Realized P&L
-$259
Unrealized P&L
-$56
Hit rate
59.7%
Resolved
91
Trades
38,367
lifetime
Volume
$310.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$397
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-17 23:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Other
47% 43% $-356
Politics
46% 42% +$128
Tech
7% 0% $-31
Pop-Culture
0%
Sports
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 469 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026? No -40 $-26 80¢ $-32 $-6 06-22 21:28
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +200 $50 14¢ $27 $-23 07-14 19:46
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? No +24 $17 85¢ $20 +$3 06-09 05:34
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes -20 $2 100¢ $-20 $-22 06-18 15:26
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine? Yes -23 $-19 84¢ $-20 $-0 06-14 18:38
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No -20 $-17 98¢ $-20 $-3 06-05 22:54
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026? Yes -813 $-23 $-17 +$6 07-15 14:16
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -400 $-14 $-17 $-3 07-15 11:53
Will Raphael Warnock announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -230 $-16 $-15 +$2 07-15 14:17
Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau? No -40 $-8 36¢ $-14 $-7 05-28 22:13
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +245 $47 $13 $-34 07-15 14:20
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? Yes -237 $-17 $-13 +$4 06-15 18:20
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? Yes -33 $-13 39¢ $-13 +$1 06-18 17:45
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? Yes -248 $-22 $-13 +$9 07-15 14:44
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? Yes -200 $-10 $-11 $-1 07-15 14:20
Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31? Yes -50 $-9 22¢ $-11 $-2 06-26 15:17
Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026? Yes -300 $-14 $-11 +$4 07-15 14:18
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026? Yes -76 $-15 14¢ $-10 +$5 07-03 06:51
Will Loretta Lynch be arrested before 2027? Yes -100 $-12 10¢ $-10 +$2 06-18 02:45
Jonathan Majors as Kang? No -11 $-11 88¢ $-10 +$1 07-12 16:53
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes -200 $-10 $-10 $-0 07-15 14:22
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? Yes -200 $-7 $-10 $-3 07-15 14:36
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? Yes -200 $-12 $-9 +$3 06-09 15:05
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes -53 $-13 16¢ $-9 +$4 07-08 00:39
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? Yes -182 $-20 $-8 +$12 07-15 14:19
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30? Yes -40 $-7 18¢ $-7 $-0 07-08 15:04
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? Yes -160 $-8 $-7 +$1 07-15 14:36
Will Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026? Yes -124 $-4 $-7 $-3 06-21 14:53
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -200 $-2 $-6 $-5 07-15 07:57
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? Yes -50 $-7 12¢ $-6 +$1 07-09 01:24