Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?
open
Total volume
$5,648
Trades
277
Unique wallets
69
Liquidity
$17,510
Latest YES mid
54¢
Latest NO mid
46¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-29
last 07-03 03:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+1.0¢
(top1%: 38% YES on $1.4K
vs crowd: 37% YES on $3.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 14 | $810 | $1.2K | $359 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 15 | $328 | $618 | $290 |
| 🐟 Fish | 13 | $65 | $264 | $199 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 27 | $155 | $232 | $77 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $535 | $861 | $326 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $126 | $87 | +$39 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $3 | $61 | $58 |
| Median | 5 | $12 | $66 | $54 |
| Below median | 9 | $97 | $83 | +$14 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $132 | $293 | $161 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 8 | $192 | $382 | $190 |
| unranked | 30 | $261 | $439 | $178 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x89cd…4d7d | No | +1,591 | $698 | $698 | 9 | 07-03 03:40 |
| LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | +798 | $446 | $446 | 1 | 06-05 03:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x89cd…4d7d | Yes | +462 | $89 | $89 | 1 | 06-30 20:58 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +395 | $290 | $358 | 10 | 07-01 19:52 |
| Spry-Netbook 0xa65c…32fb | No | +309 | $144 | $183 | 11 | 06-29 14:33 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +167 | $103 | $103 | 4 | 06-30 20:58 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +165 | $83 | $83 | 6 | 06-29 09:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | +104 | $41 | $41 | 1 | 06-21 20:13 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +94 | $87 | $123 | 4 | 06-29 14:16 |
| Knowledgeable-Masonry 0x6eb0…766a | No | +89 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 07-01 19:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x915e…a8fd | Yes | +88 | $24 | $24 | 5 | 06-29 11:00 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +79 | $47 | $47 | 3 | 07-02 02:49 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +65 | $24 | $24 | 3 | 06-21 12:00 |
| Intelligent-Caribou 0xceba…3e18 | No | +63 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 06-16 16:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c08…e0c1 | Yes | +62 | $15 | $15 | 3 | 06-29 11:18 |
| Forsaken-Meridian 0x91d7…0dfc | Yes | +53 | $17 | $17 | 3 | 06-19 19:05 |
| Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | No | +50 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 06-05 03:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | +45 | $23 | $23 | 3 | 07-02 14:31 |
| Remarkable-Return 0x1aa0…cc93 | No | +40 | $-15 | $93 | 4 | 06-29 14:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +32 | $10 | $23 | 2 | 06-19 19:05 |
| Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | +25 | $12 | $54 | 19 | 07-02 02:49 |
| Tiny-Legend 0x9dfd…8f39 | No | +21 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-02 14:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x1a56…1088 | Yes | +18 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-19 19:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | +15 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-28 05:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | +10 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 07-03 03:40 |
| Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | +8 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-02 02:49 |
| Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | +8 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-02 02:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-02 14:26 |
| Nutty-Disease-Ultimatum 0xefa1…075d | Yes | +4 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-01 20:57 |
| Accurate-Rail 0x3b00…d78b | No | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-14 17:23 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-29 18:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xb294…a90c | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-22 09:31 |
| Costly-Quart 0x480f…7c91 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-21 20:12 |
| Formal-Deadline 0x0a06…921a | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-30 02:54 |
| Squeaky-Electrocardiogram 0xc901…0c1d | No | +1 | $-1 | $21 | 2 | 06-29 14:17 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 03:40:38 | (anonymous) 0x89cd…4d7d | No | BUY | 0 | 46¢ | $0 | 0x6de709… |
| 07-03 03:40:38 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 47¢ | $2 | 0x6de709… |
| 07-03 03:40:38 | (anonymous) 0xaa3d…f505 | No | SELL | 5 | 47¢ | $2 | 0x6de709… |
| 07-02 14:31:41 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 5 | 47¢ | $2 | 0xd55438… |
| 07-02 14:31:41 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 47¢ | $2 | 0xd55438… |
| 07-02 14:26:07 | (anonymous) 0x89cd…4d7d | No | BUY | 34 | 46¢ | $15 | 0xd4330a… |
| 07-02 14:26:07 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 34 | 47¢ | $16 | 0xd4330a… |
| 07-02 14:26:07 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 47¢ | $2 | 0xd4330a… |
| 07-02 14:26:07 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | SELL | 104 | 47¢ | $49 | 0xd4330a… |
| 07-02 14:26:07 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 47¢ | $2 | 0xd4330a… |
| 07-02 14:26:07 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 47¢ | $2 | 0xd4330a… |
| 07-02 14:26:07 | Tiny-Legend 0x9dfd…8f39 | No | BUY | 21 | 47¢ | $10 | 0xd4330a… |
| 07-02 02:49:23 | (anonymous) 0xa4b0…4181 | No | SELL | 50 | 48¢ | $24 | 0x5584eb… |
| 07-02 02:49:23 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | BUY | 8 | 49¢ | $4 | 0x5584eb… |
| 07-02 02:49:23 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 42 | 48¢ | $20 | 0x5584eb… |
| 07-02 02:49:22 | (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | No | SELL | 11 | 61¢ | $7 | 0xa3cc90… |
| 07-02 02:49:22 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | SELL | 21 | 62¢ | $13 | 0xa3cc90… |
| 07-02 02:49:22 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 45¢ | $4 | 0xa3cc90… |
| 07-02 02:49:22 | (anonymous) 0xa4b0…4181 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 41¢ | $20 | 0xa3cc90… |
| 07-02 02:49:22 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 44¢ | $4 | 0xa3cc90… |
| 07-01 23:40:02 | (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 42¢ | $2 | 0x9d0a54… |
| 07-01 23:40:02 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 4 | 58¢ | $2 | 0x9d0a54… |
| 07-01 21:08:26 | Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | No | SELL | 7 | 50¢ | $3 | 0x443ab1… |
| 07-01 21:08:26 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x443ab1… |
| 07-01 21:08:26 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x443ab1… |
| 07-01 21:08:26 | (anonymous) 0x89cd…4d7d | No | BUY | 67 | 51¢ | $34 | 0x443ab1… |
| 07-01 21:08:26 | (anonymous) 0xa4b0…4181 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 49¢ | $24 | 0x443ab1… |
| 07-01 19:57:35 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | SELL | 16 | 55¢ | $9 | 0x3c8a96… |
| 07-01 19:57:35 | Knowledgeable-Masonry 0x6eb0…766a | No | BUY | 89 | 55¢ | $49 | 0x3c8a96… |
| 07-01 19:57:35 | Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | No | SELL | 73 | 55¢ | $40 | 0x3c8a96… |
| 07-01 19:52:23 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x340b85… |
| 07-01 19:52:23 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 15 | 60¢ | $9 | 0x340b85… |
| 07-01 19:52:23 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 245 | 67¢ | $164 | 0x340b85… |
| 07-01 19:52:23 | (anonymous) 0xa4b0…4181 | No | BUY | 50 | 68¢ | $34 | 0x340b85… |
| 07-01 19:52:23 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | SELL | 39 | 30¢ | $12 | 0x340b85… |
| 07-01 19:52:23 | (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 64¢ | $9 | 0x340b85… |
| 07-01 19:52:23 | Blushing-Yin 0x6606…1338 | No | SELL | 500 | 66¢ | $330 | 0x340b85… |
| 07-01 19:52:23 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | BUY | 16 | 64¢ | $10 | 0x340b85… |
| 07-01 19:52:23 | (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | No | BUY | 11 | 62¢ | $7 | 0x340b85… |
| 07-01 19:52:23 | Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | No | BUY | 80 | 68¢ | $54 | 0x340b85… |
| 06-30 20:58:23 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 74¢ | $15 | 0xa2d761… |
| 06-30 20:58:23 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 75¢ | $22 | 0xa2d761… |
| 06-30 20:58:23 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 50 | 75¢ | $37 | 0xa2d761… |
| 06-30 20:58:13 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 50 | 81¢ | $40 | 0xf9c359… |
| 06-30 20:58:13 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 113 | 18¢ | $20 | 0xf9c359… |
| 06-30 20:58:13 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 124 | 79¢ | $98 | 0xf9c359… |
| 06-30 20:58:13 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 50 | 81¢ | $40 | 0xf9c359… |
| 06-30 20:58:13 | (anonymous) 0x89cd…4d7d | Yes | BUY | 462 | 19¢ | $89 | 0xf9c359… |
| 06-30 20:58:13 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | BUY | 125 | 81¢ | $101 | 0xf9c359… |
| 06-30 02:54:37 | Formal-Deadline 0x0a06…921a | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0xffc480… |
| 06-30 02:54:37 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0xffc480… |
| 06-29 21:21:07 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0xac9a94… |
| 06-29 21:21:07 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0xac9a94… |
| 06-29 14:33:49 | Spry-Netbook 0xa65c…32fb | No | SELL | 23 | 84¢ | $19 | 0xc88241… |
| 06-29 14:33:49 | (anonymous) 0x3cc3…084a | Yes | SELL | 23 | 16¢ | $4 | 0xc88241… |
| 06-29 14:26:25 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 113 | 21¢ | $24 | 0x466a79… |
| 06-29 14:26:25 | (anonymous) 0x3cc3…084a | Yes | SELL | 113 | 21¢ | $24 | 0x466a79… |
| 06-29 14:17:19 | (anonymous) 0x3cc3…084a | Yes | SELL | 97 | 20¢ | $19 | 0x7d65bd… |
| 06-29 14:17:19 | Squeaky-Electrocardiogram 0xc901…0c1d | No | SELL | 13 | 83¢ | $11 | 0x7d65bd… |
| 06-29 14:17:19 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | SELL | 84 | 80¢ | $67 | 0x7d65bd… |
| 06-29 14:16:53 | (anonymous) 0x073e…8416 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 17¢ | $5 | 0xb127c5… |
| 06-29 14:16:53 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | BUY | 84 | 81¢ | $68 | 0xb127c5… |
| 06-29 14:16:53 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xb127c5… |
| 06-29 14:16:53 | (anonymous) 0x3cc3…084a | Yes | BUY | 233 | 18¢ | $43 | 0xb127c5… |
| 06-29 14:16:53 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 69 | 18¢ | $12 | 0xb127c5… |
| 06-29 14:16:53 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | SELL | 31 | 19¢ | $6 | 0xb127c5… |
| 06-29 14:16:01 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0xdedeee… |
| 06-29 14:16:01 | Remarkable-Return 0x1aa0…cc93 | No | SELL | 10 | 83¢ | $8 | 0xdedeee… |
| 06-29 14:15:43 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 55 | 17¢ | $9 | 0x18a51f… |
| 06-29 14:15:43 | Remarkable-Return 0x1aa0…cc93 | No | SELL | 55 | 83¢ | $46 | 0x18a51f… |
| 06-29 13:47:01 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | SELL | 19 | 19¢ | $4 | 0xad13f6… |
| 06-29 13:47:01 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xad13f6… |
| 06-29 13:47:01 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 14 | 81¢ | $11 | 0xad13f6… |
| 06-29 11:18:19 | (anonymous) 0x9c08…e0c1 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 22¢ | $5 | 0x9c8135… |
| 06-29 11:18:19 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 22¢ | $5 | 0x9c8135… |
| 06-29 11:05:13 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 25¢ | $5 | 0xd94a59… |
| 06-29 11:05:13 | (anonymous) 0x9c08…e0c1 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 25¢ | $5 | 0xd94a59… |
| 06-29 11:03:05 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 25¢ | $0 | 0x80e5f4… |
| 06-29 11:03:05 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x80e5f4… |
| 06-29 11:03:05 | (anonymous) 0x9c08…e0c1 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x80e5f4… |
| 06-29 11:00:58 | (anonymous) 0x915e…a8fd | Yes | BUY | 19 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x0cdf5b… |
| 06-29 11:00:58 | Squeaky-Electrocardiogram 0xc901…0c1d | No | BUY | 13 | 75¢ | $10 | 0x0cdf5b… |
| 06-29 11:00:58 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 6 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x0cdf5b… |
| 06-29 10:58:35 | (anonymous) 0x915e…a8fd | Yes | BUY | 18 | 24¢ | $4 | 0x108177… |
| 06-29 10:58:35 | (anonymous) 0x073e…8416 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 24¢ | $4 | 0x108177… |
| 06-29 10:56:17 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 28¢ | $5 | 0x41d0d6… |
| 06-29 10:56:17 | (anonymous) 0x915e…a8fd | Yes | BUY | 17 | 28¢ | $5 | 0x41d0d6… |
| 06-29 10:53:55 | (anonymous) 0x915e…a8fd | Yes | BUY | 17 | 28¢ | $5 | 0xd2314b… |
| 06-29 10:53:55 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 28¢ | $5 | 0xd2314b… |
| 06-29 10:43:07 | (anonymous) 0x073e…8416 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 33¢ | $1 | 0x729bdf… |
| 06-29 10:43:07 | (anonymous) 0x915e…a8fd | Yes | BUY | 17 | 33¢ | $6 | 0x729bdf… |
| 06-29 10:43:07 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 14 | 67¢ | $9 | 0x729bdf… |
| 06-29 09:26:56 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 30¢ | $12 | 0x3726ae… |
| 06-29 09:26:56 | (anonymous) 0x1ebd…1c5d | Yes | SELL | 39 | 30¢ | $12 | 0x3726ae… |
| 06-29 09:26:23 | (anonymous) 0x1ebd…1c5d | Yes | SELL | 11 | 36¢ | $4 | 0x0015e8… |
| 06-29 09:26:23 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | No | SELL | 11 | 64¢ | $7 | 0x0015e8… |
| 06-29 09:25:40 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | No | SELL | 39 | 64¢ | $25 | 0x960a14… |
| 06-29 09:25:40 | (anonymous) 0x1ebd…1c5d | Yes | SELL | 39 | 36¢ | $14 | 0x960a14… |
| 06-29 09:25:20 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 11 | 59¢ | $6 | 0xa10aa3… |
| 06-29 09:25:20 | (anonymous) 0x1ebd…1c5d | Yes | SELL | 11 | 41¢ | $4 | 0xa10aa3… |