Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2027?
open
Total volume
$603
Trades
100
Unique wallets
30
Liquidity
$10,199
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-30
last 08-07 20:38
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | — | $20 | $20 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | — | $34 | $34 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $10 | $11 | $1 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $1 | $79 | $78 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| Median | 4 | — | $17 | $17 |
| Below median | 6 | — | $44 | $44 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | — | $49 | $49 |
| unranked | 13 | $1 | $34 | $33 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +200 | $10 | $10 | 5 | 07-31 00:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xa637…dae9 | Yes | +34 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-07 20:38 |
| Slippery-Doll 0x1d7c…51b6 | No | +29 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 08-07 20:38 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 4 | 08-04 14:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-07 20:38 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 20:38:37 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x69e518… |
| 08-07 20:38:37 | Slippery-Doll 0x1d7c…51b6 | No | BUY | 29 | 96¢ | $28 | 0x69e518… |
| 08-07 20:38:37 | (anonymous) 0xa637…dae9 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x69e518… |
| 08-04 14:12:06 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 43 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xa03819… |
| 08-04 14:12:06 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | SELL | 48 | 97¢ | $47 | 0xa03819… |
| 08-04 14:12:06 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xa03819… |
| 07-31 00:00:45 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xbb19fd… |
| 07-31 00:00:45 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xbb19fd… |
| 07-30 23:44:20 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xc3fccd… |
| 07-30 23:44:20 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xc3fccd… |
| 07-30 23:40:09 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x205ed5… |
| 07-30 23:40:09 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x205ed5… |
| 07-30 23:38:57 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xd4a025… |
| 07-30 23:38:57 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xd4a025… |
| 07-30 23:37:56 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xcb746a… |
| 07-30 23:37:56 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xcb746a… |
| 07-30 22:43:36 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x8647b8… |
| 07-30 22:43:36 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x8647b8… |
| 07-27 20:11:10 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xa8d311… |
| 07-27 20:11:10 | (anonymous) 0x4ed4…a78c | No | SELL | 7 | 95¢ | $6 | 0xa8d311… |
| 07-27 19:47:07 | (anonymous) 0xd99f…3965 | No | SELL | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x14e1ac… |
| 07-27 19:47:07 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x14e1ac… |
| 07-27 14:04:49 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | SELL | 7 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xc80753… |
| 07-27 14:04:49 | (anonymous) 0x4ed4…a78c | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xc80753… |
| 07-27 12:38:57 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xafcc89… |
| 07-27 12:38:57 | (anonymous) 0xd99f…3965 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xafcc89… |
| 07-26 16:48:57 | (anonymous) 0x539f…751d | No | SELL | 4 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x42a6db… |
| 07-26 16:48:57 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x42a6db… |
| 07-26 14:38:21 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x553ae0… |
| 07-26 14:38:21 | (anonymous) 0x92d3…db63 | No | SELL | 8 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x553ae0… |
| 07-26 11:43:12 | (anonymous) 0x539f…751d | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x394e8e… |
| 07-26 11:43:12 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x394e8e… |
| 07-26 10:34:15 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x231abe… |
| 07-26 10:34:15 | (anonymous) 0xc917…bfd5 | No | SELL | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x231abe… |
| 07-26 08:27:19 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | SELL | 8 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x16041a… |
| 07-26 08:27:19 | (anonymous) 0x92d3…db63 | No | BUY | 8 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x16041a… |
| 07-26 06:07:30 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb9b0e4… |
| 07-26 06:07:30 | (anonymous) 0x9919…8b4f | No | SELL | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0xb9b0e4… |
| 07-26 04:33:06 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xe28f28… |
| 07-26 04:33:06 | (anonymous) 0xc917…bfd5 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xe28f28… |
| 07-26 03:30:58 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x4b5511… |
| 07-26 03:30:58 | (anonymous) 0xfa0e…9b72 | No | SELL | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x4b5511… |
| 07-26 02:00:37 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x133298… |
| 07-26 02:00:37 | (anonymous) 0x9919…8b4f | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x133298… |
| 07-25 23:27:19 | (anonymous) 0xfa0e…9b72 | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x6c6367… |
| 07-25 23:27:19 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | SELL | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x6c6367… |
| 07-25 14:59:09 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xa28d01… |
| 07-25 14:59:09 | (anonymous) 0x5c6f…98a2 | No | SELL | 4 | 95¢ | $4 | 0xa28d01… |
| 07-25 07:50:43 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0xd9bc0f… |
| 07-25 07:50:43 | (anonymous) 0x5c6f…98a2 | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0xd9bc0f… |
| 07-24 22:51:58 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x509c61… |
| 07-24 22:51:58 | (anonymous) 0xac73…d73b | No | SELL | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x509c61… |
| 07-24 19:16:21 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd6516f… |
| 07-24 19:16:21 | (anonymous) 0x8419…57c5 | No | SELL | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0xd6516f… |
| 07-24 17:10:39 | (anonymous) 0x01d8…64ab | No | SELL | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0xde77ce… |
| 07-24 17:10:39 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xde77ce… |
| 07-24 16:44:04 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x351f28… |
| 07-24 16:44:04 | (anonymous) 0xac73…d73b | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x351f28… |
| 07-24 14:47:40 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x5d4b3a… |
| 07-24 14:47:40 | (anonymous) 0x5fe1…1863 | No | SELL | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x5d4b3a… |
| 07-24 12:15:55 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x9fa308… |
| 07-24 12:15:55 | (anonymous) 0x8419…57c5 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x9fa308… |
| 07-24 11:03:58 | (anonymous) 0x01d8…64ab | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x89b647… |
| 07-24 11:03:58 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x89b647… |
| 07-24 10:44:00 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xaa9866… |
| 07-24 10:44:00 | (anonymous) 0x5fe1…1863 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xaa9866… |
| 07-24 02:12:31 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x2c063b… |
| 07-24 02:12:31 | Occasional-Sauerkraut 0xcae9…bcc3 | No | SELL | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x2c063b… |
| 07-23 22:11:12 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x29e9b7… |
| 07-23 22:11:12 | Occasional-Sauerkraut 0xcae9…bcc3 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x29e9b7… |
| 07-23 17:11:12 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xaedf4b… |
| 07-23 17:11:12 | (anonymous) 0xbefa…609e | No | SELL | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0xaedf4b… |
| 07-23 08:54:54 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xcecdad… |
| 07-23 08:54:54 | (anonymous) 0xbefa…609e | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xcecdad… |
| 07-15 15:00:34 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x0daed8… |
| 07-15 15:00:34 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | SELL | 40 | 96¢ | $38 | 0x0daed8… |
| 07-14 02:44:37 | (anonymous) 0x4c9f…ec31 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xd7cf0c… |
| 07-14 02:44:37 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd7cf0c… |
| 07-08 19:58:25 | (anonymous) 0x07c4…42f6 | No | SELL | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0xf3eb7c… |
| 07-08 19:58:25 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xf3eb7c… |
| 07-08 19:28:56 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x66a72a… |
| 07-08 19:28:56 | (anonymous) 0x07c4…42f6 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x66a72a… |
| 07-04 22:59:07 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x298446… |
| 07-04 22:59:07 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x298446… |
| 06-30 09:13:17 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x929273… |
| 06-30 09:13:17 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x929273… |
| 06-22 14:47:29 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | SELL | 43 | 96¢ | $41 | 0x8af545… |
| 06-22 14:47:29 | Turbulent-Biplane 0x9198…6b2f | Yes | SELL | 43 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x8af545… |
| 06-03 17:10:31 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xa70d43… |
| 06-03 17:10:31 | Pleasing-Enemy 0xe028…aab7 | No | SELL | 14 | 95¢ | $13 | 0xa70d43… |
| 06-03 09:06:39 | Pleasing-Enemy 0xe028…aab7 | No | BUY | 14 | 96¢ | $13 | 0x77c27b… |
| 06-03 09:06:39 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | SELL | 14 | 96¢ | $13 | 0x77c27b… |
| 06-02 23:34:16 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | SELL | 108 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x88e731… |
| 06-02 23:34:16 | Critical-Lox 0xc33a…cc98 | No | SELL | 108 | 95¢ | $102 | 0x88e731… |
| 06-01 22:55:04 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xaff716… |
| 06-01 22:55:04 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xaff716… |
| 06-01 16:01:10 | (anonymous) 0xb265…47f4 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x937df1… |
| 06-01 16:01:10 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x937df1… |
| 05-30 09:46:01 | (anonymous) 0x4c9f…ec31 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xdd93aa… |
| 05-30 09:46:01 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xdd93aa… |