Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
3,107
lifetime
Volume
$14.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$393
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-19
last 07-09 12:19
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
57%
Politics
26%
Crypto
9%
Tech
6%
Sports
1%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 247 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? No -70 $-66 97¢ $-68 $-2 06-29 22:39
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? No -50 $-48 87¢ $-43 +$5 06-24 17:11
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -30 $-22 77¢ $-23 $-1 07-07 20:09
Natural Disaster in 2026? No -25 $-21 81¢ $-20 +$0 07-08 21:23
Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -21 $-18 81¢ $-17 +$1 07-07 16:42
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? No +15 $13 88¢ $13 +$0 07-02 01:07
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +14 $12 85¢ $12 +$0 07-06 13:45
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$1 07-03 11:39
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 85¢ $9 $-0 07-08 09:32
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? No +10 $9 93¢ $9 +$0 07-05 23:35
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 $-0 06-19 21:00
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 $-0 07-02 22:59
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 +$0 06-30 18:42
Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +10 $9 91¢ $9 +$0 07-09 04:39
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No +10 $9 91¢ $9 +$0 06-23 00:07
Pacifica FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +10 $9 90¢ $9 $-0 07-07 20:44
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No +10 $8 90¢ $9 +$1 06-26 12:35
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? No +10 $9 85¢ $8 $-0 06-26 22:31
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? No +10 $8 83¢ $8 +$0 07-09 08:20
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited? No +10 $8 83¢ $8 $-0 06-23 02:38
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026? No +10 $7 82¢ $8 +$1 07-02 11:47
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +10 $8 82¢ $8 $-0 07-02 03:53
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? No +9 $8 87¢ $8 +$0 06-24 10:01
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +10 $8 81¢ $8 +$0 06-22 13:46
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +10 $8 81¢ $8 $-0 06-20 09:59
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 No +10 $8 83¢ $8 +$0 06-25 15:24
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +10 $8 78¢ $8 $-0 07-04 16:08
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +10 $8 78¢ $8 $-0 06-20 19:18
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +9 $7 84¢ $8 +$0 06-30 09:02
XRP all time high by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 77¢ $8 $-2 06-30 21:38