Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027?
open
Total volume
$1,411
$86 in 24h
Trades
37
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$10,526
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-04 13:07
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $10 | $28 | $18 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $25 | $374 | $349 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 14 | $2 | $422 | $420 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $26 | — | +$26 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $28 | $28 |
| Median | 1 | — | $51 | $51 |
| Below median | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $4 | $374 | $370 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| unranked | 12 | $2 | $372 | $370 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | No | +295 | $273 | $475 | 3 | 06-30 19:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +151 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 07-04 13:07 |
| Near-Familiar 0x6139…6b7a | Yes | +131 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-22 22:55 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +100 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-21 12:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x8c24…a8cb | No | +56 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 05-27 20:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x6c94…9543 | No | +54 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 06-22 22:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x2192…b0ca | No | +54 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-27 20:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xc96c…4fcd | No | +54 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-27 20:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b88…9dc1 | No | +53 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 06-30 19:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x3e4b…c489 | No | +51 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 05-27 20:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x8254…d536 | No | +42 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-22 22:55 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +39 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-21 12:22 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 06-30 19:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xc61a…47ac | No | +28 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 05-27 20:31 |
| Legal-Patriot 0x37ea…f395 | Yes | +25 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-21 12:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | +15 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-21 12:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x07fd…ad26 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-17 17:37 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-04 13:07:41 | Arctic-Seafood 0x7397…3ef8 | No | SELL | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0xb8b0ef… |
| 07-04 13:07:41 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xb8b0ef… |
| 06-30 19:19:08 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 95¢ | $28 | 0xa30858… |
| 06-30 19:19:08 | Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | No | SELL | 30 | 95¢ | $28 | 0xa30858… |
| 06-30 19:18:11 | Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | No | SELL | 75 | 96¢ | $72 | 0x902411… |
| 06-30 19:18:11 | (anonymous) 0x6b88…9dc1 | No | BUY | 53 | 96¢ | $51 | 0x902411… |
| 06-30 19:18:11 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x902411… |
| 06-22 22:55:46 | (anonymous) 0x6c94…9543 | No | BUY | 54 | 96¢ | $52 | 0xb3fd71… |
| 06-22 22:55:46 | (anonymous) 0x8254…d536 | No | BUY | 42 | 96¢ | $40 | 0xb3fd71… |
| 06-22 22:55:46 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xb3fd71… |
| 06-22 22:55:46 | Near-Familiar 0x6139…6b7a | Yes | BUY | 131 | 4¢ | $5 | 0xb3fd71… |
| 06-21 12:22:01 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 133 | 2¢ | $3 | 0xfc23b0… |
| 06-21 12:22:01 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xfc23b0… |
| 06-21 12:22:01 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | SELL | 172 | 3¢ | $4 | 0xfc23b0… |
| 06-21 12:19:47 | Untrue-Croup 0xdf6c…eb44 | No | SELL | 12 | 97¢ | $11 | 0xbfde6d… |
| 06-21 12:19:47 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | SELL | 172 | 3¢ | $5 | 0xbfde6d… |
| 06-21 12:19:47 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xbfde6d… |
| 06-21 12:19:47 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | BUY | 15 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xbfde6d… |
| 06-21 12:19:47 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xbfde6d… |
| 06-21 12:19:47 | Legal-Patriot 0x37ea…f395 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xbfde6d… |
| 06-18 13:31:52 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x9aeac1… |
| 06-18 13:31:52 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | SELL | 66 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x9aeac1… |
| 06-18 13:31:52 | (anonymous) 0x8e89…e67a | No | SELL | 48 | 95¢ | $46 | 0x9aeac1… |
| 06-17 17:37:13 | (anonymous) 0x07fd…ad26 | No | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x494b20… |
| 06-17 17:37:13 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x494b20… |
| 06-08 06:51:57 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x485e4e… |
| 06-08 06:51:57 | (anonymous) 0x5c26…0b31 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x485e4e… |
| 06-03 15:56:18 | Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | No | BUY | 400 | 94¢ | $374 | 0xdc5240… |
| 06-03 15:56:18 | Misty-Worship 0xc1cf…9656 | No | SELL | 400 | 94¢ | $374 | 0xdc5240… |
| 05-29 11:12:52 | (anonymous) 0x8e89…e67a | No | BUY | 48 | 95¢ | $46 | 0x9e120e… |
| 05-29 11:12:52 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | BUY | 48 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x9e120e… |
| 05-27 20:31:56 | (anonymous) 0x8c24…a8cb | No | BUY | 56 | 92¢ | $52 | 0x5bf8fc… |
| 05-27 20:31:56 | (anonymous) 0xc96c…4fcd | No | BUY | 54 | 92¢ | $50 | 0x5bf8fc… |
| 05-27 20:31:56 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | BUY | 244 | 8¢ | $20 | 0x5bf8fc… |
| 05-27 20:31:56 | (anonymous) 0xc61a…47ac | No | BUY | 28 | 92¢ | $26 | 0x5bf8fc… |
| 05-27 20:31:56 | (anonymous) 0x3e4b…c489 | No | BUY | 51 | 92¢ | $47 | 0x5bf8fc… |
| 05-27 20:31:56 | (anonymous) 0x2192…b0ca | No | BUY | 54 | 92¢ | $50 | 0x5bf8fc… |