Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,037
Trades
54
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$17,510
Latest YES mid
63¢
Latest NO mid
37¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-29
last 06-12 20:54
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+3.0¢
(top1%: 60% YES on $744
vs crowd: 57% YES on $903)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $446 | $328 | +$118 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $64 | $1 | +$63 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $32 | $32 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $4 | $29 | $25 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $446 | $299 | +$147 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 4 | — | $33 | $33 |
| Below median | 3 | $13 | $4 | +$10 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $53 | $29 | +$24 |
| unranked | 4 | $2 | $25 | $23 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | +798 | $446 | $446 | 1 | 06-05 03:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x89cd…4d7d | No | +697 | $299 | $299 | 4 | 06-11 03:23 |
| Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | No | +50 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 06-05 03:49 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +48 | $23 | $28 | 4 | 06-12 20:54 |
| Hot-Rhetoric 0x62f7…b015 | No | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-11 14:56 |
| Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $21 | 6 | 06-11 14:56 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-05 03:49 |
| Nutty-Disease-Ultimatum 0xefa1…075d | Yes | +4 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-01 20:57 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-29 18:21 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 20:54:15 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 2 | 37¢ | $1 | 0xc7009f… |
| 06-12 20:54:15 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0xc7009f… |
| 06-12 20:54:15 | French-Circumstance 0x94cc…36d1 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 64¢ | $3 | 0xc7009f… |
| 06-11 18:49:57 | Crazy-Purse 0xccc7…5655 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 65¢ | $2 | 0x286834… |
| 06-11 18:49:57 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 4 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x286834… |
| 06-11 14:56:21 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 1 | 35¢ | $0 | 0x673bf5… |
| 06-11 14:56:21 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0x673bf5… |
| 06-11 14:56:21 | Hot-Rhetoric 0x62f7…b015 | No | BUY | 6 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x673bf5… |
| 06-11 03:23:19 | (anonymous) 0x89cd…4d7d | No | BUY | 50 | 33¢ | $16 | 0x70df03… |
| 06-11 03:23:19 | (anonymous) 0xb886…3024 | No | SELL | 50 | 33¢ | $16 | 0x70df03… |
| 06-10 18:59:15 | (anonymous) 0x89cd…4d7d | No | BUY | 2 | 33¢ | $1 | 0x6304e1… |
| 06-10 18:59:15 | (anonymous) 0x156b…858a | No | SELL | 2 | 33¢ | $1 | 0x6304e1… |
| 06-07 14:09:34 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 66¢ | $3 | 0x20a762… |
| 06-07 14:09:34 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 2 | 34¢ | $1 | 0x20a762… |
| 06-07 14:09:34 | Gracious-Cayenne 0x582a…7bb2 | No | SELL | 8 | 34¢ | $3 | 0x20a762… |
| 06-05 05:24:54 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | SELL | 8 | 61¢ | $5 | 0xaea119… |
| 06-05 05:24:54 | Gracious-Cayenne 0x582a…7bb2 | No | SELL | 12 | 39¢ | $5 | 0xaea119… |
| 06-05 05:24:54 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0xaea119… |
| 06-05 03:49:16 | Gracious-Cayenne 0x582a…7bb2 | No | BUY | 20 | 40¢ | $8 | 0xa4b39b… |
| 06-05 03:49:16 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | BUY | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0xa4b39b… |
| 06-05 03:49:16 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 56 | 46¢ | $26 | 0xa4b39b… |
| 06-05 03:49:16 | Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | No | BUY | 50 | 48¢ | $24 | 0xa4b39b… |
| 06-05 03:49:16 | LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | BUY | 798 | 56¢ | $446 | 0xa4b39b… |
| 06-05 03:49:16 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x4e6e8e… |
| 06-05 03:49:16 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 82 | 52¢ | $42 | 0xa4b39b… |
| 06-05 03:49:16 | (anonymous) 0x89cd…4d7d | No | BUY | 500 | 43¢ | $215 | 0xa4b39b… |
| 06-05 03:49:16 | (anonymous) 0xb886…3024 | No | BUY | 50 | 46¢ | $23 | 0xa4b39b… |
| 06-05 03:49:16 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | SELL | 7 | 60¢ | $4 | 0xa4b39b… |
| 06-05 03:49:16 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0xa4b39b… |
| 06-05 03:49:16 | (anonymous) 0x156b…858a | No | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x4e6e8e… |
| 06-04 23:24:55 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xe98cc0… |
| 06-04 23:24:55 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | No | SELL | 2 | 48¢ | $1 | 0xe98cc0… |
| 06-03 19:33:16 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 52¢ | $3 | 0xf81307… |
| 06-03 19:33:16 | Juicy-Building-Chap 0xc1ed…ed77 | No | SELL | 6 | 48¢ | $3 | 0xf81307… |
| 06-01 20:57:32 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xdd9c8b… |
| 06-01 20:57:32 | Nutty-Disease-Ultimatum 0xefa1…075d | Yes | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xdd9c8b… |
| 06-01 20:55:10 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x83d439… |
| 06-01 20:55:10 | Nutty-Disease-Ultimatum 0xefa1…075d | Yes | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x83d439… |
| 06-01 18:35:29 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 4 | 52¢ | $2 | 0xb5e597… |
| 06-01 18:35:29 | Crazy-Purse 0xccc7…5655 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 52¢ | $2 | 0xb5e597… |
| 06-01 13:25:02 | Juicy-Building-Chap 0xc1ed…ed77 | No | BUY | 6 | 49¢ | $3 | 0x68e7f3… |
| 06-01 13:25:02 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 1 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x68e7f3… |
| 05-31 19:21:23 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 27 | 45¢ | $12 | 0x3ee472… |
| 05-31 19:21:23 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 98 | 54¢ | $53 | 0x3ee472… |
| 05-31 19:21:23 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 55¢ | $6 | 0x3ee472… |
| 05-31 19:21:23 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 10 | 46¢ | $5 | 0x3ee472… |
| 05-31 19:21:23 | (anonymous) 0x89cd…4d7d | No | BUY | 145 | 46¢ | $66 | 0x3ee472… |
| 05-30 17:55:35 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 1 | 46¢ | $1 | 0xb86014… |
| 05-30 17:55:35 | Married-Personnel 0x5424…b232 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 54¢ | $6 | 0xb86014… |
| 05-30 17:55:35 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0xb86014… |
| 05-29 18:21:14 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 0 | 44¢ | $0 | 0xa98b63… |
| 05-29 18:21:14 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 0 | 44¢ | $0 | 0xa98b63… |
| 05-29 18:18:17 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 2 | 44¢ | $1 | 0x81ff58… |
| 05-29 18:18:17 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 2 | 44¢ | $1 | 0x81ff58… |