Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
open
Total volume
$114,908
$1,109 in 24h
Trades
923
Unique wallets
207
Liquidity
$31,986
Latest YES mid
12¢
Latest NO mid
88¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-10 10:33
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+32.3¢
(top1%: 42% YES on $10.3K
vs crowd: 10% YES on $82.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 38 | $6.8K | $50.3K | $43.5K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 45 | $548 | $10.7K | $10.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 41 | $262 | $7.7K | $7.4K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 83 | $631 | $5.7K | $5.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 6 | $4.3K | $6.0K | $1.6K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 19 | $50 | $1.0K | $986 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | $52 | $423 | $371 |
| Median | 23 | $78 | $794 | $717 |
| Below median | 38 | $24 | $2.3K | $2.3K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 9 | $126 | $859 | $733 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 16 | $440 | $7.9K | $7.5K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 22 | $2.4K | $43.0K | $40.5K |
| unranked | 65 | $650 | $12.2K | $11.5K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Embarrassed-Juggernaut 0x2b76…edef | Yes | +22,791 | $3,531 | $4,870 | 10 | 07-04 13:45 |
| Lean-Attraction 0xbad2…5296 | No | +16,116 | $13,830 | $13,830 | 30 | 06-21 19:27 |
| Awesome-Availability 0xb1ca…1705 | No | +14,000 | $11,774 | $11,774 | 3 | 06-07 18:23 |
| Awesome-Availability 0xb1ca…1705 | Yes | +9,000 | $1,324 | $1,324 | 1 | 07-04 02:46 |
| Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35 | No | +8,953 | $7,692 | $7,692 | 6 | 06-07 18:23 |
| Eatpraylove 0xc021…1fa8 | No | +7,089 | $6,054 | $6,054 | 2 | 06-19 17:08 |
| Unusual-Plugin 0x8b36…a393 | No | +6,527 | $5,681 | $5,681 | 3 | 06-22 16:19 |
| Exotic-Prize 0x40cf…d21d | No | +5,700 | $4,895 | $4,895 | 6 | 07-04 18:08 |
| Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | +3,891 | $525 | $525 | 9 | 06-22 16:19 |
| Baggy-Alder 0xcfc4…c423 | Yes | +3,274 | $500 | $500 | 15 | 07-02 04:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x7883…66b2 | No | +2,101 | $1,726 | $1,726 | 4 | 07-04 02:46 |
| Ancient-Excursion 0x04cc…48ac | No | +1,162 | $999 | $999 | 4 | 06-12 22:40 |
| Surprised-Ingredient 0x06ab…ee5c | No | +1,155 | $931 | $3,346 | 18 | 07-04 13:45 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +1,124 | $976 | $976 | 9 | 06-30 08:13 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +1,000 | $140 | $140 | 5 | 06-19 20:05 |
| Soft-Ecosystem 0x88e3…e426 | No | +629 | $554 | $554 | 4 | 07-05 19:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xf2c2…4de7 | No | +576 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 06-05 19:25 |
| Near-Familiar 0x6139…6b7a | Yes | +560 | $59 | $200 | 11 | 07-04 02:46 |
| Hateful-Generation 0x4478…02a4 | Yes | +486 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-23 22:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x5838…3636 | No | +350 | $288 | $288 | 2 | 07-04 02:46 |
| Recent-Witchhunt 0x0e32…535b | No | +300 | $260 | $260 | 1 | 06-21 19:58 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | +252 | $37 | $114 | 4 | 06-05 21:19 |
| Old-Fashioned-Enzyme 0xfb9b…5112 | No | +244 | $198 | $3,721 | 21 | 06-18 21:49 |
| Advanced-Happiness 0x2e6d…2a0d | No | +224 | $195 | $195 | 3 | 07-07 23:47 |
| Sparkling-Skating 0x606e…6b3a | No | +212 | $185 | $185 | 1 | 07-04 22:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xf2ed…de50 | No | +210 | $186 | $253 | 7 | 07-04 13:46 |
| Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | +200 | $180 | $180 | 1 | 06-25 07:15 |
| Funny-Connotation 0x07b9…0fbb | No | +200 | $175 | $175 | 1 | 07-10 09:49 |
| Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | Yes | +200 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 06-08 21:24 |
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | +183 | $158 | $158 | 2 | 06-20 03:15 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +171 | $149 | $149 | 5 | 07-06 09:38 |
| Vital-Browser 0xe749…f771 | No | +155 | $139 | $139 | 1 | 07-03 06:19 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +145 | $124 | $124 | 6 | 06-07 18:37 |
| Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | +132 | $29 | $249 | 24 | 07-04 02:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x7f27…8776 | No | +130 | $115 | $115 | 3 | 07-04 18:09 |
| Caring-Calibre 0x3133…fcdd | No | +124 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-05 14:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xdb25…af73 | No | +118 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-08 14:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x8208…7094 | No | +116 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-04 16:51 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +115 | $16 | $16 | 4 | 06-22 16:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +108 | $13 | $53 | 12 | 07-07 04:17 |
| Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | +100 | $83 | $241 | 9 | 07-04 16:29 |
| Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | No | +97 | $85 | $114 | 4 | 06-22 21:19 |
| Heavy-Gumshoe 0xd124…85a6 | Yes | +91 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 06-21 19:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x16da…ef29 | Yes | +71 | $10 | $10 | 5 | 06-11 02:26 |
| Unfit-Rheumatism 0xc992…81cc | Yes | +69 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-17 02:59 |
| Pure-Inevitable 0x7a02…7708 | Yes | +65 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-08 09:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xda30…64be | Yes | +37 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-07 04:17 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +34 | $4 | $101 | 44 | 07-04 18:11 |
| Rotten-Cathedral 0xeae1…65ec | Yes | +32 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 06-22 16:20 |
| Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | +30 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-31 15:32 |
| Overcooked-Icy 0xc4bb…22a9 | Yes | +30 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-04 02:47 |
| Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | Yes | +24 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-25 06:34 |
| Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | +17 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-04 02:46 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 10:33:37 | (anonymous) 0x0762…8e99 | No | SELL | 25 | 88¢ | $22 | 0x2e810d… |
| 07-10 10:33:37 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x2e810d… |
| 07-10 10:33:37 | Murky-Chow 0x6406…bc04 | No | BUY | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x2e810d… |
| 07-10 10:13:07 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | SELL | 8 | 88¢ | $7 | 0xe01c58… |
| 07-10 10:13:07 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xe01c58… |
| 07-10 09:49:53 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 200 | 88¢ | $175 | 0x5cc046… |
| 07-10 09:49:53 | Funny-Connotation 0x07b9…0fbb | No | BUY | 200 | 88¢ | $175 | 0x5cc046… |
| 07-09 02:40:53 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xcae6d6… |
| 07-09 02:40:53 | (anonymous) 0xc519…9251 | No | SELL | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0xcae6d6… |
| 07-08 12:18:38 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x113171… |
| 07-08 12:18:38 | Instructive-Billion 0x1757…4a8d | No | BUY | 32 | 88¢ | $28 | 0x113171… |
| 07-08 12:18:38 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x113171… |
| 07-08 11:42:19 | Murky-Chow 0x6406…bc04 | No | SELL | 0 | 87¢ | $0 | 0xcc05b3… |
| 07-08 11:42:19 | Winged-Nation 0x08a6…f3cc | No | BUY | 0 | 87¢ | $0 | 0xcc05b3… |
| 07-07 23:47:14 | Advanced-Happiness 0x2e6d…2a0d | No | BUY | 183 | 87¢ | $159 | 0x6b9cb3… |
| 07-07 23:47:14 | Murky-Chow 0x6406…bc04 | No | SELL | 183 | 87¢ | $159 | 0x6b9cb3… |
| 07-07 17:48:07 | Fatal-Soup 0x3151…c3f1 | No | SELL | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0x876ff6… |
| 07-07 17:48:07 | Advanced-Happiness 0x2e6d…2a0d | No | BUY | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0x876ff6… |
| 07-07 05:02:11 | Winged-Nation 0x08a6…f3cc | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x1cb9d4… |
| 07-07 05:02:11 | Advanced-Happiness 0x2e6d…2a0d | No | BUY | 35 | 87¢ | $30 | 0x1cb9d4… |
| 07-07 05:02:11 | (anonymous) 0x6ac2…99bf | No | SELL | 40 | 87¢ | $35 | 0x1cb9d4… |
| 07-07 04:17:19 | Winged-Nation 0x08a6…f3cc | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xcd9186… |
| 07-07 04:17:19 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xcd9186… |
| 07-07 04:17:19 | (anonymous) 0xda30…64be | Yes | BUY | 37 | 13¢ | $5 | 0xcd9186… |
| 07-07 04:17:19 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xcd9186… |
| 07-06 22:24:49 | United-Premier 0xdbe5…72da | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x0fd74e… |
| 07-06 22:24:49 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x0fd74e… |
| 07-06 18:32:07 | (anonymous) 0xc519…9251 | No | BUY | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x436ce3… |
| 07-06 18:32:07 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x436ce3… |
| 07-06 10:11:22 | Lumpy-Golf 0xe811…77e5 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x6d6062… |
| 07-06 10:11:22 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x6d6062… |
| 07-06 09:38:56 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 122 | 87¢ | $107 | 0x886813… |
| 07-06 09:38:56 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 119 | 87¢ | $104 | 0x886813… |
| 07-06 09:38:56 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 3 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x886813… |
| 07-05 19:45:02 | (anonymous) 0xa415…6384 | No | SELL | 15 | 88¢ | $13 | 0x0f167f… |
| 07-05 19:45:02 | Soft-Ecosystem 0x88e3…e426 | No | BUY | 23 | 88¢ | $20 | 0x0f167f… |
| 07-05 19:45:02 | Murky-Chow 0x6406…bc04 | No | SELL | 8 | 88¢ | $7 | 0x0f167f… |
| 07-05 14:16:44 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 454 | 87¢ | $397 | 0x16ea6f… |
| 07-05 14:16:44 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x16ea6f… |
| 07-05 14:16:44 | Murky-Chow 0x6406…bc04 | No | BUY | 191 | 87¢ | $167 | 0x16ea6f… |
| 07-05 14:16:44 | Pleased-Chaplain 0xc2ff…ce1c | No | BUY | 86 | 88¢ | $75 | 0x16ea6f… |
| 07-05 14:16:44 | Hideous-Register 0x458c…c504 | No | BUY | 149 | 87¢ | $130 | 0x16ea6f… |
| 07-05 01:45:43 | (anonymous) 0xa415…6384 | No | BUY | 15 | 87¢ | $13 | 0x09f8d1… |
| 07-05 01:45:43 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x09f8d1… |
| 07-05 01:45:43 | Pleased-Chaplain 0xc2ff…ce1c | No | BUY | 13 | 87¢ | $11 | 0x09f8d1… |
| 07-05 01:45:43 | samei 0x6e15…6ce6 | No | SELL | 35 | 87¢ | $31 | 0x09f8d1… |
| 07-04 22:59:05 | Sparkling-Skating 0x606e…6b3a | No | BUY | 212 | 87¢ | $185 | 0x586a5d… |
| 07-04 22:59:05 | Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d5…8935 | No | SELL | 212 | 87¢ | $185 | 0x586a5d… |
| 07-04 18:11:26 | Flawless-Turn 0xa937…4152 | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0x1fbab3… |
| 07-04 18:11:26 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x1fbab3… |
| 07-04 18:09:32 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 27 | 14¢ | $4 | 0xb426a1… |
| 07-04 18:09:32 | (anonymous) 0x7f27…8776 | No | BUY | 29 | 86¢ | $25 | 0xb426a1… |
| 07-04 18:09:32 | Murky-Chow 0x6406…bc04 | No | SELL | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0xb426a1… |
| 07-04 18:08:46 | (anonymous) 0x2702…7cb4 | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0xb3370e… |
| 07-04 18:08:46 | Murky-Chow 0x6406…bc04 | No | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0xb3370e… |
| 07-04 18:08:34 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 14¢ | $4 | 0xabba16… |
| 07-04 18:08:34 | Murky-Chow 0x6406…bc04 | No | SELL | 193 | 86¢ | $166 | 0xabba16… |
| 07-04 18:08:34 | Exotic-Prize 0x40cf…d21d | No | BUY | 700 | 86¢ | $602 | 0xabba16… |
| 07-04 18:08:34 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | SELL | 376 | 86¢ | $323 | 0xabba16… |
| 07-04 18:08:34 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xabba16… |
| 07-04 16:29:32 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | BUY | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0x78cb5e… |
| 07-04 16:29:32 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | SELL | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0x78cb5e… |
| 07-04 16:29:22 | (anonymous) 0xa415…6384 | No | SELL | 15 | 86¢ | $13 | 0x36510c… |
| 07-04 16:29:22 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x36510c… |
| 07-04 16:29:22 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | BUY | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0x36510c… |
| 07-04 13:46:16 | (anonymous) 0xf2ed…de50 | No | BUY | 21 | 86¢ | $18 | 0x6e5921… |
| 07-04 13:46:16 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 21 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x6e5921… |
| 07-04 13:45:49 | Mysterious-Iris 0xbd8a…f9bd | No | SELL | 2,186 | 85¢ | $1,863 | 0x16721e… |
| 07-04 13:45:49 | Embarrassed-Juggernaut 0x2b76…edef | Yes | SELL | 1,571 | 15¢ | $233 | 0x16721e… |
| 07-04 13:45:49 | Surprised-Ingredient 0x06ab…ee5c | No | BUY | 600 | 85¢ | $512 | 0x16721e… |
| 07-04 13:45:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 15 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x16721e… |
| 07-04 13:28:58 | (anonymous) 0x0762…8e99 | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x3caff2… |
| 07-04 13:28:58 | Mysterious-Iris 0xbd8a…f9bd | No | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x3caff2… |
| 07-04 13:28:43 | (anonymous) 0x0762…8e99 | No | BUY | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x74a211… |
| 07-04 13:28:43 | Mysterious-Iris 0xbd8a…f9bd | No | SELL | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x74a211… |
| 07-04 13:28:32 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x4f93fe… |
| 07-04 13:28:32 | Untimely-Mood 0x0711…f03c | No | BUY | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0x4f93fe… |
| 07-04 13:28:32 | Mysterious-Iris 0xbd8a…f9bd | No | SELL | 279 | 86¢ | $241 | 0x4f93fe… |
| 07-04 13:28:32 | (anonymous) 0xa415…6384 | No | BUY | 15 | 87¢ | $13 | 0x4f93fe… |
| 07-04 13:28:32 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x4f93fe… |
| 07-04 13:28:32 | Murky-Chow 0x6406…bc04 | No | BUY | 200 | 86¢ | $172 | 0x4f93fe… |
| 07-04 13:28:32 | (anonymous) 0x6ac2…99bf | No | BUY | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0x8beb34… |
| 07-04 13:28:32 | Mysterious-Iris 0xbd8a…f9bd | No | SELL | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0x8beb34… |
| 07-04 11:56:10 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x0d811c… |
| 07-04 11:56:10 | Focused-Intestine 0x22b8…8b13 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x0d811c… |
| 07-04 02:54:22 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 19 | 86¢ | $16 | 0x5ee3bd… |
| 07-04 02:54:22 | Shimmering-Corruption 0x5968…3fc4 | No | BUY | 19 | 86¢ | $16 | 0x5ee3bd… |
| 07-04 02:50:59 | (anonymous) 0x2702…7cb4 | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0xb9a568… |
| 07-04 02:50:59 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xb9a568… |
| 07-04 02:50:58 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x3a0657… |
| 07-04 02:50:58 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 86¢ | $25 | 0x3a0657… |
| 07-04 02:50:58 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x3a0657… |
| 07-04 02:50:58 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 300 | 86¢ | $259 | 0x3a0657… |
| 07-04 02:50:58 | Exotic-Prize 0x40cf…d21d | No | BUY | 377 | 86¢ | $324 | 0x3a0657… |
| 07-04 02:47:08 | (anonymous) 0xf2ed…de50 | No | BUY | 10 | 86¢ | $8 | 0xd01a62… |
| 07-04 02:47:08 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xd01a62… |
| 07-04 02:47:05 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 83¢ | $25 | 0x3030e4… |
| 07-04 02:47:05 | Overcooked-Icy 0xc4bb…22a9 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 17¢ | $5 | 0x3030e4… |
| 07-04 02:46:53 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 12 | 87¢ | $11 | 0xd4bab2… |
| 07-04 02:46:53 | (anonymous) 0x6ac2…99bf | No | BUY | 12 | 87¢ | $11 | 0xd4bab2… |