Realized P&L
-$4.48K
Unrealized P&L
-$96
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
3,619
lifetime
Volume
$307.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$85
Open exposure
$11.9K
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 00:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
55% 0% $-90
Politics
41% 0% $-4,388
Sports
3%
Crypto
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 218 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +3,886 $3,790 91¢ $3.5K $-268 06-04 10:40
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +2,556 $2,430 95¢ $2.4K +$8 06-03 07:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -1,900 $-1,715 90¢ $-1720 $-4 06-08 10:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +1,000 $830 84¢ $835 +$5 06-09 12:22
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -501 $-436 88¢ $-438 $-3 06-03 14:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +600 $366 70¢ $417 +$51 06-03 20:28
Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027? No -400 $-374 93¢ $-373 +$1 06-03 15:56
Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +385 $240 84¢ $321 +$81 06-09 08:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +800 $250 32¢ $260 +$10 06-08 22:35
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +217 $165 77¢ $167 +$2 06-09 21:31
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +242 $146 66¢ $159 +$12 06-09 08:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +631 $151 24¢ $148 $-3 06-10 06:28
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +377 $147 39¢ $147 $-0 06-09 08:06
Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026? No -133 $-122 97¢ $-129 $-6 06-02 22:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +400 $108 30¢ $122 +$14 06-09 03:33
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +1,000 $124 12¢ $119 $-5 06-10 06:47
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No -107 $-99 92¢ $-98 +$2 06-04 10:28
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No -100 $-93 94¢ $-94 $-0 06-07 13:36
Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026? No +100 $92 92¢ $92 +$0 06-03 05:56
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -100 $-91 90¢ $-90 +$1 06-03 13:36
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? Yes -74 $-73 97¢ $-72 +$1 06-10 00:32
Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +127 $49 42¢ $54 +$5 06-09 22:49
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +100 $29 29¢ $29 $-0 06-10 06:48
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No -25 $-23 94¢ $-23 $-0 06-04 01:45
Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +21 $18 89¢ $19 +$0 06-09 11:38
Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027? No -16 $-15 96¢ $-15 +$0 06-07 15:08
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +3 $2 67¢ $2 +$0 06-09 08:07