Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?
open
Total volume
$8,011
Trades
389
Unique wallets
84
Liquidity
$17,510
Latest YES mid
64¢
Latest NO mid
36¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-29
last 08-16 10:57
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-7.0¢
(top1%: 34% YES on $1.6K
vs crowd: 41% YES on $5.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 16 | $1.2K | $1.5K | $254 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 23 | $618 | $807 | $190 |
| 🐟 Fish | 15 | $200 | $704 | $504 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 30 | $195 | $285 | $90 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $535 | $1.1K | $525 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $126 | $113 | +$13 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $19 | $560 | $542 |
| Median | 9 | $170 | $152 | +$17 |
| Below median | 11 | $354 | $153 | +$201 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $109 | $109 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $358 | $359 | $1 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $251 | $325 | $74 |
| unranked | 37 | $411 | $430 | $18 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x89cd…4d7d | No | +1,999 | $891 | $891 | 12 | 07-09 09:28 |
| Accurate-Rail 0x3b00…d78b | No | +1,225 | $500 | $500 | 14 | 08-16 10:57 |
| LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | +798 | $446 | $446 | 1 | 06-05 03:49 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +575 | $308 | $308 | 16 | 08-16 09:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x89cd…4d7d | Yes | +462 | $89 | $89 | 1 | 06-30 20:58 |
| Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | +400 | $217 | $259 | 48 | 08-16 10:57 |
| Spry-Netbook 0xa65c…32fb | No | +324 | $150 | $189 | 12 | 07-16 17:14 |
| Remarkable-Return 0x1aa0…cc93 | No | +188 | $54 | $162 | 9 | 07-24 14:54 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +167 | $103 | $103 | 4 | 06-30 20:58 |
| Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | No | +150 | $74 | $74 | 4 | 07-13 19:10 |
| Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | Yes | +150 | $84 | $84 | 5 | 08-16 09:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +124 | $70 | $82 | 3 | 07-30 20:49 |
| Tan-Reduction 0x5669…0f13 | No | +113 | $59 | $159 | 2 | 07-13 19:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | +100 | $56 | $56 | 1 | 08-15 17:18 |
| Ringed-Ideal 0xfa2a…c1fa | Yes | +100 | $65 | $65 | 1 | 07-30 20:49 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +94 | $161 | $487 | 15 | 07-21 06:51 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +94 | $87 | $123 | 4 | 06-29 14:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x915e…a8fd | Yes | +88 | $24 | $24 | 5 | 06-29 11:00 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +79 | $47 | $47 | 3 | 07-02 02:49 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +65 | $24 | $24 | 3 | 06-21 12:00 |
| Intelligent-Caribou 0xceba…3e18 | No | +63 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 06-16 16:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c08…e0c1 | Yes | +62 | $15 | $15 | 3 | 06-29 11:18 |
| Forsaken-Meridian 0x91d7…0dfc | Yes | +53 | $17 | $17 | 3 | 06-19 19:05 |
| Hidden-Bottom 0xb238…4961 | No | +51 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 07-13 04:32 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +24 | $15 | $23 | 6 | 07-21 06:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x1a56…1088 | Yes | +18 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-19 19:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xa309…5c46 | Yes | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-06 09:43 |
| Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | +8 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-02 02:49 |
| Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | +8 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-02 02:49 |
| Nutty-Disease-Ultimatum 0xefa1…075d | Yes | +4 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-01 20:57 |
| Tiny-Legend 0x9dfd…8f39 | No | +3 | $1 | $19 | 2 | 08-11 07:29 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-29 18:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xb294…a90c | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-22 09:31 |
| Costly-Quart 0x480f…7c91 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-21 20:12 |
| Formal-Deadline 0x0a06…921a | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-30 02:54 |
| Squeaky-Electrocardiogram 0xc901…0c1d | No | +1 | $-1 | $21 | 2 | 06-29 14:17 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-16 10:57:07 | Accurate-Rail 0x3b00…d78b | No | BUY | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0x67e6f9… |
| 08-16 10:57:07 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0x67e6f9… |
| 08-16 09:01:39 | Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | Yes | BUY | 50 | 55¢ | $28 | 0x50eb39… |
| 08-16 09:01:39 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 30 | 55¢ | $16 | 0x50eb39… |
| 08-16 09:01:39 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 55¢ | $11 | 0x50eb39… |
| 08-16 09:01:39 | Accurate-Rail 0x3b00…d78b | No | BUY | 100 | 45¢ | $45 | 0x50eb39… |
| 08-15 17:18:28 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0x9b05b6… |
| 08-15 17:18:28 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 75 | 55¢ | $41 | 0x9b05b6… |
| 08-15 17:18:28 | Impractical-Unblinking 0xd654…2efe | No | SELL | 50 | 45¢ | $22 | 0x9b05b6… |
| 08-15 17:18:28 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 55¢ | $11 | 0x9b05b6… |
| 08-15 17:18:27 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 56¢ | $8 | 0x6ba6bc… |
| 08-15 17:18:27 | (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 56¢ | $56 | 0x6ba6bc… |
| 08-15 17:18:27 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | BUY | 75 | 56¢ | $42 | 0x6ba6bc… |
| 08-15 17:18:27 | Accurate-Rail 0x3b00…d78b | No | BUY | 195 | 44¢ | $86 | 0x6ba6bc… |
| 08-14 10:56:22 | Accurate-Rail 0x3b00…d78b | No | BUY | 33 | 44¢ | $15 | 0x7f6344… |
| 08-14 10:56:22 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 55¢ | $8 | 0x7f6344… |
| 08-13 12:28:03 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 56¢ | $0 | 0x779615… |
| 08-13 12:28:03 | Accurate-Rail 0x3b00…d78b | No | BUY | 51 | 44¢ | $22 | 0x779615… |
| 08-13 12:28:03 | (anonymous) 0xd6df…d71d | No | SELL | 50 | 44¢ | $22 | 0x779615… |
| 08-12 13:52:00 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 55¢ | $3 | 0x483346… |
| 08-12 13:52:00 | Accurate-Rail 0x3b00…d78b | No | BUY | 6 | 45¢ | $3 | 0x483346… |
| 08-11 18:24:03 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 32 | 55¢ | $18 | 0x196bb8… |
| 08-11 18:24:03 | (anonymous) 0xed36…5453 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 55¢ | $18 | 0x196bb8… |
| 08-11 07:29:19 | (anonymous) 0xd6df…d71d | Yes | SELL | 18 | 49¢ | $9 | 0x77324e… |
| 08-11 07:29:19 | Tiny-Legend 0x9dfd…8f39 | No | SELL | 18 | 51¢ | $9 | 0x77324e… |
| 08-09 08:02:49 | (anonymous) 0xed36…5453 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 50¢ | $16 | 0x6511c0… |
| 08-09 08:02:49 | (anonymous) 0xd6df…d71d | Yes | SELL | 32 | 50¢ | $16 | 0x6511c0… |
| 08-05 12:12:15 | (anonymous) 0xd6df…d71d | Yes | BUY | 50 | 56¢ | $28 | 0x29621e… |
| 08-05 12:12:15 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 56¢ | $28 | 0x29621e… |
| 08-05 12:12:15 | Accurate-Rail 0x3b00…d78b | No | BUY | 130 | 44¢ | $57 | 0x29621e… |
| 08-05 12:12:15 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 55¢ | $6 | 0x29621e… |
| 08-04 20:03:02 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 54¢ | $5 | 0x68a082… |
| 08-04 20:03:02 | Accurate-Rail 0x3b00…d78b | No | BUY | 20 | 45¢ | $9 | 0x68a082… |
| 08-04 16:00:38 | Accurate-Rail 0x3b00…d78b | No | BUY | 15 | 44¢ | $7 | 0x58feff… |
| 08-04 16:00:38 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0x58feff… |
| 08-04 12:46:24 | Accurate-Rail 0x3b00…d78b | No | BUY | 70 | 44¢ | $31 | 0xe7fca2… |
| 08-04 12:46:24 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 56¢ | $6 | 0xe7fca2… |
| 08-04 12:46:24 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 56¢ | $28 | 0xe7fca2… |
| 07-30 20:49:56 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | BUY | 92 | 65¢ | $60 | 0xb0eddb… |
| 07-30 20:49:56 | Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | Yes | BUY | 30 | 65¢ | $19 | 0xb0eddb… |
| 07-30 20:49:56 | Ringed-Ideal 0xfa2a…c1fa | Yes | BUY | 100 | 65¢ | $65 | 0xb0eddb… |
| 07-30 20:49:56 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 65¢ | $10 | 0xb0eddb… |
| 07-30 20:49:56 | Accurate-Rail 0x3b00…d78b | No | BUY | 242 | 35¢ | $85 | 0xb0eddb… |
| 07-24 14:54:12 | Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | Yes | BUY | 18 | 63¢ | $11 | 0x5b3ab4… |
| 07-24 14:54:12 | Remarkable-Return 0x1aa0…cc93 | No | BUY | 18 | 37¢ | $7 | 0x5b3ab4… |
| 07-21 06:51:15 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 25 | 61¢ | $15 | 0x3ebfc3… |
| 07-21 06:51:15 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 57 | 40¢ | $23 | 0x3ebfc3… |
| 07-21 06:51:15 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0x3ebfc3… |
| 07-21 06:51:15 | Accurate-Rail 0x3b00…d78b | No | BUY | 148 | 40¢ | $59 | 0x3ebfc3… |
| 07-21 06:51:15 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 60¢ | $30 | 0x3ebfc3… |
| 07-19 09:03:39 | Accurate-Rail 0x3b00…d78b | No | BUY | 208 | 38¢ | $79 | 0x0d60c0… |
| 07-19 09:03:39 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 62¢ | $31 | 0x0d60c0… |
| 07-19 09:03:39 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | SELL | 38 | 38¢ | $14 | 0x0d60c0… |
| 07-19 09:03:39 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 62¢ | $6 | 0x0d60c0… |
| 07-19 09:03:39 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | No | SELL | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x0d60c0… |
| 07-19 09:03:39 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 100 | 38¢ | $38 | 0x0d60c0… |
| 07-18 17:29:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0xb3fa4a… |
| 07-18 17:29:16 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | No | BUY | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0xb3fa4a… |
| 07-17 10:56:25 | Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | Yes | BUY | 2 | 59¢ | $1 | 0xb4a2d1… |
| 07-17 10:56:25 | Remarkable-Return 0x1aa0…cc93 | No | BUY | 17 | 41¢ | $7 | 0xb4a2d1… |
| 07-17 10:56:25 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 10 | 41¢ | $4 | 0xb4a2d1… |
| 07-17 10:56:25 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0xb4a2d1… |
| 07-16 17:14:23 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 60¢ | $9 | 0xa268a7… |
| 07-16 17:14:23 | Spry-Netbook 0xa65c…32fb | No | BUY | 15 | 40¢ | $6 | 0xa268a7… |
| 07-14 13:31:16 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 18 | 41¢ | $7 | 0x164dd3… |
| 07-14 13:31:16 | Remarkable-Return 0x1aa0…cc93 | No | BUY | 18 | 41¢ | $7 | 0x164dd3… |
| 07-13 19:10:52 | Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | No | BUY | 50 | 50¢ | $25 | 0xae9803… |
| 07-13 19:10:52 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 50 | 50¢ | $25 | 0xae9803… |
| 07-13 19:10:49 | Tan-Reduction 0x5669…0f13 | No | SELL | 100 | 50¢ | $50 | 0x4ae7a1… |
| 07-13 19:10:49 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 50 | 50¢ | $25 | 0x4ae7a1… |
| 07-13 19:10:49 | Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | No | BUY | 50 | 50¢ | $25 | 0x4ae7a1… |
| 07-13 04:32:08 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | SELL | 51 | 51¢ | $26 | 0x3e7ba2… |
| 07-13 04:32:08 | Hidden-Bottom 0xb238…4961 | No | BUY | 51 | 51¢ | $26 | 0x3e7ba2… |
| 07-12 22:07:52 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0x76aa24… |
| 07-12 22:07:52 | Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | No | BUY | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0x76aa24… |
| 07-12 01:42:01 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 49¢ | $7 | 0x6588b7… |
| 07-12 01:42:01 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | SELL | 15 | 51¢ | $8 | 0x6588b7… |
| 07-10 09:16:16 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 3 | 51¢ | $1 | 0x0a9cba… |
| 07-10 09:16:16 | (anonymous) 0xdce7…8bcf | Yes | SELL | 13 | 49¢ | $6 | 0x0a9cba… |
| 07-10 07:10:25 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 49¢ | $24 | 0xf2ac7b… |
| 07-10 07:10:25 | Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | Yes | BUY | 50 | 49¢ | $24 | 0xf2ac7b… |
| 07-09 23:46:53 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 49¢ | $49 | 0x6e7190… |
| 07-09 23:46:53 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 49¢ | $24 | 0x6e7190… |
| 07-09 23:46:53 | Tan-Reduction 0x5669…0f13 | No | BUY | 213 | 51¢ | $109 | 0x6e7190… |
| 07-09 23:46:53 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x6e7190… |
| 07-09 22:14:05 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 42 | 51¢ | $21 | 0xce5242… |
| 07-09 22:14:05 | Remarkable-Return 0x1aa0…cc93 | No | BUY | 42 | 51¢ | $21 | 0xce5242… |
| 07-09 21:15:23 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 43 | 49¢ | $21 | 0x47c885… |
| 07-09 21:15:23 | Remarkable-Return 0x1aa0…cc93 | No | BUY | 53 | 51¢ | $27 | 0x47c885… |
| 07-09 21:15:23 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x47c885… |
| 07-09 12:19:49 | (anonymous) 0x023d…3431 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 48¢ | $12 | 0x447686… |
| 07-09 12:19:49 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 25 | 52¢ | $13 | 0x447686… |
| 07-09 12:19:47 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 49¢ | $7 | 0xe6e89e… |
| 07-09 12:19:47 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0xe6e89e… |
| 07-09 12:19:47 | (anonymous) 0x023d…3431 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 48¢ | $12 | 0xe6e89e… |
| 07-09 12:19:47 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 48¢ | $22 | 0xe6e89e… |
| 07-09 09:28:35 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x9d14e8… |
| 07-09 09:28:35 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x9d14e8… |
| 07-09 09:28:26 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 47¢ | $2 | 0x817faa… |
| 07-09 09:28:26 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | Yes | BUY | 50 | 52¢ | $26 | 0x817faa… |