Realized P&L
-$4.48K
Unrealized P&L
+$4.37K
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
3,951
lifetime
Volume
$369.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$94
Open exposure
$9.36K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 18:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
60% 0% $-90
Politics
36% 0% $-4,388
Sports
4%
Crypto
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +8,943 $1,976 46¢ $4.1K +$2,094 07-21 14:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -1,148 $-3,695 99¢ $-1135 +$2,560 07-08 01:29
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +933 $871 98¢ $914 +$43 07-06 16:40
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -1,000 $-885 90¢ $-895 $-10 06-14 21:21
Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027? No -400 $-374 94¢ $-377 $-3 06-03 15:56
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +500 $304 66¢ $328 +$24 06-25 11:31
Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +385 $240 76¢ $290 +$51 06-09 08:05
Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027? No -206 $-198 96¢ $-197 +$1 07-17 05:29
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +377 $147 38¢ $143 $-4 06-09 08:06
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +157 $94 76¢ $119 +$25 07-08 12:08
Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +133 $115 88¢ $116 +$1 07-20 18:50
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +400 $100 28¢ $110 +$10 06-11 18:20
Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +500 $206 22¢ $110 $-96 06-21 23:06
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +140 $92 72¢ $100 +$8 07-05 15:15
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? Yes -100 $-99 95¢ $-95 +$4 06-22 10:09
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -100 $-91 94¢ $-94 $-3 06-03 13:36
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No -100 $-93 94¢ $-94 $-0 06-07 13:36
Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026? No +100 $92 92¢ $92 +$0 06-03 05:56
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +500 $380 11¢ $52 $-327 07-06 12:09
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No -25 $-23 97¢ $-24 $-1 06-04 01:45