Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$240

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

58.9%

Resolved

1,551

Trades

2,664

lifetime

Volume

$5.07K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-07-03

last 09-07 09:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 69 days

Categories

Other

78% 55% -$218

Sports

10% 47% $0

Politics

5% 70% -$4

Crypto

5% 59% -$14

Tech

1% 54% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	+0	$0	97¢	$0	$0	07-23 08:35
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	+0	$0	94¢	$0	+$0	08-21 12:10
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	+0	$0	68¢	$0	+$0	08-21 12:05
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+0	$0	60¢	$0	+$0	07-23 19:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will France win on 2026-07-04?	9	$44	53	53	+0	Yes	+$3	07-04 23:07
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?	4	$30	16	16	+0	No	+$1	07-04 02:51
lol blg t1 2026 07 16	5	$28	21	17	+4	Bilibili Gaming	+$10	07-16 10:36
fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 total 2pt5	2	$27	16	16	+0	Under	+$4	07-04 03:32
fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 team total home 2pt5	2	$26	15	15	+0	Under	+$4	07-04 03:32
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	3	$25	21	11	+11	Yes	+$7	07-04 03:31
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 spread away 1pt5	5	$24	33	14	+18	Paraguay	-$8	07-04 21:56
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	12	$24	24	24	+0	Yes	+$1	07-10 20:55
fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	4	$24	18	18	+0	Egypt	+$2	07-03 20:49
atp basilas tirante 2026 07 15	4	$21	13	13	+0	Thiago Agustin Tirante	+$4	07-16 11:57
dota2 flc bb4 2026 07 07 game2	4	$20	17	12	+5	Team Falcons	+$3	07-07 11:47
mlb nym atl 2026 07 05	3	$20	13	13	+0	New York Mets	+$6	07-05 20:44
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 3pt5	3	$19	12	12	+0	Under	+$3	07-04 22:36
lol kc sen 2026 07 16	2	$19	12	12	+0	Karmine Corp	+$2	07-16 12:05
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?	3	$18	18	11	+7	No	+$4	07-03 19:18
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	3	$18	16	16	+0	Yes	+$4	07-04 18:25
lol g2 dk 2026 07 16 game1	4	$18	27	9	+18	Dplus KIA	-$1	07-16 13:47
cs2 prv mibr 2026 07 04	2	$16	14	14	+0	PARIVISION	+$1	07-04 06:25
dota2 ty ts8 2026 07 17 game1	3	$16	17	7	+10	Team Yandex	-$2	07-16 12:43
fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 spread away 1pt5	2	$16	10	10	+0	Australia	+$2	07-03 19:18
Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?	2	$16	9	9	+0	No	+$1	07-04 02:51
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 2pt5	3	$15	20	8	+13	Under	-$7	07-03 23:05
Will Norway be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	2	$15	12	12	+0	No	+$8	07-05 22:43
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	5	$15	14	12	+2	No	+$0	07-20 08:16
Will Brazil be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	2	$15	11	11	+0	Yes	+$8	07-05 22:42
cs2 tyloo lvg 2026 07 12	2	$13	10	10	+0	Lynn Vision	+$7	07-12 11:59
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$13	11	11	+0	Yes	+$9	07-20 01:11
lol g2 dk 2026 07 16 game2	3	$13	10	7	+4	Dplus KIA	+$4	07-16 15:15
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 spread home 2pt5	2	$13	8	8	+0	Cabo Verde	+$3	07-03 23:44
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	4	$12	11	11	+0	Yes	+$6	07-12 03:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-07 09:56:39	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x00b612…
09-07 09:56:28	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x41a7a2…
08-30 17:11:25	wta svitoli sierra 2026 08 30	Elina Svitolina	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xcdf6d0…
08-30 14:45:58	Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-08-30?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x91f111…
08-30 13:35:21	atp navone djokovi 2026 08 30	Novak Djokovic	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x71591e…
08-30 11:30:45	Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-08-30?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xbaadaf…
08-30 10:16:09	cs2 strael innerc 2026 08 30	Inner Circle Academy	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xe09e90…
08-30 10:10:42	Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-08-30?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x87b7fb…
08-30 08:40:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 31?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x586af7…
08-30 07:00:25	cs2 chama pld 2026 08 30	Peladona	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x01598c…
08-30 06:30:15	cs2 m80 aur1 2026 08 30 game2	Aurora Gaming	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x4b3487…
08-30 06:06:09	cs2 zerote inox 2026 08 30	INOX Division	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xd42965…
08-30 04:45:09	cs2 vit lgc 2026 08 30	Vitality	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x50fd9c…
08-30 02:15:18	cs2 og1 ef1 2026 08 30	Eternal Fire	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x94413a…
08-29 15:21:54	bitcoin above 80k on august 31 2026	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xa27b33…
08-29 11:06:57	lol tes lgd 2026 08 29 game3	Top Esports	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x74b2ad…
08-29 10:11:22	lol tes lgd 2026 08 29 game2	Top Esports	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa06099…
08-29 09:02:00	lol t1 fox1 2026 08 29 game2	T1	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x7ac734…
08-29 07:22:34	dota2 nem 6seven 2026 08 29	Team 6seven	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc28ba7…
08-29 06:15:06	cs2 lgc fal2 2026 08 29	Team Falcons	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa1915a…
08-29 02:51:12	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x7a9c02…
08-29 02:36:18	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-08-29?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x2286a6…
08-29 02:19:55	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfa32f3…
08-29 02:10:30	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-08-29?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xbb335f…
08-28 13:16:49	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-08-28?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x83596e…
08-23 17:34:55	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xab9d5b…
08-22 12:11:42	lol dk gen 2026 08 22 game1	Gen.G	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x36c2b4…
08-22 10:28:57	lol dk gen 2026 08 22 game1	Gen.G	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9b26bd…
08-22 08:09:04	lol dk gen 2026 08 22 game1	Gen.G	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xae5d67…
08-21 21:11:40	atp fritz nakashi 2026 08 21	Taylor Fritz	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xfaaf77…
08-21 18:32:42	lal bet rso 2026 08 21 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xb0c57a…
08-21 12:48:45	will ethereum reach 2450 on august 21 2026	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc6d563…
08-21 12:18:27	will ukraine re enter obratne or temyrivka by december 31	Yes	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xafdc75…
08-21 12:17:30	Will Lindsey Graham be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x5400a1…
08-21 12:12:04	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xa40e81…
08-21 12:11:46	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x25b372…
08-21 12:11:33	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x4db9ea…
08-21 12:11:10	will ukraine re enter obratne or temyrivka by december 31	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x317618…
08-21 12:10:49	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117 222 252	No	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0xcb4a70…
08-21 12:10:39	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x762a58…
08-21 12:10:25	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0xbc2264…
08-21 12:10:09	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x9f2a4c…
08-21 12:09:57	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by december 31 128	No	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x27384a…
08-21 12:09:46	Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x382aa6…
08-21 12:09:36	Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xc26b3a…
08-21 12:09:24	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x16d84d…
08-21 12:09:07	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0xd52101…
08-21 12:08:55	Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xee7f7d…
08-21 12:08:43	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x2cce7c…
08-21 12:08:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x249cb4…
08-21 12:08:19	Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x30e662…
08-21 12:08:01	Will Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x1fb47d…
08-21 12:07:40	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x61d28c…
08-21 12:07:21	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0xee9730…
08-21 12:07:10	Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xf123dd…
08-21 12:06:55	Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x9c024b…
08-21 12:06:39	Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x10c653…
08-21 12:06:21	H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xd68bf7…
08-21 12:06:09	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x1a0425…
08-21 12:05:46	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	2	87¢	$1	0x889275…
08-21 12:05:28	Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?	No	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0x65d51c…
08-21 12:05:12	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x77b9a7…
08-21 12:04:54	Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?	No	SELL	2	67¢	$2	0x0aaad1…
08-21 12:04:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x8c96a3…
08-21 12:04:19	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0xc35473…
08-21 12:04:01	foreign intervention in gaza by september 30	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xc8e2c1…
08-21 12:03:51	Will Caitlin Clark win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x49bc8c…
08-21 12:03:28	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd1c96d…
08-21 12:03:10	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	2	89¢	$1	0xa59d91…
08-21 12:02:54	will clavicular kiss the western wall in 2026 20260709144445859	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x609d3a…
08-21 12:02:36	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by september 30 20260709004922353	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3fe27d…
08-21 12:02:21	Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xf75235…
08-21 12:02:03	Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	No	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0x6e5615…
08-21 12:01:46	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	2	86¢	$1	0x56cef4…
08-21 12:01:30	Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x304bd7…
08-21 12:01:10	Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x9f6bac…
08-21 12:01:00	Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0xb639fa…
08-21 12:00:40	Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?	Yes	SELL	2	91¢	$1	0x677dea…
08-21 12:00:27	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x3f9771…
08-21 12:00:16	Will Pat McFadden be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x005770…
08-21 11:59:58	Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3e84a7…
08-21 11:59:42	iran leadership change by november 30	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x0389db…
08-21 11:39:34	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	3	53¢	$1	0x7b87a8…
08-21 11:39:28	Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	2	88¢	$1	0xc03a4d…
08-21 11:39:22	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x9db6a1…
08-21 11:39:15	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	75¢	$2	0x0839da…
08-21 11:39:09	Will Howard Lutnick be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xfa3f47…
08-21 11:39:01	Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc2a812…
08-21 11:38:57	Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xd6c117…
08-21 11:38:49	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$1	0x695d58…
08-21 11:38:43	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	No	SELL	2	90¢	$1	0x57f2c7…
08-21 11:38:37	Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	SELL	2	88¢	$1	0x614c3c…
08-21 11:38:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0xd364f4…
08-21 11:38:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0xf4a0a8…
08-21 11:38:15	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x60a62a…
08-21 11:38:09	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	Yes	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xbb6ba7…
08-21 11:38:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	26¢	$1	0xc2d88f…
08-21 11:37:55	Will Iran legalize gay marriage?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4b5cee…
08-21 11:37:49	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xfe0f76…
08-21 11:37:43	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xb06c30…