Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$5,904
Trades
272
Unique wallets
46
Liquidity
$5,159
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-10
last 08-11 17:57
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $36 | $201 | $164 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 18 | $66 | $2.5K | $2.5K |
| 🐟 Fish | 15 | $43 | $320 | $277 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $6 | $70 | $65 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $36 | $39 | $3 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 6 | $32 | $1.3K | $1.3K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $7 | — | +$7 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $23 | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $18 | $194 | $176 |
| unranked | 19 | $34 | $461 | $426 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +860 | $834 | $834 | 43 | 07-09 03:13 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +285 | $13 | $13 | 3 | 07-09 06:49 |
| Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | +246 | $215 | $1,983 | 48 | 08-10 15:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +150 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 08-10 15:13 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +145 | $6 | $6 | 8 | 08-06 08:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xb141…aa3b | Yes | +142 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 08-10 15:03 |
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | +92 | $-5 | $64 | 26 | 08-11 17:57 |
| Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | +90 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-07 06:15 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +60 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 07-09 03:13 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +40 | $2 | $9 | 8 | 08-10 15:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-05 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 08-05 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x26e9…e215 | Yes | +27 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-07 20:55 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 08-04 23:38 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-30 22:48 |
| Impossible-Pinecone 0x9771…db67 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-11 17:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | +3 | $0 | $4 | 8 | 08-11 17:57 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-11 17:57:34 | Impossible-Pinecone 0x9771…db67 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x67f9cf… |
| 08-11 17:57:34 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x67f9cf… |
| 08-11 17:57:34 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x67f9cf… |
| 08-11 14:58:52 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x9bae24… |
| 08-11 14:58:52 | Gaseous-Soybean 0xb2a3…79e0 | No | SELL | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0x9bae24… |
| 08-10 15:22:15 | (anonymous) 0x3b69…01d7 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x75f5f7… |
| 08-10 15:22:15 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 50 | 97¢ | $49 | 0x75f5f7… |
| 08-10 15:17:15 | (anonymous) 0xd62b…ceec | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x0f914a… |
| 08-10 15:17:15 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x0f914a… |
| 08-10 15:17:09 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 12 | 97¢ | $11 | 0x12f83a… |
| 08-10 15:17:09 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x12f83a… |
| 08-10 15:17:09 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x12f83a… |
| 08-10 15:17:04 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x987868… |
| 08-10 15:17:04 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x987868… |
| 08-10 15:15:40 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0xe7df8f… |
| 08-10 15:15:40 | (anonymous) 0x3b69…01d7 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xe7df8f… |
| 08-10 15:15:40 | (anonymous) 0xd62b…ceec | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xe7df8f… |
| 08-10 15:15:40 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xe7df8f… |
| 08-10 15:15:40 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe7df8f… |
| 08-10 15:13:27 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x7eb642… |
| 08-10 15:13:27 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x7eb642… |
| 08-10 15:13:21 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xde8873… |
| 08-10 15:13:21 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xde8873… |
| 08-10 15:13:18 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xb2d89f… |
| 08-10 15:13:18 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 132 | 4¢ | $5 | 0xb2d89f… |
| 08-10 15:13:18 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 41 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xb2d89f… |
| 08-10 15:13:18 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xb2d89f… |
| 08-10 15:13:18 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 207 | 96¢ | $199 | 0xb2d89f… |
| 08-10 15:03:06 | (anonymous) 0xb141…aa3b | Yes | SELL | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x90efbd… |
| 08-10 15:03:06 | Gaseous-Soybean 0xb2a3…79e0 | No | SELL | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0x90efbd… |
| 08-09 19:58:46 | Gaseous-Soybean 0xb2a3…79e0 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xe17ec4… |
| 08-09 19:58:46 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xe17ec4… |
| 08-09 19:23:51 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 18 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x7bdaca… |
| 08-09 19:23:51 | Gaseous-Soybean 0xb2a3…79e0 | No | BUY | 18 | 96¢ | $17 | 0x7bdaca… |
| 08-07 16:03:00 | (anonymous) 0x5434…654b | Yes | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x9e0ed5… |
| 08-07 16:03:00 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x9e0ed5… |
| 08-07 15:33:18 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x34795b… |
| 08-07 15:33:18 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x34795b… |
| 08-06 08:10:06 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xa7bbbb… |
| 08-06 08:10:06 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa7bbbb… |
| 08-06 08:10:06 | (anonymous) 0x5434…654b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa7bbbb… |
| 08-06 08:10:06 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xa7bbbb… |
| 08-06 08:10:06 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 61 | 4¢ | $3 | 0xa7bbbb… |
| 08-06 02:49:32 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x265c35… |
| 08-06 02:49:32 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x265c35… |
| 08-06 02:49:27 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | SELL | 280 | 5¢ | $13 | 0x77a47e… |
| 08-06 02:49:27 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x77a47e… |
| 08-06 02:49:27 | (anonymous) 0xb141…aa3b | Yes | BUY | 150 | 5¢ | $7 | 0x77a47e… |
| 08-06 02:49:27 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x77a47e… |
| 08-06 02:49:27 | (anonymous) 0xb141…aa3b | No | SELL | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x77a47e… |
| 08-06 02:49:27 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x77a47e… |
| 08-05 20:24:50 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | SELL | 203 | 5¢ | $10 | 0x781f1d… |
| 08-05 20:24:50 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 203 | 95¢ | $193 | 0x781f1d… |
| 08-05 07:31:35 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x934be3… |
| 08-05 07:31:35 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x934be3… |
| 08-05 00:09:23 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xc5d7f1… |
| 08-05 00:09:23 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | BUY | 30 | 95¢ | $29 | 0xded3b1… |
| 08-05 00:09:23 | (anonymous) 0x3b69…01d7 | No | SELL | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0xded3b1… |
| 08-05 00:09:23 | (anonymous) 0xb141…aa3b | No | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0xded3b1… |
| 08-05 00:09:23 | (anonymous) 0xb141…aa3b | No | BUY | 30 | 95¢ | $29 | 0xc5d7f1… |
| 08-04 23:47:29 | (anonymous) 0x6cb1…0f6e | No | SELL | 40 | 95¢ | $38 | 0x9ea432… |
| 08-04 23:47:29 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x9ea432… |
| 08-04 23:47:24 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x35a5f9… |
| 08-04 23:47:24 | (anonymous) 0xd62b…ceec | No | SELL | 40 | 95¢ | $38 | 0x35a5f9… |
| 08-04 23:47:23 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x405ee5… |
| 08-04 23:47:23 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | No | SELL | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x405ee5… |
| 08-04 23:47:18 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x3fbd96… |
| 08-04 23:47:18 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 40 | 95¢ | $38 | 0x3fbd96… |
| 08-04 23:47:14 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0xfcccd1… |
| 08-04 23:47:14 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xfcccd1… |
| 08-04 23:47:09 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xda7986… |
| 08-04 23:47:09 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 40 | 95¢ | $38 | 0xda7986… |
| 08-04 23:47:05 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x42cb10… |
| 08-04 23:47:05 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x42cb10… |
| 08-04 23:47:05 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x42cb10… |
| 08-04 23:40:05 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xa222d2… |
| 08-04 23:40:05 | Likable-Mention 0x3c3e…5a86 | No | SELL | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0xa222d2… |
| 08-04 23:38:47 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 63 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xe09219… |
| 08-04 23:38:47 | (anonymous) 0x073e…8416 | No | SELL | 63 | 96¢ | $61 | 0xe09219… |
| 08-04 23:38:45 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 53 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x4a6573… |
| 08-04 23:38:45 | (anonymous) 0xd62b…ceec | No | BUY | 40 | 97¢ | $39 | 0x4a6573… |
| 08-04 23:38:45 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x4a6573… |
| 08-04 23:38:45 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | BUY | 40 | 97¢ | $39 | 0x4a6573… |
| 08-04 23:38:45 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 40 | 97¢ | $39 | 0x4a6573… |
| 08-04 23:38:45 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 46 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x4a6573… |
| 08-04 23:38:45 | (anonymous) 0x3b69…01d7 | No | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x4a6573… |
| 08-04 23:38:45 | Likable-Mention 0x3c3e…5a86 | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x4a6573… |
| 08-04 23:38:45 | (anonymous) 0x073e…8416 | No | BUY | 63 | 97¢ | $61 | 0x4a6573… |
| 08-04 23:38:45 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x4a6573… |
| 08-04 23:38:45 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 59 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x4a6573… |
| 08-04 23:38:45 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 540 | 3¢ | $18 | 0x4a6573… |
| 08-04 23:38:45 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x4a6573… |
| 08-04 23:38:45 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4a6573… |
| 08-04 23:38:45 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x4a6573… |
| 08-04 23:38:45 | (anonymous) 0x6cb1…0f6e | No | BUY | 40 | 97¢ | $39 | 0x4a6573… |
| 08-01 17:42:48 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 53 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xf74919… |
| 08-01 17:42:48 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 53 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xf74919… |
| 08-01 00:08:48 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 288 | 3¢ | $9 | 0xa1f0d5… |
| 08-01 00:08:48 | Immediate-Memo 0xe786…9d92 | No | SELL | 288 | 97¢ | $279 | 0xa1f0d5… |
| 07-30 22:48:33 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0xc43bfe… |