Realized P&L
+$110
Unrealized P&L
+$21
Hit rate
87.2%
Resolved
772
Trades
20,134
lifetime
Volume
$77.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$435
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-18
last 10-27 22:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 99 days
Categories
Other
58% 81% +$88
Politics
28% 75% -$3
Crypto
8% 68% +$1
Tech
4% 74% +$8
Sports
1% 92% +$17
Pop-Culture
1% 67% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 686 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31 No +66 $64 97¢ $64 +$0 09-06 04:12
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +35 $24 64¢ $22 -$1 10-27 16:27
will russia capture sloviansk by december 31 No +19 $17 96¢ $18 +$1 10-10 12:56
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? No +20 $15 82¢ $16 +$2 10-25 23:06
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T? No +19 $16 84¢ $16 $0 10-24 15:03
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? No +15 $13 96¢ $14 +$1 10-25 22:39
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? No +15 $10 93¢ $14 +$4 10-15 20:34
european country agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31 No +15 $13 92¢ $14 +$1 10-24 12:40
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? No +15 $13 91¢ $14 +$1 10-26 09:35
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? No +15 $13 90¢ $14 +$1 10-20 18:34
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No +15 $7 89¢ $13 +$7 10-25 04:44
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? No +15 $14 89¢ $13 $0 10-20 18:34
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +15 $11 87¢ $13 +$3 10-22 04:45
will openais valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 574 287 No +15 $10 86¢ $13 +$3 10-25 14:29
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +15 $12 84¢ $13 +$1 10-23 21:52
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T? No +15 $12 82¢ $12 +$0 10-27 01:56
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? No +20 $14 62¢ $12 -$1 10-21 12:40
Record crypto liquidation in 2026? No +13 $12 95¢ $12 +$1 10-12 20:22
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +20 $14 61¢ $12 -$2 10-20 18:40
Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +15 $11 79¢ $12 +$0 10-17 02:06
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? Yes +15 $9 78¢ $12 +$2 10-26 14:32
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? No +15 $9 75¢ $11 +$2 10-20 21:55
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat? No +15 $11 71¢ $11 $0 10-22 10:03
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T? No +13 $11 83¢ $10 -$1 10-08 08:14
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? No +15 $12 69¢ $10 -$2 10-18 07:11
Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch? Yes +19 $15 54¢ $10 -$4 10-24 07:16
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? No +15 $10 64¢ $10 $0 10-25 18:42
macron out by december 31 2026 20260728190614227 No +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$1 10-02 15:32
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No +10 $8 96¢ $10 +$2 10-26 19:15
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? No +20 $6 48¢ $10 +$3 10-21 00:18