(anonymous) 0xc71b43…7ce265
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$259
Unrealized P&L
-$25
Hit rate
59.7%
Resolved
91
Trades
31,344
lifetime
Volume
$196.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$1.07K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 18:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Other
52% 43% $-356
Politics
43% 42% +$128
Tech
5% 0% $-31
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Sports
0% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 601 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +200 $143 77¢ $154 +$11 06-08 06:13
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +170 $115 72¢ $122 +$7 06-08 07:00
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -400 $-81 26¢ $-104 $-23 06-08 04:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -385 $-104 18¢ $-71 +$33 06-01 17:31
Will OPEC crude oil production be above 20 million barrels per day in May? No -50 $-44 99¢ $-49 $-5 05-28 22:13
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +166 $46 29¢ $47 +$1 05-29 22:19
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +50 $40 84¢ $42 +$2 06-06 07:28
Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026? Yes -50 $-26 77¢ $-38 $-13 06-09 12:07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +81 $32 46¢ $37 +$5 06-01 07:51
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +200 $42 18¢ $36 $-6 05-30 23:27
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? Yes -170 $-40 19¢ $-33 +$7 05-28 13:31
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? No +40 $28 76¢ $31 +$2 06-01 21:24
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +249 $38 11¢ $27 $-10 05-29 07:55
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026? Yes -30 $-27 88¢ $-26 +$1 06-01 12:54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +77 $24 28¢ $21 $-3 05-28 14:23
Will OPEC crude oil production be above 19 million barrels per day in May? No -22 $-19 98¢ $-21 $-2 05-29 17:58
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? No +24 $17 84¢ $20 +$3 06-09 05:34
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No -20 $-17 93¢ $-19 $-2 06-05 22:54
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +20 $15 88¢ $17 +$2 06-03 07:29
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? Yes +199 $14 8¢ $17 +$3 06-02 18:54
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +616 $32 2¢ $15 $-16 06-01 12:58
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +145 $17 11¢ $15 $-1 05-31 21:20
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +158 $23 10¢ $15 $-8 05-31 18:17
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +29 $22 49¢ $14 $-8 06-06 23:54
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? Yes -31 $-12 45¢ $-14 $-2 05-30 20:37
Will John Wesley Tyler advance from the CA-04 primary election? No -14 $-13 99¢ $-14 $-1 05-28 02:34
Weed rescheduled by December 31? Yes +50 $16 26¢ $13 $-2 06-08 22:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? Yes -200 $-24 6¢ $-13 +$11 06-04 20:10
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? Yes -200 $-12 6¢ $-13 $-1 06-09 15:05
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes -40 $-4 32¢ $-13 $-9 05-28 17:04