(anonymous) 0x4c9aff…7e0cd4
whale bot cold 8L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$49.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.29K
Hit rate
29.0%
Resolved
20,035
Trades
153,515
lifetime
Volume
$1.65M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$18.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-18
last 10-28 10:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 121 days
Categories
Other
68% 29% -$36,410
Politics
17% 22% -$9,024
Crypto
7% 48% -$12
Tech
4% 18% -$2,042
Sports
3% 25% -$1,388
Pop-Culture
1% 18% -$185
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 4050 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +2,832 $1,861 88¢ $2.5K +$646 10-15 00:42
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +1,988 $1,588 97¢ $1.9K +$341 09-13 15:39
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +1,250 $947 97¢ $1.2K +$266 10-22 17:41
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191 No +1,200 $1,052 90¢ $1.1K +$22 08-21 21:03
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,056 $926 95¢ $1.0K +$77 09-14 21:14
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +800 $649 84¢ $671 +$23 08-22 13:53
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +800 $664 82¢ $652 -$12 09-12 17:02
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes +815 $620 78¢ $636 +$15 10-04 20:30
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? Yes +615 $451 95¢ $587 +$136 09-13 00:48
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +574 $507 94¢ $542 +$35 09-14 19:56
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +600 $550 87¢ $522 -$28 10-07 19:46
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? No +587 $366 88¢ $514 +$148 10-13 14:46
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +617 $363 80¢ $497 +$133 10-26 15:46
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +800 $527 57¢ $460 -$67 10-04 00:20
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +542 $462 83¢ $448 -$14 09-20 06:47
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No +455 $367 94¢ $425 +$59 08-26 03:03
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No +428 $266 98¢ $420 +$154 09-13 19:41
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +400 $377 97¢ $389 +$13 09-17 16:09
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 No +411 $370 94¢ $388 +$19 10-27 14:16
New pandemic in 2026? No +400 $376 96¢ $385 +$9 10-05 23:43
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +437 $410 88¢ $385 -$25 09-10 10:25
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +400 $282 96¢ $384 +$102 09-17 03:21
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +400 $325 96¢ $382 +$57 09-18 07:42
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +387 $378 98¢ $380 +$2 10-05 00:58
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +377 $349 99¢ $375 +$26 08-27 09:17
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +402 $350 90¢ $364 +$14 08-23 20:53
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +400 $332 90¢ $360 +$28 08-16 22:25
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +447 $236 80¢ $355 +$120 10-27 19:01
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? Yes +359 $263 98¢ $351 +$88 09-18 22:07
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? No +397 $444 87¢ $345 -$98 09-14 23:23