Realized P&L
-$20.3K
Unrealized P&L
-$28
Hit rate
41.0%
Resolved
5,998
Trades
55,906
lifetime
Volume
$516.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$377
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 08-01 21:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 266 days
Categories
Other
55% 35% -$14,116
Politics
39% 37% -$5,280
Tech
6% 40% -$780
Pop-Culture
0% 57% +$8
Sports
0% 30% -$14
Crypto
0% 0% -$72
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-01).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? Yes -50 -$20 100¢ $-50 -$29 05-06 22:06
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? Yes -100 -$3 49¢ $-49 -$47 06-02 22:14
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -40 -$6 98¢ $-39 -$34 05-19 03:46
Brex IPO before 2027? Yes -3,150 -$35 1¢ $-28 +$7 05-17 02:41
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? No -50 -$6 55¢ $-28 -$21 04-29 14:41
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes -50 -$5 55¢ $-28 -$23 04-29 14:31
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Yes -20 -$7 97¢ $-19 -$13 05-08 00:17
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat? Yes -49 -$10 38¢ $-18 -$8 07-04 03:18
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes -50 -$18 30¢ $-15 +$3 05-05 17:13
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -205 -$61 6¢ $-11 +$50 07-15 14:16
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -48 -$6 19¢ $-9 -$3 06-20 17:43
Iran nuclear test before 2027? Yes -200 -$20 4¢ $-9 +$11 04-28 15:21
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes -200 -$38 4¢ $-7 +$31 07-14 19:46
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -22 -$8 30¢ $-7 +$1 05-07 06:14
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? Yes -195 -$25 3¢ $-6 +$20 05-05 08:10
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? Yes -40 $24 14¢ $-5 -$29 04-28 16:43
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes -100 -$8 5¢ $-5 +$3 05-04 18:51
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -200 $0 2¢ $-4 -$5 07-15 11:53
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? Yes -112 -$8 4¢ $-4 +$4 05-10 16:13
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? Yes -160 -$8 3¢ $-4 +$4 07-15 14:36
Celonis IPO before 2027? Yes -50 -$7 8¢ $-4 +$3 04-28 15:09
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? Yes -40 -$9 8¢ $-3 +$5 06-30 09:11
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? Yes -200 -$12 2¢ $-3 +$9 06-09 15:05
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? Yes -200 -$7 2¢ $-3 +$4 06-02 23:44
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes -100 -$12 3¢ $-3 +$9 05-05 03:30
5kt meteor strike in 2026? Yes -20 -$6 16¢ $-3 +$2 05-06 04:46
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? Yes -115 -$3 2¢ $-3 +$1 07-15 14:40
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -50 -$6 5¢ $-2 +$3 05-27 04:19
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? Yes -30 -$7 8¢ $-2 +$5 07-23 17:02
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027? Yes -50 -$11 4¢ $-2 +$9 04-28 22:53