Mealy-Elbow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

5,117

lifetime

Volume

$97.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 07-26 18:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

59% 0% $-0

Politics

22% 0% —

Crypto

10% 0% —

Sports

6% 0% $-20

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 326 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	38	$3.1K	7,788	7,788	+0	open	—	03-30 22:04
netanyahu out by march 31 854	10	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-15 23:45
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	26	$815	1,922	1,922	+0	open	—	04-06 01:16
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	8	$760	585	585	+0	open	—	03-15 16:05
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	18	$486	517	517	+0	open	—	03-12 17:39
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	3	$483	250	250	+0	open	—	03-11 09:05
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	10	$475	655	655	+0	open	—	03-27 17:35
cbb tcu duke 2026 03 21	5	$420	1,775	1,167	+609	open	—	03-21 22:56
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	13	$410	371	371	+0	open	—	03-14 04:18
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	5	$408	440	440	+0	open	—	03-12 19:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$395	250	250	+0	Yes	+$0	03-11 08:07
andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 100 129	5	$395	250	250	+0	open	—	03-11 20:30
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	5	$381	500	500	+0	open	—	03-09 09:24
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	20	$329	339	339	+0	open	—	07-19 10:30
china ballistic missile launch by december 31 20260706145934670	9	$323	250	250	+0	open	—	07-25 04:00
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	14	$321	220	220	+0	open	—	07-25 07:00
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	23	$311	353	353	+0	open	—	03-14 22:34
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?	8	$286	161	161	+0	open	—	07-19 00:33
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	8	$268	189	189	+0	open	—	07-26 16:02
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	6	$256	150	150	+0	open	—	07-06 14:33
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	16	$255	260	260	+0	open	—	07-26 16:50
Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	10	$251	220	220	+0	open	—	07-25 12:00
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	4	$246	250	250	+0	open	—	03-12 12:10
GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?	10	$231	190	190	+0	open	—	07-24 16:07
will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31	5	$228	120	120	+0	open	—	07-20 11:06
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	4	$222	198	198	+0	open	—	03-30 00:46
will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	6	$219	343	343	+0	open	—	03-22 20:06
Will Karol G perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	10	$216	171	171	+0	open	—	07-17 15:59
jimmy lai released by december 31 2026 20260628212538413	8	$214	162	162	+0	open	—	07-26 01:32
will futuro nazionale get at least 3 of the vote in the next italian general elections 20260609164706854	5	$211	140	140	+0	open	—	07-19 22:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-26 21:16:21	will waymo launch in washington dc by december 31 2026 20260626201631465	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0xe48efb…
07-26 21:15:13	will waymo launch in washington dc by december 31 2026 20260626201631465	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x4efdc1…
07-26 21:14:06	uber quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 05 2026 0pt83	No	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x0c6353…
07-26 20:55:55	will anyone say jury during big brother e10 20260720170408418	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x801015…
07-26 20:50:07	will anyone say mastermind during big brother e10 20260720170408428	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x571bd7…
07-26 20:48:49	will anyone say mastermind during big brother e10 20260720170408428	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x1f762d…
07-26 20:47:01	will anyone say snake during big brother e10 20260720170408426	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xe5949f…
07-26 20:34:39	will russia capture sofiivka by december 31	Yes	BUY	40	69¢	$28	0x247eda…
07-26 20:34:16	will there be a super el nino this winter 202627 20260721221614682	No	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x3d2ad6…
07-26 20:33:54	will trump say trump account this week 20260724154805105	No	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0xb98754…
07-26 20:24:39	will trump say trump account this week 20260724154805105	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xb93426…
07-26 20:16:33	foxa quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 06 2026 1pt38	No	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x999a0c…
07-26 20:16:13	putin meets with iranian officials by august 31 20260702174616624	Yes	SELL	50	25¢	$13	0xefa5c1…
07-26 20:15:58	ares quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 31 2026 1pt27	No	SELL	50	45¢	$22	0xf64dde…
07-26 20:10:06	cat quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 04 2026 6pt2	Yes	SELL	50	71¢	$36	0x175bde…
07-26 20:00:06	wing quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 29 2026 1pt03	Yes	SELL	50	75¢	$38	0xb6fd05…
07-26 19:57:52	cat quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 04 2026 6pt2	Yes	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0xf1f4a8…
07-26 19:55:42	will a chinese company have one of the top 10 ai models by december 31	Yes	SELL	50	93¢	$47	0x4f80a4…
07-26 19:50:09	will a chinese company have one of the top 10 ai models by december 31	Yes	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xe35114…
07-26 19:40:06	will nvda reach 216 in july 2026	No	SELL	40	47¢	$19	0xd95ae8…
07-26 19:33:39	will nvda reach 216 in july 2026	No	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0xebcd13…
07-26 19:31:09	wing quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 29 2026 1pt03	Yes	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xede901…
07-26 19:03:33	will boeing say oil during earnings call 20260724221853559	No	BUY	40	83¢	$33	0xb57e0a…
07-26 18:56:28	Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	40	84¢	$34	0x7b9519…
07-26 18:55:28	Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x7f9ccc…
07-26 18:55:03	Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	40	84¢	$34	0xe213e4…
07-26 18:54:36	Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x39903d…
07-26 18:54:01	ares quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 31 2026 1pt27	No	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0x841e74…
07-26 18:53:06	will trump visit north korea by december 31	No	SELL	27	94¢	$26	0x36565f…
07-26 18:52:27	will trump visit north korea by december 31	No	BUY	27	95¢	$26	0x015e9f…
07-26 18:30:00	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x8f9cf7…
07-26 18:29:55	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xbe4604…
07-26 18:10:07	will russia enter mykhailivka by july 31	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0xe3bf5c…
07-26 18:10:06	Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0x048f5f…
07-26 18:07:06	Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$47	0x0155f4…
07-26 18:02:12	will russia enter mykhailivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x6875af…
07-26 18:00:06	Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	40	84¢	$34	0xebf8d4…
07-26 17:57:06	Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	40	85¢	$34	0xb2db1e…
07-26 17:45:37	will russia capture oleksiievo druzhkivka by december 31 2026 20260706174556071	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x2242a7…
07-26 17:45:30	will russia capture oleksiievo druzhkivka by december 31 2026 20260706174556071	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x2f57d6…
07-26 17:34:36	foxa quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 06 2026 1pt38	No	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xbb056f…
07-26 17:20:09	another critical cloudflare incident by august 31 2026 12	No	SELL	1	50¢	$0	0x1ff01c…
07-26 17:20:07	israel withdraws from lebanon by september 30 2026	No	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0x447e4a…
07-26 17:17:07	another critical cloudflare incident by august 31 2026 12	No	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0xb299e5…
07-26 17:16:49	israel withdraws from lebanon by september 30 2026	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x03d77d…
07-26 16:54:16	will trump say landslide this week 20260724154805107	No	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0x474674…
07-26 16:54:10	tread fdv above 200m one day after launch	No	SELL	27	86¢	$23	0x6a6351…
07-26 16:54:04	tread fdv above 200m one day after launch	No	BUY	27	86¢	$23	0x5901c7…
07-26 16:54:01	Will Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	5¢	$2	0xa24343…
07-26 16:53:24	will us crude oil reserves fall to 300m by may 1 20260714141931931	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xda9aa2…
07-26 16:53:16	dis quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 1pt86	No	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0xba6641…
07-26 16:53:04	will trump post china on truth social this week 20260724154822860	No	SELL	40	11¢	$4	0x2838fb…
07-26 16:52:52	will trump say no no no this week 20260724154805087	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x9f1931…
07-26 16:52:45	will russia enter pokrovskoe by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0xacac64…
07-26 16:50:06	Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x59bfc6…
07-26 16:50:00	flut quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 06 2026 0pt52	No	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x8ae736…
07-26 16:49:52	will trump say ballroom this week 20260724154805103	No	SELL	40	25¢	$10	0x5b53d6…
07-26 16:49:37	sono quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt2	No	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0x15f023…
07-26 16:49:27	dkng quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 06 2026 0pt21	Yes	SELL	50	50¢	$25	0x4a1d17…
07-26 16:41:04	will russia enter pokrovskoe by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	40	27¢	$11	0x75993f…
07-26 16:40:06	will russia capture kindrativka by september 30	Yes	SELL	40	22¢	$9	0x1825de…
07-26 16:37:04	will russia capture kindrativka by september 30	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x1f3df8…
07-26 16:30:24	will trump say frog in july 20260702143051789	Yes	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0xfe13cb…
07-26 16:30:10	will trump say frog in july 20260702143051789	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xcbfef4…
07-26 16:24:06	Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	40	16¢	$6	0x4dfc78…
07-26 16:23:58	Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	40	17¢	$7	0x7d7a80…
07-26 16:22:48	putin meets with iranian officials by august 31 20260702174616624	Yes	BUY	50	47¢	$23	0x722569…
07-26 16:11:09	will trump speak to xi jinping in july 20260626154217426	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x1e226e…
07-26 16:11:04	will trump speak to xi jinping in july 20260626154217426	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x806680…
07-26 16:02:21	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x652457…
07-26 16:01:39	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0xdf301f…
07-26 15:10:07	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?	No	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xccca3a…
07-26 15:04:30	Unit FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	40	44¢	$18	0x6de107…
07-26 15:03:30	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x77a65d…
07-26 14:59:24	Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x90361f…
07-26 14:57:22	Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x78b9aa…
07-26 14:50:06	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510	No	SELL	50	79¢	$40	0xbee10f…
07-26 14:44:12	Will Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	9¢	$3	0x312e9d…
07-26 14:14:34	Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x64f94d…
07-26 14:00:09	Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x0bd069…
07-26 13:55:34	Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x611fa4…
07-26 13:50:06	will congress override any veto in 2026 20260624150337322	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x7b5010…
07-26 13:46:15	will congress override any veto in 2026 20260624150337322	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x0f0ce5…
07-26 13:40:06	will ken martin cease to be dnc chair by july 31 2026	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x664365…
07-26 13:33:28	will ken martin cease to be dnc chair by july 31 2026	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xf06fff…
07-26 13:25:01	Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0xb4703c…
07-26 13:24:57	Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xff2eae…
07-26 13:17:13	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 31 20260710184334565	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x4ba384…
07-26 13:12:15	will trump post china on truth social this week 20260724154822860	No	BUY	40	21¢	$8	0x8c3537…
07-26 13:00:06	will russia enter stavky by september 30	Yes	SELL	40	56¢	$22	0x7f6159…
07-26 12:59:27	will russia enter stavky by september 30	Yes	BUY	40	57¢	$23	0xb592f2…
07-26 12:51:27	Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	40	24¢	$10	0x8b1ad8…
07-26 12:50:06	will douard philippe advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	Yes	SELL	40	39¢	$16	0xe06df4…
07-26 12:49:54	Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	40	24¢	$10	0x0dfa20…
07-26 12:48:09	will douard philippe advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	Yes	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0x9a5c30…
07-26 12:10:06	Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0x5d8d52…
07-26 12:05:01	Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0x2d71bd…
07-26 12:03:51	will trump say landslide this week 20260724154805107	No	SELL	19	33¢	$6	0x0f88b0…
07-26 12:03:45	will trump say landslide this week 20260724154805107	No	BUY	23	35¢	$8	0xadb28d…
07-26 12:00:07	Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0xb52ce5…