Realized P&L
+$1.11K
Unrealized P&L
+$687
Hit rate
96.5%
Resolved
693
Trades
6,541
lifetime
Volume
$741.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$113
Open exposure
$6.16K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 21:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 164 days
Categories
Other
60% 93% +$16
Politics
23% 81% -$509
Crypto
10% 94% +$456
Tech
6% 80% +$992
Sports
1% 85% +$154
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1,000 $905 92¢ $915 +$10 10-04 04:27
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +834 $633 88¢ $730 +$97 10-16 18:01
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? No +400 $352 95¢ $379 +$27 10-18 10:28
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +350 $314 94¢ $330 +$16 10-11 08:43
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -301 -$492 97¢ $-291 +$201 09-13 02:03
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +291 $185 84¢ $246 +$61 10-25 22:29
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +250 $193 92¢ $229 +$36 10-23 18:21
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +225 $174 94¢ $212 +$37 10-18 22:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October? No +200 $192 100¢ $200 +$7 10-03 10:35
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October? No +200 $188 100¢ $199 +$12 10-02 12:30
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in October? No +200 $198 100¢ $199 +$1 10-22 08:46
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October? No +200 $197 99¢ $199 +$1 10-24 03:04
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? No +200 $199 99¢ $199 $0 10-25 20:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? No +200 $193 99¢ $198 +$4 10-22 16:11
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? Anthropic +210 $177 92¢ $195 +$18 10-23 10:16
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +200 $160 94¢ $189 +$29 10-01 17:29
us x china agree to pace the ai frontier in 2026 No +151 $136 95¢ $143 +$7 09-28 15:17
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30? No +142 $129 92¢ $130 +$1 10-21 19:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October? No +130 $128 99¢ $129 +$2 10-24 05:27
will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31 No +117 $88 96¢ $112 +$24 10-15 22:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +100 $99 100¢ $100 +$1 10-20 11:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October? No +100 $99 100¢ $100 +$0 10-23 15:47
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +100 $97 99¢ $99 +$2 10-19 16:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October? No +100 $99 99¢ $99 +$0 10-23 01:35
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October? No +100 $98 99¢ $99 +$0 10-22 15:55
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +100 $89 87¢ $87 -$2 07-22 21:17
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -90 -$179 96¢ $-86 +$93 10-23 13:41
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +50 $36 72¢ $36 $0 09-25 07:01
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +20 $17 86¢ $17 +$0 10-19 22:37
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +20 $15 80¢ $16 +$1 10-25 10:53