Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$4,037
Trades
167
Unique wallets
27
Liquidity
$5,159
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-10
last 07-14 16:09
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $30 | $194 | $164 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 13 | $31 | $2.0K | $2.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $35 | $137 | $102 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $9 | — | +$9 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 6 | $32 | $1.2K | $1.2K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $16 | $783 | $767 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $18 | $194 | $176 |
| unranked | 6 | $20 | $118 | $98 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +860 | $834 | $834 | 43 | 07-09 03:13 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +387 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 07-07 11:41 |
| Immediate-Memo 0xe786…9d92 | No | +300 | $291 | $485 | 7 | 07-14 13:02 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +285 | $13 | $13 | 3 | 07-09 06:49 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +200 | $194 | $194 | 1 | 07-14 10:49 |
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | +195 | $9 | $9 | 11 | 07-07 11:41 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +105 | $4 | $4 | 6 | 07-09 06:49 |
| Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | +90 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-07 06:15 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +60 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 07-09 03:13 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +42 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-07 06:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x26e9…e215 | Yes | +27 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-07 20:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | +4 | $0 | $1 | 3 | 07-07 20:55 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 16:09:07 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 9 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x11fe1a… |
| 07-14 16:09:07 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 41 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x11fe1a… |
| 07-14 16:09:07 | (anonymous) 0xae7d…058f | No | SELL | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x11fe1a… |
| 07-14 13:02:11 | Immediate-Memo 0xe786…9d92 | No | SELL | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0x9b575b… |
| 07-14 13:02:11 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x9b575b… |
| 07-14 11:52:58 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 109 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xc4aeac… |
| 07-14 11:52:58 | Immediate-Memo 0xe786…9d92 | No | BUY | 109 | 97¢ | $105 | 0xc4aeac… |
| 07-14 10:51:07 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x18377b… |
| 07-14 10:51:07 | Immediate-Memo 0xe786…9d92 | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x18377b… |
| 07-14 10:49:53 | Immediate-Memo 0xe786…9d92 | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xcb1b94… |
| 07-14 10:49:53 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xcb1b94… |
| 07-14 10:49:46 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | No | SELL | 51 | 97¢ | $50 | 0x22abd4… |
| 07-14 10:49:46 | Immediate-Memo 0xe786…9d92 | No | BUY | 51 | 97¢ | $50 | 0x22abd4… |
| 07-14 10:49:44 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x65000c… |
| 07-14 10:49:44 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x65000c… |
| 07-14 10:49:44 | (anonymous) 0xae7d…058f | No | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $49 | 0x65000c… |
| 07-14 10:49:44 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 87 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x65000c… |
| 07-14 10:49:44 | Immediate-Memo 0xe786…9d92 | No | BUY | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0x65000c… |
| 07-14 10:49:44 | Warm-Secretary 0x3caf…6d8a | No | SELL | 653 | 97¢ | $634 | 0x65000c… |
| 07-14 10:49:44 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | No | BUY | 18 | 97¢ | $17 | 0x65000c… |
| 07-14 10:49:44 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 200 | 97¢ | $194 | 0x65000c… |
| 07-14 10:49:44 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x65000c… |
| 07-09 06:49:38 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xa95ee1… |
| 07-09 06:49:38 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xa95ee1… |
| 07-09 06:49:38 | Immediate-Memo 0xe786…9d92 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xa95ee1… |
| 07-09 03:13:59 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x72e71a… |
| 07-09 03:13:59 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x72e71a… |
| 07-09 03:13:58 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x400a44… |
| 07-09 03:13:58 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x400a44… |
| 07-09 03:03:58 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xc9fb86… |
| 07-09 03:03:58 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xc9fb86… |
| 07-09 02:48:55 | Immediate-Memo 0xe786…9d92 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x1d17fe… |
| 07-09 02:48:55 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x1d17fe… |
| 07-09 02:48:55 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x1d17fe… |
| 07-09 02:35:29 | Immediate-Memo 0xe786…9d92 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x5596d8… |
| 07-09 02:35:29 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x5596d8… |
| 07-09 02:27:22 | Immediate-Memo 0xe786…9d92 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x487e64… |
| 07-09 02:27:22 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x487e64… |
| 07-09 02:22:37 | Immediate-Memo 0xe786…9d92 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x6d80dd… |
| 07-09 02:22:37 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x6d80dd… |
| 07-09 02:13:37 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xfc95e4… |
| 07-09 02:13:37 | Immediate-Memo 0xe786…9d92 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xfc95e4… |
| 07-09 02:04:52 | Immediate-Memo 0xe786…9d92 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x17c000… |
| 07-09 02:04:52 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x17c000… |
| 07-09 02:04:52 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 15 | 97¢ | $14 | 0x17c000… |
| 07-09 01:57:32 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x1779b6… |
| 07-09 01:57:32 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x1779b6… |
| 07-09 01:38:56 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xe0b0ff… |
| 07-09 01:38:56 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xe0b0ff… |
| 07-09 01:33:50 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x6f3e87… |
| 07-09 01:33:50 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x6f3e87… |
| 07-09 01:17:32 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xbaaffc… |
| 07-09 01:17:32 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xbaaffc… |
| 07-09 01:06:04 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xa9a060… |
| 07-09 01:06:04 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xa9a060… |
| 07-09 00:57:16 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x5d6008… |
| 07-09 00:57:16 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x5d6008… |
| 07-09 00:50:11 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xe75624… |
| 07-09 00:50:11 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xe75624… |
| 07-09 00:45:08 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x51b702… |
| 07-09 00:45:08 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x51b702… |
| 07-09 00:40:22 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xfd78b8… |
| 07-09 00:40:22 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xfd78b8… |
| 07-09 00:31:50 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x5767dc… |
| 07-09 00:31:50 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x5767dc… |
| 07-09 00:23:25 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x6ae69d… |
| 07-09 00:23:25 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x6ae69d… |
| 07-09 00:15:59 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xa60a6c… |
| 07-09 00:15:59 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xa60a6c… |
| 07-09 00:05:31 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xe7dc65… |
| 07-09 00:05:31 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xe7dc65… |
| 07-08 23:57:40 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xb7ed55… |
| 07-08 23:57:40 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xb7ed55… |
| 07-08 23:48:13 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xaa1ef8… |
| 07-08 23:48:13 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xaa1ef8… |
| 07-08 23:41:01 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x72d064… |
| 07-08 23:41:01 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x72d064… |
| 07-08 23:34:40 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xf53c4f… |
| 07-08 23:34:40 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xf53c4f… |
| 07-08 23:25:25 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xb192b6… |
| 07-08 23:25:25 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xb192b6… |
| 07-08 23:20:14 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x53620a… |
| 07-08 23:20:14 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x53620a… |
| 07-08 23:12:20 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x5e49d8… |
| 07-08 23:12:20 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x5e49d8… |
| 07-08 23:07:56 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xd05b65… |
| 07-08 23:07:56 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xd05b65… |
| 07-08 23:02:20 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x2b182f… |
| 07-08 23:02:20 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x2b182f… |
| 07-08 22:56:29 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x9293b0… |
| 07-08 22:56:29 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x9293b0… |
| 07-08 22:42:22 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x2a5d0d… |
| 07-08 22:42:22 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x2a5d0d… |
| 07-08 22:34:31 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x8faeb8… |
| 07-08 22:34:31 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x8faeb8… |
| 07-08 22:28:37 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x3f3bc8… |
| 07-08 22:28:37 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x3f3bc8… |
| 07-08 22:16:41 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x54dc09… |
| 07-08 22:16:41 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x54dc09… |
| 07-08 22:09:35 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x58a27f… |