Mealy-Elbow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

524

lifetime

Volume

$15.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 05-27 22:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

50% 0% —

Other

40% 0% $-0

Sports

6% 0% $-20

Crypto

3% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 76 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	38	$3.1K	7,788	7,788	+0	open	—	03-30 22:04
netanyahu out by march 31 854	10	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-15 23:45
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	26	$815	1,922	1,922	+0	open	—	04-06 01:16
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	8	$760	585	585	+0	open	—	03-15 16:05
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	18	$486	517	517	+0	open	—	03-12 17:39
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	3	$483	250	250	+0	open	—	03-11 09:05
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	10	$475	655	655	+0	open	—	03-27 17:35
cbb tcu duke 2026 03 21	5	$420	1,775	1,167	+609	open	—	03-21 22:56
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	13	$410	371	371	+0	open	—	03-14 04:18
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	5	$408	440	440	+0	open	—	03-12 19:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$395	250	250	+0	Yes	+$0	03-11 08:07
andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 100 129	5	$395	250	250	+0	open	—	03-11 20:30
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	5	$381	500	500	+0	open	—	03-09 09:24
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	23	$311	353	353	+0	open	—	03-14 22:34
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	4	$246	250	250	+0	open	—	03-12 12:10
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	4	$222	198	198	+0	open	—	03-30 00:46
will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	6	$219	343	343	+0	open	—	03-22 20:06
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	8	$211	170	170	+0	open	—	03-11 13:41
will spd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	2	$205	190	190	+0	open	—	03-12 20:22
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	5	$202	507	507	+0	open	—	04-01 19:47
italy nordio reform referendum passes	2	$197	100	100	+0	open	—	03-23 15:20
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	2	$197	100	100	+0	open	—	03-13 18:24
andrew tate of tweets march 3 march 10 2026 0 99	13	$191	264	264	+0	open	—	03-07 05:37
nba phx mil 2026 03 10 total 217pt5	10	$180	163	163	+0	open	—	03-11 00:14
nba bos sas 2026 03 10 spread home 3pt5	7	$175	180	180	+0	open	—	03-11 00:15
nba phx mil 2026 03 10 spread away 1pt5	9	$165	184	184	+0	open	—	03-11 00:15
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	3	$164	190	190	+0	open	—	03-12 22:09
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	2	$148	301	301	+0	open	—	05-01 17:11
Spread: Pisa SC (-1.5)	5	$146	1,043	1,043	+0	open	—	05-01 19:11
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha	6	$146	1,043	1,043	+0	open	—	05-01 18:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 22:20:41	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	No	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xc40ebf…
05-27 22:20:26	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x13ea96…
05-27 22:19:54	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	No	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x4eeb11…
05-27 22:19:38	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4beed1…
05-27 22:18:56	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	No	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xb543d2…
05-27 22:18:25	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x5d867a…
05-27 22:15:47	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	No	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x69d15a…
05-27 22:15:30	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2bc53b…
05-27 22:15:12	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	No	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x9ccf62…
05-27 22:14:51	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x1c2111…
05-27 22:08:05	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xb6a935…
05-27 22:07:20	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x1c92ad…
05-27 22:03:57	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	No	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x98bf71…
05-27 22:02:22	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7d5669…
05-26 20:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x423237…
05-26 20:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x00a699…
05-26 20:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x43fb33…
05-26 20:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0xd0d098…
05-26 20:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x52e75c…
05-26 20:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xc3c05d…
05-26 19:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0x0834ae…
05-26 19:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xa35557…
05-26 19:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xb9d86f…
05-26 19:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x9dc89e…
05-26 18:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x50b9da…
05-26 00:09:40	LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	LOUD	SELL	17	40¢	$7	0x719a4a…
05-25 23:17:59	LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	LOUD	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x730b5d…
05-25 18:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x04131c…
05-25 17:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x4989df…
05-25 15:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x1c51e2…
05-25 15:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xc1e296…
05-25 14:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x4b00dc…
05-25 13:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x7ece03…
05-25 13:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x8a3806…
05-25 13:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xa01ccd…
05-25 13:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x0e3a80…
05-25 13:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x42e73a…
05-25 13:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x63153f…
05-25 12:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xc7c910…
05-25 12:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xed370d…
05-25 11:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xc9c0ec…
05-25 11:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xccf775…
05-25 11:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x6bed42…
05-25 10:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xdbb124…
05-25 10:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x467030…
05-25 09:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x4188cf…
05-25 09:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x92ba9c…
05-25 08:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x413724…
05-25 08:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x53cea5…
05-25 08:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x50c65a…
05-25 07:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xcf5503…
05-25 05:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xab5d00…
05-25 04:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x9ab817…
05-25 04:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x860246…
05-25 04:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xc3f9bf…
05-25 03:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xf73b71…
05-25 03:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x5fbff9…
05-25 03:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xe9fb11…
05-25 02:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x9900f3…
05-25 01:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	87¢	$8	0x9bf97a…
05-25 01:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x36e2ba…
05-25 01:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x25b4ed…
05-25 01:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x9e44a2…
05-25 00:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xdf2b96…
05-25 00:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x6fd95c…
05-24 23:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xcf6aa2…
05-24 22:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	11¢	$2	0xe47391…
05-24 22:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x6fe07c…
05-24 22:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x31a79a…
05-24 22:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	85¢	$14	0x611dce…
05-24 21:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xdbcd13…
05-24 21:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x4cffa0…
05-24 20:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0x9921d1…
05-24 20:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xe4e4f2…
05-24 20:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0x0d419b…
05-24 20:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xbfbea1…
05-24 20:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0xd348fb…
05-24 20:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x42f75e…
05-24 20:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x7f0096…
05-24 20:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x97ff2c…
05-24 20:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0x7c860e…
05-24 20:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	14¢	$2	0x1516af…
05-24 20:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xe1f44b…
05-24 19:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0xf64b0a…
05-24 19:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x935116…
05-24 19:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x32e669…
05-24 19:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xe9da2b…
05-24 19:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xb4642d…
05-24 19:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x857551…
05-24 18:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	11¢	$1	0xdc1d7d…
05-24 18:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xedc8d4…
05-24 17:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x08ba00…
05-24 17:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	17¢	$2	0x62444d…
05-24 17:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x9717c1…
05-24 17:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	16¢	$2	0xc37df9…
05-24 17:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x0a25b6…
05-24 17:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x95ccdc…
05-24 17:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x8e484e…
05-24 17:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x2edc3f…
05-24 17:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xec5828…