Arc FDV above $7B one day after launch?
open
Total volume
$303
Trades
43
Unique wallets
18
Liquidity
$235
Latest YES mid
26¢
Latest NO mid
74¢
End date
2028-01-01
First seen
2026-06-04
last 06-30 17:53
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $4 | $46 | $41 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $6 | $24 | $19 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $12 | $70 | $58 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $5 | $17 | $12 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $40 | $40 |
| Median | 3 | $0 | $30 | $30 |
| Below median | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $2 | $64 | $61 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 6 | $17 | $23 | $6 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| First-Sphere 0x8454…331a | No | +53 | $46 | $46 | 2 | 06-16 08:26 |
| Silent-Rowboat 0x2b62…438c | No | +45 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-25 21:47 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +32 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-25 21:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x0238…83aa | Yes | +31 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-30 17:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +25 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-25 21:47 |
| Minty-Scalp 0x11b9…d361 | No | +20 | $20 | $40 | 5 | 06-30 17:53 |
| Loyal-Speakerphone 0xcd96…cbdc | Yes | +11 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-27 02:38 |
| Wonderful-Volatility 0x0739…aba8 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-25 21:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-15 18:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | +1 | $1 | $4 | 6 | 06-30 17:53 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 17:53:28 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x150bc7… |
| 06-30 17:53:28 | Minty-Scalp 0x11b9…d361 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x150bc7… |
| 06-30 17:53:28 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x150bc7… |
| 06-30 17:53:28 | (anonymous) 0x0238…83aa | Yes | BUY | 31 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x150bc7… |
| 06-27 02:38:55 | Loyal-Speakerphone 0xcd96…cbdc | Yes | BUY | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd41d8a… |
| 06-27 02:38:55 | Minty-Scalp 0x11b9…d361 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xd41d8a… |
| 06-27 02:38:55 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd41d8a… |
| 06-25 21:47:28 | Wonderful-Volatility 0x0739…aba8 | No | BUY | 7 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x726824… |
| 06-25 21:47:28 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x726824… |
| 06-25 21:47:28 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x726824… |
| 06-25 21:47:26 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 13 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xce4014… |
| 06-25 21:47:26 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 11¢ | $3 | 0xce4014… |
| 06-25 21:47:26 | Silent-Rowboat 0x2b62…438c | No | BUY | 45 | 90¢ | $40 | 0xce4014… |
| 06-25 13:09:22 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x62a669… |
| 06-25 13:09:22 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x62a669… |
| 06-18 00:29:28 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xecddef… |
| 06-18 00:29:28 | (anonymous) 0x9e6e…9f98 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xecddef… |
| 06-17 21:19:22 | Minty-Scalp 0x11b9…d361 | No | SELL | 9 | 87¢ | $8 | 0x0a0cb3… |
| 06-17 21:19:22 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 9 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x0a0cb3… |
| 06-17 21:17:14 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 11 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xe5f31e… |
| 06-17 21:17:14 | (anonymous) 0x9e6e…9f98 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xe5f31e… |
| 06-17 21:17:14 | Even-Survey 0xdb4e…47f0 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 12¢ | $4 | 0xe5f31e… |
| 06-17 21:17:14 | Minty-Scalp 0x11b9…d361 | No | SELL | 2 | 88¢ | $2 | 0xe5f31e… |
| 06-16 08:26:54 | First-Sphere 0x8454…331a | No | BUY | 33 | 85¢ | $28 | 0xbd9db5… |
| 06-16 08:26:54 | Even-Survey 0xdb4e…47f0 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 15¢ | $5 | 0xbd9db5… |
| 06-16 06:23:31 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | Yes | SELL | 13 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xd486c5… |
| 06-16 06:23:31 | Minty-Scalp 0x11b9…d361 | No | BUY | 12 | 86¢ | $10 | 0xd486c5… |
| 06-16 06:23:31 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | No | SELL | 60 | 86¢ | $52 | 0xd486c5… |
| 06-16 06:23:31 | Even-Survey 0xdb4e…47f0 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 14¢ | $5 | 0xd486c5… |
| 06-15 18:21:27 | Even-Survey 0xdb4e…47f0 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xcbc860… |
| 06-15 18:21:27 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xcbc860… |
| 06-15 18:21:27 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xcbc860… |
| 06-04 12:37:25 | Even-Survey 0xdb4e…47f0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x13abdc… |
| 06-04 12:37:25 | First-Sphere 0x8454…331a | No | BUY | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0x13abdc… |
| 06-04 10:35:51 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x1942ad… |
| 06-04 10:35:51 | Even-Survey 0xdb4e…47f0 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x1942ad… |
| 06-04 10:25:19 | (anonymous) 0x37c3…752a | No | SELL | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0x668c9b… |
| 06-04 10:25:19 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x668c9b… |
| 06-04 10:25:19 | Even-Survey 0xdb4e…47f0 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x668c9b… |
| 06-04 10:07:19 | (anonymous) 0x37c3…752a | No | BUY | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0xbf16d2… |
| 06-04 10:07:19 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | SELL | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0xbf16d2… |
| 06-04 09:42:36 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | BUY | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0xf09d54… |
| 06-04 09:42:36 | Even-Survey 0xdb4e…47f0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xf09d54… |