Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20cf…a689d2
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Realized P&L
-$20
Unrealized P&L
-$35
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
1,217
lifetime
Volume
$28.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$67
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-07
last 07-06 12:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
47% 0% $-0
Politics
34% 0% —
Sports
10% 0% $-20
Crypto
8% — —
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 161 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No -50 $-48 97¢ $-48 $-0 07-03 17:02
Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch? No +30 $21 48¢ $14 $-6 07-06 06:38
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before 2027? Yes +30 $4 3¢ $1 $-3 07-03 14:36
Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +50 $5 2¢ $1 $-4 07-01 14:31
Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +50 $6 2¢ $1 $-5 07-01 14:28
Will Edna DeVries advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes +50 $2 1¢ $1 $-1 07-06 04:40
Will Mathilde Panot be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +50 $5 1¢ $1 $-4 07-06 11:25
Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2026? No +50 $8 1¢ $0 $-8 07-05 17:08
Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 $-0 07-05 22:24
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 $-0 07-02 08:37
StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch? No +0 $0 95¢ $0 $-0 07-06 10:06
Hyperbeat FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +0 $0 93¢ $0 $-0 07-03 02:37
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +0 $0 92¢ $0 $-0 07-02 06:03
Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +0 $0 91¢ $0 $-0 07-03 02:34
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +0 $1 85¢ $0 $-1 07-05 14:41
Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $1 82¢ $0 $-1 07-05 11:56
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? No +0 $0 80¢ $0 $-0 07-02 02:53
Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +0 $1 74¢ $0 $-1 07-05 21:37
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 73¢ $0 $-0 07-05 07:59
Cambria FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +0 $0 70¢ $0 $-0 07-05 09:41
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 20¢ $0 $-0 07-04 04:35
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +0 $-0 18¢ $0 +$0 07-02 19:20
Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +0 $0 12¢ $0 $-0 07-05 21:35
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 14¢ $0 $-0 07-01 06:08
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +0 $-0 12¢ $0 +$0 07-02 06:46
Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +0 $0 9¢ $0 $-0 07-04 06:23
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? Yes +0 $0 9¢ $0 $-0 07-01 12:35
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +0 $0 5¢ $0 $-0 07-06 12:48
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? Yes +0 $0 4¢ $0 $-0 07-04 08:18
Will the San Francisco Giants clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes +0 $0 1¢ $0 $-0 07-04 09:34