Will Nvidia have a #1 AI model by June 30?
open
Total volume
$155
$20 in 24h
Trades
35
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$2,968
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-11 22:15
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-2.6¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $77
vs crowd: 3% YES on $105)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | — | $84 | $84 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $1 | $9 | $8 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 9 | $2 | $9 | $7 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $77 | $77 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 2 | — | $5 | $5 |
| Below median | 6 | $0 | $3 | $3 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $8 | $8 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $0 | $7 | $7 |
| unranked | 5 | $2 | $1 | +$0 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frivolous-Reset 0x1f9f…825b | Yes | +74 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-28 16:25 |
| Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | +54 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 06-05 20:41 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +40 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-05 20:41 |
| Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f…1c44 | No | +25 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 06-01 23:10 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-07 16:49 |
| Tender-Tradition 0xef4a…5eeb | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-05 20:42 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-03 21:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xea6b…988d | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-05 20:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xe0e5…509f | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-01 23:10 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 08:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xa17d…4b70 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-10 08:15 |
| Thunderous-Casserole 0x3860…7877 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 23:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x8193…fc06 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-05 20:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-05 20:41 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 22:15:22 | (anonymous) 0x9dc2…0727 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xeaf611… |
| 06-11 22:15:22 | Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xeaf611… |
| 06-10 08:15:18 | (anonymous) 0xa17d…4b70 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x0b2e37… |
| 06-10 08:15:18 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0b2e37… |
| 06-07 16:49:43 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x68c8c8… |
| 06-07 16:49:43 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x68c8c8… |
| 06-07 13:20:03 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0x93e097… |
| 06-07 13:20:03 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 29 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x93e097… |
| 06-05 20:44:39 | (anonymous) 0xea3d…556f | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x164b4d… |
| 06-05 20:44:39 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x164b4d… |
| 06-05 20:42:27 | Tender-Tradition 0xef4a…5eeb | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x88e6bd… |
| 06-05 20:42:27 | (anonymous) 0xea3d…556f | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x88e6bd… |
| 06-05 20:42:27 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x88e6bd… |
| 06-05 20:41:58 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe808c4… |
| 06-05 20:41:58 | (anonymous) 0xea6b…988d | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xe808c4… |
| 06-05 20:41:57 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7122f6… |
| 06-05 20:41:57 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x7122f6… |
| 06-05 20:41:55 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfa6234… |
| 06-05 20:41:55 | (anonymous) 0x8193…fc06 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xfa6234… |
| 06-05 20:41:54 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xafcaa2… |
| 06-05 20:41:54 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 54 | 99¢ | $53 | 0xafcaa2… |
| 06-05 20:41:54 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 34 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xafcaa2… |
| 06-03 21:57:00 | (anonymous) 0xea3d…556f | No | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x09a614… |
| 06-03 21:57:00 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x09a614… |
| 06-01 23:10:34 | Thunderous-Casserole 0x3860…7877 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x97e047… |
| 06-01 23:10:34 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x97e047… |
| 06-01 23:10:02 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x176a29… |
| 06-01 23:10:02 | Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f…1c44 | No | BUY | 25 | 98¢ | $24 | 0x176a29… |
| 06-01 23:10:02 | (anonymous) 0xe0e5…509f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x176a29… |
| 05-29 07:18:24 | Dreary-Suggestion 0xce31…19c4 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xfac818… |
| 05-29 07:18:24 | Cooked-Congress 0x1436…e747 | No | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xfac818… |
| 05-28 16:25:57 | Dreary-Suggestion 0xce31…19c4 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x344c72… |
| 05-28 16:25:57 | Frivolous-Reset 0x1f9f…825b | Yes | BUY | 12 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x344c72… |
| 05-28 16:22:04 | Frivolous-Reset 0x1f9f…825b | Yes | BUY | 62 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xe2e630… |
| 05-28 16:22:04 | Dreary-Suggestion 0xce31…19c4 | Yes | SELL | 62 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xe2e630… |