Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?
open
Total volume
$1,458
Trades
58
Unique wallets
32
Liquidity
$2,168
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-20 14:50
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $5 | $7 | $2 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 21 | $1 | $424 | $423 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 2 | $1 | $3 | $2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | — | $8 | $8 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 23 | $5 | $421 | $416 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x9667…994c | No | +339 | $325 | $325 | 1 | 06-30 18:43 |
| Even-Survey 0xdb4e…47f0 | Yes | +100 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 07-20 14:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x6f6a…a13c | No | +100 | $96 | $96 | 2 | 07-20 14:50 |
| Poor-Tavern 0x8304…f086 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-16 03:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | +1 | $0 | $2 | 8 | 06-21 13:56 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 14:50:27 | (anonymous) 0x6f6a…a13c | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x896fed… |
| 07-20 14:50:27 | Even-Survey 0xdb4e…47f0 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x896fed… |
| 07-20 14:50:21 | (anonymous) 0x6f6a…a13c | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xe4dff3… |
| 07-20 14:50:21 | Even-Survey 0xdb4e…47f0 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xe4dff3… |
| 07-14 19:01:10 | (anonymous) 0xb9f8…6f4f | No | SELL | 175 | 96¢ | $168 | 0x874f64… |
| 07-14 19:01:10 | (anonymous) 0xbc24…7628 | No | SELL | 85 | 96¢ | $81 | 0x874f64… |
| 07-14 19:01:10 | (anonymous) 0x394e…ab6e | Yes | SELL | 260 | 4¢ | $10 | 0x874f64… |
| 07-13 07:35:23 | (anonymous) 0xbc24…7628 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xd2d2eb… |
| 07-13 07:35:23 | (anonymous) 0xe47f…5107 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd2d2eb… |
| 06-30 18:43:23 | (anonymous) 0x957b…af3b | No | SELL | 33 | 96¢ | $32 | 0xf17d64… |
| 06-30 18:43:23 | Darling-Obligation 0x15be…a491 | No | SELL | 41 | 96¢ | $39 | 0xf17d64… |
| 06-30 18:43:23 | (anonymous) 0x7dde…03a1 | No | SELL | 18 | 96¢ | $17 | 0xf17d64… |
| 06-30 18:43:23 | (anonymous) 0x647b…305b | No | SELL | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xf17d64… |
| 06-30 18:43:23 | (anonymous) 0xab3c…bda6 | No | SELL | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0xf17d64… |
| 06-30 18:43:23 | (anonymous) 0xa92a…ba2d | No | SELL | 35 | 96¢ | $34 | 0xf17d64… |
| 06-30 18:43:23 | (anonymous) 0x7b32…b446 | No | SELL | 55 | 96¢ | $53 | 0xf17d64… |
| 06-30 18:43:23 | (anonymous) 0xad71…e051 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xf17d64… |
| 06-30 18:43:23 | Stunning-Clasp 0x718c…6355 | No | SELL | 12 | 96¢ | $12 | 0xf17d64… |
| 06-30 18:43:23 | (anonymous) 0x9667…994c | No | BUY | 339 | 96¢ | $325 | 0xf17d64… |
| 06-30 18:43:23 | (anonymous) 0x8dd2…92b3 | No | SELL | 70 | 96¢ | $67 | 0xf17d64… |
| 06-24 16:47:55 | (anonymous) 0xae3a…f8e9 | No | SELL | 12 | 96¢ | $12 | 0x58eb57… |
| 06-24 16:47:55 | (anonymous) 0x7dde…03a1 | No | SELL | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x58eb57… |
| 06-24 16:47:55 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 32 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x58eb57… |
| 06-21 13:57:53 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x7f121d… |
| 06-21 13:57:53 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x7f121d… |
| 06-21 13:56:23 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1564a1… |
| 06-21 13:56:23 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x1564a1… |
| 06-16 03:18:30 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x399269… |
| 06-16 03:18:30 | (anonymous) 0xae3a…f8e9 | No | SELL | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x399269… |
| 06-16 03:15:19 | Poor-Tavern 0x8304…f086 | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0xc26cc9… |
| 06-16 03:15:19 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc26cc9… |
| 06-12 16:23:22 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 15 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xb8967d… |
| 06-12 16:23:22 | (anonymous) 0xae3a…f8e9 | No | SELL | 15 | 96¢ | $14 | 0xb8967d… |
| 06-12 14:45:40 | (anonymous) 0xae3a…f8e9 | No | SELL | 45 | 96¢ | $44 | 0xc571cd… |
| 06-12 14:45:40 | (anonymous) 0xbd14…ba09 | No | SELL | 47 | 96¢ | $45 | 0xc571cd… |
| 06-12 14:45:40 | (anonymous) 0x5c4f…81cc | Yes | SELL | 329 | 4¢ | $14 | 0xc571cd… |
| 06-12 14:45:40 | Scornful-Zinc 0xfe03…f14f | No | SELL | 237 | 96¢ | $227 | 0xc571cd… |
| 06-12 11:22:46 | Scornful-Zinc 0xfe03…f14f | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x0387fa… |
| 06-12 11:22:46 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x0387fa… |
| 06-12 06:21:07 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 12 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x3ea92d… |
| 06-12 06:21:07 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 12 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x3ea92d… |
| 06-12 03:59:30 | Twin-Detention 0x7f82…c446 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xf40cb8… |
| 06-12 03:59:30 | (anonymous) 0x9dc2…0727 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xf40cb8… |
| 06-08 18:01:13 | (anonymous) 0x9dc2…0727 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x0438ab… |
| 06-08 18:01:13 | (anonymous) 0x00c8…9ccd | No | SELL | 29 | 95¢ | $27 | 0x0438ab… |
| 06-08 00:50:33 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf58797… |
| 06-08 00:50:33 | Twin-Detention 0x7f82…c446 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xf58797… |
| 06-08 00:47:52 | Twin-Detention 0x7f82…c446 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x27b2d0… |
| 06-08 00:47:52 | (anonymous) 0x9dc2…0727 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x27b2d0… |
| 06-07 12:47:33 | Twin-Detention 0x7f82…c446 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xdb6cd5… |
| 06-07 12:47:33 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xdb6cd5… |
| 06-07 12:45:31 | Twin-Detention 0x7f82…c446 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x2e5fe3… |
| 06-07 12:45:31 | (anonymous) 0x9dc2…0727 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x2e5fe3… |
| 06-07 00:45:27 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe9a616… |
| 06-07 00:45:27 | Twin-Detention 0x7f82…c446 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xe9a616… |
| 05-27 20:21:41 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 28 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x284ac2… |
| 05-27 20:21:41 | (anonymous) 0x0e60…a78f | No | SELL | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x284ac2… |
| 05-27 20:21:41 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 18 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x284ac2… |