chelsea Chandler	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x21b94c…
06-06 15:46:42	ufc pri che3 2026 06 06	Chelsea Chandler	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2efe3f…
06-05 21:15:19	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf84352…
06-05 21:15:19	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa9b2c8…
06-05 21:15:19	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x720eb1…
06-05 21:15:19	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x045a71…
06-05 21:13:00	will spacexs valuation hit high 4pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x98f3f7…
06-05 21:10:48	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9b998c…
06-05 21:10:22	Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3d24b1…
06-05 21:09:06	Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x534173…
06-05 21:08:22	Another Canada election called by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x591de5…
06-05 21:04:09	Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x19af70…
06-05 21:03:04	Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x42bf2d…
06-05 20:49:28	100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4b9eab…
06-05 20:49:12	100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x099fce…
06-05 20:45:57	ex cuba leader raul castro in us custody by june 30	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3b58db…
06-05 20:41:55	Will Nvidia have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfa6234…
06-05 20:41:10	Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x34248c…
06-05 20:40:51	Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x279f5f…
06-05 20:40:27	Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x33b929…
06-05 20:40:01	Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x89ed40…
06-05 20:39:36	Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0a8264…
06-05 19:17:51	ufc yun jei 2026 06 06	Jeisla Chaves	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x0f6973…
06-05 19:15:09	ufc yun jei 2026 06 06	Jeisla Chaves	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xb7fb55…
06-05 19:14:58	ufc ari1 ket1 2026 06 06	Ketlen Souza	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xf51a36…
06-05 18:59:39	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x03ba7e…
06-05 18:53:15	DOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x87ba9a…
06-05 18:52:54	Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7d1969…
06-05 18:52:52	Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe61cae…
06-05 18:52:49	Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9a76ce…
06-05 18:52:25	Chirayu Rana divorced?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5860ae…
06-05 18:52:24	Chirayu Rana divorced?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9666fc…
06-05 18:52:22	Chirayu Rana divorced?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2c836b…
06-05 18:52:21	Chirayu Rana divorced?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x271bde…
06-05 17:39:54	ufc ari1 ket1 2026 06 06	Ketlen Souza	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xaa931d…
06-05 16:46:34	ufc joa4 jor10 2026 06 06	Joanderson Brito	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x2ab40a…
06-05 16:05:10	ufc bre1 edm 2026 06 06	Edmen Shahbazyan	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xf33f9d…
06-05 15:56:49	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xe41053…
06-05 15:11:16	ufc bre1 edm 2026 06 06	Edmen Shahbazyan	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x3b5d89…
06-05 15:07:31	ufc mat ale35 2026 06 06	Alessandro Costa	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x203faf…
06-05 15:00:04	ufc mat ale35 2026 06 06	Alessandro Costa	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x976936…
06-05 14:59:36	ufc bre1 edm 2026 06 06	Edmen Shahbazyan	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x7f67ea…
06-05 14:58:58	ufc bre1 edm 2026 06 06	Edmen Shahbazyan	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb3e2d8…
06-05 14:58:37	ufc ari1 ket1 2026 06 06	Ketlen Souza	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x8bd605…
06-05 14:56:51	ufc bru ed 2026 06 06	Édgar Cháirez	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x3d31c2…
06-05 14:55:03	ufc bre1 edm 2026 06 06	Edmen Shahbazyan	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x57f517…
06-05 04:30:21	will anthropics valuation hit low 750b by june 30	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x3180ee…
06-05 00:25:30	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0b76dc…
06-04 22:47:54	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x225492…
06-04 22:47:24	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x748312…
06-04 22:47:22	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7639d0…
06-04 22:46:01	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc2e5ea…
06-04 18:29:52	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xeab16f…
06-04 17:46:12	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3efedb…
06-04 17:16:13	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xadbec6…
06-04 17:05:18	New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$9	0xb5c62f…
06-04 16:27:13	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x34c63f…
06-04 13:50:01	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xfed15a…
06-04 12:32:27	DOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3008e3…
06-04 10:52:13	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x18e1d0…
06-04 10:46:21	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0eb8eb…
06-04 10:40:01	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9bbcb3…
06-04 10:32:21	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x759bc2…
06-04 10:30:28	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x33df1d…
06-04 06:32:46	DOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x669150…
06-04 03:53:52	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x215eee…
06-04 00:40:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x31abfa…
06-04 00:31:39	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x71b55e…
06-03 22:30:13	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$0	0x44b335…
06-03 21:43:52	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x333c1e…
06-03 21:43:13	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x75cf83…
06-03 16:33:37	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $750B by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x853fb1…
06-03 16:33:27	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $750B by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7edcb8…
06-03 16:33:10	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $750B by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd498f3…
06-03 14:09:54	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x2f9b94…
06-03 13:54:06	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x7aefd8…
06-03 13:26:56	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x13d3a3…
06-03 05:47:32	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xd37dfb…
06-03 05:47:32	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1b8be4…
06-03 03:03:42	Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xfb50f7…
06-03 02:43:00	Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x900267…
06-02 21:22:55	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7e0e64…
06-02 16:16:16	DOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf73fcc…