Bulky-Ferry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$52

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

96.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$290

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$12

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 07-09 07:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 67% +$52

Other

8% — —

Politics

4% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	+5	$5	92¢	$5	+$0	06-06 15:57
Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?	No	+5	$5	96¢	$5	$-0	06-06 15:59
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	+2	$2	92¢	$2	$-0	06-06 15:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$115	129	+129	Up	+$14	05-11 11:09
eth updown 5m 1776776700	1	$49	51	+51	open	—	04-21 13:08
eth updown 5m 1775193900	2	$24	48	+48	open	—	04-03 05:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	3	$20	63	+63	Down	+$43	05-10 14:10
eth updown 5m 1775228100	2	$20	43	+43	open	—	04-03 14:56
wta yamaguc minnen 2026 07 07	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	07-09 07:37
eth updown 5m 1775227500	2	$6	41	+41	open	—	04-03 14:48
eth updown 5m 1775227800	2	$6	37	+37	open	—	04-03 14:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$5	17	+17	Down	$-5	05-10 14:07
eth updown 5m 1776776400	1	$5	14	+14	open	—	04-21 13:00
Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	06-06 15:59
Trump out as President before 2027?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	06-06 15:57
eth updown 5m 1775227200	2	$4	23	+23	open	—	04-03 14:43
dota2 aur1 lgd 2026 06 06	1	$3	4	+4	open	—	06-06 15:53
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	06-06 15:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	04-21 12:58
eth updown 5m 1775194500	1	$2	8	+8	open	—	04-03 05:38
will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 21 2026	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	04-21 12:54
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	04-21 12:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-03 05:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$1	8	+8	open	—	04-03 05:24
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-03 05:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-09 07:37:05	wta yamaguc minnen 2026 07 07	Greet Minnen	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x27a116…
06-06 15:59:13	Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5eb9f4…
06-06 15:57:18	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe29023…
06-06 15:54:33	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x3c4a59…
06-06 15:53:19	dota2 aur1 lgd 2026 06 06	Aurora	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x84f9c9…
05-11 11:09:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x6c594d…
05-11 11:09:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x508217…
05-10 14:10:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xc5df36…
05-10 14:10:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xe45ce0…
05-10 14:10:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xa55273…
05-10 14:07:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x1af9ab…
04-21 13:08:44	eth updown 5m 1776776700	Up	BUY	51	95¢	$49	0x587440…
04-21 13:00:32	eth updown 5m 1776776400	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x8c74d1…
04-21 12:59:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x8dbedb…
04-21 12:58:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	Yes	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xd26290…
04-21 12:54:08	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x5d0326…
04-03 14:56:57	eth updown 5m 1775228100	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x2e9e6f…
04-03 14:56:33	eth updown 5m 1775228100	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x68a00e…
04-03 14:53:33	eth updown 5m 1775227800	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x06e016…
04-03 14:50:27	eth updown 5m 1775227800	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xd8f462…
04-03 14:48:29	eth updown 5m 1775227500	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x256efd…
04-03 14:46:11	eth updown 5m 1775227500	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x2c598f…
04-03 14:43:09	eth updown 5m 1775227200	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xe3f6da…
04-03 14:42:47	eth updown 5m 1775227200	Up	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0xf6989c…
04-03 05:38:29	eth updown 5m 1775194500	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xd00e46…
04-03 05:29:07	eth updown 5m 1775193900	Up	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x9fcef6…
04-03 05:27:41	eth updown 5m 1775193900	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x52995f…
04-03 05:26:37	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xef6110…
04-03 05:25:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x227e67…
04-03 05:24:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x2f197a…