Realized P&L
-$259
Unrealized P&L
-$113
Hit rate
59.7%
Resolved
91
Trades
35,194
lifetime
Volume
$254.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$1.15K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 12:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Other
48% 43% $-356
Politics
46% 42% +$128
Tech
6% 0% $-31
Pop-Culture
0%
Sports
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 469 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +200 $146 100¢ $199 +$53 06-14 13:08
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +316 $102 32¢ $101 $-1 06-28 19:04
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +200 $94 48¢ $95 +$1 06-25 15:52
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes +98 $86 90¢ $88 +$3 06-28 04:31
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes +200 $80 36¢ $71 $-9 06-29 07:22
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +372 $58 15¢ $54 $-4 06-26 15:40
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +400 $74 12¢ $50 $-24 06-20 15:25
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +200 $77 24¢ $48 $-29 06-28 11:11
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Yes +50 $43 84¢ $42 $-1 06-27 16:02
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +100 $33 34¢ $34 +$2 06-30 12:19
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026? No -40 $-26 67¢ $-27 $-0 06-22 21:28
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450? Yes +30 $25 88¢ $26 +$1 06-28 22:42
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +245 $37 10¢ $23 $-14 06-10 04:59
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +355 $38 $23 $-15 06-25 10:16
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +22 $36 100¢ $22 $-14 06-14 21:45
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +56 $39 39¢ $22 $-17 06-28 11:07
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? Yes +196 $22 11¢ $21 $-1 06-23 10:45
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? No +24 $17 84¢ $20 +$3 06-09 05:34
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes -20 $2 100¢ $-20 $-22 06-18 15:26
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine? Yes -23 $-19 84¢ $-20 $-0 06-14 18:38
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No -20 $-17 94¢ $-19 $-2 06-05 22:54
Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau? No -40 $-8 41¢ $-16 $-9 05-28 22:13
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? Yes -33 $-13 50¢ $-16 $-3 06-18 17:45
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? Yes -237 $-17 $-15 +$1 06-15 18:20
Will Loretta Lynch be arrested before 2027? Yes -100 $-12 15¢ $-15 $-3 06-18 02:45
UK Recession in 2026? Yes +50 $16 28¢ $14 $-2 06-22 03:44
Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2026? Yes +16 $15 84¢ $13 $-2 06-24 08:58
Weed rescheduled by December 31? Yes +60 $17 22¢ $13 $-4 06-23 22:40
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? Yes +197 $19 $13 $-6 06-29 19:11
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? Yes -153 $-17 $-12 +$5 06-23 02:52