Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$259

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.7%

Resolved

Trades

38,386

lifetime

Volume

$310.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-23 17:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

47% 43% $-356

Politics

46% 42% +$128

Tech

7% 0% $-31

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 469 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	160	$8.4K	11,586	11,586	+0	open	—	07-14 21:50
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	58	$4.0K	3,116	2,972	+144	open	—	06-14 20:15
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	83	$3.5K	6,088	6,088	+0	open	—	07-15 14:15
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	166	$3.5K	10,410	10,406	+4	open	—	03-20 22:01
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	66	$2.8K	4,018	4,018	+0	open	—	05-08 02:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	92	$2.7K	5,281	5,248	+33	open	—	05-23 00:08
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	84	$2.6K	6,098	6,098	+0	open	—	05-23 14:07
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	54	$2.4K	4,179	4,179	+0	open	—	07-15 14:15
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	74	$2.3K	3,094	3,094	+0	open	—	07-13 03:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	69	$2.0K	4,581	4,581	+0	open	—	05-18 19:53
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	221	$2.0K	16,657	16,737	-80	open	—	03-10 15:55
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	65	$1.8K	2,354	2,354	+0	open	—	07-15 14:37
gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	47	$1.7K	1,233	1,233	+0	open	—	07-08 03:13
israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	41	$1.7K	1,296	1,307	-11	open	—	06-29 14:42
gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	40	$1.7K	1,155	1,154	+1	open	—	07-08 03:49
will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	21	$1.6K	1,091	1,491	-400	open	—	06-16 13:34
gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	18	$1.4K	1,056	1,056	+0	open	—	06-10 05:31
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	19	$1.3K	1,294	1,598	-305	open	—	06-13 01:41
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	49	$1.3K	3,311	3,311	+0	open	—	03-23 13:53
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	59	$1.3K	5,668	5,668	+0	open	—	04-18 19:21
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	41	$1.3K	1,901	1,906	-5	open	—	07-07 09:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	26	$1.2K	1,832	1,832	+0	open	—	07-03 05:53
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	14	$1.2K	1,155	955	+200	open	—	06-14 10:29
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	27	$1.2K	960	960	+0	open	—	06-13 11:09
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	66	$1.2K	3,471	3,471	+0	open	—	07-15 06:44
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	39	$1.2K	1,124	1,108	+16	open	—	06-22 01:26
gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	64	$1.1K	1,571	1,571	+0	open	—	07-08 01:36
will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	36	$1.1K	1,019	1,019	+0	open	—	07-14 12:55
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?	16	$1.1K	1,001	986	+15	open	—	06-15 17:28
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	10	$1.1K	828	828	+0	open	—	06-17 16:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 17:04:04	Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?	Yes	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x5b2a01…
07-23 17:03:57	will russia capture mala tokmachka by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$1	0xc075a3…
07-23 17:03:51	Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?	Yes	SELL	51	1¢	$1	0xaa61b4…
07-23 17:03:46	Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0x974c7b…
07-23 17:03:40	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x0f5739…
07-23 17:03:39	us government removes public access to a major chinese ai model in 2026 20260703203328223	Yes	SELL	2	25¢	$1	0x820696…
07-23 17:03:31	Will Wes Moore announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xedf98b…
07-23 17:03:30	will ukraine re enter hryshyne by july 31 20260604220043035	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x719914…
07-23 17:02:24	Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x7f5d18…
07-23 17:02:22	Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?	Yes	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0x778246…
07-23 17:02:19	Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x65e691…
07-23 17:02:16	will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0x4af41a…
07-23 17:02:07	will ukraine re enter hryshyne by september 30	Yes	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0xef5a9a…
07-23 17:02:01	Will Elise Stefanik announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xadd64b…
07-23 17:01:58	will the malaysian house of representatives be dissolved by june 30 2027 20260604155615148	Yes	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xda78b2…
07-23 17:01:37	will openais valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31 688 311	Yes	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0x482ae2…
07-23 17:01:28	will databricks valuation hit high 225b by december 31	Yes	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x70e260…
07-23 17:01:25	Will HSBC fail by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	2¢	$1	0x52d6d7…
07-23 17:01:24	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x9830ea…
07-17 23:07:51	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x5efb85…
07-17 23:07:42	Will Bernie Sanders announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x089f60…
07-17 23:07:36	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	Yes	SELL	1	57¢	$1	0xf38a8d…
07-17 23:07:31	will ansem flip pump by december 31 2027 20260702152126832	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xfe9bb9…
07-17 23:07:28	will jio platforms ipo by december 31 2026 20260629175908109	Yes	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0xe14e90…
07-17 23:07:24	will the earnings call not air 20260713183952386	Yes	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0xd811c5…
07-17 23:07:22	Amazon 2026 capex above $180B?	No	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0xfd6f83…
07-17 23:07:18	Will Matt Heilala advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x69309d…
07-17 23:07:10	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0xc03cd5…
07-17 23:07:09	untitled market 1 20260629172240684	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x76122f…
07-17 23:07:07	Will Nikki Haley announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	24	4¢	$1	0xbac61d…
07-17 23:07:01	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x439bbd…
07-17 23:06:58	will anthropics valuation hit low 600b by december 31 732	Yes	SELL	23	4¢	$1	0x7944ea…
07-17 22:56:01	will revoluts valuation hit high 110b by july 31 20260630204859524	Yes	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0xee94cc…
07-17 22:55:09	will stripes valuation hit low 150 by july 31 20260629184728774	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0xa4ea2d…
07-17 22:55:00	will john fetterman vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821982	Yes	SELL	17	10¢	$2	0x0e9f8e…
07-17 22:54:57	will epic games valuation hit high 13pt5 by july 31 20260629184732965	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x48432d…
07-16 23:51:20	will angela murray be evicted in big brother season 28 week 1 20260710020428912	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x4afca1…
07-16 23:50:53	will newmont nem q2 total attributable gold production be above 1400 koz 20260703220112343	Yes	SELL	19	3¢	$1	0x0312b4…
07-16 23:50:50	will canvas valuation hit high 50 by july 31 20260629184737582	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xb261bc…
07-16 23:50:47	will russia capture verkhnia tersa by july 31	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0x102eb0…
07-16 23:50:44	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by august 31	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x1f33ab…
07-16 23:50:40	will revoluts valuation hit high 95b by july 31 20260630204859526	Yes	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x7d692d…
07-16 23:50:31	Will KeyBank fail by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xae3801…
07-16 23:50:29	will the for safe food through strengthening sustainable domestic production increasing plant based foods and ensuring clean drinking water food initiative initiative be approved in switzerlands september 27 2026 popular vote copy 20260713144919278	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x5d34f2…
07-16 23:50:28	another critical cloudflare incident by august 31 2026 12	Yes	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x2b7431…
07-16 23:50:19	Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	3¢	$1	0x078165…
07-16 23:50:17	will andurils valuation hit high 125b by december 31	Yes	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xc15efc…
07-16 23:50:14	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0xaaa07c…
07-16 23:50:13	will trump announce an acquisition of part of the chagos islands before 2027 20260609184517049	Yes	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0x667cbf…
07-16 23:50:05	Will Michel Barnier announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0x830a34…
07-16 23:50:01	Will Future have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xa2e4ba…
07-16 23:49:58	Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x261ad2…
07-16 23:49:50	will russia capture oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 2026 20260706174556070	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x51d609…
07-16 23:49:49	will verizon vz q2 total operating revenue be above 34pt5b 20260703212040738	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xd7da8a…
07-16 23:49:43	will bill hill advance from the ak al primary election	No	SELL	16	8¢	$1	0x2f71bd…
07-16 23:49:40	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0x69e11a…
07-16 23:49:37	will guillermo del toro appear on hall h stage at sdcc 2026 20260714142553823	No	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0x9897fa…
07-16 23:49:32	will russia enter krasnopillya by july 31	Yes	SELL	53	2¢	$1	0x730b30…
07-16 23:49:28	israel x hamas ceasefire cancelled by december 31	Yes	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x194726…
07-16 23:49:26	Will Xi Jinping purge Ding Xuexiang in 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	5¢	$1	0x224a75…
07-16 23:49:11	Will Microsoft have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x432f03…
07-16 23:49:08	will general motors say cruise during earnings call 20260713183530313	No	SELL	30	2¢	$0	0x63380d…
07-16 23:49:07	Will Amazon have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x584dd5…
07-16 23:49:04	Will John Thune announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xd522f6…
07-16 23:49:02	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	Yes	SELL	60	2¢	$1	0x342569…
07-16 23:48:59	Haiti elections delayed again?	Yes	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0x3665d9…
07-16 23:48:55	Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x13afa0…
07-16 23:48:50	will revoluts valuation hit low 60b by december 31 20260701011444459	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x5bcd69…
07-15 20:57:59	will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x694a96…
07-15 20:57:46	will trump say graham or platner this week 20260710153927791	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x689130…
07-15 20:57:43	Will BNY fail by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x3c3483…
07-15 20:57:41	will vucic officially leave office by july 17 20260629165804200	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xb9f6ee…
07-15 20:57:40	will gleans valuation hit high 8b by july 31 20260630205002623	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x6febdd…
07-15 20:57:31	Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xc73dd4…
07-15 20:57:25	will russia enter mykhailivka by july 31	Yes	SELL	13	3¢	$0	0x472a7f…
07-15 15:01:26	Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x11d7c5…
07-15 15:01:20	Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	5¢	$2	0x9df964…
07-15 15:01:17	will afghanistan recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0x8143ca…
07-15 15:01:16	will congress override any veto in 2026 20260624150337322	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x382823…
07-15 15:01:11	Will Greg Abbott announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xd48108…
07-15 15:01:08	will openais valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 538 161	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x44c922…
07-15 15:01:07	will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xa3a64a…
07-15 15:01:05	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 15 20260708001726331	Yes	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0xbcd33b…
07-15 15:00:58	will the ornn h100 index hit 1pt50 low by december 31 2026 20260709170850332	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x014cad…
07-15 15:00:55	will prologis pld q2 core ffo per diluted share be above 1pt50 20260618172009449	No	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x308699…
07-15 15:00:40	will verizon vz q2 total operating revenue be above 36pt5b 20260703212040742	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$1	0xa1aa16…
07-15 15:00:34	Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0x0daed8…
07-15 15:00:28	us charges hormuz fees by august 31 2026 20260713151243234	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0xeb14f8…
07-15 15:00:26	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	Yes	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0xfd9133…
07-15 15:00:17	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	4¢	$1	0xa853da…
07-15 15:00:16	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	186	1¢	$2	0x773c95…
07-15 15:00:07	california tax spend audit proposition	No	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x5f5ea3…
07-15 15:00:05	will andurils valuation hit high 200b by december 31	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x9a0616…
07-15 14:59:55	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	Yes	SELL	43	3¢	$1	0xaf0b1f…
07-15 14:59:50	cfg quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 16 2026 1pt24	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xee04fb…
07-15 14:59:46	will bytedances valuation hit high 650b by july 31 20260630205251338	Yes	SELL	21	9¢	$2	0x2dffe2…
07-15 14:59:43	mamdani opens city owned grocery store by december 31 20260628213717626	Yes	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0xfcb3bc…
07-15 14:59:41	will ansem flip pump by june 30 2027 20260702152126831	No	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0xfdfc37…
07-15 14:59:35	will clavicular visit south korea in 2026 20260714153003052	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x79ea22…
07-15 14:59:31	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xf0a4bf…