Realized P&L
-$1.58K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.16K
Hit rate
19.7%
Resolved
47
Trades
4,751
lifetime
Volume
$223.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$47
Open exposure
$148.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-22 02:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 24 days
Categories
Other
43% 14% -$52
Politics
40% 25% -$172
Sports
15% 68% -$1,360
Crypto
1% — —
Tech
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 191 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +42,163 $40,441 96¢ $40.6K +$142 10-18 23:41
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +21,044 $20,261 96¢ $20.2K -$49 10-19 10:38
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +23,640 $18,399 81¢ $19.1K +$715 10-19 06:59
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +9,890 $9,500 96¢ $9.5K -$1 10-18 16:13
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +8,408 $8,138 100¢ $8.4K +$258 08-28 10:52
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +7,560 $7,052 94¢ $7.1K +$17 10-20 00:57
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +6,498 $5,642 98¢ $6.4K +$716 07-08 18:08
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +23,640 $5,308 19¢ $4.5K -$781 10-18 06:09
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +4,356 $4,244 98¢ $4.3K +$23 10-10 10:18
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +4,024 $3,925 94¢ $3.8K -$140 10-19 06:15
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +3,589 $3,311 94¢ $3.4K +$81 09-30 11:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +3,150 $2,714 99¢ $3.1K +$394 09-06 19:14
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2,688 $2,441 84¢ $2.2K -$196 08-19 21:06
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +2,387 $2,105 92¢ $2.2K +$103 09-02 15:20
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +2,305 $2,021 92¢ $2.1K +$88 08-21 05:30
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +42,163 $1,731 4¢ $1.6K -$150 10-19 22:24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,808 $1,525 82¢ $1.5K -$52 06-28 02:33
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,436 $1,251 90¢ $1.3K +$38 09-04 13:54
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,232 $1,194 98¢ $1.2K +$13 08-28 00:48
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +986 $961 97¢ $956 -$5 08-21 06:13
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +21,044 $832 4¢ $831 -$1 10-19 02:23
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +747 $650 86¢ $639 -$11 10-17 15:53
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +542 $534 100¢ $540 +$6 07-29 15:05
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +754 $617 66¢ $496 -$121 07-17 06:07
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +7,560 $492 6¢ $491 -$1 10-18 08:52
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,688 $259 16¢ $443 +$185 08-20 14:37
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +409 $374 97¢ $398 +$25 07-25 02:19
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +9,890 $444 4¢ $391 -$53 10-19 21:57
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +1,808 $280 18¢ $334 +$55 06-28 20:23
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +482 $427 60¢ $287 -$140 06-23 07:22