Realized P&L
+$13.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$137
Hit rate
83.5%
Resolved
1,312
Trades
4,669
lifetime
Volume
$116.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$3.24K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 18:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 209 days
Categories
Politics
56% 73% +$8,575
Other
42% 78% +$4,807
Crypto
1% 94% +$143
Sports
1% 89% +$78
Tech
0% 100% +$50
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? No +300 $284 98¢ $295 +$11 10-28 11:18
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +280 $231 99¢ $277 +$46 10-28 01:26
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +240 $206 97¢ $234 +$27 07-01 10:51
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +230 $207 86¢ $199 -$8 10-08 08:01
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +200 $191 98¢ $196 +$5 10-28 11:15
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +175 $150 98¢ $172 +$21 07-01 09:09
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? No +250 $104 65¢ $161 +$57 10-09 17:22
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026? No +168 $124 88¢ $149 +$25 10-21 13:52
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +190 $152 77¢ $146 -$5 10-08 17:36
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +169 $100 86¢ $145 +$45 10-28 00:54
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +190 $150 71¢ $135 -$15 10-09 17:51
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? Bibi +131 $57 100¢ $131 +$73 10-21 17:41
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? No -115 -$115 99¢ $-114 +$0 08-21 06:11
Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027? No +107 $102 95¢ $102 $0 09-24 22:48
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -107 -$90 91¢ $-98 -$8 08-21 10:27
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? No +100 $77 94¢ $93 +$16 05-25 11:04
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%? Yes +70 $36 99¢ $69 +$34 10-09 22:17
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +80 $54 84¢ $68 +$13 10-14 06:51
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? Yes +85 $52 79¢ $67 +$15 10-21 10:28
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +87 $62 72¢ $63 +$1 10-14 12:01
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +75 $49 82¢ $62 +$13 10-10 12:26
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%? No +59 $57 100¢ $59 +$2 10-25 14:39
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +55 $43 80¢ $44 +$1 07-14 22:58
Will Hesai be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? Yes +244 $2 18¢ $43 +$41 10-27 07:34
Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026? No +40 $33 100¢ $40 +$7 10-22 17:42
will turkey join the abraham accords before 2027 No +38 $36 97¢ $37 +$1 07-27 11:08
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +35 $33 95¢ $33 +$0 09-20 19:33
israel military action against syria by october 31 2026 Yes +116 $25 6¢ $7 -$18 10-14 17:17
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? Opp. +360 $204 1¢ $4 -$200 10-27 20:09
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? Yes +96 $67 2¢ $2 -$65 10-25 18:18