Realized P&L
-$50
Unrealized P&L
+$16
Hit rate
33.1%
Resolved
112
Trades
11,683
lifetime
Volume
$7.80K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$27
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-05
last 10-26 14:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 44 days
Categories
Other
58% 9% -$40
Crypto
22% 60% +$11
Politics
11% 11% -$14
Tech
6% 0% -$5
Sports
3% 0% -$2
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +5 $1 92¢ $4 +$3 06-09 10:29
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +5 $2 84¢ $4 +$2 07-08 16:40
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +5 $3 60¢ $3 +$0 07-13 14:38
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027? Yes +31 $2 9¢ $3 +$1 09-08 22:55
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +3 $1 95¢ $2 +$1 06-13 19:01
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? No +3 -$1 65¢ $2 +$3 09-29 09:19
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes +3 -$8 41¢ $1 +$10 09-03 17:04
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +5 $3 24¢ $1 -$1 08-15 03:39
Will Alberta join the US? Yes +66 -$6 1¢ $1 +$7 10-15 07:07
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No +4 $0 22¢ $1 +$1 07-21 22:08
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +4 $2 16¢ $1 -$1 06-17 14:05
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? No +4 $2 16¢ $1 -$2 07-07 04:15
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? Yes +4 $2 12¢ $1 -$1 06-21 02:48
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +3 $1 13¢ $0 -$1 06-06 02:00
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $1 92¢ $0 $0 06-06 19:26
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $2 12¢ $0 -$2 06-25 00:28
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 06-07 18:29
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +0 $1 84¢ $0 $0 08-10 21:58
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? Yes +4 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 06-17 21:37
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 06-20 22:21
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +0 $1 45¢ $0 -$1 07-28 21:13
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $1 10¢ $0 -$1 07-02 10:17
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? $1,000 +0 $2 34¢ $0 -$1 08-25 14:57
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? Yes +4 $0 1¢ $0 $0 06-09 14:23
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? Yes +2 $0 2¢ $0 $0 08-22 18:55
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +0 $1 13¢ $0 -$1 07-20 17:44
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $0 6¢ $0 $0 07-29 16:14
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $0 2¢ $0 $0 06-25 07:58
Will Alexander Volkanovski be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026? Yes +0 $2 7¢ $0 -$2 10-24 18:20
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? Yes +0 -$7 14¢ $0 +$7 09-20 02:46