Productive-Brooch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$854

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.6%

Resolved

Trades

4,508

lifetime

Volume

$539.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$120

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 18:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

59% — —

Politics

22% 50% $-858

Crypto

13% — —

Tech

5% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	156	$39.9K	22,303	22,535	-232	open	—	08-10 01:19
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	78	$24.7K	14,550	13,386	+1,164	open	—	08-10 01:46
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	77	$22.8K	12,948	10,297	+2,651	open	—	02-01 00:47
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	139	$18.7K	9,796	10,114	-318	open	—	08-11 08:10
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	152	$18.5K	9,736	10,912	-1,176	open	—	07-23 13:14
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	37	$18.2K	7,250	11,250	-4,000	open	—	06-18 22:37
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	78	$17.8K	9,825	9,941	-116	open	—	08-11 21:26
Trump out as President before 2027?	107	$15.2K	7,900	8,900	-1,000	open	—	07-27 09:32
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	37	$14.0K	6,733	7,475	-741	open	—	05-27 18:46
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	13	$12.5K	10,000	2,500	+7,500	open	—	01-04 00:08
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	23	$11.7K	4,300	7,500	-3,200	open	—	06-27 15:37
will nflx reach 228 in march	52	$9.7K	7,734	2,195	+5,539	open	—	03-29 17:54
will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	219	$7.5K	6,387	2,217	+4,170	open	—	02-01 01:24
will bitcoin dip to 70k in january 2026	32	$7.4K	7,329	102	+7,227	open	—	02-01 01:07
putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	59	$6.3K	4,289	2,100	+2,189	open	—	08-11 19:09
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	13	$5.9K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	02-26 18:43
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	25	$5.8K	2,754	3,139	-386	open	—	02-06 14:11
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	50	$5.6K	3,850	3,000	+850	open	—	07-31 10:10
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	52	$5.5K	3,639	3,639	+0	open	—	04-26 10:41
btc updown 15m 1769986800	17	$5.3K	5,333	0	+5,333	open	—	02-01 23:13
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	43	$5.1K	3,291	3,311	-20	open	—	07-01 00:34
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	24	$4.9K	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	05-27 05:31
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	29	$4.7K	4,869	0	+4,869	open	—	04-13 01:41
nflx above 60 on january 2 2026	6	$4.6K	4,629	0	+4,629	open	—	01-01 21:03
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	62	$4.6K	2,567	2,145	+422	open	—	05-29 13:44
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	18	$4.5K	2,749	1,764	+986	open	—	06-30 20:05
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	10	$3.8K	2,300	1,900	+400	open	—	08-06 14:27
will nflx close below 50 week march 13 2026	7	$3.8K	3,831	3,282	+549	open	—	03-07 19:13
bitcoin above 82k on february 1	4	$3.7K	3,757	0	+3,757	open	—	02-01 16:07
will google have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	140	$3.7K	3,085	1,397	+1,688	open	—	02-27 22:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 21:48:36	Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0xb2e8cf…
08-11 21:26:13	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	75	94¢	$70	0xd06256…
08-11 19:36:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	172	92¢	$158	0x1d31cc…
08-11 19:32:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x027e63…
08-11 19:32:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0xc18488…
08-11 19:09:12	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0xfd1dd6…
08-11 19:09:04	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x62adfb…
08-11 18:28:46	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0xe5a7b8…
08-11 18:27:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xcb914c…
08-11 17:41:46	Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	35	83¢	$29	0x4bd937…
08-11 17:38:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x1812af…
08-11 17:01:01	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb8a0ca…
08-11 15:48:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	63	99¢	$62	0xedee9e…
08-11 14:59:01	Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xeb0f22…
08-11 14:58:37	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x2553ac…
08-11 14:20:30	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x891ef5…
08-11 14:14:07	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8337d6…
08-11 11:51:39	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	SELL	250	99¢	$248	0xb18113…
08-11 11:30:09	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xe982e0…
08-11 11:03:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	BUY	172	95¢	$163	0x229209…
08-11 11:03:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x3f68aa…
08-11 10:24:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	200	99¢	$197	0x2cb637…
08-11 10:23:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x85ef13…
08-11 08:21:13	Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0x9e7cd7…
08-11 08:10:39	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0x11c339…
08-11 08:07:49	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0xf7700e…
08-11 08:06:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xc9153a…
08-11 06:56:13	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xf7e593…
08-11 06:12:55	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xbe7699…
08-11 05:03:07	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	678	98¢	$663	0xd90d7e…
08-11 00:50:39	Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x0ec6e0…
08-10 23:02:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	152	98¢	$148	0x479d58…
08-10 23:02:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0x218748…
08-10 22:53:00	Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0x520648…
08-10 22:49:57	will spcx dip to 80 in august 2026	No	BUY	127	98¢	$125	0x8cf57b…
08-10 22:46:46	will spcx dip to 100 in august 2026	No	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x0f03c2…
08-10 22:45:55	will spcx dip to 80 in august 2026	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x7fa7d9…
08-10 19:04:57	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	75	92¢	$69	0x620714…
08-10 18:52:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0x57b96c…
08-10 18:51:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0xdbc82a…
08-10 18:49:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x2da3eb…
08-10 18:39:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xd5064a…
08-10 18:24:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0xff5b56…
08-10 18:21:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	152	97¢	$148	0x21b0bf…
08-10 17:43:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x2ba694…
08-10 17:21:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xcaef4d…
08-10 17:21:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x71fe75…
08-10 17:20:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xce462a…
08-10 17:20:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xc66d98…
08-10 17:13:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x6daf27…
08-10 17:12:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0xada04c…
08-10 17:11:07	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x0ff9a7…
08-10 16:49:49	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb2a025…
08-10 16:19:01	Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x6e95eb…
08-10 15:22:15	Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0x75f5f7…
08-10 15:17:15	Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x0f914a…
08-10 15:17:09	Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$11	0x12f83a…
08-10 15:15:40	Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xe7df8f…
08-10 15:13:27	Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x7eb642…
08-10 15:13:18	Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	207	96¢	$199	0xb2d89f…
08-10 15:03:12	Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xffe666…
08-10 15:02:39	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by august 31 20260730182630758	No	BUY	132	90¢	$119	0xe9cb5a…
08-10 13:35:49	will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31	No	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0x9f476c…
08-10 11:51:27	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	500	88¢	$440	0x639c36…
08-10 08:17:13	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by august 31 20260730182630758	No	BUY	65	88¢	$57	0xdd7bcc…
08-10 01:46:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0x07cfb6…
08-10 01:19:34	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x41d4e1…
08-09 21:08:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0xbae67f…
08-09 20:32:28	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt3t by august 31 20260730182630757	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x673731…
08-09 19:58:46	Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe17ec4…
08-09 19:27:37	Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	62	65¢	$40	0x061d93…
08-09 15:58:03	will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xfa7901…
08-09 13:10:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	63	98¢	$62	0x3b4faa…
08-09 13:07:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcd23df…
08-09 13:07:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	11	98¢	$10	0x77afe9…
08-09 12:51:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0x8d9784…
08-09 12:43:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	SELL	89	98¢	$87	0xf03e0e…
08-09 12:37:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x9298d2…
08-09 11:40:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xa4c746…
08-09 08:34:40	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0x58ecca…
08-09 05:18:48	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	400	99¢	$395	0x3a4c80…
08-08 19:26:24	Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	133	84¢	$111	0x9dd14e…
08-08 19:25:31	Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	82¢	$8	0xd42029…
08-08 19:23:58	Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	142	68¢	$97	0xf9f73e…
08-08 16:56:42	Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	137	64¢	$87	0x8c4f01…
08-08 16:11:58	Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	126	62¢	$78	0x55adfa…
08-08 15:39:19	Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	81¢	$14	0x95312c…
08-08 15:38:25	Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x62afc0…
08-08 14:23:48	Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x3cd29e…
08-08 08:42:09	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	169	100¢	$169	0x0b8fdc…
08-08 08:42:06	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	617	100¢	$615	0x1433e0…
08-08 08:42:03	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	214	100¢	$213	0xbaf3dd…
08-08 08:16:12	will spcx dip to 85 in august 2026	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x193016…
08-08 06:33:37	will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31	No	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0x829a8a…
08-08 01:59:24	Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x662157…
08-07 22:14:31	Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	130	69¢	$89	0x49dda4…
08-07 22:10:57	Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x32d570…
08-07 19:21:21	spcx above 120 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x071a42…
08-07 18:51:13	Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	69¢	$28	0xb3cc26…
08-07 16:36:22	will gpt 6 be released by august 7 2026	No	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0xaf4292…