Realized P&L
-$4.48K
Unrealized P&L
+$612
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
3,786
lifetime
Volume
$327.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$87
Open exposure
$13.8K
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 07:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
56% 0% $-90
Politics
40% 0% $-4,388
Sports
3%
Crypto
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +5,052 $2,575 70¢ $3.5K +$936 06-25 13:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -3,400 $-3,140 100¢ $-3385 $-245 06-23 14:40
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +1,367 $1,341 99¢ $1.4K +$17 06-26 08:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +6,000 $864 17¢ $1.0K +$156 06-25 11:53
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +999 $936 97¢ $967 +$31 06-18 04:33
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -1,000 $-885 90¢ $-905 $-20 06-14 21:21
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No -400 $-372 100¢ $-399 $-27 06-12 22:48
Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027? No -400 $-374 95¢ $-378 $-4 06-03 15:56
Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +385 $240 66¢ $256 +$16 06-09 08:05
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +500 $304 48¢ $238 $-66 06-25 11:31
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +252 $192 82¢ $205 +$14 06-11 21:34
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +377 $147 52¢ $194 +$47 06-09 08:06
Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +500 $206 32¢ $158 $-48 06-21 23:06
Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026? No -133 $-122 98¢ $-131 $-8 06-02 22:56
Will Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026? No -100 $-90 99¢ $-99 $-9 06-26 22:50
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? Yes -100 $-99 98¢ $-98 +$1 06-22 10:09
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No -100 $-93 94¢ $-94 $-0 06-07 13:36
Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026? No +100 $92 94¢ $94 +$2 06-03 05:56
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -100 $-91 93¢ $-93 $-2 06-03 13:36
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +132 $79 62¢ $82 +$3 06-24 20:59
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +400 $100 10¢ $38 $-62 06-11 18:20
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +54 $35 70¢ $38 +$2 06-20 17:36
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No -25 $-23 95¢ $-24 $-1 06-04 01:45
Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027? No -23 $-22 96¢ $-22 +$0 06-23 12:38
Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +21 $18 90¢ $19 +$1 06-09 11:38
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +1,000 $124 $2 $-122 06-10 06:47