Silent-Rowboat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$77

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

73.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,682

lifetime

Volume

$44.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$323

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-30 11:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

62% 58% $-59

Other

36% 60% +$60

Crypto

2% 100% +$44

Sports

1% 100% +$33

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 95 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	+110	$89	79¢	$87	$-2	06-11 23:16
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	No	+100	$69	78¢	$78	+$8	06-16 11:55
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	+70	$77	94¢	$66	$-11	06-28 00:08
Arc FDV above $7B one day after launch?	No	+45	$40	100¢	$44	+$5	06-25 21:47
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	No	+40	$28	100¢	$40	+$12	06-02 00:02
Arc FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	+11	$10	75¢	$8	$-2	06-25 21:48
Will Loopscale launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	+117	$5	0¢	$1	$-4	06-07 08:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel strike greater beirut on march 4 2026	6	$628	687	616	+72	open	—	03-03 14:37
will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	32	$625	701	575	+126	open	—	04-13 19:23
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?	57	$517	878	817	+61	open	—	04-17 15:25
will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	12	$515	278	278	+0	open	—	03-09 21:01
will groenlinkslabour party glpvda win the most seats in rotterdams 2026 municipal election	11	$445	270	270	+0	open	—	03-25 09:30
will the slovenian democratic party sds win 30 seats in the slovenian national assembly in this election	17	$419	403	113	+290	open	—	03-24 09:31
Military action against Iran ends by April 26, 2026?	7	$382	339	263	+76	open	—	04-08 17:30
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	24	$382	489	139	+350	open	—	04-16 17:45
hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	15	$375	422	247	+175	open	—	04-12 20:01
will the greens win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	10	$365	186	186	+0	open	—	03-13 11:40
Will the Slovenian National Party (SNS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	1	$356	357	0	+357	open	—	06-04 18:15
will progressive bulgaria pb win between 90 94 seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	9	$295	245	189	+56	open	—	04-17 12:30
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	15	$294	311	258	+54	open	—	03-23 08:23
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	14	$285	308	60	+248	open	—	04-26 12:12
will israel strike greater beirut on march 5 2026	4	$284	300	265	+35	open	—	03-03 17:47
will our homeland movement mi haznk win at least one seat in the next hungarian parliamentary election	13	$265	298	298	+0	open	—	04-12 20:18
Will The Left (Levica) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	5	$259	260	0	+260	open	—	06-04 18:24
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	6	$253	290	0	+290	open	—	04-04 12:35
Will Israel strike 1 country in 2026?	7	$252	129	129	+0	open	—	01-05 15:23
will the hungarian socialist party mszp finish with the third most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$250	250	0	+250	open	—	04-11 18:11
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	13	$248	237	80	+157	Yes	+$29	04-26 21:17
will the individual taxation referendum be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	7	$241	279	0	+279	open	—	03-08 12:27
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	17	$241	230	113	+117	open	—	04-02 00:12
Will the US strike Syria next?	32	$235	495	532	-37	open	—	01-10 20:25
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 19 2026	6	$229	320	140	+180	open	—	03-19 15:20
will israel strike lebanon on january 9 2026	11	$226	320	215	+105	open	—	01-09 10:46
will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	18	$225	1,676	1,676	+0	open	—	03-18 21:17
will voter turnout be 7477 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	5	$223	272	0	+272	open	—	04-12 12:59
Will Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	21	$218	753	753	+0	open	—	04-14 17:40
will sarah knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	14	$214	268	267	+1	open	—	03-18 21:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 14:05:08	us x cuba diplomatic meeting by june 30 20260616213226434	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0x610322…
06-30 11:57:52	us x cuba diplomatic meeting by june 30 20260616213226434	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x7a0ef4…
06-30 11:57:47	us x cuba diplomatic meeting by june 30 20260616213226434	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x0ab46a…
06-30 11:57:46	us x cuba diplomatic meeting by june 30 20260616213226434	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x8e4594…
06-30 11:57:46	us x cuba diplomatic meeting by june 30 20260616213226434	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x027b5a…
06-30 11:57:31	us x cuba diplomatic meeting by june 30 20260616213226434	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1c6ec3…
06-30 11:57:25	us x cuba diplomatic meeting by june 30 20260616213226434	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x8fb575…
06-30 11:06:34	us x cuba diplomatic meeting by june 30 20260616213226434	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x357a73…
06-28 00:08:40	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x1f641a…
06-28 00:03:49	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x72ed7b…
06-27 23:54:28	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	59	20¢	$12	0x7797b7…
06-27 23:43:32	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	46	15¢	$7	0x908777…
06-27 23:27:17	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	130	39¢	$51	0x8b31e0…
06-27 23:16:26	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	33	93¢	$31	0xd02d0b…
06-27 23:16:01	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xa63e3a…
06-27 18:12:20	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Something	SELL	150	21¢	$32	0xd37188…
06-27 05:33:22	will trump praise lionel messi by june 30	No	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xb8b709…
06-27 04:14:46	will trump praise lionel messi by june 30	No	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x615db8…
06-27 00:40:16	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Something	BUY	57	19¢	$11	0x79f534…
06-27 00:28:16	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Something	BUY	200	19¢	$38	0xdbdea7…
06-27 00:13:07	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Something	BUY	123	19¢	$23	0x7dde1e…
06-26 23:45:14	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Something	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x7a552b…
06-26 22:33:59	will trump meet with miguel diaz canel in july 2026 20260626153701916	No	BUY	61	76¢	$46	0x6cdb36…
06-26 22:30:46	will trump meet with vladimir putin in july 2026 20260626153701909	No	BUY	61	77¢	$47	0x81f843…
06-26 22:24:41	squid fdv above 600m one day after launch	No	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x1f792b…
06-26 22:07:35	will lifi launch a token by june 30 2027	No	BUY	80	57¢	$45	0xa22d68…
06-26 22:04:13	will israel recognize palestine before 2027	No	BUY	53	93¢	$49	0xeaec3e…
06-26 21:32:34	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	60	93¢	$56	0x36f2fd…
06-26 17:55:08	will trump meet with delcy rodrguez by december 31 2026	No	BUY	43	56¢	$24	0x210727…
06-26 07:46:02	squid fdv above 600m one day after launch	No	BUY	66	91¢	$60	0x2907e2…
06-25 23:16:41	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 26 20260622191733844	Yes	SELL	34	2¢	$1	0x8d2c05…
06-25 21:48:10	Arc FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$10	0x4de64c…
06-25 21:47:26	Arc FDV above $7B one day after launch?	No	BUY	45	90¢	$40	0xce4014…
06-25 20:57:14	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	70	91¢	$64	0xc8648f…
06-25 05:28:20	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	Yes	SELL	63	3¢	$2	0x7830ba…
06-24 23:32:08	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	Yes	SELL	600	3¢	$18	0x578e14…
06-24 18:10:53	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	Yes	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0x38c2dc…
06-24 17:56:25	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xe2cf47…
06-24 17:54:41	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	Yes	SELL	355	3¢	$11	0x43aca0…
06-24 17:48:11	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	Yes	SELL	300	3¢	$9	0x246b6a…
06-24 16:58:23	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x1c66e1…
06-24 16:58:20	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x88d3e1…
06-24 16:58:10	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	Yes	BUY	1,167	3¢	$35	0x430dc7…
06-24 09:15:02	will slovakia pass the 2026 referendum question cancelling the lifetime annuity for politicians 20260623184301114	No	BUY	58	73¢	$42	0xc85cad…
06-24 09:05:41	nicusor dan out as president of romania in 2026 20260622232316805	No	BUY	64	80¢	$52	0xbbdd77…
06-23 11:56:52	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	Yes	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0xfdcd80…
06-23 10:51:40	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	Yes	SELL	21	24¢	$5	0x2b8062…
06-23 05:55:14	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622192122520	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xe07f22…
06-22 22:37:23	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xce5325…
06-22 22:37:10	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	Yes	BUY	13	3¢	$0	0x8f46ec…
06-22 19:56:41	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 26 20260622191733844	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x814a11…
06-21 19:56:59	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	55	57¢	$31	0xc07b2d…
06-21 18:23:29	starmer out by june 21 2026	No	BUY	17	85¢	$15	0x473a40…
06-17 22:27:44	makerfield by election restore britain receives 10 20260609002937160	No	BUY	44	62¢	$27	0x2c6585…
06-16 20:26:28	iran x oman strait of hormuz agreement by june 15	No	SELL	48	88¢	$42	0x14a1d6…
06-16 17:44:05	will pakistan be a party to the us x iran memorandum of understanding 20260611230522910	No	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0x8d5598…
06-16 11:55:57	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	No	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0x145591…
06-16 04:04:57	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xffcb64…
06-16 03:17:09	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x906f3c…
06-16 03:17:03	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xd28dce…
06-16 03:16:55	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	49¢	$1	0x6d6849…
06-16 01:48:09	iran x oman strait of hormuz agreement by june 15	No	BUY	90	70¢	$63	0x2a294e…
06-13 01:05:06	Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?	No	BUY	160	40¢	$64	0x62c30e…
06-12 08:44:43	will abdel fattah el sisi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950085	No	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0xc3a904…
06-12 08:41:30	will ali larijani sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950075	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x1f2ba8…
06-11 23:16:00	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	BUY	110	81¢	$89	0x80bd36…
06-11 20:11:13	Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?	No	BUY	38	75¢	$28	0x3d0507…
06-11 20:10:39	Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?	No	BUY	107	75¢	$80	0x259ab0…
06-11 20:07:37	Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?	No	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0xa2d046…
06-11 09:42:00	will afghanistan recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	198	93¢	$185	0xb48a11…
06-09 23:49:25	makerfield by election restore britain receives 10 20260609002937160	No	BUY	34	63¢	$22	0x1a2342…
06-09 15:02:04	spacex ipo closing share price updown on first day 20260607181533420	Up	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0xd9f987…
06-09 09:55:13	makerfield by election restore britain receives 10 20260609002937160	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xdc2033…
06-09 09:53:55	makerfield by election restore britain receives 10 20260609002937160	No	BUY	46	63¢	$29	0x617ce7…
06-09 08:28:45	russia x ukraine diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260609011545512	No	BUY	49	81¢	$40	0x206b57…
06-07 08:32:00	Will Loopscale launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	117	4¢	$5	0x76ebf3…
06-04 18:31:24	Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x207989…
06-04 18:30:52	Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	No	SELL	168	0¢	$0	0x785e82…
06-04 18:30:18	Will New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xf1b5f1…
06-04 18:27:51	Will the Freedom Movement (GS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x1d414c…
06-04 18:24:25	Will The Left (Levica) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x3dc98e…
06-04 18:24:12	Will The Left (Levica) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x44f70e…
06-04 18:21:22	Will The Left (Levica) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x1189c8…
06-04 18:21:09	Will The Left (Levica) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x3fae8a…
06-04 18:18:39	Will The Left (Levica) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xb289fb…
06-04 18:15:51	Will the Slovenian National Party (SNS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	No	BUY	357	100¢	$356	0x215470…
06-04 18:15:24	Will the Social Democrats (SD) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0x718f29…
06-04 18:14:46	Will the Democrats (D) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	169	100¢	$168	0x48923a…
06-02 00:02:58	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	No	BUY	40	71¢	$28	0x660c2e…
05-29 04:48:18	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	No	BUY	80	63¢	$50	0xf9cffc…
05-28 17:47:41	Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	No	SELL	27	90¢	$24	0xf8a44f…
05-28 17:12:32	Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	No	BUY	105	31¢	$32	0xc154eb…
05-28 17:05:58	Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	No	BUY	144	23¢	$33	0x369daa…
05-28 17:00:57	Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	No	BUY	133	23¢	$30	0xc45731…
05-28 12:22:44	Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	No	SELL	54	21¢	$11	0x17eb2e…
05-23 13:33:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	15¢	$4	0x50e01b…
05-23 13:33:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x172a66…
05-22 22:45:06	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	SELL	32	89¢	$29	0x3ba0c2…
05-22 22:44:32	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	SELL	32	89¢	$29	0xe9ad3a…
05-22 22:28:00	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	SELL	15	90¢	$14	0xa08010…