Mealy-Elbow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

7,214

lifetime

Volume

$140.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 08-15 18:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

58% 0% $-0

Politics

23% 0% —

Crypto

12% 0% —

Sports

4% 0% $-20

Tech

3% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 326 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	38	$3.1K	7,788	7,788	+0	open	—	03-30 22:04
netanyahu out by march 31 854	10	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-15 23:45
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	26	$815	1,922	1,922	+0	open	—	04-06 01:16
will openai ipo by september 30 2026	4	$779	400	400	+0	open	—	08-12 09:27
ebola pandemic in 2026	4	$770	400	400	+0	open	—	08-12 05:47
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	8	$760	585	585	+0	open	—	03-15 16:05
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	10	$536	844	844	+0	open	—	08-14 15:07
will anthropics valuation hit high 4pt0t by december 31	13	$510	320	320	+0	open	—	08-13 02:37
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	18	$486	517	517	+0	open	—	03-12 17:39
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	3	$483	250	250	+0	open	—	03-11 09:05
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	10	$475	655	655	+0	open	—	03-27 17:35
will a 1 year enrichment moratorium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201635	8	$442	601	601	+0	open	—	08-14 23:17
will russia capture orikhiv by september 30 2026	10	$424	227	227	+0	open	—	08-10 14:07
cbb tcu duke 2026 03 21	5	$420	1,775	1,167	+609	open	—	03-21 22:56
will dilution of iranian uranium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201639	5	$412	400	600	-200	open	—	08-15 12:37
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	13	$410	371	371	+0	open	—	03-14 04:18
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	5	$408	440	440	+0	open	—	03-12 19:38
us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	4	$397	400	400	+0	open	—	08-11 11:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$395	250	250	+0	Yes	+$0	03-11 08:07
andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 100 129	5	$395	250	250	+0	open	—	03-11 20:30
spacex ipo officially added to sp 500 in 2026 20260608202834697	6	$388	300	300	+0	open	—	08-13 05:27
will turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026	4	$384	400	400	+0	open	—	08-09 17:47
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	20	$381	390	390	+0	open	—	08-12 15:57
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	5	$381	500	500	+0	open	—	03-09 09:24
Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	15	$379	299	299	+0	open	—	08-09 01:57
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?	8	$374	210	210	+0	open	—	08-09 18:27
iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by october 31 2026	2	$374	200	200	+0	open	—	08-02 02:27
will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	2	$370	200	200	+0	open	—	08-06 20:37
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	12	$361	211	211	+0	open	—	08-13 13:17
Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	6	$355	281	281	+0	open	—	08-14 08:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-15 21:29:25	nick fuentes federally charged	Yes	BUY	61	2¢	$1	0x42e6f7…
08-15 21:07:06	will donald trump publicly insult someone on august 28 2026 20260724221849659	Yes	SELL	21	88¢	$18	0x2098a3…
08-15 21:07:06	Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	80	97¢	$77	0x1c285c…
08-15 21:04:21	Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	80	97¢	$78	0x0a20f7…
08-15 20:58:25	will donald trump publicly insult someone on august 28 2026 20260724221849659	Yes	BUY	21	89¢	$19	0x8cfc76…
08-15 20:57:12	will donald trump publicly insult someone on august 18 2026 20260724221849649	Yes	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x2a4915…
08-15 20:57:04	will donald trump publicly insult someone on august 18 2026 20260724221849649	Yes	SELL	40	87¢	$35	0xec3d51…
08-15 20:50:04	will donald trump publicly insult someone on august 18 2026 20260724221849649	Yes	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0x0d4bc0…
08-15 20:07:04	Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	80	86¢	$69	0xc2e9a8…
08-15 20:00:24	will jacky rosen vote yea on the clarity act 20260729190926672	No	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0xe58cd4…
08-15 19:47:07	will donald trump publicly insult elon musk by august 31 2026 20260730161742259	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0xc12052…
08-15 19:47:06	will anthropics valuation hit low 600b by december 31 732	Yes	SELL	80	3¢	$2	0x1801a9…
08-15 19:47:04	Huddle FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	80	70¢	$56	0x754267…
08-15 19:45:21	will donald trump publicly insult elon musk by august 31 2026 20260730161742259	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x1e241e…
08-15 19:38:57	Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	80	97¢	$77	0x05915f…
08-15 19:37:04	will databricks valuation hit high 190b by december 31	No	SELL	80	7¢	$6	0x47fc89…
08-15 19:36:25	Huddle FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	80	96¢	$77	0xc98f5f…
08-15 19:17:04	another canada election called by december 31 2026 20260628203655581	Yes	SELL	80	7¢	$5	0xe40228…
08-15 19:08:04	another canada election called by december 31 2026 20260628203655581	Yes	BUY	80	7¢	$6	0x333906…
08-15 18:17:04	will russia capture havrylivka by september 30 2026	No	SELL	80	94¢	$75	0x5b98fc…
08-15 18:16:21	will russia capture havrylivka by september 30 2026	No	BUY	80	95¢	$76	0xdddbf0…
08-15 17:50:37	will elon musk tweet about hyperliquid by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x678935…
08-15 17:49:25	will elon musk tweet about hyperliquid by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x6d467e…
08-15 17:01:46	will databricks valuation hit high 190b by december 31	No	BUY	80	9¢	$7	0x0a3299…
08-15 13:57:06	ufc cha15 edu8 2026 08 15 johnson win by ko tko	Yes	SELL	18	13¢	$2	0x97dca0…
08-15 13:57:04	Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	40	93¢	$37	0x5ac812…
08-15 13:50:46	Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	40	94¢	$37	0xc9a6d2…
08-15 13:47:19	ufc cha15 edu8 2026 08 15 johnson win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	18	15¢	$3	0x314be8…
08-15 13:47:06	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	80	6¢	$4	0x77bd79…
08-15 13:43:43	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	80	6¢	$5	0xb8ebed…
08-15 12:37:06	will dilution of iranian uranium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201639	Yes	SELL	200	14¢	$28	0xb255ef…
08-15 12:07:04	Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	40	91¢	$36	0x4e7736…
08-15 12:04:49	Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	40	91¢	$37	0x1bc412…
08-15 11:47:07	iran successfully targets shipping on august 26 2026 20260729163314546	No	SELL	40	82¢	$33	0x848c44…
08-15 10:27:07	will california experience a 7pt0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026 20260723232901145	No	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0x2e623d…
08-15 10:15:51	will california experience a 7pt0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026 20260723232901145	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x56a1d0…
08-15 10:07:06	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480	Yes	SELL	80	83¢	$66	0x2c713d…
08-15 07:02:06	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480	Yes	BUY	80	92¢	$73	0x7259a7…
08-15 06:27:06	iran successfully targets shipping on august 29 2026 20260729163314549	No	SELL	40	88¢	$35	0xdb6b1c…
08-15 06:15:12	iran successfully targets shipping on august 26 2026 20260729163314546	No	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x368c8a…
08-15 06:14:36	iran successfully targets shipping on august 29 2026 20260729163314549	No	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0xf68242…
08-15 05:57:06	Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	5¢	$2	0x5e1f61…
08-15 05:57:04	iran successfully targets shipping on august 18 2026 20260729163314538	No	SELL	31	82¢	$26	0x6bcc8a…
08-15 05:49:37	Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$3	0x3700f4…
08-15 05:47:06	Jonathan Majors as Kang?	Yes	SELL	40	7¢	$3	0xba56d5…
08-15 05:44:27	Jonathan Majors as Kang?	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0xe0a2d0…
08-15 04:47:28	iran successfully targets shipping on august 18 2026 20260729163314538	No	BUY	31	90¢	$28	0xa666b8…
08-15 04:37:07	Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	80	88¢	$70	0xd5b579…
08-15 04:37:07	Neutrl FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	80	0¢	$0	0x9fec28…
08-15 04:31:03	Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	80	93¢	$74	0xd48895…
08-15 04:29:54	Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0x307f56…
08-15 04:29:51	Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0xa71eed…
08-15 03:18:06	Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	80	94¢	$75	0x5fd4ca…
08-15 03:02:06	Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	80	96¢	$77	0x454948…
08-15 01:57:04	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 21 2026 20260722225036945	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x8f9898…
08-15 01:53:57	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 21 2026 20260722225036945	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x54e454…
08-15 00:57:04	Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	80	93¢	$74	0x000d46…
08-15 00:50:54	Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	80	93¢	$74	0xc28419…
08-15 00:27:06	Will Tempo launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	80	98¢	$79	0x96787a…
08-15 00:26:30	Will Tempo launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	80	98¢	$79	0x0a6600…
08-15 00:07:04	will ansem reach 0pt8 before 2027	No	SELL	80	88¢	$70	0x7963ea…
08-14 23:40:30	Huddle FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	SELL	9	91¢	$8	0x09bed7…
08-14 23:40:27	Huddle FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0xd7d425…
08-14 23:22:33	will ansem reach 0pt8 before 2027	No	BUY	80	89¢	$71	0xad412e…
08-14 23:17:07	will a 1 year enrichment moratorium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201635	Yes	SELL	200	12¢	$24	0xa25cd6…
08-14 23:17:07	will there be a super el nino this winter 202627 20260721221614682	No	SELL	40	8¢	$3	0x457912…
08-14 21:17:06	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 17 2026 20260722225036941	No	SELL	40	93¢	$37	0x45f842…
08-14 21:07:16	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 17 2026 20260722225036941	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xb738d5…
08-14 21:07:06	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 15 2026 20260722225036939	No	SELL	9	94¢	$9	0x5a8d85…
08-14 21:06:48	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 15 2026 20260722225036939	No	BUY	9	94¢	$9	0x148a84…
08-14 20:17:07	Hyperbeat FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	80	5¢	$4	0x5b31ee…
08-14 19:18:48	will a 1 year enrichment moratorium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201635	Yes	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0xae6a22…
08-14 18:47:07	will diogo dalot attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000827858	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0xa5a33f…
08-14 18:47:07	will nininho vaz maia attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000540828	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0x75ff5e…
08-14 18:37:46	will diogo dalot attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000827858	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x7fa195…
08-14 18:37:07	will leonardo bonucci attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630267	Yes	SELL	34	1¢	$0	0xaf753f…
08-14 18:37:06	will jorge jesus attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000254153	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0x9d1e28…
08-14 18:33:09	will leonardo bonucci attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630267	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x682521…
08-14 18:30:12	will leonardo bonucci attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630267	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xf0a740…
08-14 18:29:58	will jorge jesus attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000254153	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x8a271e…
08-14 18:29:49	will nininho vaz maia attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000540828	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x469f67…
08-14 15:57:04	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0x33822b…
08-14 15:56:40	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x040b0b…
08-14 15:47:06	will multiplifi launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	80	91¢	$73	0xc7dca1…
08-14 15:46:52	will multiplifi launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	80	96¢	$77	0xa8a189…
08-14 15:09:24	trump meets with putin by september 30	Yes	BUY	80	6¢	$5	0x815686…
08-14 15:07:06	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	6¢	$13	0x22a609…
08-14 14:57:06	will tsla reach 405 in august 2026	No	SELL	40	91¢	$36	0x6a04bf…
08-14 14:54:40	will tsla reach 405 in august 2026	No	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x49144f…
08-14 14:50:00	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x4750b1…
08-14 13:27:06	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 14 superheavy booster 674	No	SELL	40	93¢	$37	0x4fefdb…
08-14 13:14:18	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 14 superheavy booster 674	No	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0x73f430…
08-14 11:47:06	will andy burnham visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126056	Yes	SELL	40	74¢	$30	0xcc971e…
08-14 11:47:04	will spacex starship flight test 14 superheavy pop 933	Yes	SELL	40	82¢	$33	0x559e99…
08-14 11:32:03	will spacex starship flight test 14 superheavy pop 933	Yes	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0xa583de…
08-14 10:57:06	ostium fdv above 75m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	71	9¢	$7	0xd2beb6…
08-14 09:57:06	kimi k4 released by october 31 2026 20260722184115884	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x63f150…
08-14 09:48:40	kimi k4 released by october 31 2026 20260722184115884	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0xbc64f9…
08-14 09:37:06	will the gta 6 extended look be at least 10 minutes long 20260807064756492	Yes	SELL	40	86¢	$34	0x006fb4…
08-14 09:29:19	will the gta 6 extended look be at least 10 minutes long 20260807064756492	Yes	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0xf47de5…