Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?
open
Total volume
$3,156
Trades
128
Unique wallets
66
Liquidity
$2,168
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-13 13:10
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $12 | $1.0K | $991 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| 🐟 Fish | 14 | $32 | $7 | +$25 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 41 | $1 | $453 | $452 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Median | 9 | — | $1.0K | $1.0K |
| Below median | 6 | $12 | $3 | +$9 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $3 | $8 | $5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $11 | — | +$11 |
| unranked | 41 | $23 | $435 | $411 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | +1,042 | $1,002 | $1,002 | 1 | 07-27 08:58 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +386 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 07-27 20:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x9667…994c | No | +339 | $325 | $325 | 1 | 06-30 18:43 |
| Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | +162 | $4 | $4 | 6 | 08-05 08:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x6f6a…a13c | No | +100 | $96 | $96 | 2 | 07-20 14:50 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +15 | $0 | $3 | 4 | 07-27 11:10 |
| Poor-Tavern 0x8304…f086 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-16 03:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x8a52…bc9f | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-13 11:44 |
| Trained-Stud 0x9c09…3961 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 08-13 11:34 |
| Tender-Kickoff 0xb1ff…b5de | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-13 11:55 |
| Burdensome-Mouton 0xda9d…5c0d | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-13 11:39 |
| Idolized-Yellowjacket 0x4464…4d87 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-13 11:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | +1 | $0 | $2 | 8 | 06-21 13:56 |
| Lone-Dibble 0x6eae…1916 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-28 05:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x5f58…99b8 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-03 04:36 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-13 13:10:21 | (anonymous) 0x522c…54df | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xa43c49… |
| 08-13 13:10:21 | (anonymous) 0x9c10…fdda | No | SELL | 43 | 97¢ | $42 | 0xa43c49… |
| 08-13 13:10:21 | (anonymous) 0xe22a…b86d | No | SELL | 35 | 97¢ | $34 | 0xa43c49… |
| 08-13 13:10:21 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 84 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xa43c49… |
| 08-13 11:55:43 | Tender-Kickoff 0xb1ff…b5de | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x492605… |
| 08-13 11:55:43 | (anonymous) 0x9c10…fdda | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x492605… |
| 08-13 11:44:48 | (anonymous) 0x8a52…bc9f | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x6711ff… |
| 08-13 11:44:48 | (anonymous) 0x9c10…fdda | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x6711ff… |
| 08-13 11:39:36 | Burdensome-Mouton 0xda9d…5c0d | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x6b7aa5… |
| 08-13 11:39:36 | (anonymous) 0x9c10…fdda | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x6b7aa5… |
| 08-13 11:34:46 | Trained-Stud 0x9c09…3961 | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x7a5eef… |
| 08-13 11:34:46 | (anonymous) 0x9c10…fdda | No | SELL | 4 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x7a5eef… |
| 08-13 11:32:24 | (anonymous) 0x9c10…fdda | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xc6d4b3… |
| 08-13 11:32:24 | Idolized-Yellowjacket 0x4464…4d87 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xc6d4b3… |
| 08-05 08:50:06 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x1ffeff… |
| 08-05 08:50:06 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x1ffeff… |
| 08-03 22:23:45 | Icy-Longboat 0x1554…669d | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xb53b30… |
| 08-03 22:23:45 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb53b30… |
| 08-03 04:36:06 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc226a4… |
| 08-03 04:36:06 | (anonymous) 0x5f58…99b8 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xc226a4… |
| 08-02 15:31:39 | Animated-Enforcement 0xa9ec…bf72 | No | SELL | 13 | 97¢ | $13 | 0xfc08e4… |
| 08-02 15:31:39 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 13 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xfc08e4… |
| 08-02 15:07:50 | Animated-Enforcement 0xa9ec…bf72 | No | BUY | 13 | 97¢ | $13 | 0xf5527b… |
| 08-02 15:07:50 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf5527b… |
| 07-30 00:50:27 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | Yes | SELL | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xa0ee37… |
| 07-30 00:50:27 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xa0ee37… |
| 07-28 05:30:54 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x180fec… |
| 07-28 05:30:54 | Lone-Dibble 0x6eae…1916 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x180fec… |
| 07-27 20:48:52 | Even-Survey 0xdb4e…47f0 | Yes | SELL | 350 | 3¢ | $10 | 0x325add… |
| 07-27 20:48:52 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 350 | 3¢ | $10 | 0x325add… |
| 07-27 12:49:13 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x7469c6… |
| 07-27 12:49:13 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x7469c6… |
| 07-27 12:49:13 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 14 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x7469c6… |
| 07-27 11:10:36 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x8ceed7… |
| 07-27 11:10:36 | (anonymous) 0xd62b…ceec | Yes | SELL | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x8ceed7… |
| 07-27 11:10:36 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 85 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x8ceed7… |
| 07-27 09:00:19 | (anonymous) 0xc54c…f68d | No | SELL | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0xa2a2d8… |
| 07-27 09:00:19 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xa2a2d8… |
| 07-27 09:00:19 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xa2a2d8… |
| 07-27 09:00:13 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xd6c41a… |
| 07-27 09:00:13 | (anonymous) 0xc54c…f68d | No | SELL | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0xd6c41a… |
| 07-27 09:00:09 | (anonymous) 0xc54c…f68d | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x2abc11… |
| 07-27 09:00:09 | Likable-Mention 0x3c3e…5a86 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x2abc11… |
| 07-27 09:00:09 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x2abc11… |
| 07-27 09:00:06 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x1edfcc… |
| 07-27 09:00:06 | Even-Survey 0xdb4e…47f0 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x1edfcc… |
| 07-27 08:58:31 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xf597bd… |
| 07-27 08:58:31 | Even-Survey 0xdb4e…47f0 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xf597bd… |
| 07-27 08:58:30 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | Yes | SELL | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x2006b0… |
| 07-27 08:58:30 | (anonymous) 0xd62b…ceec | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x2006b0… |
| 07-27 08:58:21 | (anonymous) 0x68ac…e80e | No | SELL | 11 | 96¢ | $11 | 0x507cb8… |
| 07-27 08:58:21 | (anonymous) 0x0931…516a | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x507cb8… |
| 07-27 08:58:21 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 1,042 | 96¢ | $1,002 | 0x507cb8… |
| 07-27 08:58:21 | Likable-Mention 0x3c3e…5a86 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x507cb8… |
| 07-27 08:58:21 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x507cb8… |
| 07-27 08:58:21 | Even-Survey 0xdb4e…47f0 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x507cb8… |
| 07-27 08:58:21 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x507cb8… |
| 07-27 08:58:21 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x507cb8… |
| 07-27 08:58:21 | (anonymous) 0xadd8…5864 | No | SELL | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x507cb8… |
| 07-27 08:58:21 | (anonymous) 0xa17e…07c0 | No | SELL | 160 | 96¢ | $154 | 0x507cb8… |
| 07-27 08:58:21 | (anonymous) 0xd62b…ceec | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x507cb8… |
| 07-27 08:58:21 | (anonymous) 0xb9f8…6f4f | No | SELL | 25 | 96¢ | $24 | 0x507cb8… |
| 07-27 08:58:21 | (anonymous) 0x96cf…e105 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x507cb8… |
| 07-27 08:58:21 | (anonymous) 0x8b9b…a0e9 | No | SELL | 35 | 96¢ | $34 | 0x507cb8… |
| 07-27 08:58:21 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x507cb8… |
| 07-27 08:58:21 | (anonymous) 0xd35c…4437 | No | SELL | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x507cb8… |
| 07-27 08:58:21 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | Yes | BUY | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x507cb8… |
| 07-27 08:58:21 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x507cb8… |
| 07-27 08:58:21 | (anonymous) 0xd13d…65ad | No | SELL | 70 | 96¢ | $67 | 0x507cb8… |
| 07-27 08:58:21 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x507cb8… |
| 07-20 14:50:27 | (anonymous) 0x6f6a…a13c | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x896fed… |
| 07-20 14:50:27 | Even-Survey 0xdb4e…47f0 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x896fed… |
| 07-20 14:50:21 | (anonymous) 0x6f6a…a13c | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xe4dff3… |
| 07-20 14:50:21 | Even-Survey 0xdb4e…47f0 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xe4dff3… |
| 07-14 19:01:10 | (anonymous) 0xbc24…7628 | No | SELL | 85 | 96¢ | $81 | 0x874f64… |
| 07-14 19:01:10 | (anonymous) 0xb9f8…6f4f | No | SELL | 175 | 96¢ | $168 | 0x874f64… |
| 07-14 19:01:10 | (anonymous) 0x394e…ab6e | Yes | SELL | 260 | 4¢ | $10 | 0x874f64… |
| 07-13 07:35:23 | (anonymous) 0xe47f…5107 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd2d2eb… |
| 07-13 07:35:23 | (anonymous) 0xbc24…7628 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xd2d2eb… |
| 06-30 18:43:23 | (anonymous) 0xa92a…ba2d | No | SELL | 35 | 96¢ | $34 | 0xf17d64… |
| 06-30 18:43:23 | (anonymous) 0xad71…e051 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xf17d64… |
| 06-30 18:43:23 | Stunning-Clasp 0x718c…6355 | No | SELL | 12 | 96¢ | $12 | 0xf17d64… |
| 06-30 18:43:23 | (anonymous) 0x8dd2…92b3 | No | SELL | 70 | 96¢ | $67 | 0xf17d64… |
| 06-30 18:43:23 | Darling-Obligation 0x15be…a491 | No | SELL | 41 | 96¢ | $39 | 0xf17d64… |
| 06-30 18:43:23 | (anonymous) 0x647b…305b | No | SELL | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xf17d64… |
| 06-30 18:43:23 | (anonymous) 0xab3c…bda6 | No | SELL | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0xf17d64… |
| 06-30 18:43:23 | (anonymous) 0x957b…af3b | No | SELL | 33 | 96¢ | $32 | 0xf17d64… |
| 06-30 18:43:23 | (anonymous) 0x7dde…03a1 | No | SELL | 18 | 96¢ | $17 | 0xf17d64… |
| 06-30 18:43:23 | (anonymous) 0x7b32…b446 | No | SELL | 55 | 96¢ | $53 | 0xf17d64… |
| 06-30 18:43:23 | (anonymous) 0x9667…994c | No | BUY | 339 | 96¢ | $325 | 0xf17d64… |
| 06-24 16:47:55 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 32 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x58eb57… |
| 06-24 16:47:55 | (anonymous) 0xae3a…f8e9 | No | SELL | 12 | 96¢ | $12 | 0x58eb57… |
| 06-24 16:47:55 | (anonymous) 0x7dde…03a1 | No | SELL | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x58eb57… |
| 06-21 13:57:53 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x7f121d… |
| 06-21 13:57:53 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x7f121d… |
| 06-21 13:56:23 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1564a1… |
| 06-21 13:56:23 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x1564a1… |
| 06-16 03:18:30 | (anonymous) 0xae3a…f8e9 | No | SELL | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x399269… |
| 06-16 03:18:30 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x399269… |
| 06-16 03:15:19 | Poor-Tavern 0x8304…f086 | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0xc26cc9… |