Realized P&L
-$0
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
2,472
lifetime
Volume
$7.98K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$2
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-27
last 06-01 16:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Crypto
78%
Other
15%
Politics
5% 0% $-0
Sports
1%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes -1 $-0 64¢ $-1 $-1 06-01 16:01
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam? No -1 $-1 62¢ $-1 $-0 06-01 16:01
Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes -4 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-01 16:01
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? Yes -2 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-01 16:01
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30? Yes -2 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-01 16:01