Realized P&L
-$20.3K
Unrealized P&L
-$52
Hit rate
41.0%
Resolved
5,998
Trades
55,906
lifetime
Volume
$516.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$400
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 08-01 21:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 266 days
Categories
Other
55% 35% -$14,116
Politics
39% 37% -$5,280
Tech
6% 40% -$780
Pop-Culture
0% 57% +$8
Sports
0% 30% -$14
Crypto
0% 0% -$72
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-01).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? Yes -100 -$3 53¢ $-53 -$51 06-02 22:14
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? Yes -50 -$20 100¢ $-50 -$29 05-06 22:06
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -40 -$6 98¢ $-39 -$34 05-19 03:46
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? No -50 -$6 57¢ $-29 -$22 04-29 14:41
Brex IPO before 2027? Yes -3,150 -$35 1¢ $-28 +$7 05-17 02:41
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes -50 -$5 55¢ $-28 -$23 04-29 14:31
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Yes -20 -$7 98¢ $-20 -$13 05-08 00:17
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat? Yes -49 -$10 38¢ $-19 -$8 07-04 03:18
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes -50 -$18 34¢ $-17 +$1 05-05 17:13
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes -200 -$38 8¢ $-16 +$22 07-14 19:46
Iran nuclear test before 2027? Yes -200 -$20 8¢ $-16 +$4 04-28 15:21
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -205 -$61 6¢ $-11 +$50 07-15 14:16
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -48 -$6 20¢ $-9 -$3 06-20 17:43
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -22 -$8 36¢ $-8 $0 05-07 06:14
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? Yes -40 $24 16¢ $-6 -$30 04-28 16:43
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? Yes -195 -$25 3¢ $-6 +$20 05-05 08:10
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -200 $0 2¢ $-5 -$5 07-15 11:53
Celonis IPO before 2027? Yes -50 -$7 8¢ $-4 +$3 04-28 15:09
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? Yes -40 -$9 10¢ $-4 +$5 06-30 09:11
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes -100 -$8 4¢ $-4 +$4 05-04 18:51
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? Yes -160 -$8 2¢ $-4 +$4 07-15 14:36
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? Yes -200 -$12 2¢ $-3 +$9 06-09 15:05
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? Yes -200 -$7 2¢ $-3 +$4 06-02 23:44
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes -100 -$12 3¢ $-3 +$9 05-05 03:30
5kt meteor strike in 2026? Yes -20 -$6 16¢ $-3 +$2 05-06 04:46
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? Yes -112 -$8 3¢ $-3 +$5 05-10 16:13
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? Yes -115 -$3 2¢ $-3 +$1 07-15 14:40
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -50 -$6 5¢ $-3 +$3 05-27 04:19
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? Yes -30 -$7 8¢ $-2 +$5 07-23 17:02
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027? Yes -50 -$11 4¢ $-2 +$9 04-28 22:53