Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?
open
Total volume
$322
Trades
33
Unique wallets
18
Liquidity
$9,817
Latest YES mid
5¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-17 05:29
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | — | — | +— |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $55 | $55 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 10 | $2 | $20 | $17 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $55 | $55 |
| Median | 3 | — | $10 | $10 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| unranked | 8 | $2 | $5 | $2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +190 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-22 19:51 |
| Definitive-Curtain 0xbcde…8dda | No | +52 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-15 12:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-16 14:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x3f91…2819 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-25 05:11 |
| Next-Arrow 0x53f4…3730 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-07 15:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xc1d9…b4a6 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-06 15:59 |
| Familiar-Offset 0xe72b…fb24 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-11 08:07 |
| Firm-Gander 0x2b18…d3d6 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-17 05:29 |
| Wiggly-Boogeyman 0xf24d…7588 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-16 05:48 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-17 05:29:40 | Misty-Worship 0xc1cf…9656 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xac3155… |
| 07-17 05:29:40 | Firm-Gander 0x2b18…d3d6 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xac3155… |
| 07-16 05:48:01 | Misty-Worship 0xc1cf…9656 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x6b4cf2… |
| 07-16 05:48:01 | Wiggly-Boogeyman 0xf24d…7588 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x6b4cf2… |
| 07-15 14:44:46 | Misty-Worship 0xc1cf…9656 | No | SELL | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0x7746ab… |
| 07-15 14:44:46 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x7746ab… |
| 07-15 12:48:20 | Misty-Worship 0xc1cf…9656 | No | SELL | 52 | 96¢ | $50 | 0x516fe3… |
| 07-15 12:48:20 | Definitive-Curtain 0xbcde…8dda | No | BUY | 52 | 96¢ | $50 | 0x516fe3… |
| 07-14 22:29:49 | Basic-Honeydew 0xc644…a714 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x35453d… |
| 07-14 22:29:49 | Misty-Worship 0xc1cf…9656 | No | SELL | 29 | 96¢ | $27 | 0x35453d… |
| 06-29 22:48:17 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x825137… |
| 06-29 22:48:17 | (anonymous) 0x735f…bc5a | No | SELL | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x825137… |
| 06-27 22:26:07 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x781bb8… |
| 06-27 22:26:07 | (anonymous) 0x66cb…f1e2 | No | SELL | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x781bb8… |
| 06-25 05:11:58 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xae3d50… |
| 06-25 05:11:58 | (anonymous) 0x3f91…2819 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xae3d50… |
| 06-23 13:51:32 | Super-Arena 0x28ab…2048 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x8a8004… |
| 06-23 13:51:32 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x8a8004… |
| 06-23 12:38:20 | Misty-Worship 0xc1cf…9656 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xd4eda5… |
| 06-23 12:38:20 | Super-Arena 0x28ab…2048 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xd4eda5… |
| 06-22 19:51:52 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 190 | 5¢ | $10 | 0x30af36… |
| 06-22 19:51:52 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 190 | 5¢ | $10 | 0x30af36… |
| 06-16 14:40:44 | (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xb6a274… |
| 06-16 14:40:44 | Needy-Constellation 0x5226…b4f5 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xb6a274… |
| 06-16 14:40:44 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xb6a274… |
| 06-11 08:07:09 | Familiar-Offset 0xe72b…fb24 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x874e00… |
| 06-11 08:07:09 | Misty-Worship 0xc1cf…9656 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x874e00… |
| 06-07 15:08:43 | Next-Arrow 0x53f4…3730 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x0ca505… |
| 06-07 15:08:43 | Misty-Worship 0xc1cf…9656 | No | SELL | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x0ca505… |
| 06-06 15:59:13 | (anonymous) 0xc1cf…9656 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x5eb9f4… |
| 06-06 15:59:13 | (anonymous) 0xc1d9…b4a6 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x5eb9f4… |
| 05-28 20:30:59 | (anonymous) 0x3d01…75f1 | No | SELL | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0xc49635… |
| 05-28 20:30:59 | Needy-Constellation 0x5226…b4f5 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xc49635… |