Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2027?
open
Total volume
$309
Trades
34
Unique wallets
13
Liquidity
$10,199
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-30
last 07-24 02:12
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
No active YES holders.
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | — | $6 | $6 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $6 | $6 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | — | $22 | $22 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 2 | — | $19 | $19 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $10 | $10 |
| unranked | 6 | — | $15 | $15 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 07-04 22:59 |
| Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-30 09:13 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 02:12:31 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x2c063b… |
| 07-24 02:12:31 | Occasional-Sauerkraut 0xcae9…bcc3 | No | SELL | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x2c063b… |
| 07-23 22:11:12 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x29e9b7… |
| 07-23 22:11:12 | Occasional-Sauerkraut 0xcae9…bcc3 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x29e9b7… |
| 07-23 17:11:12 | (anonymous) 0xbefa…609e | No | SELL | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0xaedf4b… |
| 07-23 17:11:12 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xaedf4b… |
| 07-23 08:54:54 | (anonymous) 0xbefa…609e | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xcecdad… |
| 07-23 08:54:54 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xcecdad… |
| 07-15 15:00:34 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | SELL | 40 | 96¢ | $38 | 0x0daed8… |
| 07-15 15:00:34 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x0daed8… |
| 07-14 02:44:37 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd7cf0c… |
| 07-14 02:44:37 | (anonymous) 0x4c9f…ec31 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xd7cf0c… |
| 07-08 19:58:25 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xf3eb7c… |
| 07-08 19:58:25 | (anonymous) 0x07c4…42f6 | No | SELL | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0xf3eb7c… |
| 07-08 19:28:56 | (anonymous) 0x07c4…42f6 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x66a72a… |
| 07-08 19:28:56 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x66a72a… |
| 07-04 22:59:07 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x298446… |
| 07-04 22:59:07 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x298446… |
| 06-30 09:13:17 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x929273… |
| 06-30 09:13:17 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x929273… |
| 06-22 14:47:29 | Turbulent-Biplane 0x9198…6b2f | Yes | SELL | 43 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x8af545… |
| 06-22 14:47:29 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | SELL | 43 | 96¢ | $41 | 0x8af545… |
| 06-03 17:10:31 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xa70d43… |
| 06-03 17:10:31 | Pleasing-Enemy 0xe028…aab7 | No | SELL | 14 | 95¢ | $13 | 0xa70d43… |
| 06-03 09:06:39 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | SELL | 14 | 96¢ | $13 | 0x77c27b… |
| 06-03 09:06:39 | Pleasing-Enemy 0xe028…aab7 | No | BUY | 14 | 96¢ | $13 | 0x77c27b… |
| 06-02 23:34:16 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | SELL | 108 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x88e731… |
| 06-02 23:34:16 | Critical-Lox 0xc33a…cc98 | No | SELL | 108 | 95¢ | $102 | 0x88e731… |
| 06-01 22:55:04 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xaff716… |
| 06-01 22:55:04 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xaff716… |
| 06-01 16:01:10 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x937df1… |
| 06-01 16:01:10 | (anonymous) 0xb265…47f4 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x937df1… |
| 05-30 09:46:01 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xdd93aa… |
| 05-30 09:46:01 | (anonymous) 0x4c9f…ec31 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xdd93aa… |