Realized P&L
-$854
Unrealized P&L
+$616
Hit rate
63.6%
Resolved
3
Trades
4,005
lifetime
Volume
$490.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$122
Open exposure
$12.5K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-22 14:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
61%
Politics
20% 50% $-858
Crypto
14%
Tech
4%
Sports
0% 100% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +2,368 $1,961 90¢ $2.1K +$158 07-20 14:15
Trump out as President before 2027? No -1,670 $-1,590 92¢ $-1545 +$45 07-20 09:44
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +1,364 $991 94¢ $1.3K +$297 07-17 10:10
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +1,329 $1,157 88¢ $1.2K +$19 07-18 17:26
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +1,100 $993 92¢ $1.0K +$14 07-12 18:19
Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +865 $788 86¢ $748 $-39 07-22 09:24
Will Amazon have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +678 $616 92¢ $627 +$12 07-16 23:49
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +594 $543 94¢ $555 +$12 07-14 12:19
Will Microsoft have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +597 $542 92¢ $553 +$11 07-17 03:54
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -480 $-530 97¢ $-466 +$64 07-04 19:09
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +500 $425 86¢ $432 +$8 07-20 06:46
Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +380 $349 94¢ $355 +$6 07-17 03:54
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +300 $261 88¢ $262 +$1 07-21 08:09
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +297 $235 82¢ $242 +$6 07-11 21:44
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +247 $170 90¢ $224 +$54 07-20 10:43
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +300 $248 66¢ $198 $-50 06-13 10:46
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -205 $-217 92¢ $-190 +$27 07-22 04:14
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +250 $212 70¢ $174 $-38 07-21 23:36
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? No +150 $114 79¢ $118 +$4 07-15 17:14
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +100 $89 90¢ $90 +$1 07-22 21:17
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +100 $70 70¢ $70 +$0 07-18 17:27
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +50 $38 80¢ $40 +$2 07-08 13:28
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No +25 $19 82¢ $21 +$2 07-21 09:30