Realized P&L
+$1.90K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.32K
Hit rate
71.9%
Resolved
670
Trades
4,890
lifetime
Volume
$499.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$102
Open exposure
$8.57K
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-19 20:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 129 days
Categories
Other
63% 48% +$4,684
Politics
33% 55% -$7,089
Sports
3% 63% +$5,081
Crypto
1% 64% -$848
Tech
0% 100% +$52
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$23
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No -1,689 -$1,504 72¢ $-1225 +$279 05-03 12:54
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No -1,188 -$1,184 98¢ $-1171 +$14 07-28 12:40
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -1,000 -$885 94¢ $-935 -$50 06-14 21:21
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +4,000 $2,289 22¢ $880 -$1,409 08-23 05:14
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? Yes -934 -$850 92¢ $-858 -$8 10-19 20:15
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No -872 -$733 82¢ $-711 +$22 06-05 21:59
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +500 $310 88¢ $440 +$130 05-03 13:01
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +500 $415 78¢ $388 -$28 08-18 11:57
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -500 -$350 62¢ $-312 +$38 06-06 02:15
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -701 -$112 44¢ $-306 -$194 07-07 12:34
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No -264 -$246 98¢ $-258 -$12 05-06 04:30
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +1,000 $130 18¢ $175 +$45 09-16 02:00
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? No -150 -$143 90¢ $-135 +$7 05-09 06:16
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No +100 $88 97¢ $97 +$9 04-28 15:27
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No -100 -$93 97¢ $-97 -$3 06-07 13:36
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +100 $55 96¢ $96 +$41 04-28 15:03
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? No +100 $70 90¢ $90 +$20 04-30 18:12
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No +100 $40 86¢ $86 +$46 04-29 03:53
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +100 $80 84¢ $84 +$4 04-28 15:41
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +3,200 $195 2¢ $69 -$126 07-21 11:26
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +2,000 $70 3¢ $53 -$17 07-23 05:37
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No -50 -$71 90¢ $-45 +$26 07-07 18:09
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes +200 $105 14¢ $28 -$77 05-02 07:13
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No -25 -$23 97¢ $-24 -$1 06-04 01:45
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat? Yes +100 $78 6¢ $6 -$72 04-28 16:02
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? No +0 $5 99¢ $0 -$5 05-05 01:03